The 5 best prop bets for Super Bowl LIX

Cash in with these NFL Super Bowl LIX prop bets.

This is a game guaranteed to be historic – either the first three-peat for the Kansas City Chiefs or the Philadelphia Eagles slay the dragon. We have a season-ending handful of prop bets. They include an unlikely but lurking touchdown scorer, a quarterback topping a small number, a current backup running back making enough plays, a wide receiver continuing a postseason trend, and a Hall-of-Fame tight end stepping up (again) on the biggest stage.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

The 3 best bets for Super Bowl LIX

The smartest wagers to take to the pay window for Super Bowl LIX.

While there are myriad prop bets available for Super Bowl LIX, for the matchup in the last game of the year and there are only three questions that need answering – who wins, who wins by how much, and how many points will be scored?

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

Office pool pick’em: Super Bowl LIX

Use our staff’s weekly pick’em against the spread and straight up for the win.

NFL picks are provided for straight up (moneyline) and against the spread (ATS) NFL pick pools.

Each week’s spread picks are graded by the line as of when the person entered their picks. This will create situations in which a movement of the line can result in two participants having the correct pick but with different teams chosen during an individual game.

Super Bowl LIX picks: moneyline & against the spread

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook


2024 Season-long rankings: moneyline


2024 Season-long rankings: ATS


NFL all-time picks leaderboard: moneyline


Moneyline
Year DMD SG HS CC CJB HCG KH
2023 171-111 169-113 183-99 177-105 169-113 178-104 176-106
2022 184-98-2 172-110-2 172-110-2 181-101-2 174-108-2 190-92-2 178-104-2
2021 167-104-1 159-112-1 176-95-1 175-96-1 176-95-1 174-97-1 n/a
2020 161-94-1 161-94-1 164-91-1 174-81-1 166-89-1 172-83-1 n/a
2019 162-93-1 156-99-1 161-94-1 164-91-1 157-98-1 163-92-1 n/a
2018 167-87-2 158-96-2 153-101-2 165-89-2 157-97-2 n/a n/a
2017 168-88 161-95 165-91 180-76 160-96 n/a n/a
2016 157-97-2 149-105-2 152-102-2 156-98-2 139-115-2 n/a n/a
2015 154-102 137-119 155-101 165-91 n/a n/a n/a
2014 166-89-1 158-97-1 163-92-1 177-78-1 n/a n/a n/a
2013 163-92-1 160-95-1 153-102-1 n/a n/a n/a n/a
All-time 1,820-1,055-11 1,740-1,135-11 1,797-1,078-11 1,713-906-10 1,298-808-9 877-468-5 354-210-2
Accuracy 63.3% 60.5% 62.5% 65.4% 61.6% 65.2% 62.7%

NFL all-time picks leaderboard: ATS


Against the spread
Year DMD SG HS CC CJB HCG KH
2023 142-135-5 135-135-11 139-136-7 135-140-7 143-131-8 150-125-7 140-134-7
2022 136-142-6 132-148-4 143-136-5 132-150-2 145-136-3 142-134-8 127-152-4
2021 141-130-1 142-129-1 136-135-1 152-119-1 143-128-1 151-120-1 n/a
2020 118-138 122-134 129-127 130-126 143-113 130-126 n/a
2019 121-135 133-123 139-117 121-135 137-119 139-117 n/a
2018 132-124 131-125 133-123 132-124 130-126 n/a n/a
2017 129-127 136-120 132-124 136-120 131-125 n/a n/a
2016 110-146 125-131 124-132 132-124 127-129 n/a n/a
2015 125-131 121-135 123-133 141-115 n/a n/a n/a
2014 122-134 124-132 132-124 123-133 n/a n/a n/a
2013 115-136-5 119-132-5 117-134-5 n/a n/a n/a n/a
All-time 1,391-1,478-17 1,420-1,444-21 1,447-1,421-18 1,334-1,286-10 1,099-1,007-12 712-622-16 267-286-11
Accuracy 48.5% 49.6% 50.5% 50.9% 52.2% 53.3% 48.3%

DMD – David Dorey, SG – Steve Gallo, HS – Harley Schultz, CC – Cletis Cutts, CJB – Cory Bonini, HCG – HC Green, KH – Kevin Hickey


Vegas odds chart for daily fantasy football: Super Bowl LIX

A snapshot look at the NFL betting lines and odds for Super Bowl LIX and DFS action.

A good way to start your weekly homework for DFS (daily fantasy sports) play is to analyze the early Vegas odds for Super Bowl LIX.

These guys have a long history of making money off of setting the right game spread and points scored. So it can be an early indicator of teams to target due to high-scoring potential, and teams to avoid for the opposite reason.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

NFL Odds: Super Bowl LIX

OFF = No odds currently listed.


A Terry Rozier gambling scandal would be a nightmare for the sports world

This could be catastrophic.

This is For The Win’s daily newsletter, The Morning Win. Did a friend recommend or forward this to you? If so, subscribe here. Have feedback? Leave your questions, comments and concerns through this brief reader survey! Now, here’s Mike Sykes.

