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The Seattle Mariners (25-21) and Baltimore Orioles (28-15) meet Sunday to wrap up a 3-game weekend series. First pitch at Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: 1-1
Seattle battled back to win 4-3 Saturday, cashing as (+125) road underdogs despite not registering a hit off Orioles SP Grayson Rodriguez until the 6th inning. Baltimore RPs Danny Coulombe and Yennier Cano each were tagged with 2 earned runs in relief, and SS Gunnar Henderson delivered his MLB leading 14th HR in the 9th inning. The Orioles trail the New York Yankees by 2 games in the AL East, while Seattle is a game and a half up on the Texas Rangers in the AL West.
The Mariners got the scoring started in the 7th inning as RF Mitch Haniger grounded out which scored 1B Luke Raley, and 3B Ty France tied the ballgame with an RBI double. Seattle doubled up their lead in the 8th inning as C Cal Raleigh and SS Dylan Moore drove in runs with RBI doubles.
Mariners at Orioles projected starters
RHP George Kirby vs. RHP Corbin Burnes
Kirby (4-3, 3.58 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 0.95 WHIP, 0.9 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 50 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 4-3 win over Kansas City last Monday
- The 26-year-old’s BB/9 is 2nd-lowest among all qualified pitchers in MLB behind only Tampa Bay’s Zach Eflin (0.6).
Burnes (3-2, 2.68 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.01 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 53 2/3 IP.
- Last start: ND, 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 3-2 loss in 10 innings against Toronto last Monday
- Orioles have scored just 1 run in the 29-year-old’s last 26 innings on the mound.
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Mariners at Orioles odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:34 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mariners +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Orioles -142 (bet $142 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners +1.5 (-184) | Orioles -1.5 (+152)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -122)
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Mariners at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Baltimore 3, Seattle 2
Moneyline
BET ORIOLES (-142).
Never feels comfortable recommending laying this much juice, but ultimately the Orioles are the better team offensively and pitching wise. If you believe the Mets will rebound after Saturday’s loss to Miami, pairing Baltimore ML along with New York (-154) pays out roughly +180.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
Seattle (-184) is too much juice for a run and a half.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 7.5 (-122).
Both Burnes and Kirby possess a soft contact percentage against of 23.1%, which is Top 8 amongst qualified pitchers. While the strikeout numbers for Burnes may be down, he has been satisfied with the ground ball outs he’s been inducing, and his GB% of 51.4% is 10th-highest.
Seattle manager Scott Servais called Kirby’s last start vs. KC a “vintage performance” and the Mariners righty added afterward that he liked to be “pissed off” when he pitches. Expect that same fire when these couple of playoff contenders meet Sunday afternoon in front of a solid crowd in Baltimore. Plus, with his reintroduced hard slider/cutter, perhaps the Orioles home run hitting ability will be kept in check.
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