Tag: San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals odds predictions pick betting line spread

Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (42-46) visit the San Francisco Giants (56-32) Sunday at Oracle Park to finish their three-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

San Francisco is going for the sweep after raking Washington 10-4 Saturday and chasing Nationals starting LHP Jon Lester in the 3rd inning by scoring 8 runs (3 earned) on 9 hits and 2 walks.

Season series: Giants lead 4-2.

RHP Erick Fedde is Washington’s projected starter. Fedde is 4-5 with a 4.53 ERA (59 2/3 IP, 30 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 over 12 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 7-4, with 4 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 1 BB and 2 K Tuesday at the San Diego Padres.
  • Fedde earned a win June 12 against San Francisco with a stat line of 5 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 0 BB and 7 K in Washington’s 2-0 victory.
  • vs. Giants on the current roster: 34 at-bats with a .206/.206/.294 slash line, 9/0 K/BB, 1 HR and 2 RBIs.

RHP Kevin Gausman makes his 18th start for the Giants. Gausman is 8-3 with a 1.74 ERA (108 2/3 IP, 21 ER), 0.80 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Loss, 5-3, with 7 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB and 8 K Monday vs. the St. Louis Cardinals.
  • Gausman was the losing pitcher in Fedde’s victory over the Giants back on June 12 with a stat line of 4 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB and 4 K.
  • vs. Nationals on the current roster: 144 at-bats with a .292/.333/.479 slash line, 30/9 K/BB, 6 HR and 22 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Nationals at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:26 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Giants -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals +1.5 (-115) | Giants -1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Giants 5, Nationals 1

Money line (ML)

BET the GIANTS (-210) for 1 unit because Gausman has been the second-best National League pitcher through the first half of the season and the Nationals are limping into the All-Star break as losers in eight of their last 10 games.

One of the two earned runs allowed by Gausman against the Giants earlier this season was a solo home run from Nationals OF Kyle Schwarber who had a red-hot June but is currently on the IL.

Furthermore, I like betting on heavy favorites with low totals because if the House is anticipating a lower-scoring affair then there’s a solid chance that the better side scores more of the few runs projected.

Remember, regular-season MLB betting is a grind so don’t go outside of your comfort zone with this bet. If your standard unit is $100 then risk that on the GIANTS (-210) to hopefully scoop a $48 profit.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

“LEAN” to the GIANTS -1.5 (-105) because although I’d prefer to play it safe and lay -210 with San Francisco’s money line there’s certainly a case to be made for the run line.

The Giants have the second-highest cover rate at home this season with a 25-17 ATS record while the Nationals are just 19-23 ATS on the road.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Under 8 (-105) since the presumed “sharp” money is on the Under whereas the “public” is backing the Over. Washington is 3-8-1 O/U in Fedde starts this season and the Under cashed in nine straight Giants-Nationals meetings prior to Saturday’s Over.

However, I have a hunch the Giants bats could rake Fedde in this matchup and I much prefer the San Francisco sides more than the total in this one.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

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Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (55-32) host the Washington Nationals (42-45) Saturday for the second game of their three-game set at Oracle Park. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

San Francisco won the first game of the series Friday, 5-3, with C Curt Casali filling in nicely for C Buster Posey by hitting 3-for-4 with a home run, a double and 2 RBIs.

Season series: Giants lead 3-2.

LHP Jon Lester is Washington’s projected starter. Lester is 2-3 with a 5.34 ERA (60 2/3 IP, 36 ER), 1.63 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 across 13 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 3 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 4 BB and 2 K in Washington’s 7-5 victory at the San Diego Padres Monday.
  • vs. Giants on the current roster: 161 at-bats with a .242/.313/.447 slash line, 42/14 K/BB, 8 HR and 19 RBIs.

RHP Anthony DeSclafani makes his 18th start for the Giants. DeSclafani is 9-3 with a 2.84 ERA (101 1/3 IP, 32 ER), 1.02 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Win, 5-2, with 8 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 2 BB and 7 K Sunday at the Arizona Diamondbacks.
  • vs. Nationals on the current roster: 159 at-bats with a .239/.288/.377 slash line, 39/9 K/BB, 5 HR and 14 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Nationals at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Giants -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals +1.5 (-115) | Giants -1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Giants 6, Nationals 2

Money line (ML)

When you look under the hood of DeSclafani’s home numbers you’ll see that he’s pitched much better than his basic numbers indicate and he’s due for a solid home outing.

