This is a game guaranteed to be historic – either the first three-peat for the Kansas City Chiefs or the Philadelphia Eagles slay the dragon. We have a season-ending handful of prop bets. They include an unlikely but lurking touchdown scorer, a quarterback topping a small number, a current backup running back making enough plays, a wide receiver continuing a postseason trend, and a Hall-of-Fame tight end stepping up (again) on the biggest stage.
The smartest wagers to take to the pay window for Super Bowl LIX.
While there are myriad prop bets available for Super Bowl LIX, for the matchup in the last game of the year and there are only three questions that need answering – who wins, who wins by how much, and how many points will be scored?
Use our staff’s weekly pick’em against the spread and straight up for the win.
NFL picks are provided for straight up (moneyline) and against the spread (ATS) NFL pick pools.
Each week’s spread picks are graded by the line as of when the person entered their picks. This will create situations in which a movement of the line can result in two participants having the correct pick but with different teams chosen during an individual game.
Super Bowl LIX picks: moneyline & against the spread
A snapshot look at the NFL betting lines and odds for Super Bowl LIX and DFS action.
A good way to start your weekly homework for DFS (daily fantasy sports) play is to analyze the early Vegas odds for Super Bowl LIX.
These guys have a long history of making money off of setting the right game spread and points scored. So it can be an early indicator of teams to target due to high-scoring potential, and teams to avoid for the opposite reason.
Good morning, Winners! Welcome back to the Morning Win. Happy Friday. Hope you’ve had a great week.
Let’s talk about this Terry Rozier gambling investigation.
The Miami Heat guard is being investigated by federal authorities who are looking into whether he manipulated his performance as part of a broader sports betting scheme.
Basically, without getting into the nitty-gritty, federal authorities have suspicions that Rozier tried to pull off the same thing Jontay Porter tried to pull off. The allegations involve the same group of co-conspirators, but the game in question for Rozier happened in 2023 instead of 2024.
The NBA launched its own investigation into the matter and reportedly found no rule violations, according to Chris Haynes, but federal authorities seem to have reason to believe they need to dig deeper into this.
A Terry Rozier gambling scandal has the potential to be destabilizing for the sports world. This should be considered a 10-alarm fire if investigators were to find any malfeasance on the Heat guard’s part.
This is the same as the Jontay Porter scandal, but it’s not.
Yes, if what is alleged is true, Rozier would’ve done the same thing Porter did in manipulating his stats to reach specific benchmarks to satisfy betting lines. That, in general, is a terrible thing to do and completely disregards the integrity of the game.
But it’d be different in that Porter made the league-minimum salary in the NBA. Whatever piece of the pie he was making off of fudging his numbers probably made a difference for him. That’s why sportsbooks no longer take bets on the lowest-paid players across the NBA.
But Terry Rozier? That dude’s current contract guarantees him nearly $100 million. He’s made nearly $134 million in career earnings throughout his time in the league. He doesn’t need the money. A betting scandal probably wouldn’t make much of a difference for him.
If he were to take part in something like this anyway? It’d be a huge blow to the sports betting industry. Detractors would point to this as proof that there’s no stopping temptation from winning over, no matter how many rules or regulations you put in place to stop it. The integrity of the game will always be in jeopardy.
Is that fair? It’s hard to say. On one hand, the regulations are doing what they’re supposed to do. One player has already been caught in a scandal and another one is potentially being investigated here. Nothing may come from this. And, even if something does, then that’s proof the system is working to catch wrongdoers in their tracks.
But, even if that’s the case, one could argue that the fact that we need a system for that in the first place makes the entire thing fraught to begin with.
Whatever you’re inclined to think about this, I’d probably hold off on any sweeping judgments. There’s an ongoing investigation and the results of that matter.
But, best believe, the sports world has its eyes on this one.
James Cook is a real one
Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images
Everybody wants to chalk the Chiefs’ success up to the referees. And, look, I get it. They get a lot of calls that go their way. But the game comes down to more than that.
James Cook knows what’s good. If you give officials nothing to call, then they can’t call anything.
“At the end of the day, you got to come in there ready to go… [expletive] that ref [expletive]. You gotta come in there ready to go, ready to play. Don’t give a ref nothing to call.”
That’s honestly refreshing to hear. Maybe this is just Cook putting on airs so he doesn’t get fined by the NFL. Regardless, the officiating talk all season has gotten exhausting.
People hate the Chiefs, They have plenty of reason to hate the Chiefs and that’s totally cool with me. But, in the end, they win a lot because they’re just that good. Do they get the benefit of the doubt on some calls? Sure. When you’re that good, it happens.
But, usually, the game doesn’t boil down to that. We’d be better off acting like we know that.
Elly De La Cruz is so fun
And I’m so glad baseball knows it. This new commercial from Major League Baseball features a stop-motion Elly doing real-life Elly things.
This spot is part of the league’s “Baseball is Something Else” campaign. It’s supposed to center the game’s young stars to get people excited about this upcoming season.
This commercial, in particular, features Elly as a created player who has come to life from a video game. MLB says it took 3,000 photos to bring the stop-motion animation to life, which seems extremely arduous. But it’s also totally worth it.
It’s always good to see baseball leaning in on its up-and-coming superstars like this. MLB is in a cool place right now.
Photo Friday: Kobbie Mainoo is floating
(Photo by Andrei PUNGOVSCHI / AFP)
Manchester United’s Kobbie Mainoo looks like he’s flying on this shot attempt. What an incredible athlete.
Quick hits: The Justin Tucker scandal … Angel Reese’s big surprise … and more
Cash in with these NFL Conference Championships prop bets.
For the penultimate weekend slate of the 2024 NFL season, all four competing teams are represented. Always providing options, we have two elite quarterbacks hitting Over on reachable numbers, an MVP candidate hitting Under an absurd pregame number, a revenge play, and the most obvious touchdown pick given the odds on the board.
The five smartest wagers to take to the pay window for the Conference Championships.
With only two games, the number of bets are clearly limited. We’re letting you decide how much you’re willing to invest on the Philadelphia Eagles on the moneyline. These are the rest.
Use our staff’s weekly pick’em against the spread and straight up for the win.
NFL picks are provided for straight up (moneyline) and against the spread (ATS) NFL pick pools.
Each week’s spread picks are graded by the line as of when the person entered their picks. This will create situations in which a movement of the line can result in two participants having the correct pick but with different teams chosen during an individual game.
2024 Conference Championships picks: moneyline & against the spread
A snapshot look at the NFL betting lines and odds for the Conference Championships and DFS action.
A good way to start your weekly homework for DFS (daily fantasy sports) play is to analyze the early Vegas odds for the NFL Conference Championships.
These guys have a long history of making money off of setting the right game spread and points scored. So it can be an early indicator of teams to target due to high-scoring potential, and teams to avoid for the opposite reason.
The five best NFL player prop bets to make for the upcoming week.
As we reach the Elite Eight portion of the NFL playoffs, we’re looking at an elite receiver topping his yardage projection, a quarterback hitting Under his yardage projection by design, two running backs in the same game hitting Over, and one of the most prolific scorers in playoff history continuing his prolificity.