Tag: Rockies Pirates odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Colorado Rockies at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Colorado Rockies at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Colorado Rockies (14-22) play the 2nd game of their 3-game set vs. the Pittsburgh Pirates (21-15) on Tuesday. First pitch at PNC Park is 6:35 p.m. ET . Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rockies at Pirates odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Pirates lead 4-0

The Pirates took the series opener 2-0 on Monday night as RHP Mitch Keller pitched a complete-game, 4-hit shutout and 2B Rodolfo Castro hit a 2-run HR in the 7th. The win snapped a 7-game losing streak for the Pirates, who lead the NL Central.

The Rockies had won 2 in a row before Monday’s loss and are 2-2 on their 6-game road trip. They have won 6 of their last 8 games.

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Rockies at Pirates projected starters

RHP Connor Seabold vs. RHP Luis Ortiz

Seabold (0-0, 5.30 ERA) makes his 2nd start in 9 appearances. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 3 BB and 14 K in 18 2/3 IP.

  • Joined rotation after 7 games out of the bullpen
  • First start May 4 vs. Milwaukee Brewers: No-decision, 5 IP, 7 H, 3 ER, 0 BB, 1 K in Rockies’ 9-6 win

Ortiz (0-2, 4.50 ERA in 2022) makes his 2023 debut. In 4 games last season, he had a 1.13 WHIP, 10 BB and 17 K in 16 IP.

  • Allowed 2 or fewer runs in 3 of 4 starts in 2022
  • Is making 1st career appearance vs. Rockies

Rockies at Pirates odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:32 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rockies +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Pirates -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +1.5 (-140) | Pirates -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Rockies at Pirates picks and predictions

Prediction

Pirates 5, Rockies 2

Moneyline

The Rockies are 7-13 on the road this season, although they are 4-3 in their last 7 road contests.

The Pirates are 10-7 at home. While they had a 7-game losing streak snapped with their win on Monday, they won 11 of 12 games before that.

The Pirates have won all 4 matchups and while a moneyline bet on the Pirates (-165) is reasonable, look at the run line for a better value.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The Pirates have won all 4 games against the Rockies by at least 2 runs and have outscored the Rockies 35-9. Sixteen of Pittsburgh’s 21 wins are by at least 2 runs. Plus, 5 of the Rockies’ last 6 losses have been by more than 1 run.

BET PIRATES -1.5 (+115).

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Over/Under

Three of the Rockies’ last 4 games have had 8 or fewer total runs. They have scored 2 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 7 games. And 2 of the 4 games between these 2 teams have had 8 or fewer runs.

BET UNDER 8.5 (+100).

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Colorado Rockies at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Colorado Rockies at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Colorado Rockies (14-21) begin a 3-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates (20-15) on Monday at PNC Park. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rockies vs. Pirates odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Pirates lead 3-0

The Rockies cruised to a 13-6 win at the New York Mets Sunday. Colorado won the final 2 games of the 3-game set in New York and has won 6 of its last 7 games.

The Pirates lost 10-1 to the Toronto Blue Jays on Sunday, their 7 straight loss. Pittsburgh swept Colorado in a 3-game series on April 17-19 while outscoring the Rockies 33-9.

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Rockies at Pirates projected starters

LHP Kyle Freeland vs. RHP Mitch Keller

Freeland (3-3, 3.76 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 through 38 1/3 IP.

  • Has allowed 5 or more hits in 4 of his first 7 starts
  • April 17 vs. Pittsburgh: 9 R (7 ER) on 8 H and 1 BB with 1 K in 2 2/3 IP

Keller (3-1, 3.32 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 through 40 2/3 IP.

  • Has allowed 5-plus hits in 5 of his first 7 starts
  • Has struck out at least 7 batters in 5 of his first 7 starts
  • Has walked only 3 batters in his last 3 starts after issuing 10 free passes in his first 4 turns

Rockies at Pirates odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:42 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rockies +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Pirates -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +1.5 (-135) | Pirates -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Rockies at Pirates picks and predictions

Prediction

Pirates 5, Rockies 3

Moneyline

PASS.

Unless you can get the Pirates’ moneyline at -160 odds or better then I’d avoid betting on either team in this game straight up.

Run line/Against the spread

PIRATES -1.5 (+110) has great value with how well Keller has pitched for Pittsburgh. The Pirates are also performing well against southpaws this season, posting a 115 wRC+ against LHP this season (tied for 6th best in MLB).

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Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (-115) is the lean in this NL matchup despite the Rockies swinging a hot bat in recent games. Keller is seemingly putting everything together on the mound and Freeland hasn’t been awful either.

The Under is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings between these clubs and 19-6-4 in the last 29 meetings in Pittsburgh.

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Colorado Rockies at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Colorado Rockies at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Colorado Rockies (19-21) open a 7-game road trip Monday with the first of 3 games against the Pittsburgh Pirates (16-24). First pitch is 6:35 p.m. ET at PNC Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Pirates odds with MLB picks and predictions.

This is the first meeting this season between the two teams.

The Rockies just wrapped up a 9-game homestand and went only 3-6. They won just 1 game in each series and were shutout 2-0 by the New York Mets Sunday.

The Pirates were swept by the St. Louis Cardinals in a 3-game home series over the weekend, and have lost 7 of their last 10 games. Pittsburgh lost the series finale 18-4 Sunday.

Rockies at Pirates projected starters

RHP Chad Kuhl vs. RHP JT Brubaker

Kuhl (3-2, 3.86 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 37 1/3 IP.

  • Faces the Pirates for the first time in his career after pitching for them from 2016-2021.
  • Got knocked around in his last 2 starts, both against the San Francisco Giants, as he allowed 10 earned runs in 7 2/3 innings pitched. He is 3-0 with a 1.82 ERA excluding those two outings.

Brubaker (0-4, 5.50 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 4.8 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 through 36 IP.

  • The Pirates are 3-5 in his starts.
  • Has lost 13 of his last 14 decisions dating back to last season.
  • The Pirates have not scored any runs in his last 2 starts.

Rockies at Pirates odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Rockies +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Pirates -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +1.5 (-190) | Pirates -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Rockies at Pirates picks and predictions

Prediction

Rockies 5, Pirates 1

Money line

The Rockies are 5-10 on the road this season and have dropped 9 of their last 10 road games. However, they face a Pittsburgh squad that has been shut out the last 2 of Brubaker’s starts.

The Pirates have lost 7 of their last 10 games and have scored 1 or 0 runs in 4 of those games.

Kuhl has not fared well in his last 2 starts but those were against a very good Giants team. He was unbeaten and had an ERA of 1.82 before those starts.

Expect him and the Rockies to pick up a win in the opener.

Take the ROCKIES (+115).

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Run line/Against the spread

The Rockies are the worst road team in baseball against the spread. They are 5-10 ATS on the road.

The Pirates are 11-11 ATS at home but 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games.

All 5 losses of the Pirates’ losses with Brubaker starting have been by at least 3 runs.

I expect the Rockies to cover the spread tonight, but I don’t like the price. Better to stick with the money line bet and PASS here.

Over/Under

The last 2 of Kuhl’s starts had totals of 8 or more runs, but only one of his first 5 did.

Brubaker’s last 2 contests and 4 of his 8 starts have had totals of 7 or fewer runs.

I expect a good start by Kuhl and the Rockies to get a few runs off Brubaker but not enough to get the total to 8.

Take UNDER 7.5 (-107).

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