Tag: Seattle Mariners betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Seattle Mariners (25-21) and Baltimore Orioles (28-15) meet Sunday to wrap up a 3-game weekend series. First pitch at Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: 1-1

Seattle battled back to win 4-3 Saturday, cashing as (+125) road underdogs despite not registering a hit off Orioles SP Grayson Rodriguez until the 6th inning. Baltimore RPs Danny Coulombe and Yennier Cano each were tagged with 2 earned runs in relief, and SS Gunnar Henderson delivered his MLB leading 14th HR in the 9th inning. The Orioles trail the New York Yankees by 2 games in the AL East, while Seattle is a game and a half up on the Texas Rangers in the AL West.

The Mariners got the scoring started in the 7th inning as RF Mitch Haniger grounded out which scored 1B Luke Raley, and 3B Ty France tied the ballgame with an RBI double. Seattle doubled up their lead in the 8th inning as C Cal Raleigh and SS Dylan Moore drove in runs with RBI doubles.

Mariners at Orioles projected starters

RHP George Kirby vs. RHP Corbin Burnes

Kirby (4-3, 3.58 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 0.95 WHIP, 0.9 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 50 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 4-3 win over Kansas City last Monday
  • The 26-year-old’s BB/9 is 2nd-lowest among all qualified pitchers in MLB behind only Tampa Bay’s Zach Eflin (0.6).

Burnes (3-2, 2.68 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.01 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 53 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: ND, 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 3-2 loss in 10 innings against Toronto last Monday
  • Orioles have scored just 1 run in the 29-year-old’s last 26 innings on the mound.

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Mariners at Orioles odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:34 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mariners +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Orioles -142 (bet $142 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners +1.5 (-184) | Orioles -1.5 (+152)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -122)

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Mariners at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Baltimore 3, Seattle 2

Moneyline

BET ORIOLES (-142).

Never feels comfortable recommending laying this much juice, but ultimately the Orioles are the better team offensively and pitching wise. If you believe the Mets will rebound after Saturday’s loss to Miami, pairing Baltimore ML along with New York (-154) pays out roughly +180.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Seattle (-184) is too much juice for a run and a half.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-122).

Both Burnes and Kirby possess a soft contact percentage against of 23.1%, which is Top 8 amongst qualified pitchers. While the strikeout numbers for Burnes may be down, he has been satisfied with the ground ball outs he’s been inducing, and his GB% of 51.4% is 10th-highest.

Seattle manager Scott Servais called Kirby’s last start vs. KC a “vintage performance” and the Mariners righty added afterward that he liked to be “pissed off” when he pitches. Expect that same fire when these couple of playoff contenders meet Sunday afternoon in front of a solid crowd in Baltimore. Plus, with his reintroduced hard slider/cutter, perhaps the Orioles home run hitting ability will be kept in check.

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Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Baltimore Orioles (28-14) welcome the Seattle Mariners (24-21) to Oriole Park at Camden Yards Saturday for the 2nd game of their 3-game series. First pitch is set for 4:05 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 1-0

The Mariners lost to the Orioles to open the series 9-2 Friday, failing to cover as run-line underdogs. They closed +117 on the moneyline. Seattle has won 3 of its last 5 games yet is just 6-8 over its last 14. The Mariners have struggled offensively, scoring just 2 runs in 2 of their last 3 games.

The Orioles have won 2 straight and 5 of their last 7. However, they are just 1-4 against the spread (ATS) in their last 5 games (23-19 ATS on the season). Baltimore is the 7th-best home team in MLB with a 16-9 record.

Mariners at Orioles projected starters

RHP Luis Castillo vs. TBD

Castillo (4-5, 3.31 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 through 54 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 8 K in an 8-4 home win over the Oakland A’s Friday
  • Career vs. Orioles: 1-0, 1.50 ERA (6 IP, 1 ER), 2 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 1 start
  • 2024 road splits: 2-2, 2.92 ERA (24 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 2 HR, .189 opponent batting average (OBA) in 4 starts

While the Orioles have yet to announce a starter, 30-year-old Cole Irvin seems on deck and could’ve started Friday. It was noted he didn’t start due to injury, so he’s a likely option for Baltimore.

  • Irvin 2024 home stats: 2-1, 3.22 ERA (22 1/3 IP, 8 ER), 1.12 WHIP in 4 starts

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Mariners at Orioles odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mariners -106 (bet $106 to win $100) | Orioles -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+158) | Orioles +1.5 (-192)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mariners at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Marines 5, Orioles 3

Moneyline

BET MARINERS (-106).

