Tag: Rockies Mets odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Colorado Rockies at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Colorado Rockies at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Colorado Rockies (12-21) and New York Mets (17-16) meet Saturday at Citi Field. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rockies vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mets lead 1-0

The Rockies lost 1-0 as +222 underdogs at the Mets Friday. Colorado entered the matchup on a 4-game win streak and had been averaging 7.75 runs/game during that stretch.

The Mets closed as -247 favorites in Friday’s win. OF Brandon Nimmo homered in the bottom of the 4th inning as New York ended a 3-game skid.

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Rockies at Mets projected starters

LHP Austin Gomber vs. RHP Tylor Megill

Gomber (2-4, 7.57 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.68 WHIP, 4.6 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 through 27 1/3 innings.

  • Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 12-4 win vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Sunday
  • Career vs. Mets: 1-1, 2.40 ERA (15 IP, 4 ER), 11 H, 2 HR, 0 BB, 10 K in 2 starts

Megill (3-1, 4.11 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 30 2/3 innings.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 5-3 win vs. Atlanta Braves Monday
  • First career start vs. the Rockies

Rockies at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:27 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rockies +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Mets -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +1.5 (-110) | Mets -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Rockies at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 4, Rockies 3

Moneyline

PASS.

New York (-225) is 35-17 in its last 52 games vs. teams with a winning percentage below .400. The Mets should win, but they’re being slightly overvalued on the moneyline. Bet the run line and/or total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

BET ROCKIES +1.5 (-110).

Colorado covered the run line Friday and should cover it again Saturday. The Rockies are 4-1 straight up in their last 5 games and should be able to keep this one close.

The Mets are 0-4 straight up in their last 4 games vs. left-handed starters and expecting them to win by multiple runs is a tough ask.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (+100).

The Under is 6-1 in Colorado’s last 7 games vs. right-handed starters and 13-3 in its last 16 on the road vs. teams with a winning record.

The Under has hit in New York’s last 4 home games vs. left-handed pitching and should hit again Saturday as both offenses continue to struggle.

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Colorado Rockies at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Colorado Rockies at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Colorado Rockies (56-74) tangle with the Atlanta Braves (79-51) Wednesday in the 2nd game of a 3-game set at Truist Park. First pitch is set for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Braves lead 4-1

The Rockies took the opener Tuesday with a 3-2 victory on the heels of 4 scoreless innings by the bullpen and 12 strikeouts from the staff overall. Colorado has now won 2 games in a row in its NL East road trip, and is 5-5 over the last 10.

The Braves have now dropped 3 outings in a row. They really need to take the next 2 of the series. Fortunately for them, the New York Mets have lost 2 in a row, and Atlanta is just 3 games back.

One pressing issue to monitor is that star OF Ronald Acuna Jr. has been out of the lineup for 3 straight games due to soreness in his surgically repaired knee. The team said he’s responding well to treatment and that he’s day to day. His return could really lift them up.

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Rockies at Braves projected starters

RHP Ryan Feltner vs. RHP Kyle Wright

Feltner (2-5, 5.87 ERA) makes his 13th start and 14th appearance. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 61 1/3 IP.

  • Was torched for 6 ER on 7 H and 1 BB with 3 K in 3 IP June 5 against Atlanta in Colorado
  • Has horrific road numbers: 0-3, 6.19 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 7 starts

Wright (16-5, 2.99 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 147 2/3 IP.

  • Coming off a gem Aug. 24 at the Pittsburgh Pirates: 7 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 1 BB, 8 K
  • Hasn’t faced Colorado but is 10-2 with a 3.05 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 9.2 K/9 in 14 home starts

Rockies at Braves odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:35 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Rockies +250 (bet $100 to win $250) | Braves -320 (bet $320 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +2.5 (-125) | Braves -2.5 (+102)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Rockies at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 5, Rockies 3

Money line

The Braves are huge favorites at home with Wright, who’s tied for the NL lead in wins, on the mound. Feltner has allowed 3 ER in 5 of his 7 road starts this year, and this is a “get-right” game for Atlanta. Let’s go with  BRAVES OVER 2.5 TOTAL RUNS FIRST 5 INNINGS (-140) at a great price.

