Tag: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs odds predictions pick betting line spread

St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The St. Louis Cardinals (44-55) end their 4-game series with the Chicago Cubs (47-51) Sunday. First pitch from Wrigley Field is at 2:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Cubs odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 4-4

Multiple rain delays pushed Saturday’s game back for hours and the Cubs  used RHP Michael Fulmer as an opener before LHP Drew Smyly took over. Despite the strategic move by manager David Ross, the Cubs were playing catch-up the whole day.

Chicago trailed 1-0, 3-1, 5-3 and 6-5 before moving in front for the 1st time with 3 runs in the 6th inning. Cody Bellinger had a 2-run single and Seiya Suzuki followed with an RBI single, giving the Cubs an 8-6 lead. Bellinger drove in 4 runs and the 2019 NL MVP is batting .382 (42 for 110) with 21 RBI in his last 30 games.

The Cardinals, who are in 4th place and trail their NL Central rivals by 3 1/2 games, got HRs from Lars Nootbaar and Nolan Gorman. St. Louis has dropped 2 in a row after a 6-game win streak.

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Cardinals at Cubs projected starters

LHP Jordan Montgomery vs. RHP Jameson Taillon

Montgomery (6-7, 3.14 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 109 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 5 K in a 5-2 home win vs. Miami Marlins on Tuesday
  • Has .234 opponent batting average in his 9 road starts

Taillon (3-6, 6.05 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 77 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5.2 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 17-3 win versus the Washington Nationals on Tuesday
  • Home starts: 1-4, 7.06 ERA and a 1.59 WHIP

Cardinals at Cubs odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:12 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cardinals -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Cubs +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals -1.5 (+110) | Cubs +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Cardinals at Cubs picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 3, Cubs 2

Moneyline

You woud expect Cubs’ starter Taillon to be more relaxed at Wrigley Field,  but his splits are oddly reversed. On the road he allows just a .214 batting average and a 1.14 WHIP. But at home with the fans rooting for him it explodes to a .320 average and a 1.59 WHIP.

And this Cubs team struggles without rest. They are 37-48 on back-to-backs vs. 10-3 when they get a break.

BET CARDINALS (-145).

Run line/Against the spread

St. Louis’s ATS record has been dependent on whether they are the favorite or the underdog. As an underdog, St. Louis is 29-13 ATS, which is 4th-best in MLB. But as a as a favorite that record is 21-36. And against the NL Central the Cardinals are 11-17.

The Cubs aren’t much better with their 12-14 record ATS. Plus they have lost 20 straight games without covering, so I will PASS.

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Over/Under

While the Cardinals trend toward the Over this season (49-46-4), its almost all thanks to their home games (28-17-1). On the road they have the 4th-best Under record in MLB (28-21-2).

And in the last 3 games the Cardinals and Cubs have averaged the 4th (9.33) and 5th (8.67) most hits per game. I expect a regression to come today.

LEAN UNDER (+100).

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St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The St. Louis Cardinals (43-53) visit the Chicago Cubs (45-50) on Thursday to kick off a 4-game series against their NL Central Division rival. First pitch from Wrigley Field is set for 8:05 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Cubs odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cardinals lead 3-2

St. Louis won 6-4 as -107 home favorites Wednesday to complete a 3-game  sweep of the Miami Marlins. The Cardinals are on a 5-game win streak and sit at 21-27 on the road. St. Louis is 2 1/2 games behind the Cubs for 3rd place in the division.

Chicago beat the Washington Nationals 8-3 Wednesday as -146 home favorites to win the series 2-1. The game was tied at 3 when the Cubs scored 5 runs in the bottom of the 8th inning. The Cubs have won back-to-back games, but are only 5-5 in their last 10. Chicago is 24-25 at home on the year.

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Cardinals at Cubs projected starters

LHP Steven Matz vs. RHP Marcus Stroman

Matz (0-7, 4.86 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.51 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 76 innings.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 4 K in a 9-6 home win Saturday vs. the Washington Nationals
  • Career vs. Chicago (regular season): 0-2, 3.92 ERA (20 2/3 IP, 9 ER), 22 H, 7 BB, 20 K in 4 appearances (3 starts)

Stroman (10-6, 2.88 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 118 2/3 innings.

  • Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 3 K in a 10-4 home win Saturday vs. the Boston Red Sox
  • Career vs. St. Louis: 1-5, 4.96 ERA (49 IP, 27 ER), 61 H, 1.43 WHIP, 8.8 K/9 in 9 starts

Cardinals at Cubs odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:28 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cardinals +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Cubs -130 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals +1.5 (-190) | Cubs -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Cardinals at Cubs picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 6, Cubs 4

Moneyline

BET CARDINALS (+110).

The Cardinals are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings and are the hotter team — on a 5-game win streak and 8-2 in their last 10. The Cubs are only 2-3 in Stroman’s last 5 starts and 0-3 in his last 3 starts vs. St. Louis. While Matz is 0-7, the Cardinals are 3-2 in his last 5 starts.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

St. Louis should cover here but at +1.5 (-190) the line is not worth the juice, bet on the moneyline and/or O/U instead.

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Over/Under

LEAN OVER 8.5 (-110).

The Over is 5-1 in the Cardinals’ last 6 games and 2-1 in Matz’s last 3 starts while the Over is 9-1 in the Cubs’ last 10 games inclduing 8 straight. Also, the Over is also 2-0 in Stroman’s last 2 starts.

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St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The St. Louis Cardinals (13-24) finish their 3-game road series with the Chicago Cubs (17-19) Wednesday. First pitch from Wrigley Field is at 7:40 ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Cubs odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cardinals lead 2-0

The Cardinals may be pessimistic on how this season will play out after one of the slowest starts in franchise history but their rivalry with the Chicago Cubs is still as powerful as ever. St. Louis has come out of the gate running against its NL Central rival and can try to complete its first series sweep of the season with a win Wednesday.

The Cubs are still trying to figure themselves out. They have the 5th best batting average in the league (.255) but are only 10th in runs/game due to having a league-worst 273 runners left on base.

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Cardinals at Cubs projected starters

LHP Jordan Montgomery vs. LHP Justin Steele

Montgomery (2-4, 3.29 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 through 41 IP.

  • Last start: No decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 1 B, 6 K vs. Detroit Tigers on Friday
  • 0.46 ERA in 3 road starts this season

Steele (5-0, 1.45 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 0.95 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 through 43 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 4 K vs. Miami Marlins on Friday
  • .153 opponent batting average (OBA) when they take the first pitch but  .289 OBA when they swing

Cardinals at Cubs odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:07 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cardinals -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Cubs -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals -1.5 (+155) | Cubs +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Cardinals at Cubs picks and predictions

Prediction

Cubs 7, Cardinals 5

Moneyline

Montgomery’s road splits are intimidating but the Cardinals, despite their success in games 1 and 2, still sport a 39% win percentage on the road and are just 4-8 after a win. It’s never easy to complete a sweep so I will take the CUBS (-110) to salvage a win Wednesday.

Run line/Against the spread

St. Louis has the 3rd worst cover percentage this season and picking the Cubs +1.5 (-190) is too chalky. It’s best to PASS on the run line and focus on the moneyline.

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Over/Under

The Cubs are not great at bringing their runners in as previously noted, but the Cardinals are nearly just as bad. Chicago has a league-worst 273 runners left on base, while St. Louis is the 2nd worst with 268 stranded. However, both teams are top 10 in batting average and just need a spark and some luck to break their way to get those runners to score.

Trends also point to a high-scoring affair Wednesday. The Cubs are 4-1 to the Over in their past 5 NL Central contests and the Cardinals have gone over in 6 of their last 7 outings overall.

BET OVER 7.5 (-105).

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St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The St. Louis Cardinals (12-24) and Chicago Cubs (17-18) clash Tuesday in the 2nd game of a 3-game set at Wrigley Field. First pitch is slated for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Cubs odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cardinals lead 1-0

St. Louis went into this series with its worst 35-game record since 1973. But the Redbirds got solid pitching in taking Monday’s 3-1 victory in the series opener and have now won 2 in a row.

The Cubs have lost 5 in a row to their rivals from Missouri dating back to last season. Chicago went 1-for-7 with runners in scoring position Monday. The Cubs are 2-5 and have hit just .181 with runners in scoring position over their last 7 games.

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Cardinals at Cubs projected starters

RHP Jack Flaherty vs. RHP Jameson Taillon

Flaherty (2-4, 6.29 ERA) makes his 8th start of the season. He has a 1.63 WHIP, 5.8 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 through 34 1/3 IP.

