Sacramento Kings at New Orleans Pelicans odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Sacramento Kings at New Orleans Pelicans odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Sacramento Kings (47-31) will face the New Orleans Pelicans (40-38) on Tuesday at Smoothie King Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Kings vs. Pelicans odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Kings lost 142-134 in overtime to the San Antonio Spurs on Sunday as 16.5-point favorites at home. Despite the disappointing loss to San Antonio, Sacramento is only 2 games behind the Memphis Grizzlies for the No. 2 seed in the Western Conference.

The Pelicans covered as 4-point home favorites in Saturday’s 122-114 win over the Los Angeles Clippers. New Orleans is currently the No. 8 seed in the Western Conference, but it is only half a game back of the No. 5 seed.

This will be the 3rd meeting this season. The Pelicans won 136-104 at home on Feb. 4 and the Kings won 123-108 at home on March 6. The Over/Under is 1-1.

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Kings at Pelicans odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:23 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Kings +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Pelicans -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Kings +3.5 (-105) | Pelicans -3.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 237.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Kings at Pelicans key injuries

Kings

  • G Malik Monk (leg) questionable

Pelicans

  • G Jose Alvarado (leg) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Kings at Pelicans picks and predictions

Prediction

Pelicans 119, Kings 114

Moneyline

PASS.

Unless you believe the Kings will secure the win on the road or if you can get the Pelicans at -150 odds or better, I would avoid wagering on the moneyline in this matchup.

Against the spread

PELICANS -3.5 (-115) is how I’d bet with New Orleans hitting its stride recently. The Pelicans have won 7 of their last 10 games and each of those 7 wins was by 8-plus points.

Sacramento is 2-5 ATS in the last 7 road meetings and New Orleans is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games overall.

Over/Under

Despite these teams having dynamic offenses, UNDER 237.5 (-110) is where I’m leaning in this game. This is a pace-down game for the Kings and the Pelicans are 6th in defensive rating this season.

The Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in New Orleans and the Under is also 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings overall.

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Sacramento Kings at New Orleans Pelicans odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Sacramento Kings at New Orleans Pelicans odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Sacramento Kings (23-40) visit the Big Easy Wednesday to play the New Orleans Pelicans (25-36) at Smoothie King Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Kings vs. Pelicans odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

New Orleans is 2-0 since the All-Star break, winning both games on the road, first at the Phoenix Suns (117-102 Friday) and the Los Angeles Lakers (123-95 Sunday). The Pelicans are tied for 10th place in the West with the Portland Trail Blazers, 1.5 games ahead of the San Antonio Spurs.

Sacramento is 13th in the West, 3 games behind New Orleans. The Kings were trade-deadline buyers, acquiring for PF Domantas Sabonis in a multi-player deal that sent PG Tyrese Haliburton and SG Buddy Hield to the Indiana Pacers. Since the All-Star game, the Kings are 1-2 straight up (SU) but 2-1 against the spread (ATS).

The Kings are 2-0 SU/ATS versus the Pelicans this season, but those games were back on Oct. 29 and Nov. 3.

Also seeBet Slippin’ Podcast: NBA March 2 breakdown

Kings at Pelicans odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:22 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Kings +205 (bet $100 to win $205) | Pelicans -260 (bet $260 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Kings +6.5 (-120) | Pelicans -6.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 232.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Kings at Pelicans key injuries

Kings

  • Richaun Holmes (back) questionable

Pelicans

  • None

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Kings at Pelicans odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Pelicans 119, Kings 106

Money line

PASS.

New Orleans (-260) is too rich for my blood even though there’s a big difference between its current version and the NOLA team that started the season 1-12 SU. Two of those losses were to Sacramento.

But New Orleans is .500 since the 1-12 start and is trending up entering this game. Since Feb. 1, the Pelicans are 7-4 SU with the seventh-best adjusted net rating, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.

Also, New Orleans is playing better over that span versus bad teams, and Sacramento has the fifth-worst adjusted net rating. The Pelicans are 4-0 SU versus teams in the bottom 10 of net efficiency with a plus-16.5 adjusted net rating (ranked third).

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Against the spread

BET PELICANS -6.5 (-105) for 1 unit.

They are exceeding expectations since February, including against weak competition. They are third in ATS margin (plus-5.5) since the start of February and second in ATS margin versus bottom-10 teams (plus-12.1).

Furthermore, the Pelicans are 5-2-1 ATS as home favorites, 3-1 ATS when favored by 5-7 points and 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games versus teams with a losing record. The Kings are 9-13 ATS as road underdogs.

Over/Under

LEAN to the UNDER 232.5 (-107) because I prefer the Pelicans’ spread more than the total.

However, NOLA’s defense allows the third-fewest fast-break points per game (PPG) and the seventh-fewest paint PPG. Plus, Sacramento has the fourth-worst effective field-goal percentage in the NBA.

The Pelicans need to light it up for this Over to cash, but I could see this game dying out in the second half if NOLA has this game sealed.

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