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The No. 19 Tennessee Volunteers (3-1, 0-1 SEC) welcome the South Carolina Gamecocks (2-2, 1-1) to Neyland Stadium Saturday. Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the South Carolina vs. Tennessee odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
The Vols beat UTSA 45-14 in Week 4, covering as 24-point home favorites as the total (59) pushed. Tennessee is 2-2 against the spread (ATS), 1-1 ATS at home and 1-2-1 O/U. QB Joe Milton III has 8 touchdowns and 925 passing yards through 4 games. Tennessee is No. 19 in the US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
The Gamecocks beat the Mississippi State Bulldogs 37-30 Saturday to pick up their first conference win. They covered as a 6-point favorite as the Over (46.5) cashed. South Carolina is 3-1 ATS and 2-2 O/U this season and took a 14-3 lead into the half in its 24-14 Week 3 loss to the No. 1 Georgia Bulldogs. QB Spencer Rattler has 1,242 yards and 7 touchdowns through 4 games.
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South Carolina at Tennessee odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 8:56 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): South Carolina +340 (bet $100 to win $340) | Tennessee -450 (bet $450 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): South Carolina +12 (-110) | Tennessee -12 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 63.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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South Carolina at Tennessee picks and predictions
Prediction
Tennessee 31, South Carolina 28
Moneyline
PASS.
Both teams have strong offenses, but the Volunteers have the edge on the defensive side of the ball. Tennessee (-450) should win at home with its far superior defense, but there is no value to bet on it to win outright.
Against the spread
BET SOUTH CAROLINA +12 (-110).
The Gamecocks have been electric against the spread in SEC play, covering both of their games so far, losing by 10 as 26-point underdogs vs. Georgia in Week 3 and beating Mississippi State by 7 as 6-point favorites in Week 4.
Rattler is starting to show the confidence that had him among the preseason favorites to win the Heisman. The Tennessee defense still allows 190.8 passing yards per game, so while it is strong, Rattler should be able to operate some. The Vols are 0-1 ATS against SEC opponents, losing 29-16 to Florida as 4.5-point favorites.
Considering the differences in ATS records in conference play along with Rattler’s play and ability to move the ball throughout the first month of the season, take SOUTH CAROLINA +12 (-110).
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 63.5 (-110).
Tennessee is 1-2-1 O/U this season and has allowed fewer than 30 points in all 4 of its games this season. Its offense has struggled as of late as well, topping 30 points in just 2 of its last 3 games. It is 0-2-1 O/U in its last 3 games and 0-1 O/U in conference play.
South Carolina is 2-2 O/U this season and 1-1 O/U in conference play. It struggled mightily against a strong Georgia defense, scoring just 14 points, but put up 37 points in its 2nd SEC game. The Gamecocks are allowing 27 per game in conference play.
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