Tag: San Diego Padres vs. LA Dodgers odds predictions pick betting line spread

NLDS Game 5: San Diego Padres at LA Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s San Diego Padres at LA Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Diego Padres and LA Dodgers meet in a decisive Game 5 of their best-of-5 NLDS Friday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 8:08 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Padres vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Playoffs series: Tied 2-2; Padres won regular-season series 8-5

The winner heads to the NLCS to face the New York Mets. These teams split the regular-season series in Los Angeles 3-3.

With a 2-1 series lead, the Padres had the Dodgers on the ropes Thursday, but LA picked up an 8-0 victory in Game 4 as a moderate underdog (+118) while the total pushed (8) at most shops. The Over is 3-0-1 in this series.

The Dodgers piled up 12 hits in Game 4, with OF Mookie Betts, C Will Smith and 2B Gavin Lux each swatting HRs while picking up 2 RBIs apiece. LA used 8 pitches, going no more than 1 2/3 IP, while the Padres used 7 arms.

Padres at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Yu Darvish vs. RHP Yoshinobu Yamamoto

Darvish (7-3, 3.31 ERA) made 16 regular-season starts. He had a 1.07 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 81 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 2 K in 10-2 road victory in Game 2 in L.A. on Sunday in 1st postseason start of 2024
  • 2024 road splits (regular season): 4-0, 2.63 ERA (27 1/3 IP, 8 ER), 0.95 WHIP, 7 BB, 25 K, .198 opponents’ batting average (OBA) in 5 starts
  • Career vs. Dodgers (regular season): 5-5, 2.27 ERA (91 1/3 IP, 23 ER), 0.85 WHIP, 10.2 K/9 in 15 starts
  • 2024 vs. Dodgers (regular season): 1-0, 1.72 ERA (15 2/3 IP, 3 ER), .145 OBA, 1 HR, 6 BB, 12 K in 3 starts
  • Career postseason: 5-6, 3.88 ERA (65 IP, 57 K, 1.06 WHIP) in 12 starts

Yamamoto (7-2, 3.00 ERA) made 18 regular-season starts. He had a 1.11 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 in 90 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 3 IP, 5 ER, 5 H (1 HR), 2 BB, 1 K in 7-5 home victory in Game 1 vs. L.A. Saturday in his 1st career postseason start
  • 2024 home splits (regular season): 3-1, 3.88 ERA (46 1/3 IP, 20 ER), 1.17 WHIP, 9 BB, 55 K in 10 starts
  • 2024/Career vs. Padres (regular season): 0-1, 12.00 ERA (6 IP, 2 ER), 1.67 WHIP, 2 BB 8 K in 2 starts

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Padres at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 6:19 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Padres +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Dodgers -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-185) | Dodgers -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Padres at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 3, Dodgers 2

Moneyline

The PADRES (+120) are worth a look as short ‘dogs in this decisive Game 5.

Backing the veteran Darvish against the Dodgers (-145) is a good move, especially with the rookie Yamamoto making just his 2nd career postseason start. He likely won’t have a very long leash, and the L.A. bullpen used 7  pitchers in the Game 4 win, so its bullpen is a little more taxed than San Diego’s.

Run line/Against the spread

The Padres +1.5 (-185) will cost you nearly 2 times your potential return, and that’s quite expensive. The risk is just too great for the small reward if you require insurance and just can’t back the underdog straight up.

PASS.

Over/Under

UNDER 8 (-115) might be the best play on the board in Game 5.

We should have a lot of nerves all around, and both of these pitches are capable of throwing a lot of donuts. If they don’t, neither manager is likely to hesitate to go another way, similar to Game 4 where no pitcher lasted very long if things started going south.

We have had a lot of offense in this series, with the Dodgers averaging 5.4 runs per game (RPG), and the Padres going for 5.3 RPG. While that seems to scream Over, this is an elimination game for both teams, and everyone should be a bit on the tight side.

