Analyzing Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 230 odds between Sodiq Yusuff vs. Edson Barboza, with MMA picks and predictions.
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In a 5-round featherweight bout in the main event, Sodiq Yusuff and Edson Barboza meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 230 — also known as UFC Vegas 81 — at UFC Apex. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s around the UFC Fight Night 230: Yusuff vs. Barboza odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.
The prelims can be viewed on ESPN+ starting at 4 p.m. ET with the main card following on ESPN+ at 7 p.m. ET.
Records: Yusuff (13-2-0) | Barboza (23-11-0)
Yusuff made quick work of Don Shainis last time out in Oct. 2022, recording a submission victory in just 30 seconds at this very same venue in a fight scheduled for 3 rounds. He has posted an impressive 6-1 record since arriving at the UFC level, and the finish was his first in the past 4 bouts.
Barboza also scored a 1st-round finish last time out, recording the KO/TKO against Billy Quarantillo in mid-April. That halted a 2-bout losing streak which saw the Brazilian lost to Bryce Mitchell via unanimous decision, while falling via KO/TKO in the third round to Giga Chikadze prior to that. While 3 of his past 4 fights have finished inside the distance, he has gone the distance in 4 of the past 7.
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UFC Fight Night 230: Sodiq Yusuff vs. Edson Barboza odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:47 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Yusuff -178 (bet $178 to win $100) | Barboza +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
- Over/Under: 3.5 rounds (Over +108 | Under -138)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +188 | No -250)
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UFC Fight Night 230: Sodiq Yusuff vs. Edzon Barboza picks and predictions
YUSUFF (-178) is a little on the pricey side, but he has been impressive since making his way to the UFC, and he is a prospect on the rise. The 30-year-old Team Lloyd Irvin fighter has managed a 6-1 record with the company, with a lone setback to Arnold Allen via unanimous decision.
Barboza has been all over the board lately, and the 37-year-old veteran is just 4-7 across his past 11 fights overall, including 3 losses via knockout.
As such, it’s worth playing YUSUFF BY KO/TKO (+230) for a chance to more than double up your initial wager. While he gives up 4 inches in reach to Barboza, Yusuff also holds an impressive 5.29-to-4.00 significant strikes landed per minute advantage, and he is much more accurate at 52.94% on those strikes, too.
UNDER 3.5 ROUNDS (-138) is worth a roll of the dice, even though Yusuff has ended up going the distance in 3 of his previous 4 outings.
Win or lose, Barboza has been involved in plenty of knockouts lately, and I don’t think Yusuff wastes much time trying to rain down punches on the Brazilian fighter. He won’t want to leave it up to the discretion of the judges, that’s for sure.
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