The Toledo Rockets (6-4, 3-3 MAC West) and Buffalo Bulls (5-5, 3-3) play Wednesday at UB Stadium in Buffalo, NY., at 7:30 p.m. ET. We analyze the Toledo-Buffalo odds and betting lines while providing college football betting tips and advice on this matchup.
Toledo at Buffalo: Three things you need to know
1. Neither team finished well last week as Toledo lost late to Northern Illinois which hurt its conference aspirations. Buffalo’s bowl hopes suffered a hit when they blew a three-touchdown lead to Kent State.
2. The Buffalo line opened at 6.5 but was quickly bet up 8.5.
3. Buffalo is playing for bowl eligibility. The Bulls’ 3-3 conference record eliminates their chances of going for the MAC Championship because of tiebreakers. If Toledo wins out and gets some help, it still has a chance at a division crown.
Get some action on this game or others by placing a bet at BetMGM.
Toledo at Buffalo: Odds, betting lines and picks
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Buffalo 31, Toledo 27
Moneyline (ML)
BUFFALO carries a -323 moneyline. Toledo comes into this game with the conference’s best rushing offense versus Buffalo’s top rushing defense. Toledo averages 245.7 yards per game on the ground and if it has a chance of winning, it must exceed 200 yards versus Buffalo.
Toledo (+250) is a pass at this point. The conference loss last week took some wind out of the sails and Buffalo will be more than motivated to become bowl eligible. The Bulls know they likely need two wins.
Against the Spread (ATS)
Buffalo is 5-5 against the spread overall and 3-1 ATS at home this year coming in at 10 points per game above the cover projections at home. Toledo is 4-6 ATS overall and 0-4 ATS on the road. The Rockets miss the road cover at a whopping 19.8 points per contest.
The 8.5-point spread seems in line with what most are predicting. Again, Toledo’s rushing attack should be able to control just enough clock to keep things within a score. Our pick is for TOLEDO to cover with -115 odds.
New to sports betting? Every $1.15 wagered on Toledo to cover profits $1 if the Rockets win outright or stay within eight points in defeat.
Over/Under (O/U)
The projected total is 54.5. This will be close but it is hard to trust both defenses fully in this game. Taking a small wager with the OVER (-105) is our pick.
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