  • Lit up for 10 runs in 2 1/3 IP against the Los Angeles Angels Thursday
  • Has allowed 4 ER or more in 3 of his last 4 starts
  • Got the green light to start after being struck in the hand by a comebacker last time out
  • Has held current Cubs batters to an aggregate .528 OPS

Taillon (0-2, 5.29 ERA) is making his 5th start. He has registered a 1.29 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 through 17 IP.

  • Has battled through a .347 batting average on balls in play and a 53.4% left-on-base rate
  • Has allowed 7 ER in 9 IP across 2 starts at Wrigley Field this season
  • Has struggled against left-handed batters in 2023 (.872 OPS allowed)

Cardinals at Cubs odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:40 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Cardinals +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Cubs -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals +1.5 (-200) | Cubs -1.5 (+164)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -104 | U: -118)

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Cardinals at Cubs picks and predictions

Prediction

Cubs 4, Cardinals 3

Moneyline

The runs scored/runs allowed numbers for both teams indicate that they are both below their “should-be” records. For example, the Cubs have scored 169 while allowing 125 and yet are under-.500.

The Redbirds had been just 2-8 over their last 10 road games prior to Monday’s contest. Recent Cubs missteps have been driven by not-so-predictable shortcomings in clutch hitting.

Look for Taillon and a fresher Chicago bullpen to give the Cubs more of a 60% chance to win this one. There is value in CHICAGO (-130).

Run line/Against the spread

An inward breeze is expected at Wrigley, and this game is likely to be a relatively low-scoring affair. That increases the risk of siding with the Cubs by margin. PASS.

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Over/Under

There is enough play to starter, bullpen and batting numbers — on both sides — that the middle is the place to be. STEER CLEAR.

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St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The St. Louis Cardinals (11-24) and Chicago Cubs (17-17) renew their rivalry in the opener of a 3-game set at Wrigley Field Monday. First pitch is at 7:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Cubs odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting. Cardinals won 13-6 last year.

The Cardinals snapped an 8-game losing streak with a 12-6 win over the Detroit Tigers Sunday. They tried to give it away though, as the bullpen came in and allowed 5 runs in the 6th inning to put Detroit up 6-3. 1B Paul Goldschmidt had other ideas as he went 4-for-5 with 3 homers and 4 RBI.

The Cubs have stumbled after a hot start to the season, losers of 7 of their last 10 games. They dropped the final game against the Miami Marlins Sunday, losing 5-4 in 14 innings. Their last 10 games were against the Marlins and Washington Nationals – 2 teams not expected to be in it. Chicago is 10-9 at home this season.

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Cardinals at Cubs projected starters

RHP Miles Mikolas vs. RHP Marcus Stroman

Mikolas (1-1, 5.79 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.66 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 37 1/3 IP.

  • Last start Wednesday vs. Los Angeles Angels: 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 5 K
  • Last 5 starts vs. Cubs: 2-1, 3.09 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 25 K in 32 IP

Stroman (2-2, 2.18 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 41 1/3 IP.

  • Last start Wednesday vs. Washington Nationals: 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 5 K
  • Last 5 starts vs. Cardinals: 0-2, 5.97 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 27 K in 28 2/3 IP

Cardinals at Cubs odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:36 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cardinals +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Cubs -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals +1.5 (-190) | Cubs -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Cardinals at Cubs picks and predictions

Prediction

Cubs 4, Cardinals 2

Moneyline

The Cubs have beaten the Cards just twice in the last 10 games. Stroman has an ERA near 6 against the Cards, and Mikolas has been solid, right? Well, if you look deeper, Stroman’s numbers are skewed from a 9 ER outing last year. Take that away, and his ERA in the other 4 contests is 3.65. Also, Mikolas’ last 2 starts at Wrigley haven’t been good, allowing a combined 7 ER in 11 2/3 IP. I’m siding with the Cubs but not at -140.

PASS and look to the spread.

Run line/Against the spread

There has been just one 1-run game between the teams in the last 9. The Cards are 13-22 on the RL and 7-9 RL on the road. Meanwhile, the Cubs are 20-14 RL and 11-8 RL at home. Just 7 of the Cards’ 24 losses have been by 1 run.

Take the CUBS -1.5 (+155).

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Over/Under

It’s slated to be 51 degrees with a 14-mph wind blowing in from left-center field. That means it’ll be difficult for balls to leave the yard. The Cubs are 2-8 O/U over the last 10, and the Cards are 6-4. The Under is 5-4-1 in the last 10 meetings between the teams.

With the weather and struggling bats, take the UNDER 7 (-110).