Run line/Against the spread

It takes a rare situation for me to take a 2.5-run RL, and this isn’t one with Feltner on the hill. The Rockies have only scored 11 runs on this 5-game road trip, and 6 came in one game.

With that in mind, I’d go with the chalky ROCKIES UNDER 3.5 TOTAL RUNS (-190) for a FULL UNIT. I’d also consider the riskier ROCKIES UNDER 2.5 TOTAL RUNS (+105) for a HALF UNIT.

Over/Under

There’s a slight wind at 3 mph going out to left-center field, which really shouldn’t make much of a difference. These teams could easily amass 9 runs to go over this total, but neither offense is clicking. The Braves are 6-3-1 O/U the last 10 despite the struggles, though. This one is too risky. PASS.

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Colorado Rockies at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Colorado Rockies at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Colorado Rockies (54-73) lace them up against the New York Mets (81-46) Saturday in the 3rd game of a 4-game set at Citi Field. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Mets lead 4-1

The Rockies fell to the Mets 7-6 on a walk-off single by 1B Pete Alonso in the 9th inning Friday. Down 4-3, the Rockies rallied for a 6-4 lead in the 8th inning but the Mets tied it in the bottom of the frame and won it in the 9th. The Rockies are just 3-9 over the last 12 games and an ugly 18-41 on the road this season.

The Mets have cooled a bit, but they are 21-9 over the last 30 games. They are being pushed hard by the 2nd-place Atlanta Braves, who have pulled within 2 games in the NL East. Atlanta has a tough matchup in St. Louis this weekend, and New York needs to take advantage.

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Rockies at Mets projected starters

LHP Kyle Freeland vs. LHP David Peterson

Freeland (7-8, 4.93 ERA) makes his 25th start of 2022. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 in 137 IP.

  • Last outing: Allowed 5 ER on 7 H, 3 BB and struck out 5 at home in 6 1/3 vs. San Francisco Sunday of a no-decision
  • Loves pitching on the road: 3.62 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 7.5 K/9 vs. 6.10 ERA, 1.58 WHIP and 5.6 K/9 at Coors this season

Peterson (6-3, 3.44 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 83 2/3 IP.

  • Last 2 starts: 1-1, 2.70 ERA (10 IP, 3 ER), 11 H, 5 BB, 11 K
  • Struggles at home with a 4.25 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 9.5 K/9, but 4-1, vs. 2.83 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 11.1 K/9 and 2-2 on the road

Rockies at Mets odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:13 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Rockies +205 (bet $100 to win $205) | Mets -260 (bet $260 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +1.5 (+100) | Mets -1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Rockies at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 5, Rockies 4

Money line

The Mets are 9-3 against Colorado over the last 2 seasons. If there were a game the Mets could be vulnerable – it’s this one. I just don’t see them dropping a game in this series at home with the Braves on their tails in the standings.

Too much juice on game lines, but I don’t see this one getting out of hand early. Rockies +0.5 first 5 innings (+115) is tempting, but a safer one is ROCKIES +1.5 FIRST 5 INNINGS (-150). This essentially means the Rockies need to stay within 1 run after 5 innings.

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Run line/Against the spread

The alternate line of ROCKIES +2.5 (-155) is a really good price. This would have hit in 4 of the 5 games between these teams this season. In his last Citi Field start, Freeland pitched 4 innings and allowed 1 ER in a no-decision last season.

Over/Under

The forecast calls for wind blowing out to left field at 8 mph. We have 2 starters that are less than imposing. These teams are 4th (Rockies) and 5th (Mets) in runs/9. Only 2 of their 5 regular-season meetings this year have had 9 or more runs. This could honestly go either way.

I would go Over 8.5 (-108) if I had to pick, but I’m out. PASS.

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Colorado Rockies at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Colorado Rockies at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Colorado Rockies (54-72) and New York Mets (80-46) lock horns Friday at 7:10 p.m. ET to continue a 4-game series at Citi Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: New York leads 3-1

The Rockies have the league’s worst record on the road at 18-40. After Thursday’s 3-1 loss to the Mets, Colorado is 3-13 with a .661 OPS in 2nd-half games away from Coors Field.

Thursday’s series opener in Queens kicked off a stretch that has the Mets playing 6 sub-.500 foes in its next 7 series. New York was returning home after a 4-6 road trip. New York’s National League entry is a robust 13-2 in its last 15 games at Citi Field.

