San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Diego Padres (0-1) and Los Angeles Dodgers (1-0) close out the 2-game Korea Series Thursday morning in Seoul, South Korea. First pitch is scheduled for 6:05 a.m. ET (ESPN) with the Dodgers being the home team for this one — the Padres were the home team Wednesday. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead 1-0; Los Angeles won 5-2 as a heavy favorite (-215) while the Under (8.5) cashed.

The Dodgers won the 1st MLB regular-season game ever played on South Korean soil, posting the 5-2 victory with 7 hits. Los Angeles SS Mookie Betts led off and collected a pair of singles, a walk and an RBI. Betts and DH Shohei Ohtani collected multiple hits for the Dodgers . Los Angeles batters also drew 9 walks, while taking advantage of 2 San Diego errors.

The Padres managed just 4 hits, with 2B Xander Bogaerts knocked a pair of singles with an RBI. Neither team had a home run, or even an extra-base hit, with all 11 knocks being singles. San Diego did draw 4 walks, while L.A. had 9, and that was the biggest story from Game 1.

Padres vs. Dodgers projected starters

RHP Joe Musgrove vs. RHP Yoshinobu Yamamoto

Musgrove (10-3, 3.05 ERA) made 17 starts in 2023. He posted a 1.14 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 97 1/3 innings.

  • 2023 night game splits: Went 6-1 with a 2.72 ERA with 6 BB and 50 K across 46 1/3 IP in 8 starts
  • 2023 splits vs. Dodgers: 0-1, 3.38 ERA across 10 2/3 IP in 2 starts with 7 BB and 10 K

Yamamoto (17-6, 1.16 ERA) made 24 appearances for Orix in the Nippon (Japan) Professional Baseball League in 2023. He’ll make his MLB debut Thursday.

  • 2024 spring stats: 0-1, 8.38 ERA in 3 starts. He has a 1.97 WHIP with 4 BB and 14 K in 9 2/3 innings

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Padres vs. Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 11:16 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Padres +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Dodgers -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-125) | Dodgers -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Padres vs. Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 6, Padres 5

Moneyline

The Dodgers (-190) took care of business in the opener, winning by 3 runs, but they’re turning to an import pitcher making his Major League debut in Game 2. It’s risky, as there just isn’t much of a sample size with Yamamoto. Truth be told, so far the sample size hasn’t been great in Cactus League play.

On the flip side, the Padres (+155) can’t be trusted with Musgrove, who struggled in 2 starts against the Dodgers in 2023. The light-hitting Padres really struggled to cobble together much offense on Wednesday.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The PADRES +1.5 (-125) aren’t priced out of line, if you’d like a little bit of a insurance, but don’t want to play San Diego straight up.

The Padres should be able to piece together a little more offense against the unproven Yamamoto, than they did against Wednesday starter RHP Tyler Glasnow and L.A. in the opener. We should see our 1st extra-base hits of the season, too.

Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (-115) is worth a look in Game 2, as we should see an uptick in offense, including the first extra-base hits of the season, and perhaps a home run or two.

We weren’t sure how the Gocheok Sky Dome would play, and it turned out it is a single haven as Glasnow and San Diego’s Wednesday starter RHP Yu Darvish each fared pretty well. We still saw 7 total runs, and an increase an offense is expected with lesser pitching on the bump Thursday.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Los Angeles Dodgers and the San Diego Padres open the 2024 Major League Baseball season in the Korea Series Wednesday morning in Seoul, South Korea. First pitch is scheduled for 6:05 a.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers won 2023 season series 9-4

This will be the 1st MLB regular-season game played on South Korean soil. The game takes place at the Gocheok Sky Dome in the capital city of Seoul, home of the Kiwoom Heroes of the Korean Baseball Organization (KBO). Former Dodgers and Padres major leaguer Chan Ho Park, the first Korean-born player in the majors, will be on hand to toss out the 1st pitch.

The Dodgers won the National League West with a 100-62 regular-season record, 16 games clear of the Arizona Diamondbacks. But Los Angeles ended up getting swept by the Snakes in the NLDS 3-0. The Padres were 2 games above .500 at 82-80 last season, 18 games back of the Dodgers. But there is a ton of excitement and expectations with the addition of DH Shohei Ohtani.

Padres manager Mike Shildt announced OF Jackson Merrill won the starting center field job. The 20-year-old, 1st-round pick in 2021 (27th overall) is expected to become just the 3rd player in the past 50 years to start in center field on Opening Day before turning 21 years old. The other 2 were Ken Griffey Jr. and Andruw Jones, so that’s quite an exclusive club.

Dodgers vs. Padres projected starters

RHP Tyler Glasnow vs. RHP Yu Darvish

Glasnow (10-7, 3.53 ERA) made 21 starts in 2023 with the Tampa Bay Rays. He had a 1.08 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 12.2 K/9 through 120 innings.

  • 2023 night game splits: Went 8-5 with a 3.62 ERA with 30 BB and 113 K across 87 IP in 15 starts
  • Hasn’t faced the Padres since July 1, 2018, when he was a member of the Pittsburgh Pirates. That appearance came in relief

Darvish (8-10, 4.56 ERA) made 24 starts in 2023. He posted a 1.30 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 136 1/3 innings.

  • 2023 night game splits: Went 7-7 with a 4.47 ERA with 29 BB and 97 K across 98 2/3 IP in 17 starts
  • 2023 splits vs. LAD: 1-0, 1.98 ERA across 13 2/3 IP in 2 starts with 1 BB and 10 K

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Dodgers vs. Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 5:34 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Padres +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (-120) | Padres +1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Dodgers vs. Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Padres 3

Moneyline

The Dodgers (-200) will cost 2 times the potential return. That’s a lot of risk in a game with a lot of unknowns.

One, we haven’t seen Glasnow start against the Padres in his career. Two, we haven’t seen the right-hander pitcher in a Dodgers uniform just yet. Three, we don’t know a lot about how the ball will jump off the bat at the Skydome in Seoul.

There is just too much risk and not enough reward. Still, while we know the Dodgers are, or at least should be, better than the Padres (+165), this is a PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The DODGERS -1.5 (-120) are a better play, with a little less risk, on the run line.

Glasnow, if he is 100 percent healthy, could be a tremendous addition to the Los Angeles rotation. Prior to his Tommy John surgery in August 2021 to repair a partial tear of the UCL and a flexor strain in his right arm, he was on a quick upward trajectory. He looked like one of the brightest stars in the game. Now, he has a high-octane offense backing him.

In 2023, Los Angeles won 9 of the 13 regular-season matchups with the Padres. The previous 8 victories for the Dodgers came by at least 2 runs. So if you like L.A., you should like it on the run line, too.

Over/Under

UNDER 9 (-120) is the lean, but go lightly. We don’t know a lot about how Gocheok Sky Dome is going to play out, but we do know Glasnow and Darvish have each been dealing in Cactus League spring starts.

We should see good pitching, at least early on. The 2nd game of this 2-game series (Thursday), features 2 starters who might be a little more giving.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball

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