Tag: Rockies Giants odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

The Colorado Rockies (52-65) conclude their four-game series with the San Francisco Giants (75-42) Sunday. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET at Oracle Park. Let’s analyze the lines around the Rockies vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Rockies RHP Jon Gray (7-8, 3.85 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 through 114 2/3 IP.

• Has recorded worse splits on the road than at home despite Coors Field being very hitter-friendly, with a 4.56 ERA and 1.48 WHIP across 51 1/3 IP through 10 road starts. Colorado is 2-8 in those games.
• Is 1-2 with a 4.08 ERA, 30 K and 11 BB over 28 2/3 IP across five starts in the second half.

Giants LHP Alex Wood (9-3, 4.22 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 through 108 2/3 IP.

• Recorded a 2.44 ERA through the first two months of the season but in 12 starts since the beginning of June he has a 5.64 ERA and has given up 4 or more earned runs across six starts.
• Is 8-1 with a 4.04 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 13 starts against losing teams, including a 1-0 record and 3.27 ERA in two starts against the Rockies.

Rockies at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at noon ET.

• Money line: Rockies +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Giants -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
• Against the spread/ATS: Rockies +1.5 (-125) | Giants -1.5 (+100)
• Over/Under: 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Prediction

Giants 6, Rockies 3

Money line (ML)

Things lined up for the Rockies to secure a rare road victory Saturday but I’m not anticipating a repeat Sunday; Colorado is 14-44 away from Coors Field.

However, Wood has just been too erratic since the beginning of June to be fully trusted at a -220 price line. While he has pitched well against the Rockies in two starts this season those games came in April and May. He gave up 9 ER over 10 IP against the Arizona Diamondbacks in his last two starts, and if the D-Backs can get to you, anyone can.

While the Giants are almost certain to right the ship today the risk is just too great at over two times your potential return. PASS, and seek better value elsewhere.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

After facing a left-handed starter Saturday, albeit only for 2 innings, the Giants have an opportunity to get off to a better start with a righty on the mound. San Francisco ranks fifth in wRC+ and wOBA and fourth by OPS against right-handed hurlers.

The Giants are also ninth in the league in runs scored at home and prior to Saturday’s 1-run output had scored at least 5 runs in eight consecutive home games.

While Wood remains a potential concern there’s a much better value to be found on the home-side run line to at least warrant a partial-unit play on the Giants -1.5 (+100).

Over/Under (O/U)

The number here is likely impacted by the name value of the pitchers and the Rockies’ struggles to produce on the road this season, but both pitchers have the potential to give up a little action – particularly with both teams hitting in their better splits.

This line has dropped to 8 in some places and may eventually do the same at Tipico if you care to wait it out for the push potential, but I’m expecting a resurgent output from San Francisco today and hoping the Rockies can do enough damage to put this one OVER 8.5 (+100).

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The Colorado Rockies (51-65) and San Francisco Giants (75-41) meet Saturday for the third game of their four-game series at Oracle Park. First pitch is scheduled for 9:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Rockies vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Rockies LHP Kyle Freeland (3-6, 4.65 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 71 2/3 IP.

• Allowed 1 ER in four of his seven road starts. In the remaining three road starts he gave up more than 3 ER only once.
• Has a 3.41 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and .321 BABIP across 29 IP through five starts since the All-Star break.

Giants LHP Sammy Long (1-1, 5.81 ERA) makes his fourth start and his eighth appearance. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 through 26 1/3 IP.

• Making his first start since July 3. Gave up 10 ER on 15 H and 5 BB with 15 K through 15 IP in his three previous starts.
• Has a 1.65 ERA across 27 1/3 IP through six starts and three relief appearances at Low-A, Double-A and Triple-A this season.

Rockies at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 5:45 p.m. ET.

• Money line: Rockies +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Giants -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
• Against the spread/ATS: Rockies +1.5 (-115) | Giants -1.5 (-107)
• Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Prediction

Giants 4, Rockies 3

Money line (ML)

The pitching matchup in this one actually leans well toward Colorado with Freeland taking the mound against the rookie Long.

