Tag: Rays Rangers odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Tampa Bay Rays at Texas Rangers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Texas Rangers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Tampa Bay Rays (60-38) and Texas Rangers (57-39) close out their 3-game series on Wednesday afternoon. First pitch from Globe Life Field is at 2:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. Rangers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rangers lead 3-2

The Rays are trying to avoid a 3-game sweep after losing the 1st 2 games of the series 3-2 and 5-3. They have lost 3 games in a row and are 3-10 in their last 13 games and their lead in the AL East is down to 1 game.

The Rangers have won 5 games in a row. They have completed 7 series sweeps this season. They lead the AL West by 4 1/2 games over the 2nd-place Houston Astros.

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Rays at Rangers projected starters

RHP Zack Littell vs. RHP Jon Gray

Littell (0-1, 6.05 ERA) makes his 3rd start and 15th appearance. He has a 1.55 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 19 1/3 innings.

  • In his 2 other openers, he has allowed 2 ER on 5 H in 4 IP
  • Has allowed 2 ER in 2 IP in each of his last 2 appearances,

Gray (6-5, 3.45 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 99 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 12-4 home win over Cleveland Guardians on Friday
  • Is  0-3 with 6.75 ERA in last 5 starts (25 1/3 IP)

Rays at Rangers odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:05 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rays -116 (bet $116 to win $100) | Rangers -102 (bet $102 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (+142) | Rangers +1.5 (-172)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -122 | U:+100)

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Rays at Rangers picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 6, Rangers 5

Moneyline

The Rangers are seeking their 6th straight win, but are 1-5 in their last 6 series finales. Gray has allowed 4 or more runs in 4 of his last 5 outings.

The Rays are going with a bullpen game. Their bullpen ERA this season is 3.80, 10th in the majors.

BET RAYS (-116).

Run line/Against the spread

The Rangers are 57-39 ATS overall, the 2nd-best mark in baseball. They have covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games and are 22-10 ATS as an underdog.

The Rays are 51-47 ATS overall and 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games.

The Rangers have been a great ATS bet all year and this is one of those scenarios, but it is a little pricey for the -175. You get better odds with the moneyline play on the Rays

PASS.

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Over/Under

The Rangers’ last 5 series finales have had 9 or more total runs while the Rays’ last 4 series finales have had more than 9 total runs. And 3 of the 5 games between the 2 teams have had 10 or more total runs.

BET OVER 9 (-122).

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Tampa Bay Rays at Texas Rangers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Texas Rangers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Tampa Bay Rays (60-37) play the 2nd game of a 3-game series against the Texas Rangers (56-39) on Tuesday at Globe Life Field. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. Rangers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: tied 2-2

The Rays suffered a 2nd straight defeat with a 3-2 loss in the series opener on Monday. Tampa Bay is 3-7 in its last 10 contests and is now only 1 game ahead of the Baltimore Orioles for 1st place in the AL East.

Rangers 3B Josh H. Smith scored the game-winning run Monday on a wild pitch in the bottom of the 9th inning. Texas has 4 consecutive wins and is 3 1/2 games ahead of the Houston Astros atop the AL West.

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Rays at Rangers projected starters

RHP Taj Bradley vs. RHP Nathan Eovaldi

Bradley (5-5, 5.43 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 11.7 K/9 through 61 1/3 IP.

  • Has given up 4 ER or more in 4 of his last 6 outings
  • June 10 vs. Rangers: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 5 R (4 ER), 4 H, 4 BB, 4 K in an 8-4 defeat

Eovaldi (10-3, 2.83 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.02 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 through 117 2/3 IP.

  • Has allowed 3 ER or more in 4 of his last 6 starts
  • June 10 at Rays: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 6 K opposite Bradley in an 8-4 win

Rays at Rangers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:39 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rays +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Rangers -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays +1.5 (-165) | Rangers -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Rays at Rangers picks and predictions

Prediction

Rangers 5, Rays 4

Moneyline

With Eovaldi being more consistent than Bradley on the mound this season, I’ll back the RANGERS (-140) at home on Tuesday. Tampa Bay is 25-22 on the road this season, while Texas is 31-18 at home.

