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The San Diego Padres (18-18) close out their 3-game road series against the Arizona Diamondbacks (14-20) Sunday. First pitch from Chase Field is at 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Padres lead 2-0
The Padres are looking to complete the 3-game sweep. They have won 4 games in a row, They took the opener 7-1 Friday and then exploded Saturday for a 13-1 win, scoring 10 runs in the final 3 innings.
The Diamondbacks have lost 3 in a row and 7 of their last 9 games. They have scored only 2 runs in this series.
Padres at Diamondbacks projected starters
RHP Matt Waldron vs. RHP Ryne Nelson
Waldron (1-3, 4.35 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 31 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 5-2 home loss to Cincinnati Reds Monday
- Has 6.14 ERA over last 3 starts
Nelson (1-2, 4.60 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.53 WHIP, BB and 13 K in 15 2/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 2 IP, 0 R, 2 H, 0 BB, 0 K in 5-0 road loss to San Francisco Giants April 18
- 1-2 with 6.04 ERA in 5 career starts vs. Padres
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Padres at Diamondbacks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:50 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Padres -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Diamondbacks -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-225) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+165)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Padres at Diamondbacks picks and predictions
Prediction
Diamondbacks 5, Padres 4
Moneyline
The Diamondbacks have struggled, losing 7 of their last 9 games. They have been held to 3 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 9.
They have only been swept once this season.
The Padres have not completed a sweep of any series this season.
BET DIAMONDBACKS (-110).
Run line/Against the spread
While I like the Diamondbacks to avoid the sweep, their only 2 wins in the last 9 games were by 1 run. The +165 odds are nice, but I don’t trust them to do more than barely win.
PASS.
Over/Under
Nine of the Diamondbacks’ last 12 games have not reached 10 total runs.
No start by either pitcher has reached 10 total runs.
BET UNDER 9 (-115).
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