Castillo struggled to start the season, but he has been on fire over the last month. He has pitched 32 2/3 innings and has 6 ER. During that span, in his starts, the Mariners have road wins over the Rockies and Rangers and home wins over the Braves and A’s. Seattle is 4-1 over his last 5 starts.

It has also scored at least 4 runs in 3 of its last 5, so it has sustained some success offensively. The Orioles blasted the Mariners in the first game and are 16-11 after a win. Seattle is 13-7 after a loss. Considering those trends and Seattle’s pitching edge, take MARINERS (-106).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There’s no value here. The Mariners are too risky as run-line favorites, while the Orioles are far too expensive as run-line underdogs. Ultimately, the moneyline has the only team-specific value here.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 7.5 (-110).

Both teams have had success on the Over as of late. The Mariners are 8-2 O/U in their last 10 games and have scored at least 6 runs in 4 of those.

The Orioles have tallied at least 7 in 3 of their last 9 and are 5-4 O/U in that span. Baltimore is 21-17-3 O/U on the season. The recent trends point to the Over, so back OVER 7.5 (-110).

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Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Seattle Mariners (24-20) and Baltimore Orioles (27-14) meet Friday  to kick off a 3-game weekend series in the Charm City. First pitch at Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Orioles won 4 of 6 games last season

The Orioles avoided a sweep for the 105th series in a row Wednesday afternoon, as C Adley Rutschman delivered a walk-off HR against the Toronto Blue Jays in a 3-2 win. The O’s are 1 game back of the New York Yankees for 1st place in the AL East.

The Mariners are 1.5 games ahead of Texas for 1st place in the AL West after winning 4 out of their last 6 games, most recently defeating the Kansas City Royals 4-2 on Wednesday. C Cal Raleigh has 4 HRs in his last 11 games, reaching base in all but 2 of those games.

Diamondbacks at Orioles projected starters

RHP Bryce Miller vs. LHP Cole Irvin

Miller (3-3, 2.66 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 0.95 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 47 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 9 K in 8-1 loss against the Oakland Athletics last Saturday
  • Only Astros SP Ronel Blanco, who is currently serving a 10-game suspension for using a banned substance, has a lower batting average against (.173) than Miller among AL qualified pitchers

Irvin (4-1, 2.90 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 in 40 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 4-2 win over the Arizona Diamondbacks last Friday
  • Sports the lowest swinging strike percentage (6.8%) among 51 AL pitcher with at least 40 IP

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Mariners at Orioles odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:03 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mariners +114 (bet $100 to win $114) | Orioles -134 (bet $134 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners +1.5 (-194) | Orioles -1.5 (+160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Mariners at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Baltimore 4, Seattle 3

Moneyline

BET ORIOLES (-134).

The Orioles have hit the most HRs (64) in MLB, and Miller has surrendered 4 homers total in his last 4 starts. For the 1st time in his career, Rutschman has 4 dingers over the course of 3 games, and he’s surrounded in the O’s lineup by heavy hitters such as 3B Jordan Westburg, 1B Ryan Mountcastle and SS Gunnar Henderson.

I foresee Irvin pitching effectively enough multiple times through the Mariners lineup, giving way to a bullpen that features 6 arms that sport a 3.00 ERA or lower.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Too much juice to lay on Seattle (-194) getting a run and a half. If you are into building parlays, including the Yankees ML (-290) at home against the lowly White Sox with Mariners +1.5 pays out between even money and +105.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-105).

Irvin may not be generating a lot of swinging strikes, but expect the focus to be on getting outs, not blowing away the Seattle hitters. Entering Friday, the Mariners are tied for the 4th-lowest on-base percentage (.302) vs. LHP in the AL. Plus, Henderson is 0 for his last 11, so with the 2023 AL Rookie of the Year in the midst of a slump I would not anticipate a plethora of runs for Baltimore either.

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Kansas City Royals at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Kansas City Royals at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Kansas City Royals (25-17) and Seattle Mariners (22-19) open a 3-game series Monday. First pitch from T-Mobile Park is set for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Seattle won 6-1 last season

Kansas City beat the Los Angeles Angels 4-2, covering as a +101 road underdog Sunday. The Royals never trailed as they scored all 4 of their runs in the 4th inning for a 4-0 lead. RHP Seth Lugo picked up the win, pitching 8 innings of 1-run ball on 5 hits and no walks while striking out 12. Kansas City took 3 of 4 in the series, only dropping the Saturday contest.