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St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The St. Louis Cardinals (71-53) and Chicago Cubs (54-70) wrap up a 5-game series at Wrigley Field with a 2:20 p.m. ET matinee Thursday in the finale. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cardinals vs. Cubs odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: St. Louis leads 8-6

The Cardinals had an 8-game win streak snapped earlier this week. St. Louis had allowed just 6 runs through the first 3 games of this series, but Redbird pitching was touched up for 7 R in Wednesday’s 7-1 Chicago win.

The Cubs are 9 games under-.500 at home (28-37), but they’ve performed well at Wrigley in recent weeks. And pitching has led the way. Chicago owns a 2.99 ERA 12-11 record in its last 23 games in front of the ivy.

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Cardinals at Cubs projected starters

RHP Dakota Hudson vs. RHP Marcus Stroman

Hudson (6-6, 4.33 ERA) has made 22 starts this season. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 5.2 K/9 through 114 1/3 IP.

  • Has struggled of late, posting a 5.50 ERA since July 4
  • Has held current Chicago batters to an aggregate .649 OPS
  • Owns a 3.25 ERA at home but a 5.34 mark on the road

Stroman (3-5, 3.83 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 through 91 2/3 IP.

  • Has clocked a 2,45 ERA over his last 7 starts
  • St. Louis got to him for 9 runs in a start earlier this season (June 3), and current Cards batters own an aggregate .924 OPS against him

Cardinals at Cubs odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cardinals -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Cubs +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals -1.5 (+130) | Cubs +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Cardinals at Cubs picks and predictions

Prediction

Cubs 5, Cardinals 4

Money line

The Cards were a solid play over the first few weeks of August, but the scales now tip St. Louis into fade territory. They figure to be overpriced most nights in the near future.

And the Redbirds have been a mostly quiet group of late. St. Louis has scored 1 or no runs in 3 of 4 games in this series.

The Cards are 7-11 in road-trip getaway games.

BACK CHICAGO (+105).

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Run line/Against the spread

Chicago has played in 41 1-run games; the MLB average is 34. The Cubs are worth a line watch here: take Chicago +1.5 if the price comes down to -155. Otherwise PASS.

Over/Under

Some crisscrossing signals here but more lean toward the OVER 7.5 (-130) with a forecast of a double-digit breeze blowing out at Wrigley Field.

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St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The St. Louis Cardinals (70-52) and Chicago Cubs (53-69) continue their 5-game series at Wrigley Field with an 8:05 p.m. ET game on Wednesday. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cardinals vs. Cubs odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: St. Louis leads 8-5

The Cardinals had an 8-game win streak snapped with a 2-0 loss in the opening tilt of a Tuesday doubleheader at Wrigley. The Cards bounced back with a 13-3 triumph in the nightcap. St. Louis has allowed just 6 runs through the first 3 games of this series.

The Cubs are 10 games under-.500 at home (27-37), but they’ve performed well at Wrigley in recent weeks. And pitching has led the way. Chicago owns a 3.15 ERA and a 10-5 mark in its last 15 games in front of the ivy.

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Cardinals at Cubs projected starters

RHP Miles Mikolas vs. RHP Luke Farrell

Mikolas (10-9, 3.32 ERA) has a 1.02 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 157 1/3 IP in 25 starts.

  • Filed a clunker at Coors Field Aug. 9, but has responded with 2 strong efforts since, allowing a combined 3 ER in the last 16 IP
  • Operates with tilted home/road splits (4.45 road ERA since 2020 vs. 2.76 ERA at home)

Farrell is a 6-year Major League veteran making his 1st appearance this season.

  • Has pitched in 63 games, making 5 starts, in his career
  • Has a 5-5 record alongside a 4.93 ERA, 1.46 WHIP, 4.8 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 87 2/3 career IP
  • Registered a 5.03 and 1.46 WHIP in 59 IP thisyear at Triple-A Iowa

Cardinals at Cubs odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:09 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cardinals -220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Cubs +175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals -1.5 (-130) | Cubs +1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Cardinals at Cubs picks and predictions

Prediction

Cubs 5, Cardinals 4

Money line

The Cards were a solid play over the first few weeks of August, but the scales now tip St. Louis a little bit into fade territory.

Mikolas is catching a Cubs attack on its best side (against right-handers) and playing well in its home yard.

Chicago is worth a straight-up play at +190. For any tag lower, WALK ON BY.

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Run line/Against the spread

Chicago has played in 41 one-run games; the MLB average is 34.

