Seattle Mariners betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets – Page 5

Seattle Mariners at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Seattle Mariners at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Seattle Mariners (19-16) and Minnesota Twins (20-14) play the 2nd game of a 4-game series at Target Field Tuesday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Twins lead 1-0

The Mariners dropped Monday’s opener 3-1. The series lid-lifter was a pitchers’ duel with just 7 total hits.

With Monday’s win, Minnesota bounced back after having a 12-game win streak snapped Sunday. The Twins are 13-1 with a robust .861 OPS since April 22.

Mariners at Twins projected starters

RHP Emerson Hancock vs. RHP Bailey Ober

Hancock (3-3, 4.75 ERA) is making his 7th start and 10th of his career. The 24-year-old has a 1.29 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 30 1/3 innings.

Last outing: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 4 K in 5-2 loss vs. Atlanta Braves Wednesday
Has never faced Twins before

Ober (3-1, 4.55 ERA) is lined up for his 7th start. He owns a 1.04 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 31 2/3 innings.

Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 10-5 win at Chicago White Sox Wednesday
Career vs. Mariners: 2-0, 4.20 ERA (15 IP, 7 ER), 12 H, 2 BB, 15 K in 3 starts

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Mariners at Twins odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: Mariners +122 (bet $100 to win $122) | Twins -144 (bet $144 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Mariners +1.5 (-164) | Twins -1.5 (+136)
Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Mariners at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 5, Twins 4

Moneyline

The Mariners took 2 of 3 from the Twins when these 2 clubs met at Target Field last season. Prior to Monday’s setback, Seattle had been 7-3 over its last 10 road games.

Albeit in a small sample size, current Seattle bats own an aggregate .846 OPS off Ober (ESPN). Both bullpens have been quite good through the 1st 6 weeks of the season, but Seattle’s is in better shape at the back end after Monday’s and recent-game usage.

BACK THE MARINERS (+122).

Run line/Against the spread

Would be interested in Seattle +1.5 at around -160. But PASS at the current tag.

Over/Under

Actual-vs.-expected offense produced would indicate more offense in the tank for both sides. The Twins have played a particularly tough slate of pitchers, so they are a continuing pick to click with the bats (and likely an auto Over lean in many upcoming games).

Both bullpens have top-10 ERAs. And both are in fade territory with overall expectations relative to those surface figures. And again, the back end of Minnesota’s pen is in potential fatigue mode.

TAKE THE OVER 8 (-112).

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Seattle Mariners at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Seattle Mariners at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Seattle Mariners (19-15) and Minnesota Twins (19-14) clash Monday as they swing into a 4-game series in Minneapolis. The opener at Target Field has a scheduled start time of 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: 1st meeting of 2024; Seattle took 4 of 7 games in 2023

Seattle is coming off taking 2 of 3 games at Houston over the weekend and is 7-3 with a tidy 2.02 ERA over its last 10 games.

The Twins lost to the Boston Red Sox 9-2 Sunday, snapping a 12-game win streak. Since April 22, Minnesota has smacked an .876 OPS while scoring 6.62 runs per game.

Mariners at Twins projected starters

RHP Luis Castillo vs. RHP Simeon Woods Richardson

Castillo (3-4, 3.46 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 in 41 2/3 innings.

Last outing: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 3-2 win vs. Atlanta Braves Tuesday
Career vs. Twins: 1-1, 5.63 ERA (24 IP, 15 ER), 28 H, 7 BB, 31 in 5 starts
Owns a 2.86 ERA, allowing a mere .416 OPS over his last 3 starts

Woods Richardson (1-0, 2.45 ERA) is tabbed for his 4th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 14 innings.

