Bears’ underrated rushing attack could upset shaky Saints run defense

The Chicago Bears’ underrated rushing attack could upset a shaky New Orleans Saints run defense:

The New Orleans Saints built their team to lean on its strong defense, but the unit isn’t perfect — and the Chicago Bears could be a concerning matchup for them, at least in one respect. Chicago can’t throw the ball very well whether it’s Justin Fields or Tyson Bagent under center, but they’ve run consistently ran well this season. That explosive running game could be a problem for the Saints on Sunday.

Just one team has more rushing attempts of 10 or more yards than the Bears, who have done so 34 times (being the Baltimore Ravens, with 35). Two of Chicago’s top three running backs have posted success rates over 50%, with rookie draft pick Roschon Johnson (45.2%) closing in on Khalil Herbert (51.0%) and D’Onta Foreman (60.0%), who has gashed the Saints before.

The Saints’ run defense appeared to have improved over last year’s results (improving from 24th to 15th in rushing yards allowed per game) going into Week 9’s game with the Indianapolis Colts, but they benefited from a schedule missing many effective rushing offenses. Look at where each opposing offense ranks in rushing yards per game:

  • Tennessee Titans: 13th
  • Carolina Panthers: 24th
  • Green Bay Packers: 25th
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 30th
  • New England Patriots: 27th
  • Houston Texans: 23rd
  • Jacksonville Jaguars: 16th
  • Indianapolis Colts: 9th

Indianapolis was the best rushing team the Saints faced all season, and they ran for 164 yards against New Orleans (a season-high). Enter the Bears, who rank sixth-best, trailing the fifth-ranked San Francisco 49ers by less than one rushing yard per game. Chicago does a great job winning at the line of scrimmage and opening lanes for their rushers to knife through and pick up chunks of yards.

But they’ll be shorthanded on Sunday. Their top running back Khalil Herbert is out with an injury, as is quarterback Justin Fields, whose efforts on the ground have done a lot to keep the offense moving. That could make enough of a difference for the Saints to slow them down, but this isn’t an opponent they can take lightly.

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Breaking down just how good the Lions run game has been through Week 2

The Lions ground game has run wild over the first two weeks

It’s been way too long since the Detroit Lions led the NFL in a positive category at pretty much anything. But league-best marks in the rushing offense?

Yeah, it’s been a long time.

Detroit hasn’t finished in the top 10 in rushing yards per carry since 1998. In the seasons since, the Lions have just two seasons (2013 and 2021) where their rushing attack didn’t finish in the bottom 10 in either yards per carry or total rushing yards, and most years both metrics were in the basement realm.

So far in 2022, the Lions run game has been a runaway success. Through Week 2, the Lions are running wild:

Rank
Yards per carry 7.2 1st
Rushing yards per game 186.0 3rd
Runs of 40+ yards 3 1st

D’Andre Swift leads the charge. Swift has had one run of exactly 50 yards in each of Detroit’s first two games. Swift ranks fourth in the NFL in rushing yards at 200, but his 10.0 yards per carry tops the league. It looks even better when looking at some of the advanced rushing metrics.

When facing seven or more defenders in the box (a “stacked” box) Swift has been sensational. His yards per carry remains at the gaudy 10.0, by far the best in the league of players with at least five attempts.

Jamaal Williams has also been quite effective, and better than the raw stats might indicate. Williams averages just 3.5 yards on his 23 rushing attempts, but two of his runs were short-yardage TDs and two others were successful short-yardage conversions.

The blocking deserves considerable credit, too. Swift leads the league in average yards before contact at an absurd 6.2 yards figure. That’s almost triple the league average of 2.1. Craig Reynolds has only three carries but No. 46 gets 3.7 yards before he’s touched on those carries. Williams is at 2.6 overall, and he is just outside the top 10 on runs between the tackles at 1.87 yards before contact. Keep in mind three of his carries have been goal-line snaps.

It’s not just the line that is doing the blocking work, though OL coach Hank Fraley’s unit has battled through multiple injuries and still been very good. Wide receivers Amon-Ra St. Brown, Josh Reynolds and DJ Chark have all blocked well to help out the run game, too.

