Tag: Royals Tigers odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Kansas City Royals (16-10) and Detroit Tigers (14-11) open a 3-game series Friday at Comerica Park. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Tigers won 10-3 in 2023, including 5-1 at home vs. Royals

The surprising Royals took 3 of 4 games from the Toronto Blue Jays, cashing each of the past 3 outings as a mild underdog as the Under cashed. The total has gone low in 5 in a row for Kansas City, while cashing the Under at a 9-2 pace in the past 11 games dating back to April 14.

The Tigers were tripped up 7-5 against the Tampa Bay Rays in the 3-game series final Thursday, as Tampa salvaged a game after Detroit won the first 2 games by a combined 11-3 score, both as an underdog. The Over-Under has split in the past 4 games for the Tigers.

Royals at Tigers projected starters

RHP Seth Lugo vs. RHP Reese Olson

Lugo (3-1, 2.03 ERA) makes his 6th start of the season. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 4.1 K/9 in 31 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 9 H (2 HR), 1 BB, 1 K in 5-0 home loss vs. Kansas City Royals on Sunday
  • 2024 road splits: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 2-0 win vs. Chicago White Sox on April 15 in his only road appearance to date

Olson (0-3, 3.80 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.45 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 21 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 4 R (2 ER), 5 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 4-3 road loss vs. Minnesota Twins last Saturday
  • 2024 home splits: Loss, 6 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 1-0 loss vs. Texas Rangers on April 15 in his only home start to date

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Royals at Tigers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:51 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Tigers -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals -1.5 (+155) | Tigers +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Royals at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 4, Tigers 3

Moneyline

The ROYALS (-105) are a solid play as slight underdogs in this matinee series opener against the division rival Tigers (-115).

While Detroit dominated the series in 2023, this is a new season. Kansas City has fired out of the chute and played good baseball to date, and it is a solid play behind Lugo, who has allowed very little so far this season.

Run line/Against the spread

The Tigers +1.5 (-190) will cost you nearly 2 times your potential return if you need a little bit of insurance, and you just cannot fathom the idea of taking the Tigers straight up.

If you like the Royals -1.5 (+155), they’re quite a tempting play. However, while they won the final 3 games of the series against the Blue Jays, each of the victories were by a single run.

AVOID.

Over/Under

UNDER 8 (-110) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.

The total has gone low in 5 straight games for the Royals, while going 9-2 in the past 11 outings since April 14. The Under is 6-1-1 in the past 8 road games for Kansas City, too.

For the Tigers, the Over-Under has split in the past 4 games. However, at home, the Under is 4-2 in the past 6 games. The total has gone low at a 3-1-1 clip in the past 5 games inside the division, too.

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Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Kansas City Royals (20-53) and Detroit Tigers (31-41) wrap up a 3-game set Wednesday at Comerica Park. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tigers lead 3-2

The Royals won 1-0 as +121 underdogs in the middle contest of the series on Tuesday. Kansas City has lost 15 of its last 18 contests and is 5th in the AL Central, 15 1/2 games behind the division-leading Minnesota Twins.

The Tigers closed as -131 favorites in Tuesday’s loss. Detroit has won 4 of its last 6 contests and is 3rd in the AL Central, 4 games behind the Twins.

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Royals at Tigers projected starters

RHP Brady Singer vs. LHP Matthew Boyd

Singer (4-6, 6.33 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.61 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 69 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 3-0 loss vs. Los Angeles Angels Friday
  • Career vs. Tigers: 6-0, 3.05 ERA (59 IP, 20 ER), 54 H, 5 HR, 21 BB, 60 K in 11 starts

Boyd (4-5, 5.60 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 64 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 8-4 win at Minnesota Twins Thursday
  • Career vs. Royals: 7-11, 5.32 ERA (135 1/3 IP, 80 ER), 163 H, 13 HR, 35 BB, 109 K in 27 starts and 1 relief appearance

Royals at Tigers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:44 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Tigers -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-190) | Tigers -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Royals at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Tigers 4, Royals 3

Moneyline

Kansas City has not won a road series since taking 2 of 3 games at the San Diego Padres from May 15-17. Detroit is 4-1 in its last 5 games vs. right-handed starters and should have no problem scoring runs on Singer, who is having the worst season of his career.

BET TIGERS (-125).

Run line/Against the spread

Kansas City +1.5 (-190) should hit in a low-scoring game, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the run line when Tigers ML is the better play. Bet Detroit ML and/or the total instead.

