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The San Diego Padres (32-32) take on the Los Angeles Angels (23-38) Wednesday in the finale of a 3-game set at Angel Stadium at 9:38 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Angels odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Angels lead 2-0
The Padres dropped the ol’ Baby Ruth in the swimming pool, allowing 3 runs in the 7th Tuesday night to eventually fall 4-2. They had runners on 2nd and 3rd with 1 out and only managed to score 1. They’ve now lost 3 straight and trail the Los Angeles Dodgers by 7 games in the NL West.
The Angels snapped a string of 7 losses in 8 games with their 2 wins in consecutive nights. They are just 9-21 at home, and Tuesday’s victory was the first time all season they won consecutive games at home. Angels 2B Luis Rengifo is raking with a .329 BA, 4 HR and 18 RBIs.
Padres at Angels projected starters
RHP Dylan Cease vs. RHP Jose Soriano
Cease (5-4, 3.42 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 0.97 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 in 71 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 11-8 victory at Kansas City Royals Friday
- Last 5 starts vs. Angels: 1-1, 3.46 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 34 K in 26 IP
Soriano (2-5, 3.86 ERA) makes his 11th start and 13th appearance. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 58 1/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 5-4 loss Friday at Seattle Mariners
- 2024 home/road splits: Home: 0-4, 6.75 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 9.9 K/9 in 4 starts and 1 relief appearance; Road: 2-1, 2.35 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 7.5 K/9 in 6 GS and 1 relief appearance
- Career vs. Padres: 0-0, 9.00 ERA (1 IP, 1 ER), 1 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 1 relief appearance of 5-3 road loss July 5, 2023
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Padres at Angels odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:42 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Padres -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Angels +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (+115) | Angels +1.5 (-140)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Padres at Angels picks and predictions
Prediction
Padres 6, Angels 3
Moneyline
I love the Padres to avoid the sweep here, and honestly, I expected this ML to be a bit higher. As mentioned, the Halos are terrible at home and just won their first back-to-back games there all year. I do not expect them to complete the sweep.
Take PADRES -150 at a solid price that I expect to be juiced up more before first pitch.
Run line/Against the spread
A prop bet that I love here, is DYLAN CEASE OVER 6.5 K’s (-140). This is at a discount compared to other books. He has been a little inconsistent lately with 7+ K’s in 4 of 7 starts. The Angels are in the top half of the league when it comes to frequent whiffing. Cease had 10 and 11 K’s in his last 2 starts against them. Act now.
Over/Under
The wind is slated to blow out to left-center at 7 mph this evening. The Padres have scored just 3 runs in this series, and I look for the bats to awaken enough to carry the torch. It’s a small total, and I’m going OVER 8 (-105).
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