In a heavyweight bout on the main card, Ben Rothwell meets Marcos Rogerio de Lima Saturday at UFC Fight Night 197 – also known as UFC Vegas 42. Below, we analyze the UFC Fight Night 197 Rothwell vs. Rogerio de Lima odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The card can be viewed on ESPN+ with the prelims at 1 p.m. ET and the main card at 4 p.m. ET.
Rothwell stands three inches taller than his counterpart, and he’ll look to use a three-inch reach advantage to keep Rogerio de Lima at bay. He also holds a 3.71-to-3.24 significant strikes landed per minute advantage.
Rothwell picked up a submission victory in the second round last time out over Chris Barnett in May and has won three of his last four fights. Five of his last seven fights went the distance.
de Lima earned a unanimous-decision victory over Maurice Greene his last time out in May and has alternated wins and losses across his last 10 fights. Just two of his 11 fights at the UFC level have gone the distance.
UFC Fight Night 197 Rothwell vs. de Lima: Odds and lines
Odds via Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Rothwell -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Rogerio de Lima +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
- Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over +120 | Under -165)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +122 | No -170)
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UFC Fight Night 197 Rothwell vs. de Lima: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Rothwell (39-13-0) | Rogerio de Lima (18-8-1)
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
ROTHWELL (-175) is the play as the moderate favorite here, as de Lima has been too erratic lately. He hasn’t won two consecutive fights since he was victorious in a TUF fight and his first UFC bout in 2014.
The veteran Rothwell has 41 finishes across his 52 career professional bouts, but five of his last seven fights have gone the distance. ROTHWELL ON POINTS (+250) is worth a roll of the dice for a payout of two and a half times your potential return.
Over/Under (O/U)
Yes (+122): Fight to Go the Distance? is a value play based upon Rothwell’s recent history and a lack of stoppages. Rogerio de Lima also went the distance last time out.
In addition, OVER 2.5 ROUNDS (+122) has an identical price and is a better play just in case of a late finish in the third round. Why not give yourself a better chance to cash a ticket?
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