PASS.

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Over/Under

The Under has hit in Singer’s last 4 starts and is 5-0 in Kansas City’s last 5 games vs. lefties.

The Under has gone 19-6-1 in the last 26 meetings between these teams in Detroit and should hit again Wednesday for the 2nd straight time.

BET UNDER 8.5 (-105).

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Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Kansas City Royals (19-52) and Detroit Tigers (30-40) open up a 3-game set Monday at Comerica Park. First pitch is at 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tigers lead 2-1.

The Royals enter this series having just won 1 game in their last 10 and 4 in their last 20. Their 19 wins are tied for last in the bigs. C Salvador Perez has still had a decent season hitting .268 with 14 homers and 37 RBIs and SS Bobby Witt Jr. is also coming into his own with 11 homers and 21 steals.

The Tigers just took 3 of 4 from the AL Central-leading Minnesota Twins over the weekend. They sit just 5 games out of 1st place now. It has been a rough stretch for Detroit as well though, as they’ve won just 6 of the last 20 games. They hope to get OF Riley Greene back from the IL soon after he opened the season nicely with a .296 average, 5 homers and 18 RBIs before being sidelined at the end of May.

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Royals at Tigers projected starters

RHP Jordan Lyles vs. RHP Reese Olson

Lyles (0-11, 6.89 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 in 79 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 5 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 4 K Tuesday against the Cincinnati Reds
  • Last 3 starts vs. Detroit: 1-2, 3.74 ERA, 0.88 WHIP, 17 K in 21 2/3 IP

Olson (0-2, 6.08 ERA) makes his 3rd start and 4th appearance. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 13 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 2 K Wednesday against Atlanta Braves
  • Has not faced the Royals
  • Features a 95-mph fastball, slider, sinker, changeup and curveball; opposing hitters have just a .111 OBA on his heater

Royals at Tigers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:39 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Tigers -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-155) | Tigers -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Royals at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Tigers 5, Royals 3

Moneyline

The Tigers are the clear favorites here with one of their top prospects on the hill. They are a bit better at home at 15-18 as opposed to 15-22 on the road. However, I’m still not really comfortable dropping -150 on them. The Royals have some young talent, and one could argue there’s more to be excited about from their side than Detroit’s.

Even while allowing 5 ER in each of his last 2 starts, Lyles still completed 6 and 7 innings in them. He threw a complete game against the Tigers late last season in his last start against them. I’ll take JORDAN LYLES OVER 15.5 OUTS (-135) and look for him to get at least 1 out in the 6th.

Run line/Against the spread

The Royals have the 3rd-worst bullpen ERA in baseball at 4.81. Detroit’s is 13th at 3.87. So I like Detroit to outlast the young Royals. The Tigers are 37-33 on the RL and 16-17 at home. That’s not bad for a team 10 games under .500. The Royals are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings with Detroit.

I’ll take the TIGERS -1.5 (+125) at home.

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Over/Under

This could go either way, but the weather shouldn’t be a factor. It’s projected to be 81 degrees with a 12-mph wind blowing toward the right field foul pole. K.C. is 4-6 O/U over the last 10, but Detroit is 8-2. The Over has cashed in Detroit’s last 4 home games. However, the Under is 20-7-1 in the last 28 meetings between these clubs in Detroit.

I like the UNDER 9 (-110) Monday.

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Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Kansas City Royals (27-47) take the field against the Detroit Tigers (29-45) Friday at Comerica Park in the 1st of a 3-game set. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Royals vs. Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Detroit leads 2-1.0

KC snapped a 4-game losing skid by winning Wednesday’s finale against the Texas Rangers 2-1. The Royals are 10-10 over the last 20 games despite being without 2 of their cornerstones in C Salvador Perez (thumb) and SS Adalberto Mondesi (knee).

Detroit has won 3 of its last 5, and they’re a much better team at home with an 18-22 record. For a team last in the majors with 3.09 runs/9, Detroit has hit better recently. They’ve managed 5.3 runs per game in the last 10 games. These teams met in April with the Tigers winning 2 of 3 games.

Royals at Tigers projected starters

RHP Brad Keller vs. RHP Michael Pineda

Keller (2-9, 4.56 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 5.8 K/9 in 79 IP.

  • He threw 7 quality innings against Detroit in April, allowing 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB and 5 K.
  • Has allowed 4 ER in 5 of his last 7 starts
  • Current Tigers are hitting .241 with a .294 weighted on-base average in 129 plate appearances

Pineda (1-2, 3.22 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 4.8 K/9 in 22 1/3 IP.

