AL Wild Card Series Game 1: Seattle Mariners at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Seattle Mariners at Toronto Blue Jays Game 1 odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Seattle Mariners (90-72) and Toronto Blue Jays (92-70) begin the 2022 MLB postseason Friday, facing off in Game 1 of the AL Wild Card Series. First pitch at Rogers Centre is scheduled for 4:07 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mariners vs. Blue Jays Game 1 odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Mariners won 5-2

The Mariners ended their 21-year playoff drought and are looking to win their 6th consecutive game vs. the Blue Jays. Seattle won 34 one-run games to lead MLB in 1-run victories for a 2nd straight season. Seattle has the 8th-lowest team ERA at 3.59.

The Blue Jays ended the regular season with a 92-70 record, a 1-game improvement over 2021. Toronto enters the postseason tied with the St. Louis Cardinals for the 6th-best odds to win outright at +1500.

Blue Jays LF Lourdes Gurriel Jr. and All-Star 2B Santiago Espinal took BP and worked through infield drills Wednesday as they near return from injuries.

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Mariners at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Luis Castillo vs. RHP Alek Manoah

Castillo (8-6, 2.99 ERA) makes his 26th start of 2022. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 in 150 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win vs. the Oakland Athletics Saturday with 6 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 1 BB and 8 K
  • Only start vs. Toronto in 2022: Road loss May 20 with 6 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 0 BB and 5 K

Manoah (16-7, 2.24 ERA) makes his 32nd start of 2022. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 196 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win vs. the Boston Red Sox last Friday with 6 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 2 BB and 4 K
  • Has won 4 consecutive decisions
  • Only start vs. Seattle in 2022: Road loss July 9 with 7 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 4 BB and 7 K

Mariners at Blue Jays odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 9:26  p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mariners +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Blue Jays -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners +1.5 (-190) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -135 | U: +107)

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Mariners at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 5, Mariners 3

Moneyline

BET BLUE JAYS -150.

This line opened closer to -136 at most books and has moved toward the Blue Jays.

Manoah excels in high-pressure situations and should shine in his 1st playoff start, similar to how he won his 1st game in the majors as an underdog at the New York Yankees May 27, 2021.

Run line/Against the spread

BET BLUE JAYS -1.5 (+145).

Twelve of the Blue Jays’ last 13 wins have been by multiple runs and Toronto has covered the RL in 5 of Manoah’s last 6 starts. The Blue Jays should cover in front of a sold-out crowd in their 1st home playoff game since 2016.

Over/Under

BET OVER 6.5 (-135).

The Over is 4-0-1 in Seattle’s last 5 games and 4-0 in Toronto’s last 4 home games. Expect a high-scoring affair in the closed dome at Rogers Centre.

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