Predictions for 7 Saints restricted free agents like Juwan Johnson, Blake Gillikin

The Saints have options for holding onto their 7 restricted free agents, a group that includes Juwan Johnson, Blake Gillikin, Marquez Callaway and Malcolm Roach:

One of the more interesting facets of NFL free agency is the players who carry restricted status — typically those who entered the league as undrafted free agents with three years’ experience. Their restricted status gives teams like the New Orleans Saints multiple options at retaining their services in 2023, either on fully-guaranteed tenders, re-signing them to minimum salaries, or hammering out new contract extensions altogether.

And the Saints have seven restricted free agents to deal with. They’ve got to make decisions on them beginning on March 15, at the start of the new league fiscal year, and they have until April 21 to either sign them to a long-term deal or sign that contract tender on the dotted line. Let’s run through the list and how much it could cost the Saints in each scenario:

Restricted free agents and their impact on Packers 2023 offseason

Breaking down the Packers’ three restricted free agents entering the 2023 offseason.

Of the Green Bay Packers’ 18 total free agents this offseason, three of them fall into the restricted free agent category. This includes offensive tackle Yosh Nijman, linebacker Krys Barnes, and tight end Tyler Davis.

Of the three free agent classes, the restricted free agent is the most nuanced. This is a player with three accrued seasons in the NFL. Technically they can negotiate with other teams, but the current team also has the ability to place a tender on that player, which oftentimes will severely limit the restricted free agent’s market.

There are first-round tenders, second-round tenders, an original round tender, and right-of-first-refusal tenders that can be placed, with each one coming with a fixed and predetermined salary for that season. In 2023, Over the Cap projects that a first-round tender will be worth $6.005 million. A second-round tender is worth $4.3 million. And a right of first refusal tender will cost $2.67 million.

If the original team places a second-round tender on their restricted free agent, for example, and there is an opposing team that wants to sign that player away, to do so, they would have to trade away a second-round pick (because the original team placed a second-round tender). The current team also still has the ability to refuse that offer and to retain the player. On the flip side, if no other team chooses to make an offer in this scenario or an offer is declined, the original team has to pay the restricted free agent the predetermined cost associated with the tender that was placed.

A right of first refusal tender means that the original team has the opportunity to match any contract offer that the restricted free agent receives from another team, but if they choose not to, there isn’t any draft pick compensation for them. In the instances where the original team doesn’t place a tender on the restricted free agent, they become an unrestricted free agent and can sign wherever they please.

When it comes to the Packers trio of restricted free agents, the only one that I foresee receiving a tender is Nijman, and likely a second-round one at that, given that he has proven to be a starting caliber player at an important position. In a league where finding reliable offensive tackles is no easy task, Nijman has proven to be a capable starter on either side of the offensive line.

With Green Bay in 2023, he will likely be competing for the starting right tackle job, and at worst, he will provide depth off the bench at either tackle position. In the grand scheme of the NFL salary cap, $4.3 million is a small price to pay for a potential starting tackle. For reference, Jonah Williams of the Cincinnati Bengals made $4.4 million in 2022 and was the 38th highest-paid offensive tackle.

As far as Barnes and Davis go, they are closer to league minimum players than the $2.67 million salary that comes with a right of first refusal tender, which is why I don’t believe they will be tendered.

Barnes is at a crowded linebacker position with Quay Walker and De’Vondre Campbell dominating the defensive snaps while Isaiah McDuffie is still on a rookie deal and has emerged as a core special teams player. Barnes, on the other hand, was a healthy scratch for several games in 2022. If Green Bay chooses to re-sign unrestricted free agent linebacker Eric Wilson, who was second on the team in special teams tackles, Barnes could wind up playing elsewhere this season.

Although I don’t expect Davis to receive a tender, unlike Barnes, I do expect him back with the Packers in 2023. For starters, the coaching staff and Brian Gutekunst often praised Davis last summer, and on top of that, he led the team in special teams snaps and plays a position in tight end where the Packers are very thin at this time.

Of the many decisions that Gutekunst has to handle this offseason, I imagine how he handles Green Bay’s restricted free agents will be three of the easier ones he has to make. The 2023 NFL league year begins on March 15th, which is also when free agency officially begins, following the two-day legal tampering period.