  • First start since fracturing his middle finger in a start May 14
  • He threw 68 pitches in his last rehab start June 26 for Triple-A Toledo and allowed 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB and 2 K in 3 2/3 innings.

Royals at Tigers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:01 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Royals -103 (bet $103 to win $100) | Tigers -117 (bet $117 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals -1.5 (+155) | Tigers +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Royals at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Tigers 5, Royals 3

Money line

This game has a lot of unpredictable factors. Keller has been very giving, but Detroit’s offense is the worst in baseball. How will Pineda fare in his first start off the IL? Two things we can key in on here are the Tigers are much tougher to put away at home and they have the 4th-best bullpen ERA in baseball at 3.17. The Royals are 27th at 4.63. LEAN TIGERS (-117).

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Run line/Against the spread

We’re going to stay away from the RL here as we can’t count on either team. What we can count on, though, is both starters allowing runs on the board. Keller has been giving up 4 on his own recently – so let’s take OVER 3.5 FIRST 5 INNNGS TOTAL RUNS (-170).

Over/Under

The Under is 23-7-1 in the last 31 meetings. The Under has cashed in 7 straight between the 2 teams. It’s just a lean because of the volatility at play here, but LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-125).

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Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Kansas City Royals (16-19) and Detroit Tigers (12-24) close out a three-game series Thursday at 1:10 p.m. ET at Comerica Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Royals vs. Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Daniel Lynch is the projected starting pitcher for the Royals. He is 0-1 with an 18.56 ERA, 3.00 WHIP, 5.1 K/9 and 8.4 BB/9 in 5 1/3 IP over 2 starts.

Lynch is a highly-regarded 24-year-old prospect making his third career start. He didn’t make it out of the first frame last time out, Saturday against the Chicago White Sox.

RHP Spencer Turnbull is the projected starter for the Tigers. In 4 starts this season, he is 1-2 with a 4.74 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 7.1 K/9 and 2.4 BB/9 through 19 IP.

The Tigers righty logged a productive turn against these Royals April 26 (6 IP, 3 ER, 0 BB, 5K), but he has been undone a bit in two road starts (at the New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox) since. Turnbull owns a sub-3.00 ERA over his last 7 home starts.

MLB betting offers/promotions

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Royals at Tigers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Royals -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Tigers -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Royals -1.5 (+150) |  Tigers +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Tigers 5, Royals 4

Money line (ML)

The Royals have been a solid fade candidate this month after being too far out over their skis with a 15-9 start in April. They’ve lost 10 games in a row and are averaging just 3.0 runs per game on a .639 team OPS over the slide.

Detroit doesn’t figure to be a profitable option in many instances, but the right lean of the Tigers lineup (93% of plate appearances vs. left-handed pitchers) won’t do the rookie Lynch any favors.

The once-slumbering Tigers offense has come alive in the team’s last three series with a .794 OPS. Turnbull is not an enticing part of this play. Frankly, neither is a terrible Detroit bullpen, but it’s a bullpen better than the 6.62 ERA it carries into Thursday. It isn’t too far out of step with a bottom-third Royals relief corps.

Add in the possibility that everything is happening just way too fast for Lynch, and consider a partial-unit play on DETROIT (-115).

(Starting pitchers play enough into the betting equation to make a third-time starter a lessened-action play in just about any scenario.)

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the run line with its increased juice.

Over/Under (O/U)

Turnbull and the key relievers on both sides have been seen once or twice over. Both lineups figure as being a tad underrated by their current run-scoring and OPS averages.

Throw in two bottom-10 bullpens and a 65-degree day game in the Motor City, and follow some bigger-money plays on the OVER 9 (-110).

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Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Kansas City Royals (16-17) visit Motor City Tuesday for a three-game set with the Detroit Tigers (10-24) at Comerica Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Royals vs. Tigers with MLB picks and predictions.

Kansas City is in the midst of an eight-game losing skid, which includes back-to-back sweeps by the Chicago White Sox and the Cleveland Indians.

Detroit has been off the past two days after the rubber match of the three-game set with the Minnesota Twins was rained out Sunday. The Tigers are just 2-8 in their last 10 games.

Season series: Royals lead 4-0.

