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The Colorado Rockies (7-23) and Miami Marlins (8-24) meet for the finale of a 3-game series Thursday. First pitch from loanDepot park is set for 12:10 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rockies vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Miami leads 2-0
Miami took Wednesday’s contest 4-1 and covered as a -137 home favorite. RHP Roddery Munoz picked up the win, allowing just 1 run on 3 hits and 2 walks in 6 innings while striking out 7. It was the 1st time this season that the Marlins won back-to-back games — they took Tuesday’s opener 7-6 in 10 innings as -140 favorites.
As for the Rockies? Wednesday was their 4th consecutive loss.
Rockies at Marlins projected starters
RHP Peter Lambert vs. RHP Edward Cabrera
Lambert (2-1, 4.67 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 through 17 1/3 innings.
- Last outing: 2 2/3 IP in relief, 0 ER, 0 H, 0 BB, 0 K in 10-9 home win vs. San Diego Padres April 25
- Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 6 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 10-2 home defeat vs. Seattle Mariners April 21
- Career vs. Marlins: 1-0, 5.27 ERA (13 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 15 H, 2 HR, 2 BB, 8 K across 2 starts and 1 relief appearance
Cabrera (1-1, 5.28 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 12.3 K/9 through 15 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 6 R (5 ER), 4 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 11-4 home setback vs. Washington Nationals Saturday
- Career vs. Rockies: 1-1, 2.25 ERA (12 IP, 3 ER), 6 H , 1 HR, 5 BB, 15 K in 2 starts
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Rockies at Marlins odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:30 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Rockies +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Marlins -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +1.5 (-150) | Marlins -1.5 (+125)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Rockies at Marlins picks and predictions
Prediction
Marlins 4, Rockies 3
Moneyline
PASS.
Miami (-165) should complete the 3-game sweep. The Marlins have won 3 straight vs. the Rockies and are 10-3 in the last 13 meetings in Miami vs. the Rockies, dating back to 2019.
However, the Marlins are not worth the risk of betting on as -165 favorites. Bet on the spread and/or O/U instead.
Run line/Against the spread
BET ROCKIES +1.5 (-150).
Neither team is very good. They both feature 3-7 records in their past 10 games, respectively. As bad as they are, it’s safe to assume that this will be a close game.
The ATS records are nothing to brag about, but the Rockies are just slightly better at 13-17 ATS, while the Marlins are 10-22 ATS, which ranks last in the majors.
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-105).
The Under has hit in 3 of Colorado’s last 4 games and is 6-4 in its last 10 games. The Under is also 11-5 in Colorado’s last 16.
In head-to-head matchups, the Under has hit in 7 of the last 10 and is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Miami.
This is a very slight lean as the Under is only 16-14 for Colorado this season and 15-17 for Miami. I’d prefer to get the O/U line at 8.
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