Tag: San Francisco Giants vs. New York Mets odds predictions pick betting line spread

San Francisco Giants at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s San Francisco Giants at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Francisco Giants (27-26) welcome the New York Mets (21-30) to Citi Field Sunday for the finae of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 1:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Giants lead 4-1

The Mets lost 7-2 Saturday and 8-7 Saturday, closing as a -144 and -140 favorite in each. They have now lost 5 in a row, going 1-4 against the spread (ATS). New York is 2-10 over its last 12 games. It is 23-28 ATS this season.

The Giants have won 4 straight games and have covered in each. Having won 8 of their last 9 games, the Giants sit 2nd in the NL West. San Francisco has struggled on the road and is just 12-16 away from home this season.

Giants at Mets projected starters

RHP Logan Webb vs. LHP Sean Manaea

Webb (4-4, 3.03 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 65 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 6 K in a 7-6 road loss to the Pittsburgh Pirates Tuesday
  • 2024 road splits: 1-3, 5.34 ERA (30 1/3 IP, 18 ER), 40 H, 2 HR, 11 BB, 30 K in 6 starts
  • Career vs. Mets: 3-1, 1.73 ERA (26 IP, 5 ER), 0.77 WHIP, 12.1 K/9 in 5 starts

Manaea (3-1, 3.11 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 46 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 7-3 road win over the Miami Marlins Sunday
  • 2024 home splits: 0-1, 3.48 ERA (20 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 17 H, 1 HR, 10 BB, 21 K in 4 starts
  • Career vs. Giants: 3-3, 2.78 ERA (64 2/3 IP, 20 ER), 1.14 WHIP, 7.4 K/9 in 12 starts

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Giants at Mets odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:04 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Giants -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Mets +102 (bet $100 to win $102)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants -1.5 (+130) | Mets +1.5 (-156)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -106 | U: -114)

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Giants at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 5, Giants 4

Moneyline

BET METS (+102).

The Mets may be struggling as a team, but they have been almost unbeatable with Manaea on the mound, having won 5 of his last 6 starts.

While the Giants have performed well as of late, San Fran hasn’t been good as a road favorite and is just 4-6 on the season. Considering those trends, back METS (+102).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There’s not a lot of value in either option here. The Mets +1.5 (-156) are too expensive as a run-line underdog while the Giants -1.5 (+130) are too risky, especially given Manaea’s recent success, as a run-line favorite.

Avoid a run line play.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 7.5 (-106).

The Mets have allowed at least 6 runs in 4 straight games and have scored at least 6 runs in 2 of those. They have gone Over in 8 of their last 10 and 8-1-1 O/U in the stretch. New York is 27-23-1 O/U on the season.

The Giants have gone Over in 5 straight games and have topped the total in 10 of their last 12 games. The bats for both teams have been hot. Expect that to continue and take OVER 7.5 (-106).

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San Francisco Giants at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s San Francisco Giants at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Francisco Giants (46-37) and New York Mets (37-46) meet on Sunday Night Baseball for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch from Citi Field is set for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 3-3

San Francisco lost 4-1 on Saturday as +130 road underdogs while the Mets were -141 home favorites. The Mets scored 3 runs in the 3rd inning on 3 solo HRs to back SP Justin Verlander (7 IP, 0 ER, 6 K).

With Saturday’s loss the Giants have now lost 3 of their last 4 and sit at 5-5 in their last 10 games. New York’s win broke a 3-game losing streak and they are 3-7 in their last 10. San Francisco is 23-18 on the road while the Mets are 19-19 at home on the year.

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Giants at Mets projected starters

RHP Ross Stripling vs. LHP David Peterson

Stripling (0-2, 6.88 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.56 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 35 1/3 innings.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 3 K in a 6-1 road loss Wednesday vs. Toronto Blue Jays
  • Career vs. New York: 0-0, 4.09 ERA (11 IP, 5 ER), 15 H, 9 K, 1.55 ERA in 4 appearances (2 starts)

Peterson (2-6, 7.00 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.69 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 10 K/9 in 45 innings.

  • Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 5 K in a 7-2 home win Wednesday vs. Milwaukee Brewers
  • Career vs. San Francisco: 1-1, 7.36 ERA (11 IP, 9 ER), 10 H, 14 K, 1.09 WHIP in 2 starts

Giants at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:42 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Giants -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Mets -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants -1.5 (+155) | Mets +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Giants at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Giants 3, Mets 1

Moneyline

LEAN GIANTS (-105). 

The Giants are hotter overall and are a better road team than the Mets are a home team. San Francisco is 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter and 5-2 in the last 7 Giants-Mets meetings overall.

Run line/Against the spread

GIANTS -1.5 (+155).

I fully expect the Giants to cover this bet and at plus-money it’s worth taking a shot.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 9 (-110). 

For San Francisco the Under is 5-0-1 in their last 6 overall and 4-0-1 in their last 5 road games. The Under for the Mets is 4-0-2 in their last 6 overall and 4-0-3 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record, per covers.com.

The Under is also 6-2-3 in the last 11 meetings overall and 5-2-2 in the last 9 meetings in New York, per covers.com.

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San Francisco Giants at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s San Francisco Giants at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Francisco Giants (45-36) and New York Mets (36-45) meet Friday to kick off a 3-game series. First pitch from Citi Field is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 2-2

San Francisco lost 2-1 as +140 road underdogs Thursday vs. the Toronto Blue Jays, losing the series 2-1. The Giants have now dropped back-to-back games after winning 3 straight. They are 7-2 in their last 9 road games and 22-17 on the road this season.

The Mets lost 3-2 as -187 home favorites Thursday vs. the Milwaukee Brewers, losing the series 3-1. The Mets have also dropped back-to-back games and are 1-4 in their last 5 games and 3-7 in their last 10. New York is  at 18-18 at home.

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Giants at Mets projected starters

RHP Alex Cobb vs. RHP Carlos Carrasco

Cobb (5-2, 3.09 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 78 2/3 innings.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 4 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 5 K in a 11-3 road win on June 13 vs. St. Louis Cardinals
  • Career vs. New York: 1-2, 5.87 ERA (23 IP, 15 ER), 25 H, 4 BB, 24 K in 4 starts

Carrasco (2-3, 6.19 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.56 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 in 48 innings.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 4 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 5 K in a 4-2 road win Sunday vs. Philadelphia Phillies
  • Career vs. San Francisco: 1-2, 2.86 ERA (34 2/3 IP, 11 ER), 24 H, 3 BB, 28 K in 5 starts

Giants at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:47 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Giants -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Mets +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants -1.5 (+135) | Mets +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Giants at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Giants 4, Mets 3

Moneyline

BET GIANTS (-120).

Neither team is particularly hot, but the Giants are a much better road team than the Mets are a home team. The Giants are also 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a team with a losing record and 7-1 in Cobb’s last 8 starts on grass, per covers.com, while the Mets are 0-4 in Carrasco’s last 4 starts on grass.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I like New York’s chances of covering here, but at -165 the line is simply not worth the juice, especially when the moneyline and O/U are both much safer bets.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 9 (-115).

For San Francisco the Under is 4-0 in their last 4 games overall and 6-3 in their last 9 overall. For New York the Under is 2-0 in each of their last 2 games and 5-1-1 in their last 7 games overall.

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San Francisco Giants at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s San Francisco Giants at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (7-2) and New York Mets (7-3) meet Monday to open a 4-game series at Citi Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting. The Giants took 5 of 6 from the Mets in 2021.

San Francisco swept the Guardians in Cleveland 3-0 over the weekend, and bring a 5-game win streak into Monday’s game. San Francisco pitching has registered a 1.40 ERA during the streak.

