LAFC (9 wins, 6 losses, 5 draws) welcomes the San Jose Earthquakes (7-7-7) to BMO Stadium Saturday. Kickoff is set for 10:30 p.m. ET. Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the LAFC vs. San Jose Earthquakes odds, and make our best expert MLS picks and predictions.
LAFC comes into this game following a 2-1 road loss to the LA Galaxy. It has lost 3 straight games, including a 2-0 loss to FC Dallas on the road and 3-2 loss to Vancouver at home. LAFC is a strong 6-2-2 at home. It is led by F Denis Bouanga, who has 11 goals in 18 matches (16 starts). LAFC has averaged 1.45 goals per game and allowed 1.15 per game so far this season.
San Jose drew the LA Galaxy 2-2 last weekend. Before that, it lost 2-1 to St. Louis and 4-1 to Houston. It hasn’t won a game since June 10, a 2-1 home win over the Philadelphia Union. The Earthquakes are led by F Cristian Espinoza, who has 9 goals in 21 starts. They are just 1-6-3 on the road this season and sit 6th in the Western Conference.
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LAFC vs. San Jose Earthquakes odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:30 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: LAFC -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | San Jose Earthquakes +525 (bet $100 to win $525) | Draw +375
- Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +115 | U: -165)
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LAFC vs. San Jose Earthquakes picks and predictions
Prediction
LAFC 3, San Jose 1
Moneyline (ML)
PASS.
Neither team has necessarily been performing well as of late, and how LAFC has played at home and San Jose on the road, the odds here are justified. However, taking LAFC (-225) has no value as the price isn’t worth the risk.
Given its struggles as of late, considering the DRAW (+375) as a way to capitalize on LAFC’s struggles mixed with San Jose’s ability to play up to its opponent’s level (having drawn 2 of its last 4) would make sense.
Nonetheless, I would PASS here and play the total.
Over/Under (O/U)
BET OVER 3.5 (+115).
LAFC has thrived on the back of a competent defense, but that has gone by the wayside. It has allowed 2 or more goals in 3 straight games. Its offense has also started to surge, scoring in 4 of its last 5 and scoring multiple goals in 2 of those 5. LAFC has had at least 1.0 expected goals in 5 straight games and has allowed at least 1.0 expected goals in 4 of its last 5.
San Jose has struggled offensively this season, but it has scored in 3 straight games and has scored in all but 4 games this season. The Earthquakes have also given up 8 goals in their last 3 games, having allowed at least 1.5 expected goals in 6 of their last 7.
Many signs point to goals being scored. Back the OVER 3.5 (+115).
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