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Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Kansas City Royals (65-95) and Cleveland Guardians (90-70) meet Tuesday to continue a 6-game, season-ending series at Progressive Field. First pitch in the AL Central tilt is slated for 6:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Royals vs. Guardians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Cleveland leads 10-7

Kansas City took Monday’s game 5-2. The road win stands as a rarity: the Royals had been just 7-21 away from home since Aug. 2. The K.C. road offense during that same stretch has been awful. The Royals have logged just 3.17 runs per game over their last 28 away from Kauffman Stadium.

The Guardians have come on strong to win the AL Central flag. Since Sept. 5, Cleveland is 22-6. The Guardians have made hay against the Central: they are 45-29 in division contests.

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Royals at Guardians projected starters

LHP Daniel Lynch vs. RHP Cal Quantrill

Lynch (4-12, 4.96 ERA) has recorded a 1.55 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 through 127 IP across 26 starts.

  • Has clocked an 8.66 over 4 starts vs. Cleveland in the last 2 seasons
  • Facing a Cleveland nine that has struggled against left-handers (.642 OPS) while performing above-league-average against righties (.717)

Quantrill (14-5, 3.42 ERA) has authored a 1.22 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 through 181 1/3 IP in 31 starts.

  • Has registered a 2.82 since Aug. 30
  • Has benefited from a .279 batting average on balls in play

Royals at Guardians odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:25 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Royals +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Guardians -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-150) | Guardians -1.5 (+117)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Royals at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 4, Guardians 3

Moneyline

David Lynch has worked around the traffic of a .332 BABIP. Although he’s up against a big innings climb from last year to this (and likely subject to some expected fatigue), he and the Royals are worth a look against clubs — like Cleveland — that scuffle against lefties.

The Kansas City offense has cranked out a robust .778 OPS over its last 15 games. When looking at the bottom third of the league, K.C.’s 34-56 mark against winning teams is better than most.

Potential playoff-prep lineup shuffling and in-game substitutions are factors working against Cleveland.

BACK THE ROYALS (+150) on a partial-unit play. A +160 tag should trigger a full unit.

Run line/Against the spread

This price is further from value than that of the Moneyline. STEER CLEAR.

Over/Under

Value indicators — the tools that spot gaps in real-vs. expected outcomes allowing runs and scoring them — are mixed for this matchup.

PASS.

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Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Kansas City Royals (64-95) visit the Cleveland Guardians (90-69) Monday in their final series of the regular season. First pitch is at 6:10 p.m. ET from Progressive Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Royals vs. Guardians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Guardians lead 10-6

The Guardians have won 4 of their last 5 games and 2 of their last 3 against the Royals. They have already clinched the AL Central and are looking ahead to the playoffs after they finish this final series with the Royals.

The Royals have lost 5 of their last 6 games and sit last in the division  having long been eliminated from playoff contention.

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Royals at Guardians projected starters

RHP Zack Greinke vs. RHP Triston McKenzie

Greinke (4-9, 3.98 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 4.95 K/9 in 131.0 IP.

  • Is 2-2 in his last 4 starts with 8 Ks in 22.1 IP
  • In those 4 starts he has allowed 5 ER and 0 HR

McKenzie (11-11, 2.99 ERA) makes 30th start. He has a  0.96 WHIP, 2.13 BB/9 and 8.98 K/9 in 186.1 IP.

  • Is 5-0 in his last 5 starts with 37 K in 33.2 IP
  • In those 5 starts he has allowed 8 ER and 5 HR

Royals at Guardians odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 11:29 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Royals +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Guardians -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-150) | Guardians -1.5 (+122)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -140 | U: -112)

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Royals at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 8, Royals 3

Moneyline

AVOID

The Guardians should almost surely win this game, so I would say if you really want a moneyline bet then you should feel safe with this bet. But for me this bet isn’t worth the risk of taking and I would AVOID the ML here.

Run line/Against the spread

BET GUARDIANS -1.5 (+122).

History this season shows that when the Guardians beat the Royals they often do so by at least 3 runs, which is why I would say this is your best bet for this game. If the Royals can make this a close game then they will likely win, but this is a Guardians team that is trying to get hot right before the playoffs and I believe they continue this trend in this game.

Over/Under

BET OVER 6.5 (-140).

History from this season also shows that when the Guardians beat the Royals they almost always score at least 6 runs in doing so. Because of this I believe that the Over is the 2nd safest bet in this game. If the Royals can just put up at least 1 run I believe the Guardians will be able to do what they’ve done all season against this Royals team and put up at least 6 runs to cover the over.