Seattle routed the Oakland Athletics 8-4 Sunday, covering as a -203 home favorite in the rubber match of a 3-game set. The Mariners jumped out to a 5-0 lead after the 2nd. From there, keeping the lead was easy behind RHP Luis Castillo, who pitched 6 innings and allowed 2 earned runs on 7 hits and 0 walks with 8 K’s. It was a nice bounceback victory after losing Saturday 8-1.

Royals at Mariners projected starters

RHP Brady Singer vs. RHP George Kirby

Singer (3-1, 2.36 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.01 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 through 45 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 6-4 home win vs. Milwaukee Brewers Wednesday
  • Career vs. Mariners: 1-1, 2.88 ERA (25 IP, 8 ER), 19 H, 7 BB, 28 K across 4 starts and 1 relief appearance

Kirby (3-3, 4.15 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 1.0 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 through 43 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 4 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 6-3 road loss at Minnesota Twins Wednesday
  • Career vs. Royals: 0-0, 6.00 ERA (6 IP, 4 ER), 8 H, 0 BB, 2 K in 1 start last season

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Royals at Mariners odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:50 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals +124 (bet $100 to win $124) | Mariners -146 (bet $146 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-178) | Mariners -1.5 (+146)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -106 | U: -114)

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Royals at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 6, Royals 5

Moneyline

LEAN SEATTLE (-146). 

Seattle has won 2 of its last 3 games and is 13-9 at home this season. The Mariners have also won 6 consecutive games against Kansas City and are 7-3 in the last 10 head-to-head matchups dating back to 2022.

This is only a lean because the Mariners are 2-2 in their last 4 home games, while the Royals are 3-1 in their last 4 road games.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS. 

I fully expect the Royals to cover here as +1.5 (-178) underdogs, but the line is set too heavily to risk betting on. Back the moneyline and/or total instead.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7 (-106). 

The Over has hit in 6 consecutive games for Seattle and is 3-0-1 in its last 4 home games. For Kansas City, the Over is 4-2 in its last 6 games. The Over has also hit in 8 of the last 10 Kansas City-Seattle matchups.

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Oakland A’s at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Oakland A’s at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Oakland A’s (19-22) and Seattle Mariners (21-19) wrap up a 3-game set at T-Mobile Park Sunday. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the A’s vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The A’s are coming off an 8-1 win as +209 underdogs vs. the Mariners Saturday with the Over (8) hitting. CF JJ Bleday hit a 2-run HR in the 9th inning, and rookie RHP Joey Estes earned his 1st MLB win.

The Mariners have lost 6 of 9, with the offense scoring 3 runs or fewer in each setback. Seattle’s closing line Saturday (-232) was the most it had been favored by all season.

A’s at Mariners projected starters

LHP Alex Wood vs. RHP Luis Castillo

Wood (1-2, 5.30 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.74 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 37 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 4-2 home loss vs. Texas Rangers Monday
  • Career vs. Mariners: 0-2, 3.38 ERA (8 IP, 3 ER), 1.38 WHIP in 1 start and 1 relief appearance — last faced them in 2014

Castillo (3-5, 3.35 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 48 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 2/3 IP, 2 ER (3 R), 2 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 3-1 defeat at Minnesota Twins Monday
  • Career vs. A’s: 3-2, 3.45 ERA (28 2/3 IP, 11 ER), 1.19 WHIP in 5 starts, including 2-0 with a 1.38 ERA (13 IP, 2 ER) in 2 starts last season

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A’s at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): A’s +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Mariners -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): A’s +1.5 (-110) | Mariners -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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A’s at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 6, A’s 3

Moneyline

Seattle (-250) is favored by -200 or more for a 2nd straight game. The Mariners were blown out Saturday, but it’s unlikely that the market would be this wrong about them in back-to-back games. However, I can’t recommend risking $250 to win $100 on the ML.

PASS. Bet the run line and/or total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

Seattle has struggled to score runs recently, but it should they should get to the lefty early. Wood has allowed 4 or more earned runs in 3 of his 8 starts and has only pitched more than 5 innings twice all season. The Mariners have a good shot at returning the favor Sunday after getting routed as -232 home favorites.

BET MARINERS -1.5 (-110).