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Rockies at Mets projected starters

RHP Chad Kuhl vs. RHP Chris Bassitt

Kuhl (6-7, 5.16 ERA) is making his 21st start. He has a 1.52 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 through 103 IP.

  • Coughed up 9 runs in his last start, which was on the road in San Diego on Aug. 9; has posted a 6.08 ERA on the road
  • Went on the IL (hip) after that turn against the Padres and this is his 1st start after a scoreless 5-inning rehab stint Aug. 20 in Triple-A

Bassitt (11-7, 3.26 ERA) owns a 1.13 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 through 141 IP in 23 starts.

  • Has a 1.80 ERA in his last 7 starts
  • Last pitched Aug. 19; owns tremendous career and recent-season numbers when pitching on 6-plus days of rest, allowing a mere .594 OPS in such situations
  • Has been exceptional in keeping hard contact in check, allowing  such contact on just 21.2% of balls in play over his last 5 starts.

Rockies at Mets odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:11 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Rockies +265 (bet $100 to win $265) | Mets -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +2.5 (-125) | Mets -2.5 (+102)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Rockies at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 4, Rockies 1

Money line

Too much juice in which to wade. PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread

COLORADO +2.5 (-125) is worth a partial-unit look.

New York is too far out over its skis with its run scoring and prevention profile (4.74 for, 3.75 against). The Mets are a very good club; just not a club worthy of a .635 winning percentage.

The Kuhl-returning-from-injury factor plays this down to a lesser wager amount.

Over/Under

The Under 6.5 is a slight lean here, but the 25-cent line makes for unattractive pricing at both ends.

PASS.

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Colorado Rockies at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Colorado Rockies at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Colorado Rockies (54-71) and New York Mets (79-46) meet Thursday at 7:10 p.m. ET to start a 4-game series at Citi Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: New York leads 2-1

The Rockies are coming off a 3-2 homestand. They own the league’s worst record on the road (18-39) and are 2-8 in road-trip lid-lifters. In the 2nd half, Colorado is 3-12 with a .668 OPS away from Coors Field.

The Mets have lost 3 of their last 4 games and 6 of their last 10. But that stretch has come against some legitimate clubs that are likely playoff bound. Thursday’s contest in Queens kicks off a stretch that has the Mets playing 6 sub-.500 foes in its next 7 series.

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Rockies at Mets projected starters

RHP Ryan Feltner vs. RHP Jacob deGrom

Feltner (2-4, 5.88 ERA) has appeared in 12 games this season (11 starts), and he has notched a 1.39 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 56 2/3 IP.

  • Spent much of July at Triple-A; has a 5.48 ERA, 1.48 WHIP since rejoining the Rockies in late-July.
  • Allowed 1 run in 6 IP in his last start Saturday vs. the San Francisco Giants with 2 H, 1 BB and 5 K

DeGrom (2-1, 2.31 ERA) returned from IL (shoulder) to start his season Aug. 2. He has a 0.51 WHIP, 0.4 BB/9 and 14.3 K/9 through 23 1/3 IP in 4 starts.

  • Makes this start on 6 days’ rest
  • Owns a 1.49 ERA in his last 114 2/3 IP (2020-22) at Citi Field

Rockies at Mets odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:39 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Rockies +330 (bet $100 to win $330) | Mets -450 (bet $450 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +2.5 (-112) | Mets -2.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: +110 | U: -135)

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Rockies at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 4, Rockies 1

Money line

Would the Mets -360 make sense here? Absolutely it would. But the current tag is way higher and puts any value well out of reach.

PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread

DeGrom makes this start on 6 days’ rest, which has been a productive interval for him over his career.

With deGrom and a rested New York bullpen (the Mets were idle Wednesday), and the home nine being at its best when facing right-handers, NEW YORK -2.5 (-108) is a workable play in this lopsided series opener.

Over/Under

The Under 6.5 is a slight lean here, but the 28-cent line is begging to be skipped over.

