Seattle Mariners at Miami Marlins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Seattle Mariners at Miami Marlins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Seattle Mariners (44-33) and Miami Marlins (25-49) meet Friday to open a 3-game series. First pitch from loanDepot Park is set for 7:10 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Seattle won 2-1 last season

Seattle was beaten 6-3 by the Cleveland Guardians on Thursday while failing to cover as a +102 road underdog. Seattle allowed the Guardians to score 4 unanswered after leading 3-2. The Mariners have lost back-to-back games and allowed at least 6 runs in both losses.

Miami won 4-3 over the St. Louis Cardinals Wednesday while covering as a +133 home underdog as 2B Otto Lopez hit the walk-off RBI single in the bottom of the 9th. The Marlins have won back-to-back games, each by 1 run.

Mariners at Marlins projected starters

RHP George Kirby vs. LHP Trevor Rogers

Kirby (6-5, 3.54 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.01 WHIP, 0.9 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 86 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 6 K in a 7-5 win over the Texas Rangers Saturday
  • Career vs. Miami: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (6 IP, 0 ER), 3 H, 0 BB, 10 K in 1 start

Rogers (1-8, 5.09 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.62 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 69 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 3 K in a 4-0 loss at the Washington Nationals Saturday
  • First career start vs. Seattle

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Mariners at Marlins odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 10:59 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mariners -164 (bet $164 to win $100) | Marlins +138 (bet $100 to win $138)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (-102) | Marlins +1.5 (-118)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mariners at Marlins picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 7, Marlins 3

Moneyline

BET MARINERS (-164).

Seattle is 7-3 in its last 10 games overall while the Mariners are only 3-7 in their last 10. The Mariners are also 3-1 in their last 4 matchups vs. the Marlins.

Be aware that the Mariners are only 17-21 on the road this season.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Neither team is a safe bet here as Miami is only 31-43 ATS this season while the Mariners are 36-41. Bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7.5 (-110).

The Over has hit in 2 of Miami’s last 3 overall and is 3-1 in Miami’s last 4 at home. For Seattle, the Over is 4-0 in its last 4 road games. The Over has also hit in 3 of the last 4 Seattle-Miami meetings, being 2-1 in the last 3 meetings in Miami.

This is your best bet for this game.

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Seattle Mariners at Miami Marlins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Seattle Mariners at Miami Marlins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Seattle Mariners (11-8) start a 3-game interleague series with the Miami Marlins (10-8) Friday at loanDepot park with the first pitch scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mariners vs. Marlins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The game is the first between the teams since the 2017 season and only the 16th meeting. Seattle leads the all-time series 8-7.

Seattle has won 7 of its last 10 games, but lost back-to-back games and its 3-game series at the Tampa Bay Rays.

Miami is on a 5-game winning streak, which includes a 2-1 series victory at the Atlanta Braves and a 3-game sweep of the Nationals in Washington.

Mariners at Marlins projected starters

RHP Matt Brash vs. RHP Elieser Hernandez

Brash (1-1, 4.20 ERA) earned a no-decision Saturday in Seattle’s 13-7 victory over the Kansas City Royals. He went 4 1/3 IP, allowing 3 ER, 5 H, 4 BB and 2 K.

Hernandez (1-1, 5.87 ERA) got a no-decision Saturday in Miami’s 9-7 loss at the Atlanta Braves, throwing 4 2/3 IP with 5 ER on 7 H, 0 BB and 4 K.

Mariners at Marlins odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:01 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Mariners -117 (bet $117 to win $100) | Marlins -103 (bet $103 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+145) | Marlins +1.5 (-180)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

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Mariners at Marlins picks and predictions

Prediction

Marlins 4, Mariners 2

Money line

GIMME the MARLINS (-103) because they just won 5 of their 6-game road swing and return home where Miami and its starter is much more comfortable.

Hernandez’s career home winning percentage (43.8%), ERA (3.60) and WHIP (1.15) are much better than his road marks of a 12.5% winning rate, 6.05 ERA and 1.46 WHIP. Also, loanDepot park is one of the more pitcher-friendly ballparks in the majors.

Brash is in his rookie season and at the end of Seattle’s rotation. He looked good in his major league debut versus the Chicago White Sox, but has shown command issues since.

Miami’s lineup has been productive and patient to start the year, ranking sixth in BB% (10.1%), 12th in wRC+ (108, MLB average: 100), and eighth in barrel rate (8.8%), according to FanGraphs.

Lastly, according to VegasInsider.com, there’s reverse line movement headed toward Miami in the betting market. Most of the action is on the Mariners (-117) but the house reduced Seattle’s ML price from -130 on the opener. It’s a red flag when sportsbooks make the more popular sides cheaper.

The MARLINS (-103) is my favorite wager in this game.

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS with a “lean” toward Miami’s alternate RL because it’s a chunky payout.

However, the Marlins are 17-22 RL as home favorites since the beginning of last season whereas the Mariners are an exceptional 48-27 RL as road underdogs over that span.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-122) because of Miami’s pitcher-friendly ballpark, the weather forecast that is predicting double-digit mph winds blowing in from left-centervfield and that this is a Pros vs. Joe’s scenario in the betting market for the total.

Roughly 70% of the cash is on the Under, hence it is more expensive, but more than 60% of the bets placed are on the Over. It’s wise to follow the money when it’s counter to the public since professional bettors put up more dough than your average Joe.

It’s only a LEAN to the UNDER 7.5 (-122) because both starters are back-of-the-rotation guys and both lineups have been solid to start 2022.

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