For instance, DeSclafani has a 4.24 ERA at home and a 2.14 ERA on the road this season, but DeSclafani’s xFIP, K-BB% and home run per nine innings rate are all better in San Francisco.

However, DeSclafani’s .289 home BAbip (.212 BAbip on the road) and 62.1% left-on-base percentage at home (91.1% LOB% on the road) show he’s just been unlucky in San Francisco.

The opposite is true with Lester’s home/road splits as his pitching peripherals in away games are far worse than at home. In fact, Lester has an 8.53 FIP on the road and a minus-1 K-BB%.

What I’m getting at is the GIANTS (-200) is a fair price that I’d put 1 unit on. As in, if your standard unit is $100 then I’d wager that on the GIANTS (-200) to hopefully earn a $50 profit.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

“LEAN” to the GIANTS -1.5 (-105) for a half unit because we are paying a steep enough price for San Francisco’s money line.

That being said, the Giants have a winning ATS record at home, and as a home favorite, while the Nationals have a sub-.500 ATS record as road underdogs.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS even though Lester’s road splits are awful and Washington’s bullpen is nothing to brag about because San Francisco’s IL is far too lengthy for me to have a lot of confidence in the offense.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (42-44) visit the San Francisco Giants (54-32) Friday to start a three-game set at Oracle Park. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 2-2.

RHP Paolo Espino is on the rubber for the Nationals. Espino is 2-2 with a 2.48 ERA (40 IP, 11 ER), 0.93 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 across four starts and 15 relief appearances.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 4 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 3 BB and 2 K in Washington’s 5-3 loss to the Los Angeles Dodgers Saturday.
  • 2021 road splits: 0-0 with a 3.65 ERA (12 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 0.97 WHIP and 5.0 K/BB rate across 10 bullpen outings.

RHP Logan Webb is San Francisco’s starter. Webb is 4-3 with a 3.86 ERA (49 IP, 21 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 over nine starts and one bullpen outing.

  • Last outing: Win, 11-6, with 5 IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 0 BB and 7 K at the Los Angeles Dodgers May 29. Webb is making his first start since coming off the IL with a right shoulder strain.
  • 2021 home splits: 2-0 with a 1.89 ERA (19 IP, 4 ER), 1.11 WHIP and 3.6 K/BB rate over three starts and one relief appearance.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Nationals at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:20 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Giants -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals +1.5 (-155) | Giants -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Giants 8, Nationals 5

Money line (ML)

GIMME the GIANTS (-150) for 1 unit because Webb has way better stuff than Espino and the Nationals’ 9-8 loss in their series finale against the San Diego Padres Thursday was so terrible it could carry into Friday.

Washington was up 8-0 against San Diego All-Star Yu Darvish heading into the bottom of the 4th inning, with All-Star Max Scherzer on the bump, before Scherzer gave up 7 earned runs and the Padres ended finishing the job on the Nationals’ bullpen. I’d argue that kind of loss has a carry-over effect.

Furthermore, Webb’s pitching peripherals are far better than Espino’s. Webb grades in the 74th percentile or better in hard-hit rate, exit velocity, expected wOBA, chase rate and expected slugging percentage.

On the other side, Espino grades in the 25th percentile or worse in hard-hit rate, exit velocity, expected slugging percentage, whiff rate and barrel rate.

Also, Washington’s lineup should easier for Webb to navigate since Nationals slugger Kyle Schwarber is currently on the IL and Schwarber was one of the hottest batters in the majors before suffering a “significant hamstring strain” last weekend.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Slight “LEAN” to the GIANTS -1.5 (+125) a quarter unit because San Francisco has the second-highest cover rate at home (23-17 ATS) and Washington’s bullpen is mediocre to below-average.

Moreover, the Nationals’ relievers are a bit overworked since Scherzer didn’t make it out of the 4th inning Thursday and Espino isn’t an “innings eater” as he averages just two innings pitched per outing.

I expect the Giants to extend whatever lead they get against Espino on Washington’s bullpen and five of San Francisco’s seven wins during Webb outings have been by at least two runs.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 8.5 (-115) for a quarter unit – if at all – since the market is backing the Over more so than the Under.

However, I much prefer the San Francisco sides, especially the Giants money line, then the total in this game.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

San Francisco Giants at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s San Francisco Giants at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (39-23) and Washington Nationals (25-34) meet Saturday at 2:05 p.m. ET for the first game of a double-dip at Nationals Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Kevin Gausman is the projected Game 1 starting pitcher for the Giants. Gausman is 7-0 with a 1.27 ERA, 0.76 WHIP, 10.8 K/9, and 1.9 BB/9 in 77 2/3 IP over 12 starts.