Last outing: No-decision, 3 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 6-5 win at Chicago White Sox Tuesday
Has never faced Mariners before
Owns a 4.07 ERA in 24 1/3 career IP

Mariners at Twins odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:43 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: Mariners -126 (bet $126 to win $100) | Twins +108 (bet $100 to win $108)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+136) | Twins +1.5 (-164)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: -102)

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Mariners at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 5, Twins 4

Moneyline

The Mariners took 2 of 3 from the Twins when these 2 clubs last met at Target Field. Seattle is 7-3 over its last 10 road games.

Castillo has pitched quite well of late after a dodgy start to his 2024 campaign. He thrives on 5 days of rest, which is his interval coming into this start. Castillo gives the visiting nine a significant mound edge in this match-up, and the Twins figure to be a couple games too far out over their skis with their record.

BACK THE MARINERS (-126).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS; the Seattle side above has better relative value.

Over/Under

The Over is 5-2 across the last 7 series meetings.

Castillio is still the preferred side of this pitching match-up, but the Twins bring a lot of lefty bats to the party, and that cuts into a Castillo weakness.

Both bullpens have top-10 ERAs. And both are in fade territory with overall expectations relative to those surface figures.

TAKE THE OVER 7.5 (-120).

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Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Seattle Mariners (18-15) and Houston Astros (12-21) wrap up a 3-game series at Minute Maid Park on Sunday. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Mariners won 5-0 Saturday behind RHP Logan Gilbert as moderate underdogs (+125) as the Under (7.5) cashed. Seattle has won 3 of the past 5 games, while going 12-5 since April 15. The Under is 10-0-1 in the past 11 games, while the total has gone low at a 20-2-1 clip in the past 23 outings.

The Astros had won 5 of 6 games prior to Saturday’s loss, as Houston had started to show signs of life after some uncharacteristic early-season struggles. The offense has picked up the pace, averaging 7.5 runs per game in 6 outings prior to Saturday’s shutout loss. The Under is still 13-2-1 in the past 16 outings, as the pitching he allowed 5 or fewer runs in 4 straight, and 8 of the past 9 outings.

Mariners at Astros projected starters

RHP Bryce Miller vs. RHP Hunter Brown

Miller (3-2, 2.04 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 0.88 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 35 1/3 IP.

Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 10 K in 2-1 home win vs. Atlanta Braves last Monday
2024 road splits: 1-1, 1.64 ERA, 11 IP, 2 ER, 7 H (2 HR), 5 BB, 12 K with .179 opponents’ batting average (OBA) and 1.09 WHIP in 2 starts

Brown (0-4, 9.78 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 2.22 WHIP, 5.5 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 23 IP.

Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 5 H (2 HR), 2 BB, 7 K in 10-9 home win in 10 innings vs. Houston Astros on Tuesday
2024 home splits: 0-1, 4.70 ERA, 15 1/3 IP, 9 R (8 ER), 14 H (3 HR), 7 BB, 15 K with .250 OBA and 1.37 WHIP in 3 starts

Mariners at Astros odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:08 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mariners +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Astros -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners +1.5 (-210) | Astros -1.5 (+155)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Mariners at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 5, Astros 3

Moneyline

The MARINERS (+100) are a solid play at even-money in this series finale.

It’s a simply reason to take Seattle — starting pitcher. Miller has been sharp all season, and a strong Braves offense was confounded trying to solve him last time out.

The Astros (-120) are favored despite the fact Brown is going for the home side. He has been atrocious this season, allowing 5 or more runs in 3 of his past 5 starts, while conceding 5 HR in the past 5 starts.

Run line/Against the spread

The Mariners +1.5 (-210) will cost you more than 2 times your potential return, which is way too much risk for not enough reward. If you like Seattle, play it straight up, especially behind one of its best pitchers.

PASS.

Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (-105) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.

The Under has dominated for both of these teams. The total has gone low in all 6 of Miller’s starts, too, while going an amazing 20-2-1 in the past 23 games.

For the Astros, the Under is actually 2-1 in Brown’s past 3 assignments, mainly due to a lack of offensive support. The opposition has scored 5 or more runs in each of his 6 starts to date.

