Seattle Mariners at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Seattle Mariners at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Seattle Mariners (4-8) visit the Toronto Blue Jays (6-6) in the final game of a 3-game series Wednesday. First pitch from Rogers Centre is set for 3:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Blue Jays lead 2-0

The Blue Jays have won the 1st 2 games in the series by a 10-5 combined score after Tuesday’s 5-3 victory. Started by a 3-run 3rd inning, including a homer from SS Bo Bichette, Toronto jumped out to a 5-run lead by the end of the 4th. Toronto had 11 hits in the win.

All 3 of Seattle’s runs came via the long ball, including a 7th-inning solo blast from LF Dominic Canzone and a 2-run homer from RF Mitch Haniger in the 8th. The comeback fell short with the Mariners having 6 total hits in the loss.

Mariners at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Logan Gilbert vs. LHP Yusei Kikuchi

Gilbert (0-0, 3.55 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 0.87 WHIP, 1.42 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 in 12 2/3 innings.

  • Mariners are 1-1 in his starts this season (both non-decisions); he has allowed 5 ER and pitched at least 5 2/3 innings in both outings
  • Went 13-7 with a 3.73 ERA in 32 starts last season

Kikuchi (0-1, 2.79 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.55 WHIP, 4.66 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 in 9 2/3 innings.

  • Blue Jays are 1-1 in his starts this season; he has allowed 3 ER and pitched 5 1/3 scoreless innings in his last outing at New York Yankees Friday
  • Was with Mariners from 2019-21
  • Went 11-6 with a 3.86 ERA in 32 starts last season

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Mariners at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mariners -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Blue Jays -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+155) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Mariners at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 4, Mariners 3

Moneyline

BET BLUE JAYS (-110).

Expect the Blue Jays to complete the sweep Wednesday against a Mariners team that has lost 6 of its last 7 games. Seattle has scored 4 or fewer runs in 5 of its last 7 games while giving up at least 5 in 7 of its last 9.

Toronto has scored 5 or more runs in 3 of its last 4 games while giving up just 5 runs combined in the 1st 2 games of this series.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The value is better on the Blue Jays to win outright.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (+100).

The Under has hit in each of the 2 previous games in this series. The Mariners have scored 4 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 9 games, while the Blue Jays have scored 3 or fewer in 6 of their last 10.

With 2 top pitchers taking the mound Wednesday, expect both offenses to have a tough time scoring, allowing the Under to hit.

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Seattle Mariners at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Seattle Mariners at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Toronto Blue Jays (4-6) welcome the Seattle Mariners (4-6) to Rogers Centre Monday. First pitch to kick off the 3-game series is set for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; teams split 6 games last season

The Blue Jays lost 2 straight games against the New York Yankees after winning the opener on Friday. They lost 8-3 to close that series Sunday. Toronto has yet to play at home and sits last in the American League East. It is 5-5 against the spread (ATS) this season.

The Mariners have lost 4 of their last 5. They lost 2 of 3 to the Brewers in their last series, dropping the final game 12-4 Sunday. Seattle is 1-2 on the road and 3-7 ATS on the season. It sits 3rd in the American League West.

Mariners at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Luis Castillo vs. RHP Jose Berrios

Castillo (0-2, 6.75 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.78 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 10 2/3 IP.

  • Last outing: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 10 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 5-2 home loss to the Cleveland Guardians on April 2
  • Career vs. Blue Jays: 0-1, 3.27 ERA (11 IP, 4 ER), 13 H, 2 BB, 9 K

Berrios (1-0, 2.25 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 in 12 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 2 K in 2-1 road win over the Houston Astros on April 2
  • Career vs. Mariners: 3-2, 3.27 ERA (44 IP, 16 ER), 45 H, 9 BB, 45 K

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Mariners at Blue Jays odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:56 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mariners +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Blue Jays -118 (bet $118 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+158) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-192)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -118 | U: -104)

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Mariners at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 4, Mariners 3

Moneyline

BET BLUE JAYS (-118).