The problem is the scenario just does not set up well – Colorado simply does not produce results away from Coors Field, as evidenced by their league-worst road record of 13-44 and league-worst 3.04 runs per game away from home.

There may be some backing to make a small value-based wager on the Rockies at +180, but they’re 1-7 this season at Oracle Park and it’s hard to fully put trust in the team to get it done.

The safest move in this scenario is PASS. We can’t trust the Rockies to produce and we can’t pay the chalk price on the Giants with their rookie hurler.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Freeland has been shelled in one of his seven road starts this season but he’s given up 3 or fewer earned runs in the other six outings. San Francisco isn’t bad against lefties, but it doesn’t hit them particularly well either.

Colorado on the other hand does hit lefties pretty well and is top five in metrics such as OPS and wOBA against southpaws. While Long’s 3.37 FIP and 4.60 xFIP suggest he has perhaps been a bit hard done by compared to his surface numbers, if there’s a guy the Rockies might get to it could be him.

Take the insurance and look toward COLORADO +1.5 (-115).

Over/Under (O/U)

We’ve already touched on Freeland’s road numbers, Colorado’s inability to get it done at the plate anywhere but Coors field, and Long’s underlying stats belying his surface ERA.

On top of that, both of these bullpens have been pretty solid in the second half and the public is hammering the Over.

The play looks to be toward UNDER 8.5 (-108).

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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The Colorado Rockies (51-64) meet the San Francisco Giants (74-41) Friday at Oracle Park for the second game of their four-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Rockies vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

San Francisco smoked Colorado in the series opener Friday 7-0 thanks in part to a scoreless 6 inning, 8 strikeout gem thrown by Giants starting RHP Logan Webb who allowed only 3 hits and 2 walks.

Season series: Giants lead 7-3.

RHP Austin Gomber takes the hill for the Rockies. Gomber is 9-6 with a 3.79 ERA (97 1/3 IP, 41 ER), 1.09 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 19 starts.

• Last outing: Win, 7-4, with 6 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 0 BB and 9 K Saturday against the Miami Marlins.
• Gomber is 0-2 this year against San Francisco with a 12.38 ERA (8 IP, 11 ER), 8 H, 8 BB and 8 K in two starts.
• vs. Giants on the current roster (37 PA): 3.89 FIP with a .233 batting average (BA), .317 wOBA, .247 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 21.6 K% and 88.3 mph exit velocity (EV).

RHP Anthony DeSclafani is San Francisco’s projected starter. DeSclafani is 10-5 with a 3.28 ERA (126 1/3 IP, 46 ER), 1.07 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 22 starts.

• Last outing: No-decision with 4 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 1 BB and 5 K in San Francisco’s 11-8 victory Aug. 2 at the Arizona Diamondbacks.
• DeSclafani is 2-0 this season against Colorado with a 0.00 ERA (15 IP), 9 H, 2 BB and 17 K in two starts.
• vs. Rockies on the current roster (75 PA): 2.20 FIP with a .186 BA, .219 wOBA, .311 xSLG, 29.3 K% and 85.8 mph EV.

Rockies at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 4:19 p.m. ET.

• Money line: Rockies +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Giants -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
• Against the spread/ATS: Rockies +1.5 (-125) | Giants -1.5 (+100)
• Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Prediction

Giants 5, Rockies 1

Money line (ML)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Giants (-220) because they are clearly the correct pick and should win this game outright. However, the obviousness of San Francisco in this spot is baked into the line which is too expensive for me.

Furthermore, the Giants are a massive favorite with a short total. This is another reason to not fade San Francisco because if oddsmakers are projecting a lower scoring game then it’s hard not to side with this heavy of a favorite.