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Atlanta Braves at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Atlanta Braves at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Atlanta Braves (19-9) and Seattle Mariners (17-13) wrap up a 3-game interleague series Wednesday at T-Mobile Park. First pitch is scheduled for 3:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 2-0

Seattle hung on for a 3-2 victory in the middle contest of the 3-game set, winning the series regardless of whoever takes Wednesday’s contest. M’s pitching has done a good job of keeping OF Ronald Acuna Jr. down, as he is just 1 for 8 with a single, 2 steals and 5 strikeouts in the series.

The Braves have been limited to just 3 runs in the 2 games, easily their lowest offensive production in consecutive outings this season. It’s the first time Atlanta has dropped back-to-back games, too, and the 1-3 mark in the past 4 games is also a season worst.

The Under has connected in 8 straight games for Atlanta, while the Under is on a 12-2 run in the past 14 outings, cashing in 5 straight on the road.

For the Mariners, they’ve racked up 5 wins in the past 6 games while cashing the Under in 7 consecutive outings. The Under is 12-1 in the past 13 games and 18-2 across the previous 20. The Under has hit in 12 of the previous 14 interleague battles, too.

Braves at Mariners projected starters

LHP Chris Sale vs. RHP Emerson Hancock

Sale (3-1, 3.69 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 0.92 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 31 2/3 innings.

Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 2 H (1 solo HR), 1 BB, 6 K (95 pitches) in 6-2 home victory vs. Cleveland Guardians Friday
2023 road splits: 0-1, 5.11 ERA, 12 1/3 IP, 7 ER, 11 H, 2 HR, 5 BB, 14 K, .244 opponents’ batting average (OBA) and 1.30 WHIP in 2 starts
Career vs. Mariners: 6-2, 2.65 ERA, 74 2/3 IP, 22 ER, 47 H (9 HR), 102 K in 10 starts and 2 relief appearances

Hancock (3-2, 5.06 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 in 26 2/3 innings.

Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 2 H (1 solo HR), 2 BB, 4 K in 6-1 home win vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Friday
2024 home splits: 2-1, 3.12 ERA, 17 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 10 H, 3 HR, 3 BB, 9 K, .175 OBA and 0.75 WHIP in 3 starts

Braves at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:46 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Braves -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Mariners +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+100) | Mariners +1.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +105 | U: -125)

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Braves at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 4, Mariners 3

Moneyline

The Braves (-175) are quite expensive in this matinee action in the Pacific Northwest.

Atlanta has plated just 3 runs in the first 2 games of the series, easily the team’s lowest of the season. In fact, it’s the first time the Braves have dropped back-to-back games. While Sale has dominated the Mariners (+145) in his career, playing Atlanta is a risky proposition, as Hancock has pitched well in 2024, particularly at home.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The MARINERS +1.5 (-120) aren’t priced out of line if you can’t trust Seattle straight up and would like a little insurance at a nice price.

The Mariners have found a way to get the job done on their home field in each of the first 2 games against the league’s best team. Seattle has been enjoying timely offense and outstanding pitching. In fact, the Mariners boast the league’s 2nd-best ERA at 3.03.

Over/Under

UNDER 7.5 (-125) is the way to go. As mentioned, the Mariners have a stellar 3.03 ERA, 2nd-best in the majors behind only the Boston Red Sox. The Atlanta Braves are 9th in the majors with an ERA of 3.57. Both of these teams have been Under machines lately, and with Sale and Hancock both spinning it well, we should have another low-scoring affair under the sun.

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Atlanta Braves at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Atlanta Braves at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Atlanta Braves (19-8) and Seattle Mariners (16-13) play the middle contest of a 3-game interleague series Tuesday at T-Mobile Park. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 1-0

Seattle picked up a 2-1 series opener win behind a walk-off 2-run HR from C Mitch Garver and an impressive start from RHP Bryce Miller, who allowed just 1 earned run in 7 innings in a game which easily cashed the Under (7).