The 7.2 yards per carry isn’t sustainable over the course of the season. But the Lions being very near the top in rushing yards per carry, yards per game and explosive plays is something that could last all year.

All advanced stats are courtesy of The 33rd Team – The Edge

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Cowboys abandoned run game vs Bucs; Ezekiel Elliott ‘looking forward to committing to it this week’

Despite averaging 5.3 yards-per-carry Sunday, Ezekiel Elliott was a forgotten man in the 2nd half. He and the team look to turn that around. | From @ToddBrock24f7

Thousands upon thousands of words have been written about the millions and millions of dollars the Cowboys are paying Ezekiel Elliott. About how, despite declining stats over the past two seasons, the team is contractually stuck with him and his exorbitant payday. About how owner Jerry Jones has continued to support feeding the running back on gameday, even if it’s only in an attempt to get his money’s worth before a supposedly inevitable parting of ways after 2022.

Yet in a high-profile season opener when Elliott was the only Cowboy turning in good numbers, the team inexplicably forgot about him. It’s a trend that can’t continue this Sunday, especially with a backup quarterback making just his second pro start taking over the reins and a wide-receiving corps that barely made a blip last Sunday.

Elliott and the Cowboys run game will look to get back on track- and go considerably farther this time- when the AFC champion Bengals come to town in Week 2.

“I think it’s important, period, to establish the run game and run the football and get that going,” the two-time rushing champ told reporters Wednesday. “I think just overall as an offense, we’re a better football team when we run the ball. I think we ran the ball efficiently last Sunday. I’m looking forward to committing to it this week.”

They certainly didn’t against Tampa Bay, even though Elliott was chewing up yardage early on. His first carry went for seven yards. His next gained six. Then five. By halftime, he had 32 yards on just six attempts, a per-clip carry of 5.3 yards against a notoriously stingy Bucs run defense.

Coordinator Kellen Moore’s gameplan came back to Elliott after intermission, handing him the ball three times in the team’s first four plays of the third quarter. Six, seven, and five yards.

“I really liked the run game,” Moore would say later. “I thought Zeke ran really hard, Tony as well. I thought we came off the ball really, really well. We had, I think, 11 five-plus-yard runs against that defense which historically stops the run really well. I thought we had some really, really good stuff there.”

But midway through the third quarter, the Bucs went up by a 19-3 score, and it was “Zeke Who?” Part Two after that. He saw just one more carry the rest of the game as the Cowboys abandoned the ground game in an attempt to catch up through the air.

The former No. 4 draft pick finished the night with 52 yards on 10 carries. Of 93 career games (playoffs included) where he’s been active, that per-carry average put Elliott’s performance Sunday in his Top 25.

What’s more telling, it was only his eighth game logging 10 rushes or fewer.

When asked if that was a sufficient number, Elliott had a one-word answer.

“No.”

 

But inside the Cowboys locker room, the players know it was more than just the score that dictated taking the ball out of Elliott’s effective hands.

“I think we did some decent things in the run game,” guard Zack Martin said. “Obviously, No. 1, we’ve got to cut the penalties, right? And then No. 2, we’ve got to convert on our third-and-manageables. That was something we took away from that game. Everyone wants to know why we didn’t run it enough; well, we didn’t convert on third down, so we really didn’t have a lot of opportunities to. So get us into those manageable third-down situations, convert them, and keep drives alive.”

That’s something the Cowboys will have to try to correct against a Bengals defense that performed similarly to Tampa Bay in Week 1. Cincinnati allowed 75 rushing yards on 22 carries to the Steelers, a 3.4-yards-per-carry average. (Dallas gained 71 yards on 18 rushes, averaging 3.9 per carry.)

And now with a second-string quarterback and a mostly-inexperienced group of receivers comprising the passing attack, the Bengals are expected to load the box against the Dallas ground game.

“Yeah, it’s gonna happen,” Elliott admitted regarding the Bengals’ likely strategy, “and yeah, we’re going have to run the ball. We’re going to have to go run the ball against those heavy fronts. We’re going to have to establish that run game, and I think we’ve got the guys to do it.”