The Blue Jays were 43-38 at home a season ago, and they should get a boost with this being their home opener. Toronto has lost 2 in a row, but has scored 11 runs over its last 2 games.

Berrios has been terrific to start the season, and the Blue Jays have won 8-2 and 2-1 in his 2 starts. The Mariners have lost 4 of their last 5 and have allowed at least 5 runs in both games which Castillo started.

Considering those trends, take BLUE JAYS (-118).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There’s no value in taking the Mariners -1.5 (+158), who have been an underdog in all but 1 game, as a run-line favorite. Similarly, the Blue Jays +1.5 (-192) are too expensive on the run line to play here.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 8 (-104).

The Blue Jays might be 6-3 O/U on the season, but they have allowed just 3 runs in the 2 games that Berrios has started. They have also gone Under in 2 of their last 4 games.

While the opposite of that success can be said for Castillo, he is still among the premier pitchers in the game and should be able to figure things out. The Mariners are 5-4-1 O/U this season but have yet to score more than 5 in a game. They have scored 2 or fewer in 4 of their last 9.

Considering the trends for both pitchers, take UNDER 8 (-104).

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Seattle Mariners at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Seattle Mariners at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Seattle Mariners (11-16) and Toronto Blue Jays (18-9) meet in a Sunday matinee to close out a 3-game series at Rogers Centre. First pitch is slated for 1:37 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Toronto leads 2-0

Seattle has lost a pair of pitchers’ duels in this series, losing Friday 3-2 and  1-0 in 10 innings on Saturday. Seattle has lost 4 in a row. It has managed a total of just 2 runs in its last 3 games.

The Blue Jays’ pitching has been dialed in on a current 6-game win streak. Over that stretch, Toronto has logged a 0.82 ERA, 0.75 WHIP.

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Mariners at Blue Jays projected starters

LHP Marco Gonzales vs. RHP Chris Bassitt

Gonzales (2-0, 3.32 ERA) is tabbed for his 5th start this season. He owns a 1.25 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 21 2/3 IP.

  • Has a 2.70 ERA across 4 career starts vs. Toronto
  • Had a 4.13 ERA in 183 IP last season

Bassitt (3-2, 4.82 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has registered a 1.25 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 28 IP.

  • Figures to be monitored closely after keaving Monday’s game against the Chicago White Sox due to right lower back tightness
  • Had a 3.42 ERA across 181 2/3 IP last season
  • Current Mariners batters own an aggregate .889 OPS against him

Mariners at Blue Jays odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:54 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Mariners +146 (bet $100 to win $146) | Blue Jays -174 (bet $174 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners +1.5 (-134) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Mariners at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 5, Mariners 4

Moneyline

This is a bit of a hold-your-nose play because both starters are fade-worthy, but Seattle is the lean.

Bassitt has benefited from a .222 batting average on balls in play, and the Mariners have nice numbers against him. Toronto’s runs-and-runs-allowed (4.59-4.00) income can’t support its won-loss-record lifestyle.

A +155 would be a solid play on Seattle, and it might be worth waiting on a line move to see if that kind of leverage comes into view. Otherwise, PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The more competitive pricing for the leverage here is on the Run Line. Both teams have played a lot of 1-run affairs so far.

TAKE SEATTLE +1.5 (-134).

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Over/Under

The pitching here says Over on a more standard number. But with this total, no: the public is on to this one. PASS.

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Seattle Mariners at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Seattle Mariners at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Seattle Mariners (11-14) will begin a 3-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays (16-9) on Friday at Rogers Centre. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Mariners went 5-2 vs. Blue Jays in 2022

The Mariners lost 1-0 to the Philadelphia Phillies on the road Thursday. Seattle has lost 2 games in a row and 6 of its last 10 games.

The Blue Jays cruised to an 8-0 victory over the Chicago White Sox on Wednesday for its 4th straight win. Toronto outscored Chicago 20-2 in its 3-game sweep.