The Braves tied a season low with the 1 run scored, as they also lost 5-1 in Miami against the Marlins April 13. The Under has cashed in 7 straight games for Atlanta. The Braves are on an 11-2 run to the Under in their past 13 games overall and a 4-0 run in their last 4 on the road.

The Mariners have won 4 of the past 5 games, and they’re also on an impressive Under run, as the total has gone low in 6 straight, 11 of the past 12, and 17 of the previous 19 contests. The Under is also 11-2 in the past 13 interleague games for Seattle.

Braves at Mariners projected starters

RHP Reynaldo Lopez vs. RHP Luis Castillo

Lopez (2-0, 0.72 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 0.88 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 25 innings.

Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 1 ER, 3 H (1 solo HR), 2 BB, 6 K (82 pitches) in 4-3 home victory in 10 innings vs. Miami Marlins last Wednesday
2023 road splits: 1-0, 0.75 ERA, 12 IP, 1 ER, 8 H, 0 HR, 3 BB, 12 K, .186 opponents’ batting average and 0.92 WHIP in 2 starts

Castillo (2-4, 4.15 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9 in 34 2/3 innings.

Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 4 H (2 solo HR), 2 BB, 6 K in 4-3 road win vs. Texas Rangers Thursday
2024 home splits: 0-3, 5.40 ERA, 16 2/3 IP, 11 R, 10 ER, 23 H, 3 HR, 3 BB, 21 K in 3 starts

Braves at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:42 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Braves -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Mariners +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+145) | Mariners +1.5 (-175)
Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Braves at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 5, Mariners 2

Moneyline

The BRAVES (-125) are a solid play to bounce back after Monday’s series opener loss.

Atlanta has been getting tremendous pitching from Lopez, who has fired out of the chute by posting All-Star caliber numbers in the first month of the season. On the flip side, Seattle hasn’t been getting the same kind of production from Castillo. Lately, the Mariners (+105) have seen the right-hander turn it around, but he has struggled mightily at home.

Run line/Against the spread

If you’re a little more adventurous, back the BRAVES -1.5 (+145) on the run line rather than playing the moneyline. Don’t do both.

It’s a little more risky, as Atlanta has won 3 of the past 5 games but only covered the run line in 1 of those 3 outings as the favorite, and the Braves are 0-2 in the past 2 tries on the road as run-line favorites. In addition, as well as Lopez has pitched, the Braves are 0-3 in his 3 starts on the run line when favored.

Over/Under

TOTAL 7 (O: -105 | U: -115) should be an AVOID play, as I expect the total number of runs to come right down on the number. If there was a lean, it would be low, based on Lopez’s solid production, but Castillo has been awful at home, too. The best bet is to take a PASS.

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Arizona Diamondbacks at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Arizona Diamondbacks (12-16) close out their 3-game road series against the Seattle Mariners (15-12) Sunday. First pitch from T-Mobile Park is at 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 2-0

The Diamondbacks lost their 3rd straight game and for the 4th time in their last 5 on Saturday, falling 3-1 to the Mariners. It was the 3rd straight game they scored only 1 run.

The Mariners have won 3 in a row and are 8-2 in their last 10 games. They have held opponents to 2 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 9.

Diamondbacks at Mariners projected starters

RHP Brandon Pfaadt vs. RHP Logan Gilbert

Pfaadt (1-1, 4.97 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 29 IP.

Last start: No decision, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 5-3 road loss to St. Louis on Monday
Arizona has lost his last 4 starts

Gilbert (2-0, 1.87 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 0.80 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 33 2/3 IP.

Last start: Win, 6 2/3 IP, 0 R, 2 H, 4 BB, 6 K in 4-0 road win over Texas in Tuesday
Has allowed 1 run or less in 4 of 5 starts

Diamondbacks at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:41 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Mariners -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-175) | Mariners -1.5 (+145)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Diamondbacks at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 4, Diamondbacks 2

Moneyline

The Diamondbacks have scored 3 runs in 3 games and are 1-10 in games in which they score 3 or fewer runs.