Over/Under

The Over has hit in 5 straight Mariners games, and that’s where we’re leaning with this pitching matchup. However, while Oakland has scored 8 or more runs in 4 of its last 5 games, it may come down to Earth against Castillo, who has allowed 2 or fewer earned runs in 5 straight starts.

LEAN OVER 7.5 (-105).

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Oakland A’s at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Oakland A’s at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Seattle Mariners (20-18) welcome the Oakland A’s (18-21) to T-Mobile Park Friday to kick off their 3-game series. First pitch is set for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the A’s vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2024; Mariners took 12 of 13 last season

The Mariners lost at the Minnesota Twins 11-1 Thursday, closing as +102 underdogs. They have lost 2 in a row and 5 of their last 8. Seattle is 11-8 straight up (SU) at home, 9-10 against the spread (ATS) at home and 18-20 ATS overall.

The A’s wrapped up a 10-game homestand Wednesday, going 6-4 concluding with a doubleheader split vs. the Texas Rangers. They won the first 5 games of the stand but went 1-4 in the final 5 games. They won Wednesday’s opener 9-4 as slight +104 underdogs and lost the nightcap 12-11 as +130 dogs — covering the run line in both games. Oakland is 8-8 SU and 10-6 ATS on the road, while going 22-17 ATS on the season.

A’s at Mariners projected starters

RHP Paul Blackburn vs. RHP Bryan Woo

Blackburn (3-1, 3.00 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.02 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 through 42 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 20-4 home rout of Miami Marlins Saturday
  • 2024 road splits: 1-1, 5.63 ERA (16 IP, 10 ER), 15 H, 4 HR, 1 BB, 14 K in 3 starts
  • Career vs. Mariners: 2-4, 4.91 ERA (40 1/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.39 WHIP, 6.0 K/9 in 8 starts, including 0-1 (5 IP, 2 ER) in 1 start last season

Woo (4-5, 4.21 ERA in 2023) makes his 1st start. He had a 1.21 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 through 87 2/3 IP in 18 starts last season, which was his rookie campaign.

  • Career home splits: 2-2, 3.31 ERA (35 1/3 IP, 13 ER), 1.10 WHIP, 11.5 K/9 in 7 starts
  • Career vs. A’s: 2-0, 0.00 ERA (11 IP, 0 ER), 1.00 WHIP, 6 H, 5 BB, 11 K in 2 starts

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A’s at Mariners odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:31 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): A’s +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Mariners -154 (bet $154 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): A’s +1.5 (-170) | Mariners -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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A’s at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 5, A’s 4

Moneyline

LEAN MARINERS (-154).

The Mariners have played well at home recently, beating the Braves in 2 of 3 and the Diamondbacks in 2 of 3 in their last homestand. They swept the Reds in 3 in the home series prior.

The A’s, after snapping a 6-game winning streak in early May, have lost 4 of their last 5 games. They have allowed at least 4 runs in Blackburn’s last 3 starts. For a small unit, take MARINERS (-154).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Mariners -1.5 (+140) are too risky as a run-line favorites. As mentioned, they’re 9-10 ATS at home and 18-20 ATS overall.

The A’s +1.5 (-170) are too expensive to take as underdogs, especially having struggled to cover as of late.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7.5 (-105).

The A’s have gone Over in Blackburn’s last 2 starts and have topped the projected total in 3 straight games and in 5 of their last 6. Oakland has scored at least 8 runs in 3 straight games as well.

The Mariners might be 11-25-2 O/U on the season but have gone Over in 3 straight games, allowing at least 6 runs in each of those contests. Woo could have some rust as well, making his 1st start of the season.

Seattle has scored 14 runs over its last 3 games, so its offense has been solid as well.

Back OVER 7.5 (-105).

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Seattle Mariners at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Seattle Mariners at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Seattle Mariners (20-17) and Minnesota Twins (21-15) meet Thursday as they put a bow on a 4-game series in Minneapolis. The opening pitch in the Target Field matinee is slated for 1:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Twins lead 2-1

Seattle is closing out a 7-game road trip. The Mariners are 9-9 across 18 road games this season.

Minnesota hit 3 HRs in Wednesday 6-3 triumph that saw the Twins lead wire-to-wire. Minnesota has 15 extra-base hits in this series and has slugged a .502 since April 22.

Mariners at Twins projected starters

RHP Logan Gilbert vs. RHP Pablo Lopez

Gilbert (3-0, 1.69 ERA) is making his 8th start. He has a 0.79 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 48 IP.

