Tag: San Diego State Aztecs betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

Ohio State vs San Diego State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Ohio State vs San Diego State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Ohio State Buckeyes (3-0) are in Hawaii to take on the No. 19 San Diego State Aztecs (3-0) Monday at 9 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Ohio State vs. San Diego State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rating courtesy of USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll

After starting the season by putting up 91 points against Robert Morris and 82 against Charleston Southern, Ohio State played an easy, relaxed game against Eastern Illinois University in its last outing. It still won the Nov. 16 game by 22 points (65-43) as Ohio State turned its focuse to the game against a ranked San Diego State team in the Maui Invitational.

While Ohio State was playing an easy early-season schedule, San Diego State was playing the likes of BYU and Stanford. The Aztecs beat BYU 82-75 and then beat the Cardinal by a score of 74-62. They come into this game more tested than the Buckeyes and it should help them in this matchup.

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Ohio State vs. San Diego State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:57 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Ohio State +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | San Diego State -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Ohio State +4.5 (-105) | San Diego State -4.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 143.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Ohio State vs. San Diego State picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego State 68, Ohio State 65

Moneyline

PASS. Not worth the investment on San Diego State.

Against the spread

BET OHIO STATE +4.5 (-105).

Although the Buckeyes have not played major competition yet, their defense has still shown itself to be strong. 6th in the country allowing only 50 points per game, the Buckeyes will need to play this level of defense to keep the Aztecs within reach. They will.

The Aztecs are averaging 79 points per game, but it will not get to this number and Ohio State will score enough to keep this game close throughout. I expect the Aztecs to pull out a close victory and and the 4.5 points is too much. I will take Ohio State +4.5 (-105).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 143.5 (-105).

The Buckeyes defense is legitimately good. Allowing 50 points per game and only 30% FGs cannot be ignored no matter the competition level. They will be able to control the pace as both teams adjust to the long trip from the mainland in this 1st-round matchup.

San Diego State will be physical and get rebounds. But the physicality of Ohio State will also be present and putback shots will be minimized by this.

If one team gets to 70, I can see it. But I do not see both teams getting there. This favors the Under 143.5 and this is the way I would go. Take the Under 143.5 (-105) as my favorite play.

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San Diego State at Boise State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s San Diego State at Boise State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Diego State Aztecs (2-2, 0-0 MWC) and Boise State Broncos (2-2, 1-0) meet at Albertsons Stadium Friday. Kickoff is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the San Diego State vs. Boise State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

San Diego State RB Jordan Byrd rushed for 115 yards and 2 TDs, including a late game-winning score, in a 17-14 home victory vs. the Toledo Rockets Saturday. QB Braxton Burmeister threw for 65 yards with 1 interception on 13-of-24 passing and added 44 yards on the ground in the Aztecs’ bounce-back win.

San Diego State is 1-5 against the spread (ATS) in its last 6 games following a win in its previous game.

Former Boise State QB Hank Bachmeier told ESPN Tuesday that he has initiated the process of entering the NCAA transfer portal, 4 days after the Broncos’ 27-10 loss at the UTEP Miners. Boise State was favored by 16.5 points in the straight-up loss.

The Broncos are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss in their previous game.

Check out: AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY sports

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San Diego State at Boise State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): San Diego State +210 (bet $100 to win $210) | Boise State -260 (bet $260 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): San Diego State +6.5 (-115) | Boise State -6.5 (-107)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 39.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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San Diego State at Boise State picks and predictions

Prediction

Boise State 27, San Diego State 10

Money line

PASS.

Boise State (-260) money line should hit, but the price is too high. Look to the spread and total for better opportunities.

Against the spread

Boise State should come out extra motivated Friday after an embarrassing loss at UTEP and the firing of offensive coordinator Tim Plough. Former Atlanta Falcons offensive coordinator Dirk Koetter will replace Plough and should roll out a more dynamic offense with dual-threat QB Taylen Green becoming the starter. Lay the points.

BET BOISE STATE -6.5 (-107).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 39.5 (-110).