Opponents have scored more than 3 runs only once in Gilbert’s 5 starts. Seattle has won 8 of the 10 games and have allowed 3 or fewer runs in 11 of their last 12 games.

Betting Seattle on the moneyline isn’t a bad bet, but there is more money to be made on the run line.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Eleven of Seattle’s last 12 wins have been by at least 2 runs while the Diamondbacks’ last 7 losses and 10 of their last 11 losses have been by multiple runs.

BET MARINER -1.5 (+145).

Over/Under

Each of the first 2 games of the series had totals of 7 or fewer runs.

Seattle’s last 5 games and 9 of their last 10 have not reached 8 total runs and 4 of Gilbert’s 5 starts have not reached 8 total runs.

BET UNDER 7.5 (-115).

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Arizona Diamondbacks at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Arizona Diamondbacks (12-15) and Seattle Mariners (14-12) play the 2nd game of a 3-game series at T-Mobile Park Saturday. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 1-0

The Diamondbacks, who were -124 favorites, lost 6-1 in the series opener Friday with the Under (7.5) hitting in Seattle. Arizona has lost back-to-back games and 7 of 11.

RF Mitch Haniger hit a grand slam in the 6th inning for the Mariners, who cashed as +115 underdogs. Seattle has won 2 straight games and 8 of 10.

Diamondbacks at Mariners projected starters

RHP Slade Cecconi vs. RHP George Kirby

Cecconi (1-0, 3.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start. The rookie allowed 2 earned runs on 2 hits and 0 walks with 3 K’s in 5 1/3 innings in his season debut, a 5-3 road victory over the San Francisco Giants Sunday.

Career road stats: 1-0, 3.63 ERA (17 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 0.98 WHIP in 3 starts and 1 relief appearance
Has never faced Seattle before

Kirby (2-2, 5.33 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 1.1 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 25 1/3 innings.

Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 2-1 loss in 10 innings at Colorado Rockies Sunday
2024 home stats: 2-1, 5.51 ERA (16 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.16 WHIP in 3 starts
Has never faced Arizona before

Diamondbacks at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:40 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Mariners -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-165) | Mariners -1.5 (+140)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -130)

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Diamondbacks at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 5, Diamondbacks 2

Moneyline

The Mariners (-155) will likely win, but I prefer taking the plus odds on their run line.

PASS. Bet the run line and/or total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

While the Mariners have won 8 of their last 10 games straight up, they’ve also been blowing teams out. Ten of their last 11 victories have been by multiple runs, while Arizona’s last 6 losses have all been by 2 or more.

Kirby has allowed 2 or fewer runs in back-to-back starts. He should be able to keep the struggling Diamondbacks in check for 5+ innings while the Seattle offense goes to work against Arizona’s rookie starter.

BET MARINERS -1.5 (+140).

Over/Under

While Kirby has allowed 2 runs or fewer in 3 of his 5 starts this season, I do worry about Seattle’s offense putting up a lot of runs early against Ross. Arizona has scored a total of just 2 runs over its last 2 games, so I would lean Under in this spot; however, 7.5 is a little low for my liking.

LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-130).

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Arizona Diamondbacks at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Arizona Diamondbacks (12-14) and the Seattle Mariners (13-12) play Friday in the 1st of 3 games this weekend. First pitch at T-Mobile Park is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: 1st meeting; Seahawks won 2-1 last season

Arizona is onto their final series of a 10-game road trip, which began with a 5-0 loss at San Francisco April 18 and watched the D-back flip-flop wins and losses since, going 3-4. LF Lourdes Gurriel Jr. raised his batting average to .300 after going 10-for-24 (.417) over his last 5 games and is tied with 2B Ketel Marte for the team lead in HRs (5).