Over his last 5 starts, the veteran righty has logged just 1.1 BB/9 against 12.9 K/9. During that stretch, he’s posted a tidy 0.28 ERA.

RHP Erick Fedde takes the mound for the Nationals. He is 3-4 with a 4.35 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 8.2 K/9, and 4.1 BB/9 in 39 1/3 IP over 8 starts.

Fedde has been on the COVID-19 Injured List and hasn’t made a Major League start since May 16. He did make a rehab start for Single-A Wilmington on June 5.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Giants at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:06 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Giants -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Nationals +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Giants -1.5 (+120) | Nationals +1.5 (-145)
  • Over/Under: 6 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Giants 4, Nationals 3

Money line (ML)

This four-game series was to have started Thursday night but that contest was postponed due to rain. The Giants then defeated the Nationals, 1-0, on Friday night. The Saturday doubleheader will be comprised of two 7-inning games.

With the win in the opener, San Francisco has won nine of its last 12 games, and this pitching matchup is very much in the Giants’ favor. Fedde coming off the IL and having six days off since his rehab stint is problematic for Nats’ bettors. Over his career, he’s coughed up an .836 OPS when starting on long rest.

BACK THE GIANTS (-160). 

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the pricey run line action. Stick with the ML play in the 7-frame game environment.

Over/Under (O/U)

The Giants’ offense has been tremendous on the road (.756 OPS heading into the series); the Nats look to be under-performing on their quality of contact and are a decent play to pick up the pace with the bats. With this contest being the first of two on the day, bullpen management also figures to expose some lesser arms if things swing a few runs one way or the other.

BACK THE OVER 6 (-110).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

San Francisco Giants at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s San Francisco Giants at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (39-23) and Washington Nationals (25-34) meet Saturday at 2:05 p.m. ET for the first game of a double-dip at Nationals Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Kevin Gausman is the projected Game 1 starting pitcher for the Giants. Gausman is 7-0 with a 1.27 ERA, 0.76 WHIP, 10.8 K/9, and 1.9 BB/9 in 77 2/3 IP over 12 starts.

Over his last 5 starts, the veteran righty has logged just 1.1 BB/9 against 12.9 K/9. During that stretch, he’s posted a tidy 0.28 ERA.

RHP Erick Fedde takes the mound for the Nationals. He is 3-4 with a 4.35 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 8.2 K/9, and 4.1 BB/9 in 39 1/3 IP over 8 starts.

Fedde has been on the COVID-19 Injured List and hasn’t made a Major League start since May 16. He did make a rehab start for Single-A Wilmington on June 5.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Giants at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:06 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Giants -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Nationals +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Giants -1.5 (+120) | Nationals +1.5 (-145)
  • Over/Under: 6 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Giants 4, Nationals 3

Money line (ML)

This four-game series was to have started Thursday night but that contest was postponed due to rain. The Giants then defeated the Nationals, 1-0, on Friday night. The Saturday doubleheader will be comprised of two 7-inning games.

With the win in the opener, San Francisco has won nine of its last 12 games, and this pitching matchup is very much in the Giants’ favor. Fedde coming off the IL and having six days off since his rehab stint is problematic for Nats’ bettors. Over his career, he’s coughed up an .836 OPS when starting on long rest.

BACK THE GIANTS (-160). 

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the pricey run line action. Stick with the ML play in the 7-frame game environment.

Over/Under (O/U)

The Giants’ offense has been tremendous on the road (.756 OPS heading into the series); the Nats look to be under-performing on their quality of contact and are a decent play to pick up the pace with the bats. With this contest being the first of two on the day, bullpen management also figures to expose some lesser arms if things swing a few runs one way or the other.

BACK THE OVER 6 (-110).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

San Francisco Giants at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s San Francisco Giants at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (38-23) and Washington Nationals (25-33) meet Friday at 7:05 p.m. ET for the delayed start of a four-game series at Nationals Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Anthony DeSclafani makes his 13th start for the Giants. DeSclafani is 5-2 with a 3.51 ERA , 1.11 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 66 2/3 IP.

Increases in walks and fly balls have led to the veteran right-hander posting a 9.45 ERA over his last 3 starts. Recent-vintage DeSclafani has been a solid pitcher on the road, owning a 3.62 ERA in his last 144 1/3 road innings.