Boise State’s defense has looked dominant at home and has helped the Under go 4-0 in its last 4 games at Albertsons Stadium. San Diego State should have trouble scoring vs. a motivated Broncos defense looking to bounce back on national television.

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San Diego State at Utah odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s San Diego State Aztecs at Utah Utes odds and lines, with NCAA expert picks and predictions.

The San Diego State Aztecs (1-1) and Utah Utes (1-1) battle in a 10 p.m. ET (ESPN2) contest at Rice-Eccles Stadium in Provo, Utah. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the San Diego State vs. Utah odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

San Diego State lost 38-20 to Arizona in Week 1 and then trounced FCS Idaho State 38-7 last Saturday. The run-first Aztecs totaled just 170 passing yards over the 2 games. However, SDSU’s 275.0 yards per game on the ground rank 4th in the nation.

After a Week 1 cliffhanger setback against Florida 29-26, the Utes rallied to decimate FCS Southern Utah 73-7 last week. Utah has averaged 522.0 total yards per game (10th FBS). Junior QB Cameron Rising has completed 70.9% of his passes through the team’s first 2 games.

Utah is No. 15 in the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

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San Diego State at Utah odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:47 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: San Diego State +900 (bet $100 to win $900) | Utah -1,600 (bet $1,600 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): San Diego State +21.5 (-120) | Utah -21.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 48.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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San Diego State at Utah picks and predictions

Prediction

Utah 35, San Diego State 17

Money line

AVOID.

There’s too much juice filling the canyon between these prices.

Against the spread

This line started in the 16-to-16.5-point range in most of the market, and it has now swung far enough toward the Utes to make San Diego State a low-to-moderate lean.

Look for SDSU to put some drives together with its run game, especially late as Utah likely goes into rest mode (the Utes open Pac-12 play next week). The Aztecs have the special teams to cut into the Utes’ margin here and there.

SDSU has been woeful in converting 3rd downs (28%). Some regression to the mean goes a long way toward making this more of a 17-to-20-point game.

SAN DIEGO STATE +21.5 (-120) has moderate value.

Over/Under

The Over is 5-1 in the Aztecs’ last 6 non-conference games, it’s 4-0 in Utah’s last 4 non-conference games and it’s 9-1 in the Utes’ last 10 games following an ATS win.

And the Over is the play Saturday. Neither side has played at flank speed when it comes to cranking out a lot of plays in quick order. But look for Utah to control the game, get to a comfortable lead but one that leaks late.

TAKE THE OVER 48.5 (-105).

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March Madness: Creighton vs. San Diego State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Creighton vs. San Diego State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 9 Creighton Bluejays (22-11) will take on the No. 8 San Diego State Aztecs (23-8) Thursday in the first round of the Midwest Region. Tip from Dickies Arena in Fort Worth, Texas, is scheduled for 7:27 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Creighton vs. San Diego State odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

The Aztecs are coming off a 1-point loss to the Boise State Broncos in the Mountain West Conference Championship. SDSU is 17-14 against the spread (ATS) on the season and has covered 6 of its last 9.

The Aztecs are known for their defense, one which allows the second-fewest points per game (58.3) and has the fourth-best opponents’ field goal percentage.

As for the Bluejays, they come into the game after  an impressive run to the Big East Championship, where they lost to the South Region’s No. 2 seed, Villanova.

Creighton is 17-14 ATS this season and has covered 9 of its last 11. It is also a defensive-minded program, ranking 30th in opponents’ field goal percentage and allowing just 66.7 points per game.

The Bluejays will be without G Ryan Nembhard, the brother of Gonzaga standout G Andrew Nembhard. The 2021-22 Big East Freshman of the Year recently tore his ACL ending his season.

Also see: Bet Slippin’ Podcast: 2022 NCAA March Madness bracket betting bonanza

Creighton vs. San Diego State odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:45 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Creighton +122 (bet $100 to win $122) | San Diego State -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Creighton +2.5 (-110) | San Diego State -2.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 120.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Creighton vs. San Diego State odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego State 59, Creighton 55

Money line

LEAN to SAN DIEGO STATE -150.

The loss of Nembhard is going to be difficult to overcome for Creighton. The offensive firepower just isn’t there.

The Bluejays already rank just 233rd in the nation in points per game and 310th in three-point shooting. It won’t get easier for them as they take on the Aztecs, who have the second-best defense in the nation per Kenpom.

Also, SDSU has 6 players averaging over 5 points per game and none over 10. It is deeper than Creighton which has just their starting 5 averaging over 3.5 per game following Nembhard’s injury.

Against the spread

PASS.

I’m not trusting this 8 vs. 9 match-up. I’ll take the defensive-minded SDSU over a short-handed Bluejays to win outright for the slightly more expensive price.

Over/Under

BET the UNDER 120.5 (-108).

If there’s one thing both teams have been good at this season, it’s not hitting the projected total. The Bluejays put up just 48 points in their last game against a slow-paced Villanova. SDSU plays both slow and is elite defensively.

SDSU ranks 2nd per Kenpom while Creighton sits 17th. Both are outside the top 175 in adjusted tempo as well. The Bluejays are 11-21-1 O/U this season while the Aztecs are 12-19 O/U.

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MWC Tournament: San Diego State vs. Colorado State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s San Diego State vs Colorado State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 3 seed San Diego State Aztecs (22-7) meet the second-seeded Colorado State Rams (25-4) in a Mountain West semifinal Friday. Tip from the Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas is scheduled for midnight ET. Below, we look at the San Diego State vs. Colorado State odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Colorado State, which finished 14-4 in MWC play, snuck into the semifinal with a 53-51 win over the seventh-seeded Utah State Aggies Thursday. G Isaiah Stevens led the Rams with a team-high 14 points, and G David Roddy added 13 points. While the Rams only went 3-for-18 from 3-point land, the Aggies finished 1-for-15 behind the arc.

The Aztecs, who finished with a 13-4 MWC regular-season record, are coming off Thursday’s 53-46 victory over sixth-seeded Fresno State. The winner of this semifinal will face the winner of top-seeded Boise State and No. 4 seed Wyoming in Saturday’s championship game.

Colorado State is 14-14 against the spread (ATS) for the season, including 8-11 ATS in conference games. San Diego State is 16-13 ATS overall with an MWC-best 11-7 ATS mark in conference play.

The Rams’ 75.0 points per game (PPG) ranks 78th in the nation. They are led by Roddy’s 19.3 PPG.

Colorado State is No. 24 in the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports with San Diego State SU also receiving a few Top-25 votes.

San Diego State vs. Colorado State odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:27 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: San Diego State -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Colorado State +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Against the spread: San Diego State -1.5 (-115) | Colorado State +1.5 (-107)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 125.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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San Diego State vs. Colorado State odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego State 63, Colorado State 60

Money line

PASS.

Given all the late-game fouling that typically takes place in the conference tournament games, I’ll take San Diego State to win by more than just 1 point. So, let’s focus on the spread below.

Against the spread

BET SAN DIEGO STATE -1.5 (-115).

San Diego State has been the better covering team all season and Colorado State avoided a near loss to Utah State Thursday. As mentioned, the Aztecs are 16-13 ATS, and have covered 6 of their last 8 games.

San Diego State is 2-0 ATS vs. Colorado State this season as well, covering as a 2.5-point home favorite in a 30-point win Jan. 8, and as a 4-point road underdog in a 1-point loss Feb. 4.

CSU hasn’t been a great covering team, failing to cover as a 3.5-point favorite against Utah State Thursday. The Rams are just 1-4 ATS over their last 5 games.

The Rams also rank 14th in the nation in field-goal percentage, which plays into the Aztecs’ strength as they rank fourth in opponents’ field-goal percentage, holding opponents to 37.9% from the field.

Combine it all, and I’ll take SDSU to win and cover.

Over/Under

LEAN to the UNDER 125.5 (-115).

This is a low total, but if there’s one thing both teams have been good at this season, it’s been cashing Under tickets. CSU is 10-18 O/U, while SDSU is 12-17 O/U.

Considering San Diego State’s elite defense and the fact that Colorado State ranks 314th in possessions per game, I expect a slow-paced, grind-it-out type game.

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San Diego State at Colorado State odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s San Diego State Aztecs at Colorado State Rams odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Diego State Aztecs (12-5, 4-2 MWC) visit the Colorado State Rams (16-3, 6-3) Friday for a Mountain West showdown in Fort Collins. The contest at Moby Arena is slated to tip off at 9 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the San Diego State vs. Colorado State odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

San Diego State is coming off a Monday 72-47 home rout of New Mexico. The Aztecs held the Lobos to a 30.8% mark from the field. SDSU is 7-2 over its last nine games. The country’s third-best defense – tops in the MWC – (56.8 points allowed per game) held opponents to an anemic 35.1% accuracy mark over that stretch.

The Rams went 16-1 over their first 17 games, but they lost their last two games. The most recent setback was an 84-78 overtime setback at Wyoming Monday. The Aztecs handed the Rams their first loss of the season, a 79-49 rout back on Jan. 8 in San Diego.

See also: Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports

San Diego State at Colorado State odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:31 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: San Diego State +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Colorado State -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): San Diego State +3.5 (-105) | Colorado State -3.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 133.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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San Diego State at Colorado State odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego State 65, Colorado State 63

Money line

This veteran San Diego State squad plays tremendous defense, forcing opponents into inefficient looks most times down the floor. The Aztecs’ defensive efficiency numbers on the road rank in the top 10 in the nation.

Over its last two games, Colorado State has yielded a 51.9% mark from the field, including a 42.0% figure from beyond the arc.

Peg this game as a pick ’em, so there is certainly value on SAN DIEGO STATE (+155).

Against the spread

The Rams are 0-4 ATS in their last four games against .600 foes.

More risk-averse bettors may want to take the AZTECS +3.5 (-105).

Over/Under

UNDER 133.5 (-108) is the way to go.

The Under is 8-0 in SDSU’s last eight games against .600 foes.

Schedule-wise, the Rams look to be heading into a couple weeks of Under lean.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Frisco Bowl: UTSA vs. San Diego State odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s UTSA vs. San Diego State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 25 UTSA Roadrunners (7-6) meet the San Diego State Aztecs (6-6) at the Tropical Smoothie Cafe Frisco Bowl Tuesday at Toyota Stadium in Frisco, Texas. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the UTSA vs. San Diego State odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

UTSA had its undefeated season spoiled by North Texas in the regular-season finale in Denton Nov. 27, falling 45-23. The Roadrunners rebounded with a 49-41 win over Western Kentucky in the Conference USA championship game at the Alamodome Dec. 3.

The Aztecs were destroyed, 46-13, by Utah State in the Mountain West championship game Dec. 4 as 6.5-point favorites as the Over cashed. While San Diego State has won four of the past five games, it is still just 1-4-1 ATS across the past six outings overall.

Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

UTSA vs. San Diego State odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: UTSA +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | San Diego State -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): UTSA +2.5 (+100) | San Diego State -2.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 48.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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UTSA vs. San Diego State odds, lines, picks and predictions

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Prediction

San Diego State 26, UTSA 20

Money line

SAN DIEGO STATE (-155) is the play in this one. UTSA (+125) was just one game away from an undefeated season, and they had a top-tier offense during the regular season.

However, star RB Sincere McCormick, who rolled up 1,479 rushing yards and 15 touchdowns, has declared for the NFL Draft and opted out. That’s a huge loss for the Roadrunners.

Against the spread

Take SAN DIEGO STATE -2.5 (-125) laying two-and-a-half. While the Aztecs were horrific in the MWC title game, they’ll bounce back nicely, using its defense to top the Roadrunners here. I am concerned about UTSA’s offense, as I think they’ll have a hard time adjusting without its top player.

Over/Under

The play is the UNDER 48.5 (-107). UTSA was going to have trouble moving the ball even with McCormick, as San Diego State ranks 14th in the country with 319.6 total yards allowed per game. It’s second in the nation with just 77.6 rushing yards per game allowed, so QB Frank Harris will have difficulty trying to solve SDSU, too.

