Tag: San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs odds predictions pick betting line spread

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The San Diego Padres (19-20) and Chicago Cubs (22-15) play the rubber match of a 3-game set Wednesday. First pitch from Wrigley Field is set for 2:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Cubs odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: San Diego leads 3-2

Chicago, which was a -163 home favorite, picked up a 3-2 win in the 2nd game of the series Tuesday. Two of Chicago’s 3 runs came via solo HRs, including a walk-off homer from 1B Michael Busch off Padres RHP Enyel De Los Santos. The Cubs had 10 hits to San Diego’s 9 and 16 total bases to San Diego’s 12.

San Diego secured a 2-1 lead in the top of the 8th, but the Cubs scored 2 unanswered runs over the final 2 innings to come away with the win.

Padres at Cubs projected starters

RHP Dylan Cease vs. RHP Hayden Wesneski

Cease (4-2, 2.55 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 0.80 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 in 42 1/3 innings.

• Last start: Win, 6 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 8 K in 7-1 win over Arizona Diamondbacks Friday
• Career vs. Cubs: 3-2, 2.86 ERA (34 2/3 IP, 11 ER), 22 H, 16 BB, 43 K across 6 starts

Wesneski (2-0, 0.54 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 0.72 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 16 2/3 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 6 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 3-1 loss vs. Milwaukee Brewers Friday
• Career vs. San Diego: 1-0, 1.80 ERA (5 IP, 1 ER), 4 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 1 start, a 5-2 home victory April 27, 2023

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Padres at Cubs odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:24 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Padres -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Cubs +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (+140) | Cubs +1.5 (-165)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -130)

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Padres at Cubs picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 4, Cubs 3

Moneyline

LEAN PADRES (-120).

San Diego is 5-2 in its last 7 games and 3-2 in its last 5 on the road. The Padres are also 2-1 in their last 3 matchups vs. Chicago and 4-2 in the last 6 meetings.

This is a lean because each team is 5-5 in its last 10 games overall, and they’ve split the last 10 head-to-head meetings 5-5, as well.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I fully expect the Cubs to cover here as +1.5 (-165) underdogs, as they are the better team ATS at 22-15, while the Padres are only 20-19. However, this line is far too expensive, so bet the moneyline and/or total instead.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-130).

The Under has hit in 2 of Chicago’s last 3 games and is 6-3 in its last 9. The Under has also hit in 7 of the last 10 San Diego-Chicago matchups.

Be aware that the Over has hit in 5 of San Diego’s last 7 games.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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The San Diego Padres (19-19) visit the Chicago Cubs (21-15) at Wrigley Field Tuesday for Game 2 of their 3-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Cubs odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 3-1

San Diego took the opener 6-3 as a slight -103 underdog Monday with the Over (7.5) hitting after 8 combined runs were scored in the 6th inning.

Cubs LHP Justin Steele returned after landing on the IL following a short start Opening Day, while former Cubs RHP Yu Darvish took the mound for the visiting Padres, and both came out throwing. Steele worked 4 2/3 scoreless innings and Darvish tossed 5 scoreless frames.

With Steele removed, San Diego scored 6 in the top of the 6th against the Cubs bullpen behind LF Jurickson Profar’s 2-run single, 3B Donovan Solano’s RBI single and C Luis Campusano’s bases-clearing double.

The Cubs runs came thanks to home runs by DH Christopher Morel (2-run shot in 6th to hit the Over) and C Yan Gomes (solo in 7th).