Seattle is in 1st place by a half game in the AL West after winning 7 of last 9, including 2 of 3 midweek at Texas in Arlington. After a slow start to the season, CF Julio Rodriguez has turned it up a notch at the plate with 6 multi-hit games in his last 8 games. Plus, his 7 SBs are tied for 3rd most in the AL.

Diamondbacks at Mariners projected starters

RHP Zac Gallen vs. LHP Emerson Hancock

Gallen (3-1, 3.00 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 in 27 innings.

Allowed season-high 5 ER on 9 H (2 HR), 1 BB in 5 IP in 7-3 loss at San Francisco Saturday in last start
Sports career 3.65 ERA on the road (340 1/3 IP, 138 ER) in 60 starts vs a 2.77 home ERA (354 IP, 109 ER) in 60 starts

Hancock (2-2, 6.10 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 1.3 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 in 20 2/3 innings.

Originally drafted by Arizona in 2017 out of high school in 38th round but did not sign
Had 11.42 ERA after first 2 starts of season but recorded back-to-back quality starts, including 1-run ball over 6 innings in last outing, a 10-2 win vs. Colorado Rockies at Coors Field Sunday

Diamondbacks at Mariners odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:37 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Mariners +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks -1.5 (+130) | Mariners +1.5 (-156)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Diamondbacks at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Arizona 4, Seattle 3

Moneyline

BET ARIZONA (-130).

Entering Friday, Seattle had the highest team K% in baseball (27.6%) and Gallen has at least 6 K’s in each of his last 4 starts. The Mariners have also hit the least number of doubles, and C Cal Raleigh who leads the team in HRs (6) may have cooled off offensively after having to undergo an emergency dental procedure Wednesday.

Run line

PASS.

Seattle +1.5 (-156) is the hotter team coming into this one, and it’s at home. My lean would be to take the run and a half if I had to make a play.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-115).

MLB Park Factor calculates T-Mobile Park to produce the least amount of runs per game. Plus, Hancock has pitched much better lately, so this could turn into a bit of a pitchers’ duel. Only 5 pitchers out of 121 who have gone at least 20 innings this year have a lower BB% than Hancock (3.3%), so it’s unlikely the D-backs will generate much traffic on the basepaths.

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Seattle Mariners at Texas Rangers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Seattle Mariners at Texas Rangers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Seattle Mariners (12-12) take on the Texas Rangers (13-12) Thursday in the finale of a 3-game set at Globe Life Field at 2:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Rangers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Mariners fell 5-1 Wednesday to even the series at 1. They scored their lone run in the 1st inning and couldn’t add on despite scattering 8 hits in the game. OF Julio Rodriguez has yet to find his power stroke. He’s hitting .266 with 1 HR and 10 RBIs on the young season after clubbing 32 HRs last year.

The Rangers are fighting with consistency as they sit 1 game over .500 after 15 games. They’re still atop of the division with Seattle just a half-game out as the AL West has beaten up on each other in the early going. OF Adolis Garcia powers the club with a .312 BA, 7 HR and 23 RBIs.

Mariners at Rangers projected starters

RHP Luis Castillo vs. LHP Andrew Heaney

Castillo (1-4, 4.40 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 11.3 K/9 in 28 2/3 IP.

Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 9 K Saturday against Colorado Rockies at Coors Field
3 career starts vs. Texas: 0-3, 4.91 ERA, 1.64 WHIP, 19 K in 14 2/3 IP
Current Rangers hitters have hit .323 in 71 plate appearances off Castillo

Heaney (0-2, 6.35 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 4.8 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 17 IP.

Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 5 K Friday against Atlanta Braves
Last 5 starts vs. Seattle: 1-2, 5.25 ERA, 1.46 WHIP, 27 K in 24 IP

Mariners at Rangers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mariners -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Rangers +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+140) | Rangers +1.5 (-165)
Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Mariners at Rangers picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 4, Rangers 3

Moneyline

One look at Castillo’s numbers and you begin to wonder if the 31-year-old is starting to decline. That’s not the case. He has been victimized by a .392 BABIP. His fastball velo is still 95.1 mph, and his xERA is 2.86 – a far cry from his actual ERA at 4.40. His barrel and exit-velocity numbers are in the midrange, so his season should come back around.

