Tag: Reds Orioles odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

The Cincinnati Reds (42-38) finish a 3-game series with the Baltimore Orioles (48-30) Wednesday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is at 7:05 ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: tied 1-1

The Orioles and Reds appear to be the up-and-coming teams in the years to come after years of bottom-feeding. Cincinnati’s 3-1 victory Tuesday showcased a little pitching on both sides as Orioles RHP Tyler Wells tossed 6 innings with 2 earned runs and Reds LHP Andrew Abbott went 6 innings with 1 earned run. Cincinnati SS Matt McLain hit the go-ahead home run in the 6th and OF TJ Friedl hit an insurance solo shot in the 8th.

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Reds at Orioles projected starters

RHP Luke Weaver vs. RHP Kyle Gibson

Weaver (1-2, 6.86 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.59 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 across 60 1/3 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 3 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 1 B, 3 K in an 11-10 home win vs. the Atlanta Braves Friday
• Is 0-0 with a 10.80 ERA in 16 2/3 IP over 4 starts in June

Gibson (8-5, 4.30 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 92 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 4 K in a 13-1 home loss vs. the Seattle Mariners Friday
• His June ERA stands at 5.75 through 4 starts after a solid 3.86 ERA across 6 starts in May

Reds at Orioles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:02 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Reds +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Orioles -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-130) | Orioles -1.5 (+105)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Reds at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 7, Orioles 5

Moneyline

Both of these teams have impressed this season and while there are reasons for the Orioles (-175) to be favorites there is more value in picking the Reds (+145).

The Reds are 21-18 on the road and 18-16 as underdogs on the road. They are also 15-2 in their last 17 road matches versus a right-handed pitcher, per covers.com.

LEAN REDS (+145).

Run line/Against the spread

For those looking for a less risky bet, the Reds have a phenomenal 26-13 road record against the spread. Cincinnati has the best ATS record in MLB off a victory with a 65.9% cover percentage. On the other hand, Baltimore has a 14-15 ATS record as a home favorite.

BET REDS +1.5 (-130) if you’d like a little insurance.

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Over/Under

Both teams trend toward the Over Wednesday despite combining for just 4 runs on Tuesday.

The Orioles have gone Over in 4 straight home games with a total between 9 and 10.5. The Reds have a nearly identical trend, going Over in 4 of their last 5 road games when the total is between 9 and 10.5 runs.

BET OVER 9.5 (-110).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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The Cincinnati Reds (41-38) and Baltimore Orioles (48-29) play the middle contest of a 3-game interleague series Tuesday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 1-0

The Reds were dumped 10-3 in the interleague series opener Monday night in Charm City. Cincinnati has dropped each of its last 3 outings while allowing 7 or more runs in each of the past 4 contests. The Over is 4-0 in the 4-game stretch.

The Orioles racked up a 3rd consecutive victory — all at home — after suffering a 13-1 loss Friday in the 1st game of a 9-game homestand. The Over has cashed in 6 of Baltimore’s last 7 contests.

Cincinnati slipped to 15-10 in interleague play Monday, while Baltimore improved to 10-8 against the National League.

This game might face a weather delay as Monday’s opener did, with the forecast calling for a 60% chance of showers at 7 p.m. ET, tailing off to around 30% by 8 p.m. ET. The game might not start on time, but the forecast looks like the game will get in.

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Reds at Orioles projected starters

LHP Andrew Abbott vs. RHP Tyler Wells

Abbott (3-0, 1.14 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 0.97 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 over 23 2/3 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 3 ER (3 solo HR), 4 H, 0 BB, 10 K in a 5-3 home win vs. the Colorado Rockies Wednesday
• 2023 road splits: 2-0, 0.00 ERA (11 2/3 IP, 0 ER) with a .209 opponent batting average (OBA) in 2 starts

Wells (6-3, 3.22 ERA) makes his 15th start and 16th appearance. He has an MLB-leading 0.89 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 across 86 2/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 4 R (2 ER, 2 solo HR), 4 H, 3 BB, 6 K in a 7-2 road loss vs. the Tampa Bay Rays Wednesday
• 2023 home splits: 4-2, 2.52 ERA (50 IP, 14 ER – 7 HR) with a .191 OBA in 8 starts

Reds at Orioles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Reds +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Orioles -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-165) | Orioles -1.5 (+135)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Reds at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 3, Orioles 2

Moneyline

The REDS (+120) have lost 3 straight games and allowed a total of 34 runs across the past 4 games. The last time Cincinnati allowed fewer than 7 runs was a 5-3 victory with Abbott on the bump on Wednesday.

However, the Orioles are just 2-5 in the past 7 outings in Game 2 of a series and are just 18-38 in the past 56 interleague games against a team with a winning overall record.

Run line/Against the spread

The REDS +1.5 (-165) aren’t priced out of line if you just cannot trust them straight up and would like a little bit of insurance.

Cincinnati has had some issues after a loss, going just 2-6 in the past 8 games after a setback. However, Abbott has been outstanding since his recall from the minors and he’s worth backing until he starts to cool off.

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Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (+100) is the best play on the board in this battle.

The Over has dominated for both of these teams lately, but both Abbott and Wells have been tossing up a lot of donuts lately.

The Under is 3-1 in Abbott’s 4 starts since being recalled while the Under holds a 7-5-1 edge in Wells’ past 13 appearances.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

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