Martin also spoke to the mood in the building, hinting at a renewed sense of purpose as the Cowboys look to turn things around, even with several top-tier playmakers on the sideline.

“We’ve got to stay positive, man,” the nine-year veteran explained. “After the game, and even the last couple of days when you see a couple guys walking around, it’s like, ‘I get it; we don’t have 4 [Dak Prescott] for a little bit, we got our butts kicked in Week 1.’ But like I said earlier, this is a long season. A lot of stuff happens. You’ve got to stay positive. You’ve got to keep moving forward. You can’t look back, so that’s been the messaging. We’ve got a long way to go, and we’ve got a big opportunity to get better this week.”

Secondary running back Tony Pollard will need to do some getting better, too. After a pair of ill-advised gadget plays on the Cowboys’ first drive that combined to lose nine yards, Pollard ended the night with just six positive yards on eight total carries Sunday night. His 1.33 yards-per-rush average was tied for his third-worst in 43 games as a Cowboy where he recorded a carry.

Still, head coach Mike McCarthy said he felt Elliott and Pollard both did “a nice job running the ball” with the chances they did have. Moore blamed a lack of “rhythm and flow” as for why he was unable to “give those guys more opportunities” versus the Bucs.

“We’re going to have to adjust,” the coordinator said Monday, looking ahead to Cincinnati. “I feel really good, and hopefully we’ll have things progressing.”

There’s a far more urgent vibe coming from the fans. An 0-2 start would have Cowboys Nation fully hitting the panic button. Elliott acknowledges that the team isn’t quite there yet.

“There’s definitely some urgency. But there’s definitely no panic. We know we have a great team. We’ve got to go through some adversity to really figure out how good of a team we are.”

Actually sticking with an aspect of the gameplan that’s averaging five-plus yards a pop seems like it would help.

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Lions had best team’s best rushing attack in almost 20 years in 2021

The Lions had the best team’s best rushing attack in almost 20 years in 2021

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One of the strengths of the 2021 Detroit Lions was the offensive rushing attack. The Lions relied on a good offensive line and a trio of skilled backs to produce the most prolific ground game in Detroit in a long time.

The Lions averaged 110.9 rushing yards per game in 2021 and did so by averaging 4.4 yards per carry. The 110.9 yards ranked the Lions 18th while the 4.4 YPC just missed cracking the top 10, tying for 11th in the NFL.

It’s been almost 20 seasons since the Lions averaged over 110 yards per game on the ground and 4.4 yards per carry. The last time the team topped each benchmark was the 2004 season. Those Lions, who finished 6-10 under Steve Mariucci as head coach, averaged 111.1 yards per game on the ground at a 4.4 YPC clip.

For those that don’t remember or (mercifully) blocked out the futile Lions’ first decade of this century, Kevin Jones had a quietly great year in 2004. Jones trucked his way to 1,133 yards and five TDs on 241 carries, a 4.7 YPC average. Shawn Bryson chipped in 264 yards at 5.3 YPC, too. Artose Pinner and Joey Harrington posted almost identical rushing stats that brought the average YPC back a little.

Detroit didn’t top 100 yards per game on the ground again until 2009. The 2013 Lions ran for 112 yards per game but averaged just 4.0 yards per carry, with Reggie Bush and Joique Bell sharing the RB duties. The 2020 Lions ran for 93.7 yards per game at 4.1 YPC.

Detroit’s running attack in 2021:

Carries Yards YPC
Jamaal Williams 153 601 3.9
D’Andre Swift 151 617 4.1
Craig Reynolds 55 230 4.2
Godwin Igwebuike 18 118 6.6
Jared Goff 17 87 5.1
Jermar Jefferson 15 74 4.9
Amon-Ra St. Brown 7 61 8.7

After the bye week in Week 9, Detroit averaged 116 yards per game on the ground and averaged 4.7 yards per carry in those games.

News: Cowboys defense practicing takeaways, eyeing soft QB schedule

Also, a possible playoff bubble, replacing Gerald McCoy, the recent linebacker shuffle, and how the Dallas sidelines will look different.