  • Last outing: Win, 8 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 4 BB, 6 K in 5-0 win at Houston Astros Saturday
  • Career vs. Twins: 2-0, 1.69 ERA (16 IP, 3 ER), 14 H, 3 BB, 18 K
  • Has held current Twins batters to an aggregate .624 OPS
  • Owns a 3.07 ERA on the road since 2022

Lopez (3-2, 4.30 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 37 2/3 IP.

  • Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 3-1 win vs. Boston Red Sox Saturday
  • Career vs. Mariners: 0-1, 3.00 ERA (12 IP, 4 ER), 12 H, 3 BB, 15 K

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Mariners at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:22 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Mariners +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Twins -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Mariners +1.5 (-210) | Twins -1.5 (+170)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Mariners at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 5, Twins 3

Moneyline

The starters have some fade and play to their numbers when looking at actual-vs.-expected analytics. Its an equation favoring Lopez, who also in past match-ups with current Seattle batters has held them to a .584 OPS.

The Seattle bullpen has a 2.64 ERA, which ranks 3rd in MLB. But that figure has been propped up by a .250 batting average on balls in play.

The Mariners have been a swing-and-miss bunch against right-handers. The Twins’ run scoring and prevention so far (4.67 runs per game, 4.28 RPG allowed) is mostly supportable when looking an underlying indicators.

BACK THE TWINS (-125).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS: Better relative value can be found on the ML.

Over/Under

The Over is 2-1 in this series and 4-1 across the last 5 Seattle-Minnesota meetings.

The Twins have an .858 OPS over their last 16 games, and it’s a lean into those numbers that produces just the slightest OVER 7 (+100) lean on a day with a decent breeze expected to help the pitchers.

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Seattle Mariners at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Seattle Mariners at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Seattle Mariners (20-16) visit the Minnesota Twins (20-15) on Wednesday night. First pitch from Target Field is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Mariners beat the Twins 10-6 on Tuesday to cover as +147 road underdogs as 5 Seattle players had at least 1 RBI, led by C Cal Raleigh‘s grand slam.

Minnesota failed to cover as a -160 home favorite in Tuesday’s loss. C Ryan Jeffers had a 3-run HR while RHP Jorge Alcala allowed 4 ER in 2 IP and took the loss.

Mariners at Twins projected starters

RHP George Kirby vs. RHP Chris Paddack

Kirby (3-2, 3.76 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 0.94 BB/9 and 9.63 K/9 in 38 1/3 IP.

  • Mariners 3-4 in his 7 starts
  • Has allowed 2 or fewer ER in each of his last 4 starts.
  • Has given up 16 ER and 2 HR with 4 BB and 41 K

Paddack (3-1, 4.78 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.47 WHIP, 1.97 BB/9 and 7.59 K/9 in 32 IP.

  • Twins are 5-1 in his 6 starts
  • Has not allowed an earned run in 2 of his last 3 starts.
  • Has allowed 17 ER and 5 HR with 7 BB and 27 K

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Mariners at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:06 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mariners -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Twins -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+150) | Twins +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Mariners at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 4, Mariners 3

Moneyline

BET TWINS (-105).

Minnesota is 8-2 in its last 10 games and has won 3 of its last 5 at home. It has scored 5 or more runs in 6 of its last 10 games while allowing 5 or fewer runs in 8 of its last 10. Seattle has dropped 2 of its last 4 on the road and has scored 3 or fewer runs in 7 of its last 9.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There is no value on the run line.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-115).

Seattle has failed to hit the Over in 9 of its last 10 games and has scored 3 or fewer runs in 7 of its last 9 games while allowing 3 or fewer runs in 7 of its last 10. Minnesota has hit the Under in 3 of its last 5 and has scored 3 or fewer runs in 3 of its last 4 games.

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Seattle Mariners at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Seattle Mariners at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Seattle Mariners (19-16) and Minnesota Twins (20-14) play the 2nd game of a 4-game series at Target Field Tuesday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Twins lead 1-0

The Mariners dropped Monday’s opener 3-1. The series lid-lifter was a pitchers’ duel with just 7 total hits.

With Monday’s win, Minnesota bounced back after having a 12-game win streak snapped Sunday. The Twins are 13-1 with a robust .861 OPS since April 22.

Mariners at Twins projected starters

RHP Emerson Hancock vs. RHP Bailey Ober

Hancock (3-3, 4.75 ERA) is making his 7th start and 10th of his career. The 24-year-old has a 1.29 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 30 1/3 innings.