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NLDS Game 1: San Diego Padres at LA Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s San Diego Padres at LA Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The LA Dodgers welcome the San Diego Padres to Dodger Stadium Saturday for the first of their best-of-5 NLDS series. First pitch is set for 8:38 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Padres vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Playoffs series: 0-0; season series: Padres won 8-5

The Dodgers won the NL West and finished with the top seed in the entire league. Los Angeles finished the regular season on fire, winning 5 straight, 2 of those of which were against the Padres. It scored double digits in 2 of its last 3 games. The Dodgers were the second-best home team in the majors, ending with a 52-28 record. They won 5 of their last 7 at home. Los Angeles is led by DH Shohei Ohtani, who ended the season with a team-high 54 home runs and 130 RBIs.

The Padres, who finished 2nd in the NL West, had the best record of any non-division winner. They beat the Atlanta Braves in back-to-back games at home to advance to the NLDS. They won those games a combined 9-4 and have won 4 of their last 5 games, including the playoffs. They lost RHP Joe Musgrove in the process, though, and he’ll miss all of next season due to Tommy John surgery. San Diego has won 6 of its last 9 games on the road. It is led by 3B Manny Machado, who finished the regular season with 29 home runs and 105 RBIs.

Padres at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Dylan Cease vs. RHP Yoshinobu Yamamoto

Cease (14-11, 3.47 ERA) made 33 starts in 2024. He ended with a 1.07 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 in 189 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 4-3 road loss to the Dodgers Sept. 25
  • 2024 away stats: 8-4, 3.83 ERA (103 1/3 IP, 44 ER), 1.11 WHIP, 10.5 K/9 in 19 starts
  • Career vs. Dodgers: 1-1, 2.61 ERA (20 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 1.45 WHIP, 12.2 K/9 in 4 starts

Yamamoto (7-2, 3.00 ERA) made 18 starts this season. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 in 90 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 13-2 road win over the Colorado Rockies Saturday
  • 2024 home stats: 3-1, 3.88 ERA (46 1/3 IP, 20 ER), 1.17 WHIP, 10.7 K/9 in 10 starts
  • Career vs. Padres: 0-1, 12.00 ERA (6 IP, 8 ER), 1.67 WHIP, 12.0 K/9 in 2 starts

Padres at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 12:30 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Padres +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Dodgers -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-190) | Dodgers -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Padres at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 4, Padres 2

Moneyline

BET DODGERS (-140).

The Dodgers have performed well recently with Yamamoto on the mound. They have won his last 3 starts. Los Angeles also has bats that are red hot, scoring a total of 26 in its last 3-game series and even putting up 11 on the Padres in their 2 games before that. The Dodgers have also been among the best in the country at home, so they should get a boost from that as well.

The Padres had the kryptonite for most of the season against the Dodgers, but they won just 2 of 5 to close the regular season and has their Wild Card series at home as well. San Diego has scored 5 or fewer runs in 9 straight games and has scored 3 or fewer in 3 of its last 7. Couple it all together and back DODGERS (-140).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Dodgers are the run-line favorite here, but 4 of the 13 games between the 2 teams were 1-run games. They aren’t worth playing on the spread. The Padres are far too expensive as a run-line underdog as well.

Avoid the spread and take a moneyline option.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-105).

At this level, both teams have strong starting pitchers taking the mound. That said, the Dodgers have gone Under in 3 of their last 6 games and have allowed 2 or fewer in 3 of their last 4.

While their offense has been hot, in their last series against the Padres, the Dodgers scored just 13 runs in all 3 games. The Padres split their Wild Card series 1-1 O/U and are 3-6 O/U in their last 9 games.

Take UNDER 7.5 (-105).

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San Diego Padres at LA Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s San Diego Padres at LA Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Diego Padres (91-67) and LA Dodgers (94-64) meet Thursday as they wind up a 3-game series in Chavez Ravine. First pitch from Dodger Stadium is slated for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Padres vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 8-4

San Diego and LA have split the 1st 2 games of the series. The Dodgers won Wednesday’s contest, snapping a 5-game Padre win streak. Since Sept. 13, San Diego is 9-2.

Los Angeles heads into Thursday’s game leading the Padres in the NL West by 3 games. The Dodgers are a half-game ahead of the Philadelphia Phillies for the top seed in the upcoming NL playoffs.