RHP Brady Singer is on the rubber for the Royals. Singer is 1-3 with a 3.41 ERA (29 IP, 11 ER), 1.17 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 across 6 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision in 5 2/3 IP with 3 ER, 4 H, 2 BB and 3 K Wednesday vs. the Indians.
  • Career vs. the Tigers: 3-0 with a 1.44 ERA (25 IP, 4 ER), 0.64 WHIP and 8.6 K/9 over 4 starts.
    • Vs. Tigers on the current roster: 64 at-bats with a .172/.185/.313 slash line, 20/1 K/BB rate, 3 HR and 3 RBIs.

LHP Matthew Boyd is the projected starter for the Tigers. Boyd is 2-3 with a 2.27 ERA (35 2/3 IP, 9 ER), 0.93 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 across 6 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 11-0, in 1 IP with 2 ER, 3 H, 1 BB and 2 K at the White Sox April 29.
  • Career vs. the Royals: 7-10 with a 5.71 ERA (116 2/3 IP, 74 ER), 1.46 WHIP and 7.0 K/9 over 23 starts.
    • Vs. Royals on the current roster: 247 at-bats with a .296/.340/.506 slash line, 47/15 K/BB rate, 9 HR and 33 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

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Royals at Tigers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 6:48 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Royals -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Tigers +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Royals -1.5 (+115) | Tigers +1.5 (-140)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Royals 4, Tigers 1

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the ROYALS (-145) for a half unit because Singer has much better career numbers vs. the Tigers than Boyd vs. the Royals.

These starters faced each other back on April 24 and Singer was considerably sharper than Boyd even though Kansas City only won 2-1.

Singer had a 1.82 xFIP, 2.50 ground ball to fly ball rate and a 70.8% contact rate vs. the Tigers, while Boyd had a 5.20 xFIP, 0.54 ground ball to fly ball rate and an 83.3% contact rate vs. the Royals a few weeks ago.

Both teams have played equally as bad, so I don’t know how much this Royals-Tigers meeting differs from the previous with the same starting pitchers.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because the payout of the Royals -1.5 (+115) isn’t juicy enough considering how poorly Kansas City has looked over its last 10 games.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 8 (-115) for 1 unit because both starters have looked impressive out the gate and each lineup has been awful.

Kansas City is 22nd in BB/K and 26th in both wRC+ and wOBA vs. left-handed pitching whereas Detroit is dead-last in BB/K, 24th in wOBA and 22nd in wRC+ against righties.

Furthermore, Detroit has the third-highest Under rate and Kansas City the lowest in division games since the beginning of last season.

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Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Kansas City Royals (10-7) and Detroit Tigers (7-12) meet Friday night at 7:10 p.m. ET to open a series at Comerica Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Royals vs. Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Mike Minor is the projected starting pitcher for the Royals. Over 15 appearances (14 starts) the last two seasons, Minor is 2-7 with a 5.47 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 9.2 K/9 and 3.1 BB/9 over 72 1/3 IP. He owns a 5.17 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in three turns this season.

RHP Casey Mize is the projected starter for the Tigers. He is 1-4 with a 5.68 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, 7.9 K/9 and 3.5 BB/9 in 44 1/3 IP over 10 starts in the last two seasons. He owns a 3.38 ERA in three starts in 2021. In the most recent of those — Saturday against the Oakland Athletics — Mize was tagged for 3 home runs en route to allowing 5 ER in 5 IP.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Royals at Tigers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:35 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Royals -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Tigers +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Royals -1.5 (+135) |  Tigers +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Tigers 5, Royals 4

Money line (ML)

Peg the Royals as being a couple of games or more too far out over their skis with a 10-7 record. The lean here is small because the Tigers’ bullpen doesn’t inspire much confidence, but the upside to Mize with his early velocity uptick and better control is the difference-maker in approaching this line.

The Tigers are off to a terrible start against southpaws, but it’s a small sample, and (albeit in another small sample) they have a solid .874 OPS against Minor. Mize brings out the lesser side of the Royals’ splits with their .696 OPS vs. right-handed pitching.

This is also KC’s first road game coming off a 10-game homestand.

TAKE THE TIGERS (+100).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

A Tigers price better than -150 would be attractive but PASS on the listed tag.

Over/Under (O/U)

The offenses for either side aren’t that likable; the pitching is even less so.

Both bullpens figure as bottom-third units. KC’s bats have started to come around a bit of late with a .770 OPS over their last 8 games.

Temperatures in the mid-to-high-50s represent a significant warm-up; the Tigers may feel like this game is being played in Grapefruit League weather after recent frozen nights in the Motor City.

BACK THE OVER 8.5 (-105).

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