Good morning, Winners! Welcome back to the Morning Win. Happy Friday. Hope you’ve had a great week.

Let’s talk about this Terry Rozier gambling investigation.

The Miami Heat guard is being investigated by federal authorities who are looking into whether he manipulated his performance as part of a broader sports betting scheme.

Basically, without getting into the nitty-gritty, federal authorities have suspicions that Rozier tried to pull off the same thing Jontay Porter tried to pull off. The allegations involve the same group of co-conspirators, but the game in question for Rozier happened in 2023 instead of 2024.

The NBA launched its own investigation into the matter and reportedly found no rule violations, according to Chris Haynes, but federal authorities seem to have reason to believe they need to dig deeper into this.

EVERYTHING WE KNOW: Here are more details on the investigation into Rozier and everything at stake

A Terry Rozier gambling scandal has the potential to be destabilizing for the sports world. This should be considered a 10-alarm fire if investigators were to find any malfeasance on the Heat guard’s part.

This is the same as the Jontay Porter scandal, but it’s not.

Yes, if what is alleged is true, Rozier would’ve done the same thing Porter did in manipulating his stats to reach specific benchmarks to satisfy betting lines. That, in general, is a terrible thing to do and completely disregards the integrity of the game.

But it’d be different in that Porter made the league-minimum salary in the NBA. Whatever piece of the pie he was making off of fudging his numbers probably made a difference for him. That’s why sportsbooks no longer take bets on the lowest-paid players across the NBA.

But Terry Rozier? That dude’s current contract guarantees him nearly $100 million. He’s made nearly $134 million in career earnings throughout his time in the league. He doesn’t need the money. A betting scandal probably wouldn’t make much of a difference for him.

If he were to take part in something like this anyway? It’d be a huge blow to the sports betting industry. Detractors would point to this as proof that there’s no stopping temptation from winning over, no matter how many rules or regulations you put in place to stop it. The integrity of the game will always be in jeopardy.

Is that fair? It’s hard to say. On one hand, the regulations are doing what they’re supposed to do. One player has already been caught in a scandal and another one is potentially being investigated here. Nothing may come from this. And, even if something does, then that’s proof the system is working to catch wrongdoers in their tracks.

But, even if that’s the case, one could argue that the fact that we need a system for that in the first place makes the entire thing fraught to begin with.

Whatever you’re inclined to think about this, I’d probably hold off on any sweeping judgments. There’s an ongoing investigation and the results of that matter.

But, best believe, the sports world has its eyes on this one.


James Cook is a real one

Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images

Everybody wants to chalk the Chiefs’ success up to the referees. And, look, I get it. They get a lot of calls that go their way. But the game comes down to more than that.

James Cook knows what’s good. If you give officials nothing to call, then they can’t call anything.

“At the end of the day, you got to come in there ready to go… [expletive] that ref [expletive]. You gotta come in there ready to go, ready to play. Don’t give a ref nothing to call.”

That’s honestly refreshing to hear. Maybe this is just Cook putting on airs so he doesn’t get fined by the NFL. Regardless, the officiating talk all season has gotten exhausting.

People hate the Chiefs, They have plenty of reason to hate the Chiefs and that’s totally cool with me. But, in the end, they win a lot because they’re just that good. Do they get the benefit of the doubt on some calls? Sure. When you’re that good, it happens.

But, usually, the game doesn’t boil down to that. We’d be better off acting like we know that.


Elly De La Cruz is so fun

And I’m so glad baseball knows it. This new commercial from Major League Baseball features a stop-motion Elly doing real-life Elly things.

Watch on TikTok

This spot is part of the league’s “Baseball is Something Else” campaign. It’s supposed to center the game’s young stars to get people excited about this upcoming season.

This commercial, in particular, features Elly as a created player who has come to life from a video game. MLB says it took 3,000 photos to bring the stop-motion animation to life, which seems extremely arduous. But it’s also totally worth it.

It’s always good to see baseball leaning in on its up-and-coming superstars like this. MLB is in a cool place right now.


Photo Friday: Kobbie Mainoo is floating

(Photo by Andrei PUNGOVSCHI / AFP)

Manchester United’s Kobbie Mainoo looks like he’s flying on this shot attempt. What an incredible athlete.


Quick hits: The Justin Tucker scandal … Angel Reese’s big surprise … and more

— Here’s everything we know about Justin Tucker’s sexual misconduct scandal so far. Charles Curtis has it covered.

— Angel Reese paid off her mom’s mortgage in one of the sweetest gestures you’ll ever see. Meg Hall has more.

— Bryan Kalbrosky has your snubs from the NBA All-Star game here.

— Cory Woodroof has the full NBA All-Star game rosters ready to go for you.

— Shoutout to the Wizards for letting Bronny James get MVP chants. Sheesh.

— Mary Clarke has more on the Bruins honoring the victims of the Potomac plane crash here.

That’s a wrap, folks. Thanks so much for rocking with us this week. We appreciate you. Have a great weekend. We’ll chat again on Monday.