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Mariners at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Luis Castillo vs. RHP Alek Manoah

Castillo (2-0, 1.52 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 0.81 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 in 29 2/3 IP.

  • Has at least 5 K’s in every start
  • Has not allowed an ER in 3 of  his 5 starts

Manoah (1-1, 5.13 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.56 WHIP, 5.5 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 26 1/3 IP.

  • Hasn’t posted more than 5 K’s in any start
  • Has walked 2-plus batters in 4 of his 5 starts

Mariners at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:16 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mariners -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Blue Jays -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+155) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Mariners at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 5, Blue Jays 4

Moneyline

Even though they are the road team, I’ll back the MARINERS (-105) on Friday. Castillo has been much better than Manoah this season as Seattle has gone 4-1 in his starts thus far.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Despite having the Mariners securing the win on the road, I believe the Blue Jays will keep this game close enough to cover the spread. Taking the +1.5 spread in favor of Toronto (-190) isn’t advised.

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Over/Under

LEAN OVER 8.5 (-115).

While Castillo has been elite thus far, I envision the Blue Jays producing a couple of runs on the talented pitcher. On the other hand, Manoah has surrendered 3 runs or more in 3 of his 5 starts.

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AL Wild Card Series Game 2: Seattle Mariners at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Seattle Mariners at Toronto Blue Jays Game 2 odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Seattle Mariners square off against the Toronto Blue Jays in Game 2 of an AL Wild Card Series Saturday at Rogers Centre. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mariners vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Mariners lead the playoff series 1-0.

Seattle was able to jump out to a 1-0 lead in the playoff series against Toronto with a 4-0 win in the series opener Friday. RHP Luis Castillo logged 7 1/3 IP with 6 H, 0 ER, 0 BB and 5 K in Game 1. The Mariners have now won 4 straight games.

Toronto’s bats were unable to overcome the stellar pitching of Castillo on Friday and will try to avoid being eliminated Saturday.

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Mariners at Blue Jays projected starters

LHP Robbie Ray vs. RHP Kevin Gausman

Ray (12-12, 3.71 ERA) had a 1.19 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 through 189 IP across 32 regular-season starts.

  • Has been credited with a loss in 4 of his last 5 starts
  • July 9 vs. Blue Jays: 6 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 2 BB, 6 K

Gausman (12-10, 3.35 ERA) had a 1.24 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 through 174 2/3 IP through 31 regular-season starts.

  • The Blue Jays have won 7 of his last 9 starts
  • May 18 vs. Mariners: 5 IP, 7 H, 2 ER, 1 BB, 3 K

Mariners at Blue Jays odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:23 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mariners +133 (bet $100 to win $133) | Blue Jays -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners +1.5 (-155) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+122)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Mariners at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 4, Mariners 2

Moneyline

Taking the Blue Jays straight up isn’t advised with their odds reaching a point where the risk isn’t worth the return. Just PASS on the moneyline in this game unless you’re convinced that the Mariners can close out the series.

Run line/Against the spread

It was a rare game from the bats of the Blue Jays Friday as they failed to record a single run against the Mariners. Toronto hadn’t been shut out in a game since Sept. 15 against the Tampa Bay Rays, so I’m expecting them to bounce back Saturday.

Take BLUE JAYS -1.5 (+122) with Toronto desperate to avoid being eliminated from the postseason. Six of the 8 games between these teams this season were won by a multiple-run margin.

Over/Under

UNDER 7.5 RUNS (-125) appears to be the logical choice with both teams having solid pitchers on the mound. There have been fewer than 8 runs scored in 5 of the 8 meetings between the Mariners and the Blue Jays this season.

The Under is 7-1 in Toronto’s last 8 playoff games and it’s hit in each of the last 5 meetings between the Mariners and the Blue Jays at Rogers Centre.