BACK THE CUBS +1.5 (+105).

Over/Under

PASS. Mikolas, Chicago bullpen, and batting-both sides — expectation versus production all the way around — are factors that crisscross. So, there’s no leverage to be found here.

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St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs Game 2 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The St. Louis Cardinals (70-51) and Chicago Cubs (52-69) will tussle in a pair of games at Wrigley Field Tuesday. Game 2 of their day-night doubleheader is slated for 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cardinals vs. Cubs odds with MLB picks and predictions.

(Stats and records don’t include the first game of Tuesday’s doubleheader)

Season series: St. Louis leads 8-4

The Cardinals have won 8 consecutive games and are now 5 games up on the scuffling Milwaukee Brewers in the NL Central standings. St. Louis took Monday’s series opener 1-0 on an Albert Pujols homer (career  No. 693), but it owns a fine .944 OPS over the win streak.

The Cubs managed just 2 baserunners in being blanked Monday. But Chicago pitching continues to be exceptional, especially in its home yard. The Cubs own a 2.65 ERA, 1.05 WHIP in their last 13 games at Wrigley Field.

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Cardinals at Cubs projected starters

RHP Jake Woodford vs. RHP Adrian Sampson

Woodford (2-0, 2.66 ERA) is making his 1st start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 4.9 K/9 through 23 2/3 IP in 13 games.

  • Figures to serve as an opener in this game. Has not pitched more than 1 2/3 innings in a single game since June 4
  • Likely to be followed by 22-year-old left-hander Matthew Liberatore. In 7 appearances (6 starts) in the majors this season, Liberatore has posted a 5.33 ERA and 1.74 WHIP in 27 IP

Sampson (1-3, 3.51 ERA) has appeared in 12 games, making 10 starts. He owns a 1.25 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 59 IP.

  • Threw 5 2/3 scoreless innings in his last start (Thursday). Tied a season-high with 6K in that outing at Baltimore
  • Went 5 IP against the Cardinals on June 25, allowed 2 R, 4 H,2 BB and 5 K

Cardinals at Cubs odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:31 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cardinals -140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Cubs +115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals -1.5 (+115) | Cubs +1.5 (-145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Cardinals at Cubs picks and predictions

Prediction

Cubs 5, Cardinals 4

Money line

The Cards were a solid play over the first few weeks of August, but the scales now tip St. Louis a tad into fade territory.

BACK THE CUBS (+115).

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Run line/Against the spread

Avoid the extra juice here: PASS.

Over/Under

The Redbirds have had their offense cranked up to a high level recently. Although they’ve scored a combined 2 runs at home in their last 2 games, the Cubs had also been operating at a decent clip in recent home games.

With pitching on both sides being taxed, look into the Over 8.5 if you can get a price of -120 or better. PASS otherwise.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The St. Louis Cardinals (69-51) and Chicago Cubs (52-68) launch a 5-game rivalry series on Monday evening. First pitch in the opener at Wrigley Field is slated for 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cardinals vs. Cubs odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: St. Louis leads 7-4

The Cardinals have won 7 consecutive games and are now 5 games up on the scuffling Milwaukee Brewers in the NL Central standings. St. Louis has scored 8.0 runs per game on a 1.000 OPS during its win streak.

The Cubs lost 3 straight to the Redbirds in the 1st week of August. But Chicago is 11-5 since. The Cubs own a 2.47 ERA, 1.05 WHIP in their last 14 games at Wrigley Field.

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Cardinals at Cubs projected starters

LHP Jordan Montgomery vs. LHP Drew Smyly

Montgomery (6-3, 3.29 ERA) has authored a 1.07 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 through 131 1/3 IP in 24 starts.

  • While a member of the New York Yankees, pitched 7 shutout frames against the Cubs on June 11
  • Has allowed just 1 run over 16 2/3 IP with the Cardinals

Smyly (5-6, 3.67 ERA), in 16 starts, has registered a 1.25 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 76 IP.

  • Owns a 2.59 ERA over his last 6 starts
  • Facing a St. Louis club that ranks 1st in MLB in OPS against left-handers (.811)

Cardinals at Cubs odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:18 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cardinals -170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Cubs +135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals -1.5 (+100) | Cubs +1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Cardinals at Cubs picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 5, Cubs 4

Money line

The Cards were a solid play over the first few weeks of August, but the scales now tip St. Louis a tad into fade territory.