That said, I’d entertain parlaying San Francisco’s money line with a similarly priced favorite to get a much better payout. I don’t see much value in playing the Giants (-220) straight up.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

“LEAN” to the GIANTS -1.5 (+100) for a half unit because they have the second-best cover rate in the MLB as a home favorite at 25-18 ATS and in games against NL West competition at 33-18 ATS. Also, the Rockies have a losing run line record on the road and against divisional foes.

However, my weariness about San Francisco’s run line here is because, again, oddsmakers have set a short total so if there are fewer runs to go around it’s harder to cash the GIANTS -1.5 (+100) bet.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 7.5 (+100) for a half unit and I would wait until closer to the first pitch in hopes of getting an 8-run total since the market is backing the Over.

However, both bullpens rank in or around the top 10 in several advanced pitching metrics following the All-Star Break and Colorado’s lineup hasn’t been able to hit DeSclafani in their two earlier meetings.

Also, Gomber’s pitching peripherals aren’t too shabby and he’s been nuked in one outing vs. the Giants but only allowed 2 ER in their April 9 meeting.

Lastly, this total is suspiciously low considering the Over has cashed in six of the last seven Rockies-Giants meetings and San Francisco’s lineup ranking second in wRC+ at home.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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The Colorado Rockies (51-63) and San Francisco Giants (73-41) open a four-game series Thursday at Oracle Park. First pitch is set for 9:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Rockies vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Giants lead 6-3

The Rockies lost 5-1 at the Houston Astros Wednesday getting swept in the two-game series following a four-game win streak. The Giants own a four-game win streak following Wednesday’s 7-2 home victory vs. the Arizona Diamondbacks.

RHP German Marquez is projected to start the opener for the Rockies. He is 10-8 with a 3.42 ERA (136 2/3 IP, 52 ER), 1.15 WHIP, 9.3 K/9 and 3.2 BB/9 in 23 starts.

• Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 14-2 home rout of Miami Marlins Friday
• 2021 vs. Giants: 0-3, 13.06 ERA (10 1/3 IP, 15 ER), 16 H, 8 BB, 13 K in three starts
• Career vs. Giants: 4-7, 6.68 ERA (67 1/3 IP, 50 ER), 1.56 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 in 13 starts

RHP Logan Webb is the projected starter for the Giants. He is 5-3 with a 3.19 ERA (79 IP, 28 ER), 1.17 WHIP, 9.3 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9 in 15 starts and one relief appearance.

• Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 9 K at Milwaukee Brewers Friday – Giants lost 2-1 in 10 innings
• 2021 vs. Rockies: 0-1, 9.35 ERA (8 2/3 IP, 9 ER), 11 H, 5 BB, 11 K in two starts
• Career vs. Rockies: 2-1, 5.92 ERA (24 1/3 IP, 16 ER), 1.52 WHIP, 7.8 K/9 in four starts and one relief appearance

Rockies at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:25 a.m. ET.

• Money line: Rockies +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Giants -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
• Against the spread/ATS: Rockies +1.5 (-155) | Giants -1.5 (+122)
• Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Prediction

Giants 7, Rockies 3

Money line (ML)

SAN FRANCISCO (-180) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager.

Not only do the Giants have the best record in baseball, they’re the best home team at 37-17.

The Rockies, who are 12 games under .500 overall, feature the majors’ worst road mark at 13-42.

Plus, as mentioned above, Colorado’s Marquez has been horrendous vs. San Francisco this season.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Back GIANTS -1.5 (+122) for a QUARTER UNIT.

San Francisco is the best ATS team in the majors posting a 72-42 record. Colorado is also on the positive side of the ATS scoreboard six games over .500 at 60-54.

However, the Rockies are 23-32 ATS on the road while the Giants are 32-22 ATS at home.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 7.5. (-110) is the play.

O/U records: Rockies 51-60-2 | Giants 54-56-4

While both clubs are Under teams, the Over is 6-0 in the last six head-to-head meetings.

Plus, the Rockies are 10-5 O/U in their last 15 games overall.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @JohnnyParlay11 on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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