PASS.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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Colorado Rockies at New York Mets odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Colorado Rockies at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Colorado Rockies (19-30) and New York Mets (22-20) meet Wednesday at 7:10 p.m. ET for the third game in their four-game series at Citi Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP German Marquez is the projected starting pitcher for the Rockies. He is 3-4 with a 4.82 ERA, 1.59 WHIP, 9.6 K/9, and 5.2 BB/9 in 52 1/3 IP over 10 starts. Marquez is coming off 7 scoreless innings in his last outing which came on the heels of several in a row that saw the right-hander undone by untenable batting-average-on-balls-in-play and left-on-base rates. Current Mets batters own a .687 OPS against Marquez, and New York owns a paltry .607 OPS since May 5.

RHP Marcus Stroman is the projected starter for the Mets. He is 3-4 with a 2.73 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 7.4 K/9, and 1.9 BB/9 in 52 2/3 IP over 10 starts. Stroman is being tabbed for just his second home start since April 24, and right-handers swing the Rockies into their worst platoon splits (.793 OPS vs. left-handed pitchers, .663 OPS vs. right-handed pitchers).

MLB betting offers/promotions

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Rockies at Mets odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:29 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Rockies +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Mets -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS:  Rockies +1.5 (-190) | Mets -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under: 6.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Rockies 4, Mets 2

Money line (ML)

Both starters have surface ERAs that are destined to travel in opposite directions. Stroman has benefited from a .267 batting average on balls in play; Marquez has been hurt by a .331 BABIP. So, figure some Colorado leverage in the ML price.

Add in this appraisal of what has been a shaky Rockies offense: Colorado has had a difficult schedule thus far, particularly with regard to the pitching they’ve faced. Strength of schedule is often overlooked in baseball because of the everyday, things-even-out nature of the sport, but the pitching Colorado has been up against is a potentially significant factor.

BACK THE ROCKIES +115.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the extra-juicy run line action.

Over/Under (O/U)

The Rockies and Mets have split two low-scoring games to start the series. Since a high-scoring game on May 15, New York has played in one game which has had a total land north of 9 runs. Colorado has almost the same trend in place: the Rockies have played in one such game since May 16. Those totals have Wednesday’s number looking like a tag for a 7-inning half of a twin bill.

New York’s Wednesday forecast calls for humid, wind-out-to-center conditions, but both starters get a lot of ground balls and both offenses are mired in so much mediocrity.

BACK THE UNDER 6.5 (+100), but consider waiting out a jump to 7 runs to gain a bit of insurance.

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Colorado Rockies at New York Mets odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Colorado Rockies at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Colorado Rockies (19-29) look for their fifth win in a row when they face the New York Mets (21-20) Tuesday at 7:10 p.m. ET at Citi Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Kyle Freeland is the projected starting pitcher for the Rockies. He will be making his first start of the season after missing time with a shoulder strain. In 2020, Freeland went 2-3 with a 4.33 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, 5.9 K/9 and 2.9 BB/9 in 70 2/3 IP over 13 starts. He got up to 6 IP and 79 pitches in his final rehab start. So he should be able to work fairly deep into the game if he’s pitching well.

RHP Jacob deGrom is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets. He is 3-2 with a 0.68 ERA, 0.60 WHIP, 14.6 K/9 and 1.6 BB/9 in 40 IP over six starts. deGrom has allowed a total of just 3 ER in his six starts, while whiffing 14 or more batters three times already. He has been out of action since May 9 due to side tightness and tossed 41 pitches across three scoreless innings in his lone rehab start.

MLB betting offers/promotions

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Rockies at Mets odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:25 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Rockies +225 (bet $100 to win $225) | Mets -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Rockies +1.5 (-105) | Mets -1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under: 6 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Mets 5, Rockies 2

Money line (ML)

The Mets have their ace back on the mound and are facing a Colorado offense that is dead last in the league in runs per game on the road (2.79). But with several regulars on the IL, the Mets are averaging even less than that in their last eight games (2.67 runs per game).

The Mets should win, but given the weak lineup they are running out there every night and the fact deGrom can’t be counted on for a heavy workload, the price is a little too steep. PASS on the money line.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The current version of the Met offense isn’t a great bet to put up a lot of runs. But deGrom should completely shut down the Rockies while he’s in there, and this is quite the gap between money line and run line. There is value in siding with METS -1.5 (-115).

Over/Under (O/U)

Neither team appears primed for a big offensive day, as the Rockies are not good away from Coors, and the Mets have a lot of players out due to injury. But with deGrom unlikely to go deep into the game, this total seems too low. We’ll lean UNDER 6 (+100).

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