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AL Wild Card Series Game 1: Seattle Mariners at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Seattle Mariners at Toronto Blue Jays Game 1 odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Seattle Mariners (90-72) and Toronto Blue Jays (92-70) begin the 2022 MLB postseason Friday, facing off in Game 1 of the AL Wild Card Series. First pitch at Rogers Centre is scheduled for 4:07 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mariners vs. Blue Jays Game 1 odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Mariners won 5-2

The Mariners ended their 21-year playoff drought and are looking to win their 6th consecutive game vs. the Blue Jays. Seattle won 34 one-run games to lead MLB in 1-run victories for a 2nd straight season. Seattle has the 8th-lowest team ERA at 3.59.

The Blue Jays ended the regular season with a 92-70 record, a 1-game improvement over 2021. Toronto enters the postseason tied with the St. Louis Cardinals for the 6th-best odds to win outright at +1500.

Blue Jays LF Lourdes Gurriel Jr. and All-Star 2B Santiago Espinal took BP and worked through infield drills Wednesday as they near return from injuries.

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Mariners at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Luis Castillo vs. RHP Alek Manoah

Castillo (8-6, 2.99 ERA) makes his 26th start of 2022. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 in 150 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win vs. the Oakland Athletics Saturday with 6 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 1 BB and 8 K
  • Only start vs. Toronto in 2022: Road loss May 20 with 6 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 0 BB and 5 K

Manoah (16-7, 2.24 ERA) makes his 32nd start of 2022. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 196 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win vs. the Boston Red Sox last Friday with 6 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 2 BB and 4 K
  • Has won 4 consecutive decisions
  • Only start vs. Seattle in 2022: Road loss July 9 with 7 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 4 BB and 7 K

Mariners at Blue Jays odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 9:26  p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mariners +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Blue Jays -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners +1.5 (-190) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -135 | U: +107)

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Mariners at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 5, Mariners 3

Moneyline

BET BLUE JAYS -150.

This line opened closer to -136 at most books and has moved toward the Blue Jays.

Manoah excels in high-pressure situations and should shine in his 1st playoff start, similar to how he won his 1st game in the majors as an underdog at the New York Yankees May 27, 2021.

Run line/Against the spread

BET BLUE JAYS -1.5 (+145).

Twelve of the Blue Jays’ last 13 wins have been by multiple runs and Toronto has covered the RL in 5 of Manoah’s last 6 starts. The Blue Jays should cover in front of a sold-out crowd in their 1st home playoff game since 2016.

Over/Under

BET OVER 6.5 (-135).

The Over is 4-0-1 in Seattle’s last 5 games and 4-0 in Toronto’s last 4 home games. Expect a high-scoring affair in the closed dome at Rogers Centre.

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Seattle Mariners at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Seattle Mariners at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Seattle Mariners (16-20) meet the Toronto Blue Jays (19-17) Tuesday for the second game of their 3-game series at the Rogers Centre. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mariners vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Toronto won the series opener 6-2 Monday thanks to a quality start by Blue Jays LHP, and former Mariner, Yusei Kikuchi pitched 6-scoreless innings with 1 H, 3 BB and 6 K.

Seattle has alternated between winning and losing over its last 9 games and is just 4-6 overall in its last 10 games. The Blue Jays have lost 7 of their last 10 games and have dropped 4 straight series.

Mariners at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Logan Gilbert vs. RHP Jose Berrios 

Gilbert is 4-1 with a 2.13 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 across 38 IP over 7 starts.

  • Last start: Loss, 4-2, vs. the Philadelphia Phillies Wednesday with 5 IP, 4 ER, 3 H, 1 HR, 3 BB and 9 K.
  • vs. Blue Jays on the current roster: 6.10 FIP with a .203/.304/.401 expected batting average (xBA), wOBA (xwOBA), slugging percentage (xSLG) slash line, 27.8 K% and 88.1 mph exit velocity (EV) in 18 plate appearances (PA).

Berrios is 2-2 with a 5.82 ERA, 1.56 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 over 34 IP across 7 starts.