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Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Kansas City Royals (63-93) will begin a 6-game series with the Cleveland Guardians (88-68) on Friday at Progressive Field at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Royals vs. Guardians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Guardians lead 8-5

The Royals aren’t in the playoff picture with a 63-93 record and are playing their younger players down the final stretch of the season. Kansas City has lost 4 of its last 5 games, including a 3-game sweep by the Detroit Tigers.

The Guardians have already clinched the AL Central and are locked into the No. 3 seed in the AL playoffs. Cleveland has won 9 of its last 10 games and the Guardians have won 7 straight series.

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Royals at Guardians projected starters

RHP Brady Singer vs. RHP Aaron Civale

Singer (10-4, 2.99 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 147 2/3 IP.

  • Has been credited with the win in 3 straight starts
  • Sept. 5 vs. Guardians: 6 IP, 9 H, 3 ER, 0 BB, 1 K

Civale (3-6, 5.19 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 85 IP.

  • The Guardians have won 5 of his last 6 starts
  • July 8 at Royals: 7 IP, 6 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 6 K

Royals at Guardians odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:16 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Royals +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Guardians -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-190) | Guardians -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -112 | U: -140)

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Royals at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 4, Guardians 3

Money line

I’ll be taking ROYALS (+115) in this game as the Guardians have already locked up their spot in the postseason. Kansas City wants to finish the season strong and they have Singer on the mound, who has been fantastic in 2022.

The Royals have gone 8-1 in Singer’s last 9 starts.

Run line/Against the spread

While I believe the Royals should be able to win outright, I’ll PASS on the run line in this game. Kansas City’s odds are at -190 to keep the game within 2 runs, so it’s not a bet worth taking straight up.

Over/Under

UNDER 7.5 RUNS (-140) appears to be the correct choice in this game, especially with the weather factors at Progressive Field. Singer shouldn’t surrender many runs while KC should be able to muster up a few runs on Civale.

The Under is 4-0 in Cleveland’s last 4 road games against a team with a winning record. Plus, the Under has hit in 5 of the last 7 meetings between the Royals and the Guardians.

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Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Kansas City Royals (16-31) and Cleveland Guardians (20-24) face off Tuesday for the second game of a three-game set at Progressive Field. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Royals vs. Guardians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: The Guardians lead the season series against the Royals 3-2, including Monday’s 7-3 victory in Cleveland.

The Royals have dropped nine of the past 11 games overall. The exact score of the past three games for Kansas City has been 7-3, with back-to-back losses by that score.

The Guardians have picked up two wins in the past three games, and Cleveland has been a respectable 6-4 across the past 10 at home.

Royals at Guardians projected starters

LHP Daniel Lynch vs. RHP Cal Quantrill

Lynch (2-3, 3.92 ERA) makes his ninth start. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 3.92 BB/9 and 8.54 K/9 through 39 IP.

  • Is winless in the past five starts, going 0-2 with a 4.30 ERA across 23 IP in 5 outings in the month of May.
  • Posted a 1-2 record with a 3.55 ERA across 25.1 IP over five starts on the road.

Quantrill (1-3, 3.42 ERA) makes his ninth start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 3.61 BB/9 and 5.32 K/9 through 47.1 IP.

  • Faced the Royals in Kansas City April 10, allowing two runs, four hits and a walk across 5 IP for his only win of the campaign.
  • Has walked three or more batters in five of his past seven outings, while lasting at least 6 IP in six consecutive starts.

Royals at Guardians odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Royals +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Guardians -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-170) | Guardians -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Royals at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 7, Royals 4

Money line

The GUARDIANS (-145) are the play as moderate favorites. Cleveland opened this three-game set with a convincing 7-3 win, posting eight hits, including a triple and two home runs.

It’s not just about offense for Cleveland, however, as it enters seventh in the majors with a 1.18 WHIP, and third in the league with a 7.27 strikeouts per game. Conversely, Kansas City struggles to put up runs, ranking just 25th with 3.81 runs per game.

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Run line/Against the spread

The GUARDIANS -1.5 (+135) are worth a small-unit play on the run line. That’s because the Royals have been yielding runs at an alarming rate, posting a 5.02 ERA to rank 28th. They’re also 29th with a 1.48 WHIP. Cleveland’s offense should be able to post plenty of runs like it did in Monday’s opener.

Over/Under

The OVER 9.5 (-107) is worth playing, as again, Kansas City has struggled in the pitching department. But it’s not a slam-dunk play, as the Royals have also struggled plating runs. Still, the Guardians have averaged 11.3 runs per game in the past three meetings with the Royals.

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