While still getting over the awful double-shot of Gerald McCoy news from Monday and Tuesday, there was plenty for Cowboys fans to feel good about on Wednesday, including a key reinforcement being officially added to the defensive line that McCoy just vacated.

Elsewhere, a franchise legend is still basking in his limelight moment, and the Dallas defense could be primed for quite a moment of its own. The team received word that the sidelines will be a little less colorful this season, and there’s talk of playoff teams moving to a bubble after the season. All that plus news about play calling, quarterback mentoring, linebacker shifting, turnover practicing, and opposing-passer ranking. Here’s the midweek News and Notes.

The strength of schedule for each NFL team based on opposing quarterbacks tiers :: The Athletic

Here’s a list where fans want to see their team near the bottom. The Cowboys are slated to face just one “Tier 1” quarterback, Russell Wilson, in 2020. Lamar Jackson, Ben Roethlisberger, Matt Ryan, and Carson Wentz are considered “Tier 2” opponents. The majority of the Dallas schedule- 10 games- will be played against quarterbacks in the weakest two tiers.


Mailbag: Still top-five potential on defense? :: The Mothership

In the latest edition of Mailbag, Cowboys writers David Helman and Rob Phillips do their best to answer fan questions. In this edition, they take their turns predicting who will replace Gerald McCoy at 3-tech and look at whether the Cowboys have a chance to be a top-five defense without him.


Cowboys activate Dontari Poe same day they say goodbye to McCoy :: Cowboys Wire

As the Cowboys received terrible news about Gerald McCoy, fellow defensive tackle Dontari Poe officially made his return from injury. The two play different positions along the defensive line, but Poe’s presence will nevertheless ease some of the burden left by McCoy’s absence.




No Cowboys cheerleaders in 2020 (bad), sideline reporters (ok), or Rowdy (awesome) :: Cowboys Wire

The sidelines at AT&T Stadium will look very different this season, with several longtime staples suddenly MIA due to the COVID-19 crisis.  But there is a silver lining, as the eviction of one of the parties may portend a return to the Super Bowl if history repeats.


Dalton embracing mentor role in Cowboys QB room :: The Mothership

Snagging QB Andy Dalton was an excellent offseason move by Dallas. Easily now one of the best backups in the league, the veteran has experience and knowledge that he’s sharing with the Cowboys’ young quarterbacks.



Ezekiel Elliott on Cowboys in 2020: ‘We’re going to run the ball’ :: ESPN

There is a misconception surrounding Mike McCarthy that the former Green Bay head coach doesn’t like to run the ball. But McCarthy understands the back he has in Ezekiel Elliott, and the former two-time rushing champ expects the Cowboys to continue pounding the rock.


Why Drew Pearson belongs in the Pro Football Hall of Fame :: NFL.com

Drew Pearson isn’t in the Hall of Fame yet, and that’s a problem. The 1970s’ All-Decade wideout is overqualified for the achievement, with three first-team All-Pro selections and a Super Bowl win. Gil Brandt helps explain why Pearson should finally get the call in 2021.


McCarthy: Kellen Moore calling plays is ‘best decision’ for 2020 Cowboys :: Cowboys Wire

Mike McCarthy has turned over the big laminated menu to Kellen Moore. But he’s given up play-calling duties before… and then taken them back when things didn’t go so well.



Leighton Vander Esch believes the Cowboys defense practices getting turnovers more now :: Blogging the Boys

A longstanding deficiency of the Cowboys seems to be getting extra attention under Mike McCarthy and Mike Nolan. The third-year linebacker reports that there is now a portion of each practice session dedicated to “punching, raking, hammers, all the stuff. Tackling and punching at the same time.”


Bucky Brooks: What the LB position switch means :: The Mothership

The analyst breaks down the recent shuffling of Leighton Vander Esch and Jaylon Smith, and explains why each player’s individual game should improve… and predicts the new roles could allow the Cowboys defense as a whole to become a blitzing nightmare for opposing quarterbacks.


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