-Sykes ✌️

The 5 best prop bets for the NFL Conference Championships

Cash in with these NFL Conference Championships prop bets.

For the penultimate weekend slate of the 2024 NFL season, all four competing teams are represented. Always providing options, we have two elite quarterbacks hitting Over on reachable numbers, an MVP candidate hitting Under an absurd pregame number, a revenge play, and the most obvious touchdown pick given the odds on the board.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

The 5 best bets for the NFL Conference Championships

The five smartest wagers to take to the pay window for the Conference Championships.

With only two games, the number of bets are clearly limited. We’re letting you decide how much you’re willing to invest on the Philadelphia Eagles on the moneyline. These are the rest.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

2024 office pool pick’em: NFL Conference Championships

Use our staff’s weekly pick’em against the spread and straight up for the win.

NFL picks are provided for straight up (moneyline) and against the spread (ATS) NFL pick pools.

Each week’s spread picks are graded by the line as of when the person entered their picks. This will create situations in which a movement of the line can result in two participants having the correct pick but with different teams chosen during an individual game.

2024 Conference Championships picks: moneyline & against the spread

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook


2024 Season-long rankings: moneyline


2024 Season-long rankings: ATS


NFL all-time picks leaderboard: moneyline


Moneyline
Year DMD SG HS CC CJB HCG KH
2023 171-111 169-113 183-99 177-105 169-113 178-104 176-106
2022 184-98-2 172-110-2 172-110-2 181-101-2 174-108-2 190-92-2 178-104-2
2021 167-104-1 159-112-1 176-95-1 175-96-1 176-95-1 174-97-1 n/a
2020 161-94-1 161-94-1 164-91-1 174-81-1 166-89-1 172-83-1 n/a
2019 162-93-1 156-99-1 161-94-1 164-91-1 157-98-1 163-92-1 n/a
2018 167-87-2 158-96-2 153-101-2 165-89-2 157-97-2 n/a n/a
2017 168-88 161-95 165-91 180-76 160-96 n/a n/a
2016 157-97-2 149-105-2 152-102-2 156-98-2 139-115-2 n/a n/a
2015 154-102 137-119 155-101 165-91 n/a n/a n/a
2014 166-89-1 158-97-1 163-92-1 177-78-1 n/a n/a n/a
2013 163-92-1 160-95-1 153-102-1 n/a n/a n/a n/a
All-time 1,820-1,055-11 1,740-1,135-11 1,797-1,078-11 1,713-906-10 1,298-808-9 877-468-5 354-210-2
Accuracy 63.3% 60.5% 62.5% 65.4% 61.6% 65.2% 62.7%

NFL all-time picks leaderboard: ATS


Against the spread
Year DMD SG HS CC CJB HCG KH
2023 142-135-5 135-135-11 139-136-7 135-140-7 143-131-8 150-125-7 140-134-7
2022 136-142-6 132-148-4 143-136-5 132-150-2 145-136-3 142-134-8 127-152-4
2021 141-130-1 142-129-1 136-135-1 152-119-1 143-128-1 151-120-1 n/a
2020 118-138 122-134 129-127 130-126 143-113 130-126 n/a
2019 121-135 133-123 139-117 121-135 137-119 139-117 n/a
2018 132-124 131-125 133-123 132-124 130-126 n/a n/a
2017 129-127 136-120 132-124 136-120 131-125 n/a n/a
2016 110-146 125-131 124-132 132-124 127-129 n/a n/a
2015 125-131 121-135 123-133 141-115 n/a n/a n/a
2014 122-134 124-132 132-124 123-133 n/a n/a n/a
2013 115-136-5 119-132-5 117-134-5 n/a n/a n/a n/a
All-time 1,391-1,478-17 1,420-1,444-21 1,447-1,421-18 1,334-1,286-10 1,099-1,007-12 712-622-16 267-286-11
Accuracy 48.5% 49.6% 50.5% 50.9% 52.2% 53.3% 48.3%

DMD – David Dorey, SG – Steve Gallo, HS – Harley Schultz, CC – Cletis Cutts, CJB – Cory Bonini, HCG – HC Green, KH – Kevin Hickey


Vegas odds chart for daily fantasy football play: Conference Championships

A snapshot look at the NFL betting lines and odds for the Conference Championships and DFS action.

A good way to start your weekly homework for DFS (daily fantasy sports) play is to analyze the early Vegas odds for the NFL Conference Championships.

These guys have a long history of making money off of setting the right game spread and points scored. So it can be an early indicator of teams to target due to high-scoring potential, and teams to avoid for the opposite reason.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

NFL Odds: Conference Championships

OFF = No odds currently listed.


The 5 best NFL prop bets for the NFL Divisional Round

The five best NFL player prop bets to make for the upcoming week.

As we reach the Elite Eight portion of the NFL playoffs, we’re looking at an elite receiver topping his yardage projection, a quarterback hitting Under his yardage projection by design, two running backs in the same game hitting Over, and one of the most prolific scorers in playoff history continuing his prolificity.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook