New Mexico at San Diego State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s New Mexico at San Diego State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New Mexico Lobos (15-2, 2-2 MWC) and No. 25 San Diego State Aztecs (13-3, 4-0) tangle in a Saturday Mountain West Conference match-up.  Tip time at Viejas Arena is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the New Mexico vs. San Diego State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

New Mexico won its last game and covered (-5.5), defeating Oral Roberts 82-75 Monday. For the Lobos, the against-the-spread triumph marked a 1st a in 4 games. UNM opened the season with 14 consecutive victories straight up.

The Aztecs sport one of the top defensive teams west of the Mississippi. They play an up-tempo style but have still held opponents to just 65.4 points per game. San Diego State has a veteran roster that has put together 6-straight wins and a 9-1 mark since Nov. 29.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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New Mexico at San Diego State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:45 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: New Mexico +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | San Diego State -360 (bet $360 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): New Mexico +7.5 (-105) | San Diego State -7.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 147.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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New Mexico at San Diego State picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego State 77, New Mexico 68

Moneyline

Too much juice on San Diego State here.

PASS.

Against the spread

The favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings between these MWC foes. San Diego State is ranked and on a winning streak, but the Aztecs haven’t been making bettors any money. SDSU is just 4-10-1 against the number.

Look for a reversal of that Aztecs trend. UNLV is a decent comp for a fast-tempo UNM squad. SDSU picked up at ATS win at UNLV Dec. 31.

Drilling down on New Mexico’s schedule, the Lobos have very little experience against the elite type of defense they will see Saturday.

TAKE SAN DIEGO STATE -7.5 (-115).

Over/Under

Figure on a quick pace but with 3s defended well and a mixed bag on the score-spiral factors like 2nd-chance points, transition ball and free throws.

PASS.

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Air Force at San Diego State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Air Force at San Diego State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Air Force Falcons (9-4) and San Diego State Aztecs (9-3) open Mountain West Conference play Wednesday in San Diego. Tip at Viejas Arena will be at 11 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Air Force vs. San Diego State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Air Force has won 4 in a row straight-up and against the spread (ATS). The Falcons defense has been dialed in during that stretch, allowing just 61.3 points per game on a 40.3% shooting mark. Four wins is all Air Force mustered in 17 MWC games last season; the Falcons were last (11th) in the league in offense, averaging 59.0 PPG.

The Aztecs had the inverse of the Falcons league mark a year ago, going 13-4. This year’s squad has only lost 3 times so far and 2 of those were against ranked foes. San Diego State is playing for the 1st time in over a week and for just the 2nd time since Dec. 12.

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Air Force at San Diego State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 10:38 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Off the board
  • Against the spread (ATS): Air Force +17.5 (-110) | San Diego State -17.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 129.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Air Force at San Diego State picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego State 72, Air Force 56

Moneyline

Not available.

Against the spread

Against the number, this series has seen a 2-2 split the last 4 games. Air Force got 19 points — and covered in a 76-64 loss — in its last trip to SDSU.

The Falcons count on taking and making a lot of 3s, and that’s a defensive strong point for the Aztecs. But SDSU has had a few non-covers in similar games at home this season. Going past a 15-point spread loses value for the home team. But there is not enough pull on the other side either. PASS.

Over/Under

The Over has hit in 3 straight series meetings, but the UNDER 129.5 (-110) is the best play on Wednesday.

The Under is 12-3 in the Falcons’ last 15 road games vs. teams playing better-than-.600 ball at home.

This is a clash in styles, with up-tempo SDSU hosting the much slower-paced Falcons. The 3-point shooting of Air Force will dictate much of the momentum on the way to an Over or a misfire landing short. And figure both sides getting a fair amount of free throws.

But transition ball and 2nd-chance points don’t figure to get out of control. Also, how sharp will both teams be in shooting after a week off?

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Hawaii Bowl: Middle Tennessee State vs. San Diego State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Middle Tennessee State vs. San Diego State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (7-5) and San Diego State Aztecs (7-5) meet Saturday for the Hawaii Bowl. Kickoff at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex in Honolulu will be at 8 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Middle Tennessee vs. San Diego State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Middle Tennessee went 3-0 (1-1-1 against the spread (ATS)) down the stretch to earn a bowl berth. A pass-heavy Blue Raiders offense found some rushing success over those 3 final games but still heads into the Hawaii Bowl ranked 31st in passing yards (267.2 per game) and 100th in rushing (123.9).

San Diego State is 5-2 (4-3 ATS) since Oct. 1. The Aztec offense swings the other way, toward a run-first-pass-when-needed framework. However, it’s the SDSU defense that stands out. The Aztecs have yielded just 335.4 yards per game (27th) and 20.2 points per game (20th).

Check out: AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY sports

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Middle Tennessee vs. San Diego State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 10:50 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Middle Tennessee +210 (bet $100 to win $210) | San Diego State -260 (bet $260 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Middle Tennessee +6.5 (-107) | San Diego State -6.5 (-113)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 48.5 (O: -111 | U: -109)

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Middle Tennessee vs. San Diego State picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego State 31, Middle Tennessee  24

Moneyline

San Diego State is the clear and worthy favorite here. Coach Brady Hoke and company went to Hawaii and won last season and also won their bowl game last December (Frisco Bowl vs. UTSA).

However, the Aztecs are not available at a budget price. PASS.

Against the spread

Look for Middle Tennessee to have trouble blocking a solid SDSU rush. The Aztecs’ offense became more balanced and capable late in the season.

This line has steamed towards the Aztecs since it opened. Any leverage is likely out of reach although an SDSU play at -5.5 would be worth some partial-unit action if the spread starts to swing back the other way. If not, PASS.

Over/Under

The Over is 7-0 in the Blue Raiders’ last 7 games following a straight-up win, and it is 3-1 across SDSU’s last 4 games away from home.

The San Diego State defense is somewhat more gettable through the air. The Raiders Air Raid offense should be able to help spiral this one forth in the warm weather on the Big Island. A little bit of turnover-short field leverage can also be expected.

BACK THE OVER 48.5 (-111).

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Troy at San Diego State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Troy at San Diego State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Troy Trojans (6-3) travel to San Diego to take on the No. 22 San Diego State Aztecs (6-2) Monday at 10 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Troy at San Diego State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

After being swept out of Maui 87-70 by Arizona and 78-74 by Arkansas, San Diego returned to the mainland and took apart 2 overmatched teams. After prevailing over UC-Irvine 72-69, the Aztecs beat Occidental 95-57 on Friday.

This game will bring another outmatched opponent against San Diego State as the Trojans play just its 7th game against a Div. I opponent this season and is 3-3 against D-I teams. This will be a difficult game for Troy to remain close and the Aztecs should roll.

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Troy at San Diego State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:42 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Troy +750 (bet $100 to win $750) | San Diego State -1600 (bet $1,600 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Troy +16.5 (-110) | San Diego State -16.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 137.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Troy at San Diego State picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego State 80, Troy 66

Moneyline

PASS.

Troy is coming cross-country for this game, and it does not bode well for its chances to pull of an upset here. Taking San Diego State -1600 is also not advisable. So just stay way.

Against the spread

BET TROY +16.5 (-110).

San Diego State is the better team. They are not 16.5 points better. After losing 2 games in Maui, the Aztecs barely beat UC-Irvine and followed that with a rout of a school not at the D I level. After such an easy game, San Diego State could come out sluggish in this game. Troy will be able to keep this game within the 17 points needed to cover and Troy +16.5 (-110) is my favorite play.

Over/Under

BET OVER 137.5 (-115).

Scoring 95 points against any school, even a non-Division I school, is impressive. And before that San Diego State averaged 72 points in 3 games against tougher competition in Arkansas, UC-Irvine and Arizona. This Troy team is somewhere in between these levels and 80 points from the Aztecs is not out of the question.

While the Aztecs should get to 80, the Trojans can at least get to 60 in this game. It will not be a pretty game and it will start slow. But by the end of the game, the Over 137.5 (-115) will hit.

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Air Force at San Diego State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Air Force at San Diego State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Air Force Falcons (8-3, 4-3 MWC) meet the San Diego State Aztecs (7-4, 5-2) Saturday at Snapdragon Stadium in San Diego. Kickoff is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Air Force vs. San Diego State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Rankings courtesy of AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY sports

The Falcons swoop into San Diego on a 3-game win streak, and they have won 4 of the past 5, with only a loss at home to Boise State since mid-October. Air Force has had its issues away from home, going 2-2 SU and 1-3 ATS in 4 games either on the road or at a neutral site.

The Aztecs whipped up on New Mexico last week, winning 34-10 in Albuquerque, and San Diego State has scored 23 or more points in 4 of the past 5 games. Unfortunately, a 32-28 loss at Fresno State Oct. 29 will keep the Aztecs out of the Mountain West Championship Game, but San Diego State is still set to go bowling.

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Air Force at San Diego State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 9:50 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Air Force -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | San Diego State +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Against the spread: Air Force -2 (-111) | San Diego State +2 (-109)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 43.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Air Force at San Diego State picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego State 22, Air Force 20

Moneyline

SAN DIEGO STATE (+110) is a solid value at plus-money on its home field in this regular-season finale.

Air Force (-130) has had trouble away from home this season, winning just twice in 4 off-campus trips. And while the Falcons run the ball well, gobbling up a nation-best 341.2 rushing yards per game, the Aztecs yield just 115.9 yards per game on the ground, good for 24th in the nation.

Against the spread

SAN DIEGO STATE +2 (-109) is a much better play straight up, but if you think this will be a 1-point win in favor of Air Force -2 (-111), by all means, take the Aztecs. That’s the only way this wager makes any sense over the money line, however.

Over/Under

An UNDER 43.5 (-112) play with such a low number in this day and age is normally risky business. However, both of these defenses are legit, and we aren’t going to see a track meet in San Diego.

The Aztecs have the defense to at least slow down the triple-option rushing attack of the Falcons. And with that mostly ground-based attack for Air Force, it keeps the clock moving, which is what Under bettors like to see.

San Diego State struggles on offense, too, going for 23.0 PPG to rank 101st in the country. Yes, the Aztecs piled up the points in the past 2 weekends against San Jose State and New Mexico, but those 2 teams are terrible. Air Force has a much more formidable defense, and we’ll see a return to low production for the Aztecs on offense.

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San Diego State vs. Arizona odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s San Diego State vs. Arizona odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 19 San Diego State Aztecs (4-0) and No. 12 Arizona Wildcats (4-0) tussle in a Tuesday battle of unbeatens. The opening tip for this Maui Invitational semifinal at the Lahaina Civic Center in Maui will be at 10:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the San Diego State vs. Arizona odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

San Diego State advanced to this semifinal with an 88-77 win (as a -5 favorite) over Ohio State Monday. The Aztecs held the Buckeyes to a 42.4% mark from the floor and 8 offensive rebounds. The Aztecs’ 88 points were a season-high.

Arizona topped Cincinnati 101-93 (failing to cover as a 10-point favorite) Monday.  The Wildcats shot 62.3% (38 of 61) and scored over-100 points for a 3rd time in 4 games. F Azuolas Tubelis scored 30 points against the Bearcats, increasing his season average to 22.5 points per game.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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San Diego State vs. Arizona odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:47 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: San Diego State +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Arizona -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): San Diego State +1.5 (-110) | Arizona -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 164.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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San Diego State vs. Arizona picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego State 82 Arizona 80

Moneyline

San Diego State can defend and cause turnovers and hit 3’s. The Aztecs have 4 starters back from last season’s 23-win squad. Plus, they are battle-tested, having played a tougher slate than the Wildcats so far.

The Wildcats are loose enough with the ball that the Aztecs could use that as a leverage point in keeping Arizona runs in check.

The Aztecs are a good enough match for the Wildcats from 3-point land and at the charity stripe.

TAKE SAN DIEGO (+100).

Against the spread

If you want the 1½ points of insurance, play San Diego State +1.5 (-110) instead of the moneyline … or divvy up a full unit between the ML and ATS wagers anyway you like.

Over/Under

A valid number that gets no argument here. PASS.

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Ohio State vs San Diego State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Ohio State vs San Diego State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Ohio State Buckeyes (3-0) are in Hawaii to take on the No. 19 San Diego State Aztecs (3-0) Monday at 9 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Ohio State vs. San Diego State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rating courtesy of USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll

After starting the season by putting up 91 points against Robert Morris and 82 against Charleston Southern, Ohio State played an easy, relaxed game against Eastern Illinois University in its last outing. It still won the Nov. 16 game by 22 points (65-43) as Ohio State turned its focuse to the game against a ranked San Diego State team in the Maui Invitational.

While Ohio State was playing an easy early-season schedule, San Diego State was playing the likes of BYU and Stanford. The Aztecs beat BYU 82-75 and then beat the Cardinal by a score of 74-62. They come into this game more tested than the Buckeyes and it should help them in this matchup.

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Ohio State vs. San Diego State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:57 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Ohio State +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | San Diego State -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Ohio State +4.5 (-105) | San Diego State -4.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 143.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Ohio State vs. San Diego State picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego State 68, Ohio State 65

Moneyline

PASS. Not worth the investment on San Diego State.

Against the spread

BET OHIO STATE +4.5 (-105).

Although the Buckeyes have not played major competition yet, their defense has still shown itself to be strong. 6th in the country allowing only 50 points per game, the Buckeyes will need to play this level of defense to keep the Aztecs within reach. They will.

The Aztecs are averaging 79 points per game, but it will not get to this number and Ohio State will score enough to keep this game close throughout. I expect the Aztecs to pull out a close victory and and the 4.5 points is too much. I will take Ohio State +4.5 (-105).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 143.5 (-105).

The Buckeyes defense is legitimately good. Allowing 50 points per game and only 30% FGs cannot be ignored no matter the competition level. They will be able to control the pace as both teams adjust to the long trip from the mainland in this 1st-round matchup.

San Diego State will be physical and get rebounds. But the physicality of Ohio State will also be present and putback shots will be minimized by this.

If one team gets to 70, I can see it. But I do not see both teams getting there. This favors the Under 143.5 and this is the way I would go. Take the Under 143.5 (-105) as my favorite play.

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San Diego State at Boise State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s San Diego State at Boise State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Diego State Aztecs (2-2, 0-0 MWC) and Boise State Broncos (2-2, 1-0) meet at Albertsons Stadium Friday. Kickoff is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the San Diego State vs. Boise State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

San Diego State RB Jordan Byrd rushed for 115 yards and 2 TDs, including a late game-winning score, in a 17-14 home victory vs. the Toledo Rockets Saturday. QB Braxton Burmeister threw for 65 yards with 1 interception on 13-of-24 passing and added 44 yards on the ground in the Aztecs’ bounce-back win.

San Diego State is 1-5 against the spread (ATS) in its last 6 games following a win in its previous game.

Former Boise State QB Hank Bachmeier told ESPN Tuesday that he has initiated the process of entering the NCAA transfer portal, 4 days after the Broncos’ 27-10 loss at the UTEP Miners. Boise State was favored by 16.5 points in the straight-up loss.

The Broncos are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss in their previous game.

Check out: AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY sports

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San Diego State at Boise State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): San Diego State +210 (bet $100 to win $210) | Boise State -260 (bet $260 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): San Diego State +6.5 (-115) | Boise State -6.5 (-107)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 39.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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San Diego State at Boise State picks and predictions

Prediction

Boise State 27, San Diego State 10

Money line

PASS.

Boise State (-260) money line should hit, but the price is too high. Look to the spread and total for better opportunities.

Against the spread

Boise State should come out extra motivated Friday after an embarrassing loss at UTEP and the firing of offensive coordinator Tim Plough. Former Atlanta Falcons offensive coordinator Dirk Koetter will replace Plough and should roll out a more dynamic offense with dual-threat QB Taylen Green becoming the starter. Lay the points.

BET BOISE STATE -6.5 (-107).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 39.5 (-110).

Boise State’s defense has looked dominant at home and has helped the Under go 4-0 in its last 4 games at Albertsons Stadium. San Diego State should have trouble scoring vs. a motivated Broncos defense looking to bounce back on national television.

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San Diego State at Utah odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s San Diego State Aztecs at Utah Utes odds and lines, with NCAA expert picks and predictions.

The San Diego State Aztecs (1-1) and Utah Utes (1-1) battle in a 10 p.m. ET (ESPN2) contest at Rice-Eccles Stadium in Provo, Utah. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the San Diego State vs. Utah odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

San Diego State lost 38-20 to Arizona in Week 1 and then trounced FCS Idaho State 38-7 last Saturday. The run-first Aztecs totaled just 170 passing yards over the 2 games. However, SDSU’s 275.0 yards per game on the ground rank 4th in the nation.

After a Week 1 cliffhanger setback against Florida 29-26, the Utes rallied to decimate FCS Southern Utah 73-7 last week. Utah has averaged 522.0 total yards per game (10th FBS). Junior QB Cameron Rising has completed 70.9% of his passes through the team’s first 2 games.

Utah is No. 15 in the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

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San Diego State at Utah odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:47 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: San Diego State +900 (bet $100 to win $900) | Utah -1,600 (bet $1,600 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): San Diego State +21.5 (-120) | Utah -21.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 48.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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San Diego State at Utah picks and predictions

Prediction

Utah 35, San Diego State 17

Money line

AVOID.

There’s too much juice filling the canyon between these prices.

Against the spread

This line started in the 16-to-16.5-point range in most of the market, and it has now swung far enough toward the Utes to make San Diego State a low-to-moderate lean.

Look for SDSU to put some drives together with its run game, especially late as Utah likely goes into rest mode (the Utes open Pac-12 play next week). The Aztecs have the special teams to cut into the Utes’ margin here and there.

SDSU has been woeful in converting 3rd downs (28%). Some regression to the mean goes a long way toward making this more of a 17-to-20-point game.

SAN DIEGO STATE +21.5 (-120) has moderate value.

Over/Under

The Over is 5-1 in the Aztecs’ last 6 non-conference games, it’s 4-0 in Utah’s last 4 non-conference games and it’s 9-1 in the Utes’ last 10 games following an ATS win.

And the Over is the play Saturday. Neither side has played at flank speed when it comes to cranking out a lot of plays in quick order. But look for Utah to control the game, get to a comfortable lead but one that leaks late.

TAKE THE OVER 48.5 (-105).

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March Madness: Creighton vs. San Diego State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Creighton vs. San Diego State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 9 Creighton Bluejays (22-11) will take on the No. 8 San Diego State Aztecs (23-8) Thursday in the first round of the Midwest Region. Tip from Dickies Arena in Fort Worth, Texas, is scheduled for 7:27 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Creighton vs. San Diego State odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

The Aztecs are coming off a 1-point loss to the Boise State Broncos in the Mountain West Conference Championship. SDSU is 17-14 against the spread (ATS) on the season and has covered 6 of its last 9.

The Aztecs are known for their defense, one which allows the second-fewest points per game (58.3) and has the fourth-best opponents’ field goal percentage.

As for the Bluejays, they come into the game after  an impressive run to the Big East Championship, where they lost to the South Region’s No. 2 seed, Villanova.

Creighton is 17-14 ATS this season and has covered 9 of its last 11. It is also a defensive-minded program, ranking 30th in opponents’ field goal percentage and allowing just 66.7 points per game.

The Bluejays will be without G Ryan Nembhard, the brother of Gonzaga standout G Andrew Nembhard. The 2021-22 Big East Freshman of the Year recently tore his ACL ending his season.

Creighton vs. San Diego State odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:45 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Creighton +122 (bet $100 to win $122) | San Diego State -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Creighton +2.5 (-110) | San Diego State -2.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 120.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Creighton vs. San Diego State odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego State 59, Creighton 55

Money line

LEAN to SAN DIEGO STATE -150.

The loss of Nembhard is going to be difficult to overcome for Creighton. The offensive firepower just isn’t there.

The Bluejays already rank just 233rd in the nation in points per game and 310th in three-point shooting. It won’t get easier for them as they take on the Aztecs, who have the second-best defense in the nation per Kenpom.

Also, SDSU has 6 players averaging over 5 points per game and none over 10. It is deeper than Creighton which has just their starting 5 averaging over 3.5 per game following Nembhard’s injury.

Against the spread

PASS.

I’m not trusting this 8 vs. 9 match-up. I’ll take the defensive-minded SDSU over a short-handed Bluejays to win outright for the slightly more expensive price.

Over/Under

BET the UNDER 120.5 (-108).

If there’s one thing both teams have been good at this season, it’s not hitting the projected total. The Bluejays put up just 48 points in their last game against a slow-paced Villanova. SDSU plays both slow and is elite defensively.

SDSU ranks 2nd per Kenpom while Creighton sits 17th. Both are outside the top 175 in adjusted tempo as well. The Bluejays are 11-21-1 O/U this season while the Aztecs are 12-19 O/U.

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