  • Last start: Loss, 5-3, at the New York Yankees Wednesday with 5 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 5 H, 1 HR, 1 BB and 4 K.
  • vs. Mariners on the current roster: 1.95 FIP with a .230/.291/.287 xBA-xwOBA-xSLG slash line, 34.3 K% and 87.8 mph EV in 35 PA.

Mariners at Blue Jays odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:22 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Mariners +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Blue Jays -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners +1.5 (-170) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

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Mariners at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 5, Blue Jays 2

Money line

BET the MARINERS (+125) because they have an edge in both the starting and relief pitching matchup. The Blue Jays are also struggling at the plate recently and hit worse vs. right-handed pitching.

Gilbert is a young pitcher with nasty stuff who we are buying on a dip since he lost his previous outing, but the Mariners are 4-0 overall in Gilbert’s past four starts as an underdog.

Berrios, on the other hand, grades in the bottom 13th percentile in xBA-xwOBA-xSLG slash line, EV, K% and whiff rate, according to Statcast.

The Mariners’ bullpen is 5th in xFIP (3.43) and Toronto’s bullpen ranks 21st in xFIP (3.96), per FanGraphs.

The Blue Jays’ batters are 27th in wRC+ (82), 26th in both wOBA (.280) and WAR (0.5) over the last two weeks. Seattle’s lineup is 8th in wRC+ (114) and 9th in BB/K rate (0.42) whereas Toronto’s lineup ranks 15th in wRC+ (100) and tied for dead-last in BB/K rate (0.28) against righties.

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS because I’m confident enough in the Mariners +1.5 (-170) outright to not buy their expensive RL insurance even though the Blue Jays are 4-11 RL as home favorites.

Stick with Seattle’s ML.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-102) because the total has been lowered from an 8.5-run opener due to sharp line movement, the Mariners are 7-11 O/U as road underdogs and the Blue Jays are 7-8 O/U as home favorites.

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Seattle Mariners at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Seattle Mariners at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Seattle Mariners (42-39) and Toronto Blue Jays (41-37) play the finale of their three-game series at Sahlen Field in Buffalo, N.Y., Thursday at 1:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mariners vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Yusei Kikuchi is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners. He is 5-3 with a 3.34 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 9.1 K/9 and 3.1 BB/9 over 86 1/3 IP through 14 starts.

Kikuchi started slow but has put up an outstanding 2.44 ERA across his last 10 starts. In eight appearances on the road this year, he boasts a 2.89 ERA and 9.3 K/9.

LHP Hyun-Jin Ryu is the projected starting pitcher for the Blue Jays. He is 7-4 with a 3.41 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 7.2 K/9 and 1.9 BB/9 across 89 2/3 IP spanning 15 starts.

Ryu hasn’t been pitching very well lately, as he posted a 4.88 ERA and an extremely low 4.0 K/9 in his five June starts. After recording double-digit swinging strikes seven times in his first nine starts, he has generated more than seven swings and misses just once in his last six outings.

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Mariners at Blue Jays odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mariners +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Blue Jays -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mariners +1.5 (-115) | Blue Jays -1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Mariners 5, Blue Jays 4

Money line (ML)

Toronto has the edge on offense, as it’s fifth in wRC+ against lefties on the year, while Seattle checks in at 26th in the category. However, Kikuchi has been pitching far better than Ryu in recent weeks and gives the Mariners an excellent chance to come out on top.

Seattle has been playing very well lately, winning 11 of its last 15 games. The odds are certainly good enough here to wager on the M’s staying hot. Take the MARINERS (+155).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

During Kikuchi’s 10-start hot stretch, he has gone at least 6 innings in all but two outings and didn’t allow more than 3 ER in any of them.

Even if the Mariners don’t pull off the upset, they should keep it close throughout. Back the MARINERS +1.5 (-115).

Over/Under (O/U)

Even with Ryu struggling, the Seattle offense isn’t a great bet to have a huge day against him.

On the other side, the Toronto bats are likely to have a hard time getting much going against Kikuchi. Look for this total to sneak in UNDER 9.5 (-105).

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