Padres at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Joe Musgrove vs. RHP Walker Buehler

Musgrove (6-5, 3.95 ERA) is making his 19th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 through 93 1/3 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 9 K in 3-2 home win vs. Chicago White Sox Friday
  • Career vs. Dodgers (regular season): 0-7, 4.48 ERA (62 1/3 IP, 31 ER), 1.43 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 in 12 starts

Buehler (1-6, 5.63 ERA) is making his 16th start. He has a 1.58 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 through 70 1/3 IP.

  • Last outing: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 9 K in 6-3 home defeat vs. Colorado Rockies Saturday
  • Owns 6.51 ERA over his last 8 starts
  • Career vs. Padres (regular season): 6-1, 1.80 ERA (70 IP, 14 ER), 0.86 WHIP, 10.0 K/9 in 11 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Padres at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 11:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Padres -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Dodgers -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (+165) | Dodgers +1.5 (-200)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Padres at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 4, Dodgers 3

Moneyline

SAN DIEGO (-105) is 5-2 over its last 7 games at Dodger Stadium.

Musgrove is in excellent form. Over his last 2 starts, he’s held foes scoreless while whiffing 17 batters without issuing a base on balls.

The Friars are an excellent road club (45-31) and are 6-2 across their last 8 away games. Heading into this series, the Padres ranked 5th and 6th, respectively, in road scoring (5.11 runs per game) and run prevention (3.88).

Buehler does not typically get deep into games, and that potentially exposes an LA bullpen which has trended the wrong way this month, at least in its analytic indicator numbers.

BACK PADRES (-105).

Run line/Against the spread

No interest. PASS.

Over/Under

Eight of San Diego’s last 9 games have hit the Under. Across the last 7 San Diego-LA meetings, the Under has gone 5-2.

Look for the starting pitching to be a tad undervalued by surface numbers. TAKE THE UNDER 8.5 (-115).

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San Diego Padres at LA Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s San Diego Padres at LA Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Diego Padres (91-66) and LA Dodgers (93-64) meet Wednesday as they continue a 3-game NL West series. The start time at Dodger Stadium is slated for 10:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Padres vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 8-3

San Diego won Tuesday 4-2 as a +107 underdog. The Padres, 9-1 in the last 10 games, closed out the series-opening win in dramatic fashion, turning a 5-4-3 triple-play to retire LA in the home half of the 9th with DH Shohei Ohtani on deck. The win clinched a postseason berth for the Friars, who are now just 2 games behind the NL West-leading Dodgers.

Los Angeles had been 6-2 with a plus-34 run differential over its last 8 games before Tuesday. The Dodgers have lost 2 in a row at home just twice in the 2nd half.

Padres at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Dylan Cease vs. RHP Jack Flaherty

Cease (14-11, 3.42 ERA) is making his 33rd start. He owns a 1.05 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 in 184 1/3 innings.

  • Last outing: Win, 8 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 4-0 home shutout vs. Houston Astros Sept. 18
  • Career vs. Dodgers: 1-1, 1.72 ERA (15 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 1.40 WHIP, 24 K in 3 starts

Flaherty (13-7, 3.10 ERA) is tabbed for his 28th start combined between the Detroit Tigers and Dodgers. He has authored a 1.06 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 through 157 innings between the 2 clubs.

  • Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 20-4 rout at Miami Marlins Thursday
  • Career vs. Padres (regular season): 2-1, 4.26 ERA (25 1/3 IP, 12 ER), 1.42 WHIP, 28 K in 5 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Padres at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 4:11 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Padres +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Dodgers -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-190) | Dodgers -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Padres at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 5, Dodgers 4

Moneyline

San Diego is 8-2 over its last 10 games against LA.

The Friars are an excellent road club (45-30) and are 6-1 across their last 7 away games. Heading into this series, the Padres ranked 5th and 6th, respectively, in road scoring (5.11 runs per game) and run prevention (3.88).

Wednesday’s pitching matchup is near-level. Looking at recent starts, Cease — who has not allowed a run in his last 2 starts and his last 16 2/3 innings — is a bit more of a green check mark in the mound category.

BACK PADRES (+120).

Run line/Against the spread

No interest. PASS.

Over/Under

Look for both offenses to have just a sliver of an edge in where this one fits compared to expectations. Consider a partial-unit play on OVER 7.5 (-120).

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