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College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

Alabama / Arkansas / Auburn / Colorado / Florida / Georgia / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Oregon / Penn State / Rutgers / Tennessee / Texas / USC / Wisconsin / College Football News

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Mountain West Championship: Utah State at San Diego State odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Utah State at San Diego State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Utah State Aggies (9-3, 6-2 in Mountain West) face the No. 19 San Diego State Aztecs (11-1, 7-1) in the Mountain West Conference Championship Saturday. The kickoff from Dignity Health Sports Park in Carson, California is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Utah State vs. San Diego State odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Utah State advanced to its first Mountain West title game since 2013 under first-year head coach Blake Anderson.

Aggies junior transfer QB Logan Bonner has the third-best passer efficiency rating in the conference (154.9) and First-Team All-Mountain West WR Deven Thompkins leads the conference in all major receiving stats. Utah State is 8-4 ATS and 5-7 O/U.

San Diego State is seeking its first 12-win season in school history under second-year head coach Brady Hoke. The Aztecs have the best defense in the conference and the most First-Team All-Mountain West selections. The Aztecs are 6-5-1 ATS and 5-7 O/U.

Utah State at San Diego State odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:25 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Utah State +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | San Diego State -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Utah State +5.5 (-107) | San Diego State -5.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 49.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Utah State at San Diego State odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego State 24, Utah State 14

Money line

PASS since I like the Aztecs to win this game outright but San Diego State (-240) is a little too expensive.

Against the spread

BET SAN DIEGO STATE -5.5 (-115) for 1 unit because Utah State’s offense is too one-dimensional for this stout Aztec defense.

For instance, the Aggies’ rushing attack ranks 122nd out of 130 FBS programs in predicted points added (PPA) on the ground. Also, Utah State’s offense has the seventh-worst rushing success rate in the nation and is 117th in line yards per snap.

Conversely, San Diego State’s defense ranks third in rushing PPA, seventh in rushing success rate and 11th in line yards per snap. If Utah State cannot run the ball then San Diego State will get the Aggies off the field fast.

The Aztecs are top-20 in passing down PPA and success rate and have the seventh-best opponent’s 3rd-down conversion rate. Furthermore, this San Diego State defense is stacked with talent. In fact, the Aztecs have an All-Mountain West Football First-Team defensive player on all three levels.

Over/Under

BET 1 unit on the UNDER 49.5 (-107) because there’s only been a combined 50 points scored in one of San Diego State’s eight conference games this year. Also, the Aztecs are 2-6 O/U vs. Mountain West teams.

And while San Diego State has one of the most efficient defenses in the country, its offense is the weak link. For example, the Aztecs rank 97th in offensive points per drive and 117th in offensive points per play, according to Football Outsiders.

Lastly, the Utah State-San Diego State total was quickly lowered after early sharp money came in on the Under. Circa Sports in Las Vegas (a market-making sportsbook) opened this game with a 51.5-point total before the market steamed it down to the current number.

For me, there’s still value in the UNDER 49.5 (-107) based on the previous analysis.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Boise State at San Diego State odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Boise State Broncos at San Diego State Aztecs odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 22 San Diego State Aztecs (10-1, 6-1 Mountain West) host the Boise State Broncos (7-4, 5-2) in a conference clash Friday. Kickoff is scheduled for noon ET at Dignity Health Sports Park. Below, we look at the Boise State vs. San Diego State odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

Boise State is on a four-game winning streak, including a 37-0 beatdown of the New Mexico Lobos Saturday. The Broncos have the best points-per-game differential in the conference with an average score of 30.4-18.3 on the year.

Boise State is 7-4 against the spread (ATS) and 3-8 Over/Under (O/U) with the 62nd-toughest schedule, according to USA TODAY’s Jeff Sagarin.

San Diego has won three straight games with the latest being 28-20 victory at the UNLV Rebels last Friday. The Aztecs defense leads the Mountain West in points per game and yards per play allowed. San Diego State is 5-5-1 ATS and 5-6 O/U with the 105th-toughest schedule, according to Sagarin.

Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Boise State at San Diego State odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 4:08 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Boise State -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | San Diego State +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Boise State -2.5 (-120) | San Diego State +2.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 44.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Boise State at San Diego State odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego State 20, Boise State 17

Money line

PASS because I only “lean” to the Aztecs getting points and don’t have enough confidence in betting them at +120 straight up.

Furthermore, I’d wait until closer to kickoff to get a better price on either San Diego State’s money line or spread because Boise State is the more popular side, according to Pregame.com.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to SAN DIEGO STATE +2.5 (-105) since more than 90% of the cash is on Boise State (according to Pregame.com).

All the pro-Boise State money has steamed the Broncos up from 2-point underdogs on the look-ahead line to the current price.

Also, San Diego State has higher predicted points added (PPA), yards per play and havoc rate differentials than Boise State.

Since this is priced as a coin-flip game, I “LEAN” to SAN DIEGO STATE +2.5 (-105) as a fade of the lopsided betting market and because the Aztecs have better efficiency.

Over/Under

BET the UNDER 44.5 (-110) for 1 unit because both teams are better on the defensive side of the ball than the offensive.

San Diego State ranks fourth in defensive success rate and 99th in offensive success rate, while Boise State ranks 30th in defensive success rate and 75th in offensive success rate.

The Under has cashed in six consecutive Boise State games and these teams have a combined 10-16 O/U record in conference play since the beginning of last season.

Finally, roughly two-thirds of the action is on the Over but this total hasn’t budged off the opener. This “line freeze” suggests that the oddsmakers are confident in their total and haven’t been shaken by all the pro-Over money.

I want to be on the same side as the sportsbooks since they generally win and that side appears to be the UNDER 44.5 (-110). This is my favorite bet in this contest.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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San Diego State at UNLV odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s San Diego State Aztecs at UNLV Rebels odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 23 San Diego State Aztecs (9-1, 5-1 Mountain West) visit the UNLV Rebels (2-8, 2-4) Friday at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. Kickoff is scheduled for 11:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the San Diego State vs. UNLV odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

The Aztecs pulled out a 23-21 win over Nevada last Saturday, although they failed to cover as 2.5-point favorites. San Diego State is 0-2-1 ATS across the past three, and just 1-3-1 ATS over the previous five outings.

The Rebels started out 0-8 SU, but they haven’t given up. UNLV posted wins and covers in each of the past two games, including a 27-13 victory over Hawaii last weekend at Allegiant.

Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

San Diego State at UNLV odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 4:29 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: San Diego State -450 (bet $450 to win $100) | UNLV +330 (bet $100 to win $330)
  • Against the spread (ATS): San Diego State -10.5 (-115) | UNLV +10.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 41.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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San Diego State at UNLV odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego State 30, UNLV 13

Money line

San Diego State (-450) is a conference title contender with just one loss, but it doesn’t have a prolific offense. Every game is a fight, and the Aztecs rely a lot upon the defense. They won’t get tripped up by an improving, but still bad UNLV team, however. But risking four and a half times your potential return is just not a recommended betting strategy over the long term.

PASS.

Against the spread

SAN DIEGO STATE -10.5 (-115) is quite a low line considering it is a nine-win team playing against UNLV, a team that tasted victory for the first time two weeks ago.

Yes, the Rebels have been hot, but beating New Mexico and Hawaii isn’t cause for celebration for most teams. San Diego State is a huge step up in competition, and UNLV will be back to the ‘L’ column in a big way after this one.

Over/Under

The OVER 41.5 (-105) is the play, but do so with caution. San Diego State hasn’t scored more than 23 points in five games dating back to Oct. 9. The Under is 5-1 in the past six for the Aztecs, too. But UNLV has allowed 31.8 PPG overall this season, and if San Diego State is going to re-discover its offense, it will be here on the fast track at Allegiant Stadium.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

Alabama / Arkansas / Auburn / Colorado / Florida / Georgia / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Oregon / Penn State / Rutgers / Tennessee / Texas / USC / Wisconsin / College Football News

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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