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Former Raiders CB Keisean Nixon signs with Packers

After going untendered by Raiders, CB Keisean Nixon signs on with Packers

If the Raiders wanted Keisean Nixon back this season, all the needed do was place a tender on the restricted free agent. For whatever reason they chose not to do that, just as they did with fullback Alex Ingold, and both Nixon and Ingold became unrestricted free agents.

Ingold quickly signed on with the Dolphins, while Josh McDaniels opted to sign his fullback from New England, Jakob Johnson instead.

Nixon was still out there unsigned for a couple weeks and today he too found a new home — Green Bay. The Packers officially added the 5-10, 200-pounder Saturday.

The former South Carolina cornerback broke onto the Raiders roster as an undrafted rookie in 2019. He spent three seasons with the Raiders appearing in 40 games with two starts.

Nixon spent most of his playing time on special teams, but would also step in at cornerback on occasion, playing defensive snaps in 16 games in his career, thrice playing more than 50% of the snaps.

What will it cost Packers to use restricted free agent tenders?

NFL teams, like the Packers, now know the cost of using the restricted free agent tenders. Robert Tonyan is likely to receive a RFA tender.

The decisions the Green Bay Packers must make on restricted free agents – including tight end Robert Tonyan – now have associated monetary costs.

According to Tom Pelissero of NFL Network, the restricted free agent tender amounts are as follows for the 2021 season: $4.766 million for the first round, $3.384 million for the second round, $2.183 million on the original round, and $2.133 million on the right of first refusal.

A restricted free agent is any player with an expiring contract and exactly three accrued seasons in the NFL. Teams can use the one-year tender amounts on restricted free agents, and while other teams can sign the players to offer sheets, the original team has a right to match – and if they don’t match, the associated draft pick compensation would go from the new team to the original team.

The Packers have six restricted free agents, including Tonyan, who caught 11 touchdown passes during a breakout season in 2020.

Tonyan is a former undrafted free agent, ruling out the original round tender. The Packers could use the first- or second-round tender, but the tenders cost more – creating a bigger cap hit – as the compensation increases.

The most likely outcome for Tonyan remains the second-round tender, which would cost the Packers around $3.4 million on the cap in 2021. That number would immediately go on the team’s cap once the tender is used, creating another potential hurdle for the Packers as they attempt to get under the salary cap by next Wednesday.

If the Packers use the second-round tender on Tonyan, any team that wants to sign the young tight end to an offer sheet would have to be prepared to give up a second-round pick to finish the deal.

The other restricted free agents for the Packers are cornerback Chandon Sullivan, defensive lineman Tyler Lancaster, safety Raven Greene, quarterback Tim Boyle and cornerback Parry Nickerson.

More than likely, only Tonyan will receive a tender out of the Packers’ six restricted free agents. If a restricted free agent does not receive a tender by the start of the new league year, that player becomes an unrestricted free agent.

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2021 NFL free agency: Updated list of Seahawks pending free agents

Ahead of the start of the new league year, here’s a look at the Seahawks pending unrestricted, restricted and exclusive rights free agents.

The countdown is on to the start of the new league year and free agency on March 17. With Wednesday’s announcement of the salary cap for the 2021 season, the flurry of cuts has already begun.

Before the pandemonium of next week starts, here’s a list of the Seahawk’s pending unrestricted, restricted and exclusive rights free agents by position group.

Be sure and check our tracker which will be continually updated with the latest moves.

Unrestricted

Quarterback: Geno Smith

Running back: Chris Carson, Carlos Hyde

Fullback: Nick Bellore

Wide receiver: Philip Dorsett II, David Moore

Tight end: Jacob Hollister, Luke Willson

Offensive line: Cedric Ogbuehi, Ethan Pocic

Defensive back: Shaquill Griffin, Quinton Dunbar, Neiko Thorpe, Damarious Randall, Lano Hill

Linebacker: K.J. Wright, Bruce Irvin

Defensive line: Branden Jackson, Benson Mayowa, Damontre Moore, Jonathan Bullard

Restricted free agents

Offensive line: Jordan Simmons

Defensive line: Poona Ford

Linebacker: Shaquem Griffin

Exclusive rights free agents

Running back: Patrick Carr

Offensive line: Kyle Fuller

Defensive line: Bryan Mone

Defensive back: Ryan Neal, Jayson Stanley, Linden Stephens

*Both Kyle Fuller and Bryan Mone have been tendered per ESPN’s Brady Henderson

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What Packers should do with their restricted free agents

The Packers have six players becoming restricted free agents, including Robert Tonyan. Here’s what they should do with all six.