The Mets have recorded a fine 2.35 ERA in their 7-3 start. New York is coming off a 2-1 series win over the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Giants at Mets: Projected starters

RHP Alex Cobb vs. RHP Tylor Megill

Cobb (1-0, 3.60 ERA) makes his second start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9, and 18.0 K/9 through 5 IP.

  • Posted a 3.76 ERA in 93 1/3 IP in 2021 while pitching for the Los Angeles Angels.
  • Has often been a slow starter out of the gate, allowing an .849 OPS across 24 career games in April.

Megill (2-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his third start. In 10 1/3 IP, he has posted a 0.58 WHIP, 0.0 BB/9, and 9.6 K/9.

  • Had a 4.52 ERA in 89 2/3 IP last season.
  • Allowed 7R on 11H in last outing vs. the Giants (Aug. 24, 2021).

Giants at Mets odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:21 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Giants +102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Mets -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Giants +1.5 (-220) | Mets -1.5 (+175)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Giants at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Giants 4,  Mets 2

Money line

Through 20 career games, Megill has held right-handed bats to a .559 OPS, while lefties have clobbered him for a .942 mark. San Francisco bats plenty from the left side and with authority and frequency at the top of the order.

Cobb was sharp in his first outing and is backed by a better-rested bullpen in the back end.

BACK SAN FRANCISCO (+102).

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS: The Giants straight-up are a solid play.

Over/Under

The Under is 3-1 in the Giants’ last 4 and has hit in each of the Mets’ last 2 games.

Figure solid starting pitching in this one with two bullpens in solid shape. On a cold-weather night in New York, TAKE THE UNDER 6.5 (+100).

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San Francisco Giants at New York Mets odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s San Francisco Giants at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (80-44) are still hanging on to the lead in the NL West and open a three-game road series against the New York Mets (61-63) Tuesday. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET at Citi Field. Let’s analyze the lines around the Giants vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Giants LHP Sammy Long (1-1, 5.72 ERA) makes his ninth appearance of the season in what will be his fifth start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 through 28 1/3 IP.

  • Long has been shuffling back and forth between Triple-A and the majors lately. He held the Colorado Rockies to 1 ER over 2 IP while recording 4 K in his last start with the Giants Aug. 14.
  • In 10 minor league appearances this year, half of which came at Triple-A Sacramento, Long has a 1.95 ERA and 13.6 K/9 across 32 1/3 IP.

Mets RHP Tylor Megill (1-2, 3.21 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 56 IP.

  • Megill has been very good since his June call-up, but did go through a rough stretch in his first three August starts. He allowed 11 ER over 14 2/3 IP but rebounded last time out to hold the Giants to 1 ER in 6 IP.
  • He has made six starts at home, where he has posted a 2.45 ERA and 10.7 K/9 across 29 1/3 IP.

Giants at Mets odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Giants -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Mets -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Giants -1.5 (+150) | Mets +1.5 (-200)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Prediction

Mets 5, Giants 3

Money line (ML)

Megill has been very impressive in his first taste of the majors, as he’s missing plenty of bats and while keeping the walks in check. He has been especially good at home and is likely to deliver a second straight strong performance against the Giants.

Long has pitched better than his ERA would suggest, as a 56.2% strand rate has played a key role in his struggles. He isn’t likely to work deep into the game, though, and the pitching edge has to go to Megill.

Back the METS (-115).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Giants come into this game with a 38-25 road record that is second-best in the league. The Mets are 36-23 at home but they average a league-worst 3.51 runs per game in their home park.

This sets up to be a pretty close game and there’s not enough value on either side of the run line. PASS. 

Over/Under (O/U)

The Under hit in four of the last five games for the Giants and in five of the last six for the Mets. Megill has been very solid through 11 starts and has allowed 2 or fewer runs seven times, while the Mets struggle to score at home.

Neither team is likely to have a big day offensively, and a small play on UNDER 8.5 (-112) looks like the way to go.

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