RHP Max Scherzer takes the mound for the Nationals. Scherzer is 5-4 with a 2.22 ERA, 0.82 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 12.2 K/9 in 77 IP across 12 starts.

He has picked up 28 K just 3 BB over his last 3 starts. Four current San Francisco bats have faced Scherzer before and own a .604 OPS against him.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Giants at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:57 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Giants +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Nationals -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Giants +1.5 (-145) | Nationals -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Nationals 5, Giants 3

Money line (ML)

This series was to have started Thursday night but that contest was postponed due to rain. The series now includes a Saturday doubleheader, so that figures to affect bullpen use in this game.

San Francisco comes in having won seven of its last 10 games. Washington is back in its home environment after a 4-5 road swing.

PASS on the ML, and look for better profit margins elsewhere.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

TAKE WASHINGTON -1.5 (+120). The Scherzer upside/DeSclafani downside combo is likely enough and provides enough margin to make for some run-line value on the Nationals. The Washington bullpen has posted improved analytics over recent weeks.

Over/Under (O/U)

BACK THE OVER 7.5 (-110). Both starters are toting around low batting-average-on-balls-in-play figures with DeSclafani owning a .251 and Scherzer’s .242 coming in even lower. The Giants’ offense has been tremendous on the road (.756 OPS); the Nats look to be under-performing on their quality of contact and are a decent play to pick up the pace with the bats. Also, mix in the possibility of a take-one-for-the-team effort (to save pitching for Saturday) for a long reliever if the game goes sideways either way.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

San Francisco Giants at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s San Francisco Giants at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (38-23) visit the nation’s capital Thursday to start a four-game series with the Washington Nationals (25-33) at Nationals Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

San Francisco just split a two-game mini interleague series at the Texas Rangers after losing 4-3 in extra innings Wednesday, but the Giants have won seven of their last 10 games.

Washington wrapped up a nine-game road swing by also splitting a two-game mini interleague series with the Tampa Bay Rays thanks to a 9-7 extra-innings win Wednesday. The Nationals were 4-5 on their road trip.

Season series: 0-0.

RHP Anthony DeSclafani makes his 13th start for the Giants. DeSclafani is 5-2 with a 3.51 ERA (66 2/3 IP, 26 ER), 1.11 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Win, 7-2, in 6 IP with 2 ER, 4 H, 0 BB and 4 K vs. the Chicago Cubs last Thursday.
  • vs. Nationals on the current roster: 124 at-bats with a .266/.321/.435 slash line, 30/8 K/BB, 5 HR and 13 RBIs.

RHP Max Scherzer takes the mound for the Nationals. Scherzer is 5-4 with a 2.22 ERA (77 IP, 19 ER), 0.82 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 12.2 K/9 across 12 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 2-1, in 7 2/3 IP with 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB and 9 K Friday at the Philadelphia Phillies.
  • vs. Giants on the current roster: 100 at-bats with a .170/.215/.390 slash line, 36/6 K/BB, 4 HR and 11 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Giants at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Giants +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Nationals -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Giants +1.5 (-140) | Nationals -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

Prediction

Nationals 7, Giants 2

Money line (ML)

PASS because we are a little late to the party and the price on the Nationals (-190) is too rich for my blood. The game opened at Washington (-164) on most books but has been steamed up to the current number.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

BET the NATIONALS -0.5 (-145) FIRST 5 INNINGS for 1 unit since Washington has an overwhelming edge in starting pitching matchup and Nationals hitters three through six have an .871 OPS or better vs. DeSclafani.

Also, I’d argue DeSclafani’s basic pitching numbers are a little flukey as indicated by his .251 BAbip while he is grading in the 18th percentile in hard-hit rate and 33rd percentile in exit velocity.

Furthermore, DeSclafani’s 9% meatball rate is the highest of his career. To put that in perspective the Philadelphia Phillies pitching staff leads the majors in meatball rate at 7.9%.

The reason why I’m focusing on Washington’s First 5 Innings line is that the Nationals -1.5 (+115) isn’t fat enough and Washington’s bullpen has a worse xFIP and SIERA despite San Francisco’s bullpen ranking 28th in WAR.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS with a slight “lean” on the Over 7.5 (+100) since both bullpens are taxed from playing extra-inning games Wednesday and if either starter can’t eat up a lot of innings then these lineups could both do damage in the late game.

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