But the lean on the Cubs is a small one. The price tag here does not offer enough reward. AVOID.

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Run line/Against the spread

Betting the total figures as the strongest play here, but the CUBS +1.5 (-120) is worth some partial-unit action.

Chicago is 5-2 in its last 7 series openers on home turf, and the Cubs have been a sneaky-improved club since the All-Star break.

Over/Under

With some fade lean against both starters, the way the Cardinals hit port-siders, and with a couple fatigued bullpens needing an off day (and not getting one the day before a doubleheader), TAKE THE OVER 8.5 (-108).

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Additional MLB coverage:
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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Chicago Cubs (23-31) host the St. Louis Cardinals (31-23) on ESPN’s Sunday Night Baseball at Wrigley Field for the rubber match of their 5-game series. First pitch is set for 7:08 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cardinals vs. Cubs odds with MLB picks and predictions.

These teams split Saturday’s doubleheader with Chicago winning the first, 6-1, then St. Louis took the second, 7-4, in extra innings.

Season series: Tied 2-2, and the Cardinals have a plus-5 run differential.

Cardinals at Cubs projected starters

RHP Adam Wainwright vs. LHP Justin Steele

Wainwright is 5-4 with a 2.75 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 59 IP over 10 starts.

  • Last start: No-decision in St. Louis’ 3-2 home win vs. the San Diego Padres Tuesday with 7-scoreless IP, 2 H, 1 BB and 10 K.
  • 2021 vs. the Cubs: 0-0 with 0.60 ERA (15 IP, 1 ER), 7 H, 1 BB and 12 K across 2 starts.

Steele is 1-5 with a 5.40 ERA, 1.58 WHIP, 5.2 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 40 IP over 10 starts.

  • Last start: No-decision in Chicago’s 8-7 home win vs. the Milwaukee Brewers with 5 IP, 3 ER, 2 H, 4 BB and 6 K.
  • 2021 vs. the Cardinals: One start — an 8-5 loss in Chicago Sept. 24 — with 5 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 3 HR, 2 BB and 5 K.

Cardinals at Cubs odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Cardinals -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Cubs +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals -1.5 (+120) | Cubs +1.5 (-145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

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Cardinals at Cubs picks and predictions

Prediction

Cubs 5, Cardinals 2

Money line

BET CUBS (+115).

Everything about this Cardinals (-140) line stinks because they have their ace on the mound Sunday vs. a Chicago starter with a plus-5.00 ERA, and St. Louis ranks 1st vs. left-handed pitching in wRC+, wOBA and BB/K rate, per FanGraphs.

According to Pregame.com and VegasInsider.com, a vast majority of the action is on the Cardinals, but their line hasn’t budged off the opener. This line freeze could be the oddsmakers’ way of daring the public to take more action on the Cardinals.

Also, Steele’s basic numbers are misleading, and his pitching peripherals suggest he’s due for improvement. Steele’s FIP (3.22) is more than 2 runs lower than his ERA, his hard-hit rate and exit velocity are better than the MLB average and Steele’s barrel rate is in the 98th percentile, per Statcast.

Finally, the Cubs have a significant edge in relief pitching. Chicago’s bullpen is 1st in xFIP (3.33), 3rd in K/BB rate (3.13) and 8th in WAR (1.9). While St. Louis’ bullpen has a 4.21 xFIP (ranked 24th), 2.27 K/BB rate (22nd) and 0.7 WAR (20th), according to FanGraphs.

BET 1 unit on the CUBS (+115).

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Run line/Against the spread

The Cubs +1.5 (-145) run line has come down enough to consider, but maybe there’s value elsewhere. The Cardinals -1.5 (+120) are 7-5 RL as road favorites, and the first 4 games of this series have all been decided by at least 2 runs, including Saturday’s extra-inning affair. I’m not confident enough in the Cubs to sprinkle on Chicago’s alternate RL. However, since we like the Cubs to get it done, let’s LEAN CUBS FIRST 9 INNINGS (+127) instead of the chalky run line.

Over/Under

PASS.

There are several Over-friendly trends in this game including Chicago’s 12-5-2 O/U record as home underdogs, St. Louis’ 6-5-1 O/U record as road favorites and the Over cashing in 6 of the last 8 Cardinals-Cubs meetings in Chicago.

However, the weather forecast is predicting more pitcher-friendly conditions such as temperatures in the mid-to-high-50s and double-digits winds blowing in from right-center field.

PASS  and stick with Chicago’s ML.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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