Padres at Cubs projected starters

RHP Randy Vásquez vs. LHP Shota Imanaga

Vásquez (0-1, 5.87 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.83 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 in 7 2/3 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 2 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 10-9 loss at Colorado Rockies April 25
• Allowing 1.25 SLG with 2 outs and 2.00 WHIP with 2 outs and RISP
• Never faced Cubs before

Imanaga (5-0, 0.78 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 0.75 WHIP, 1.0 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 34 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 1-0 victory at New York Mets Wednesday
• 2024 home stats: 2-0, 1.13 ERA (16 IP, 2 ER), 0.56 WHIP in 3 starts
• First time facing Padres

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Padres at Cubs odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:56 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Padres +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Cubs -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-145) | Cubs -1.5 (+120)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Padres at Cubs picks and predictions

Prediction

Cubs 7, Padres 6

Moneyline

The Cubs don’t lose back-to-back games often — just 4 times so far this season. They are 10-4 (71.4%) after a loss (71.4%). The Padres, on the other hand, are 8-10 (44.4%) after a win.

We also can’t ignore this pitching matchup. Imanaga has been phenomenal. Until he slips up, it’s hard to bet against him, which is why I’m willing to lay more juice than usual.

BACK CUBS (-165).

Run line/Against the spread

That being said, I would hesitate in taking Chicago against the spread. As a home favorites, the Cubs are a bottom-10 team, covering in just 4 of 11 attempts (36.4%).

The Padres are the opposite. As a road dogs, they have the 2nd-best ATS record at 9-2 (81.8%).

Even at plus-money on the Cubs (-1.5, +120), I’ll PASS.

Over/Under

The Padres are tied with the 3rd-highest Over rate at 56.8% (21-16-1).

The Over is 4-1-1 in the Cubs’ last 6 games when the O/U line is set at 8 or more runs.

LEAN OVER 9 (-115).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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The San Diego Padres (18-19) and Chicago Cubs (21-14) open a 3-game set Monday. First pitch from Wrigley Field is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Cubs odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 2-1

The Padres snapped a 4-game winning streak with an 11-4 loss against the Arizona Diamondbacks Sunday while failing to cash as -106 road favorites.

CF Jackson Merrill led the way on offense for San Diego with a 2-run homer, while C Kyle Higashioka was the only other Padres player with an RBI. RHP Matt Waldron allowed 7 earned runs in 3 innings to pick up the loss.

Chicago has won back-to-back games after taking down the Milwaukee Brewers 5-0 Sunday and cashing as a +126 home underdog.

Cubs 2B Nico Hoerner had 2 RBIs, while SS Dansby Swanson had a solo homer in the winning effort. RHP Javier Assad allowed 0 earned runs in 6 innings to pick up the win.

Padres at Cubs projected starters

RHP Yu Darvish vs. LHP Justin Steele

Darvish (1-1, 3.45 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 28 2/3 innings.

• Padres are 4-2 in his starts, including 3-0 in his last 3
• Has allowed 11 ER and 2 HR while striking out 25 and walking 10

Steele (0-0, 1.93 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 1 earned run on 3 hits and 1 walk with 6 K’s in 4 2/3 innings in his season debut, a 4-3 Opening Day loss in 10 innings at the Texas Rangers.

• Has been sidelined with a hamstring injury
• 2023 home stats: 12-3, 2.65 ERA (102 IP, 30 ER), 1.19 WHIP in 18 starts

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Padres at Cubs odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:10 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Padres -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Cubs -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-250) | Cubs -1.5 (+180)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Padres at Cubs picks and predictions

Prediction

Cubs 5, Padres 4

Moneyline

BET CUBS (-110).

The Cubs have won back-to-back games, both at home, and have scored 5 or more runs in 3 of their last 4. They get Steele back on the mound for the 1st time since Opening Day and face a Padres team that is 4-6 in its last 10. Combine Chicago’s hot offense with its ace returning, and it should see a 3-game winning streak.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The moneyline has better value for the Cubs.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7 (-120).

The Cubs have scored 5 or more runs in 3 of their last 4 games while allowing 5 or more in 2 of their last 4.

The Padres have scored 6 or more runs in 4 of their last 5 games and 6 of their last 10 while allowing 4 or more in 7 of their last 10. They have hit the Over in 7 of their last 10.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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