He was beyond filthy with 7 shutout IP at Coors Field last time out, and I look for him to keep that momentum rolling. Take the MARINERS -115.

Run line/Against the spread

I’m passing on the RL here because I’d like to see more value picking a road team to cover a -1.5.

I love LUIS CASTILLO OVER 5.5 K’S (+100). Texas doesn’t strike out a lot, but he had 9 K’s in his last 2 starts – including 9 in Coors Field.

Over/Under

Both games have rocked the Under 9, and I expect it to hit again. These teams are 3-6-1 O/U in their last 10 meetings. The Over is 2-8 in Seattle’s last 10 and 5-5 in Texas’ last 10. It’s expected to be 76 degrees with a 16-mph wind blowing toward the left-field foul pole.

Take the UNDER 9 (-120).

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Seattle Mariners at Texas Rangers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Seattle Mariners at Texas Rangers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Seattle Mariners (12-11) and Texas Rangers (12-12) play the 2nd game of a 3-game series at Globe Life Field Wednesday. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Rangers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 1-0

The Mariners won 4-0 as -114 favorites in the series opener Tuesday and the Under (9) hit. CF Julio Rodríguez hit his 1st HR of the year, and Seattle took over the top spot in the AL West, knocking Texas out of 1st place in the division for the 1st time this season.

The Rangers have lost 3 of their last 4 games and allowed 4 or more runs in 7 straight. A loss Wednesday would put Texas below .500 for the 1st time under manager Bruce Bochy, who was hired prior to the 2023 season.

Mariners at Rangers projected starters

RHP Bryce Miller vs. RHP Jon Gray

Miller (3-1, 1.85 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 0.82 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 24 1/3 innings.

Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 5-1 home victory vs. Cincinnati Reds April 17
2024 road stats: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (7 IP, 0 ER), 3 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 1 start, a 5-3 victory at Milwaukee Brewers April 6
Career vs. Rangers: 0-2, 17.55 ERA (6 2/3 IP, 13 ER), 2.55 WHIP in 2 starts last season

Gray (0-1, 3.15 ERA) makes his 5th start and 6th appearance. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 11.3 K/9 in 20 innings.

Last outing: 1 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 0 H, 0 BB, 4 K in relief appearance of 5-2 loss at Atlanta Braves Saturday
Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 R (1 ER), 3 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 4-2 loss at Detroit Tigers April 16
2024 home stats: 0-1, 4.38 ERA (12 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 1.78 WHIP in 3 starts
Career vs. Mariners: 3-2, 3.89 ERA (41 2/3 IP, 18 ER), 1.06 WHIP in 7 starts — won both starts vs. Seattle in 2023 (14 IP, 1 ER)

Mariners at Rangers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:18 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mariners +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Rangers -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+155) | Rangers +1.5 (-190)
Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Mariners at Rangers picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 4, Rangers 3

Moneyline

The MARINERS (+100) have won 6 of 7 and own the 6th-lowest team ERA this season at 3.33.

Miller allowed 6 or more earned runs in both of his starts against Texas last season, but the Rangers offense has fallen off of a cliff lately. Texas is 24th in MLB with a .251 batting average over the last 3 games, and the pitching has followed suit, ranking 24th in ERA (4.15) over that span.

BET MARINERS (+100).

Run line/Against the spread

The Rangers may be able to keep it close in a low-scoring game, but it’s hard to win long-term laying -190 on a team.

PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.

Over/Under

Seattle has been the best Under bet in MLB this season at 15-7-1 (68.2%). With the Rangers offense struggling of late, I see no reason to bet against one of the best pitching staffs in baseball.

BET UNDER 9 (-120).

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