The Green Bay Packers have six players, including tight end Robert Tonyan, scheduled to be restricted free agents. Any player with an expiring contract that has exactly three years of accrued experience will become a restricted free agent.

Teams can offer several different tenders: first round, second round, original round, or right of first refusal. If a team doesn’t offer a tender or rescinds a tender, the player becomes an unrestricted free agent. If a tendered player signs an offer sheet with another team and the original team doesn’t match, the original team receives the corresponding draft pick compensation.

Here’s what the Packers should do with their restricted free agents:

A look at the 5 Seattle Seahawks who are restricted free agents

The Seattle Seahawks have five restricted free agents they’ll need to make decisions on in the coming weeks.

The Seattle Seahawks are turning their attention toward what should be another busy offseason.

With 19 unrestricted free agents to make decisions on, including Jadeveon Clowney and Jarran Reed, Seattle will need to budget accordingly if they want to keep some key pieces around.

In addition to the 19 unrestricted guys, the Seahawks also have five restricted free agents to take care of.

A restricted free agent operates similar to a normal free agent, in the sense that they can pursue opportunities with other teams. However, if a different team signs them, Seattle will have five days to match the offer and retain the player.

For the Seahawks, four of their five restricted free agents were either starters or relatively important reserves last season, although most of them project to be depth next year.

It’s likely the Seahawks will want most of these guys back. Still, other teams could certainly make an offer that prices them out.

If that ends up being the case, Seattle should recoup a draft pick for the lost player.

Here is a look at each of the Seahawks restricted free agents, their performance last year, and their potential role in 2020.

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What should the Saints do with their 5 restricted free agents?

It’s time for the New Orleans Saints to make contract decisions on restricted free agents like Taysom Hill, Justin Hardee, and Austin Carr.

Many New Orleans Saints players are set to enter unrestricted free agency, giving them the opportunity to negotiate with new teams and potentially land a big payday. However, five of their teammates are going into March’s signing period with restricted free agency status. Here’s what that means.

Restricted free agents can negotiate with other teams, but their current squad can claim the right of first refusal through exercising one of several different one-year contract tenders. But the ability to match contract offers comes with a price.

The latest projections from Over The Cap suggest tender values in the range of $4,667,000 (for first-round pick compensation) to $3,278,000 (second-round pick compensation), and $2,144,000 (for original-round draft pick compensation). Those totals are fully-guaranteed against the salary cap.

New Orleans doesn’t have a good history with restricted free agency. They have only used the lowest tender level in recent memory, and rarely matched opposing contract offers. They let wide receiver Willie Snead leave uncontested when the Baltimore Ravens signed him to a two-year, $7 million deal in 2018. Backup tight end Josh Hill signed a three-year, $7.5 million offer sheet with the Chicago Bears in 2016, but the Saints matched it and extended him again in 2018.

They didn’t even tender defensive tackle Tyrunn Walker back in 2015, despite it only costing about $1.54 million at the time and Walker having shown some rare bright spots in a historically-bad defense (the Detroit Lions signed him to a one-year, $1.75 million deal, and re-upped him the next season). He’s an example of a player the Saints hoped they could keep on a veteran’s minimum salary, which is obviously a riskier option.

But things are projecting differently in 2020. There’s a good chance the Saints exercise one of the more-valuable tender options; in fact, they may have to. They could also work out long-term contract extensions if they so choose; Saints kicker Wil Lutz did just that last year, when he was a restricted free agent. Here are the five Saints players that qualify, and what the team should do with each of them.

Justin Hardee, cornerback

Chris Graythen/Getty Images

Hardee’s had an interesting career path, and now he’s one of the Saints’ central special teams aces. He plays often on the punt and kickoff units, and led the team in snaps played in the game’s third phase (362) last season, outpacing even Craig Robertson (324) and Taysom Hill (286). He’s someone the Saints coaches have invested years of development in, and should definitely try to keep around for the future.

The question they have to ask now is how much Hardee’s contributions are worth. He doesn’t play defense (just 37 snaps logged last season) and is still learning the position’s finer points after entering the NFL as a wide receiver. He can’t be counted on just yet to be a top backup behind Marshon Lattimore and Janoris Jenkins. But his presence on special teams speaks for itself, and the Saints might do well to sign him to the lowest contract tender, then wait and see whether the market can set a price on his long-term contract value.

Verdict: Sign him to a right-to-match tender.