  • Last outing: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 4 K in 5-2 loss vs. Atlanta Braves Wednesday
  • Has never faced Twins before

Ober (3-1, 4.55 ERA) is lined up for his 7th start. He owns a 1.04 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 31 2/3 innings.

  • Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 10-5 win at Chicago White Sox Wednesday
  • Career vs. Mariners: 2-0, 4.20 ERA (15 IP, 7 ER), 12 H, 2 BB, 15 K in 3 starts

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Mariners at Twins odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Mariners +122 (bet $100 to win $122) | Twins -144 (bet $144 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Mariners +1.5 (-164) | Twins -1.5 (+136)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Mariners at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 5, Twins 4

Moneyline

The Mariners took 2 of 3 from the Twins when these 2 clubs met at Target Field last season. Prior to Monday’s setback, Seattle had been 7-3 over its last 10 road games.

Albeit in a small sample size, current Seattle bats own an aggregate .846 OPS off Ober (ESPN). Both bullpens have been quite good through the 1st 6 weeks of the season, but Seattle’s is in better shape at the back end after Monday’s and recent-game usage.

BACK THE MARINERS (+122).

Run line/Against the spread

Would be interested in Seattle +1.5 at around -160. But PASS at the current tag.

Over/Under

Actual-vs.-expected offense produced would indicate more offense in the tank for both sides. The Twins have played a particularly tough slate of pitchers, so they are a continuing pick to click with the bats (and likely an auto Over lean in many upcoming games).

Both bullpens have top-10 ERAs. And both are in fade territory with overall expectations relative to those surface figures. And again, the back end of Minnesota’s pen is in potential fatigue mode.

TAKE THE OVER 8 (-112).

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Seattle Mariners at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Seattle Mariners at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Seattle Mariners (19-15) and Minnesota Twins (19-14) clash Monday as they swing into a 4-game series in Minneapolis. The opener at Target Field has a scheduled start time of 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: 1st meeting of 2024; Seattle took 4 of 7 games in 2023

Seattle is coming off taking 2 of 3 games at Houston over the weekend and is 7-3 with a tidy 2.02 ERA over its last 10 games.

The Twins lost to the Boston Red Sox 9-2 Sunday, snapping a 12-game win streak. Since April 22, Minnesota has smacked an .876 OPS while scoring 6.62 runs per game.

Mariners at Twins projected starters

RHP Luis Castillo vs. RHP Simeon Woods Richardson

Castillo (3-4, 3.46 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 in 41 2/3 innings.

  • Last outing: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 3-2 win vs. Atlanta Braves Tuesday
  • Career vs. Twins: 1-1, 5.63 ERA (24 IP, 15 ER), 28 H, 7 BB, 31 in 5 starts
  • Owns a 2.86 ERA, allowing a mere .416 OPS over his last 3 starts

Woods Richardson (1-0, 2.45 ERA) is tabbed for his 4th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 14 innings.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 3 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 6-5 win at Chicago White Sox Tuesday
  • Has never faced Mariners before
  • Owns a 4.07 ERA in 24 1/3 career IP

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Mariners at Twins odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:43 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Mariners -126 (bet $126 to win $100) | Twins +108 (bet $100 to win $108)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+136) | Twins +1.5 (-164)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: -102)

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Mariners at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 5, Twins 4

Moneyline

The Mariners took 2 of 3 from the Twins when these 2 clubs last met at Target Field. Seattle is 7-3 over its last 10 road games.

Castillo has pitched quite well of late after a dodgy start to his 2024 campaign. He thrives on 5 days of rest, which is his interval coming into this start. Castillo gives the visiting nine a significant mound edge in this match-up, and the Twins figure to be a couple games too far out over their skis with their record.

BACK THE MARINERS (-126).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS; the Seattle side above has better relative value.

Over/Under

The Over is 5-2 across the last 7 series meetings.

Castillio is still the preferred side of this pitching match-up, but the Twins bring a lot of lefty bats to the party, and that cuts into a Castillo weakness.

Actual-vs.-expected offense produced would indicate more offense in the tank for both sides. The Twins have played a particularly tough slate of pitchers, so they are a continuing pick to click with the bats (and likely an auto Over lean in many upcoming games).

Both bullpens have top-10 ERAs. And both are in fade territory with overall expectations relative to those surface figures.

TAKE THE OVER 7.5 (-120).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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