Run line/Against the spread

This should be a close game between the Rays and the Rangers, but I’ll PASS on taking Tampa Bay +1.5 (-165) run line at the current odds.

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Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (-120) is the bet in this matchup with Bradley and Eovaldi giving up a decent number of runs in recent starts. The Rays and the Rangers are both top 5 in ISO, wOBA, and wRC+ against right-handed pitching this season.

The Over is 3-1 in the first 4 meetings between these teams this season.

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Tampa Bay Rays at Texas Rangers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Texas Rangers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Tampa Bay Rays (60-36) open a 3-game series against the Texas Rangers (55-39) Monday. First pitch from Globe Life Field will be at 8:05 p.m. ET (. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. Rangers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rays lead 2-1.

Tampa Bay kicked off the second half of the season by taking 2 of 3 games against the Kansas City Royals, failing to complete the sweep with an 8-4 loss Sunday. The Rays ended a season-high 7-game losing skid with a 10-4 victory over the Atlanta Braves on July 9, the day before the All-Star break.

Texas picked up a weekend sweep of the Cleveland Guardians, punctuated with a 6-5 victory in the finale Sunday. The Rangers had dropped 8 of 11 games entering the break and have seen their lead in the AL West dwindle to 3 games since reaching a season-high 6 1/2 games on June 23.

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Rays at Rangers projected starters

LHP Shane McClanahan vs. RHP Dane Dunning

McClanahan (11-1, 2.53 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 through 96 IP.

  • Left his last start on June 30th after just 3 innings due to back tightness
  • Hasn’t been quite as good on the road as at home this season, boasting a 3.17 ERA with an inflated 4.8 BB/9 in 9 road starts
  • June 11 vs. Texas: Win, 7 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 5 K

Dunning (8-2, 2.84 ERA) makes his 13th start and 21st appearance. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 5.8 K/9 through 92 IP.

  • Owns a 2.89 ERA despite having a weak 5.2 K/9 across 5 starts and 4 relief appearances at home
  • Has registered a 3.14 ERA and 6.0 K/9 across his 12 starts
  • He hasn’t been dominant this season, logging a career-low K/9 and Swinging Strike Rate, but has still done a fine job avoiding disaster, going 5-plus innings with 4 or fewer ER allowed in each start

Rays at Rangers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:37 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rays -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Rangers +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (+135) | Rangers +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Rays at Rangers picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 6, Rangers 4

Moneyline

Both starting pitchers have excellent ratios, but McClanahan is the only one with the skills to support the surface stats. Dunning surrendered 4 ER last time out and could be in for a rude awakening against a Tampa offense that is 2nd in the league — behind only the Rangers — in runs scored.

Look for the RAYS (-120) to come out on top.

Run line/Against the spread

If a couple of weeks of rest was enough to get McClanahan back to full strength, the Rays have the clear pitching edge in this one. The Tampa bats should be set up for a good day against Dunning so a small play on RAYS -1.5 (+135) makes sense.

One unit on RAYS (-120) MONEYLINE and 1/2 unit on RAYS -1.5 (+135) is the recommendation here.

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Over/Under

These are the two highest-scoring teams in the league doing battle on Monday evening. Dunning is a poor bet to shut down the Rays, and it remains to be seen if McClanahan will be his usual self and what his workload will look like in his 1st start back from the IL. This line seems about right, but we’ll lean towards OVER 9 (-105).

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Tampa Bay Rays at Texas Rangers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Texas Rangers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Texas Rangers (24-24) host the Tampa Bay Rays (28-21) Wednesday at Globe Life Field for the 3rd game of their 4-game series with the first pitch scheduled for 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays vs. Rangers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Texas has won the first 2 games of this series by a combined score of 12-5. The Rangers beat the Rays 4-3 in last year’s season series but Tampa Bay had a plus-2 run differential in those meetings.

Rays at Rangers projected starters

LHP Jeffrey Springs vs. RHP Jon Gray  

Springs is 2-2 with a 1.62 ERA, 0.81 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 33 1/3 IP over 5 starts and 8 relief appearances.

  • Last start: Loss, 2-0, Friday vs. the New York Yankees with 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 HR, 0 BB and 6 K.

Gray is 1-2 with a 5.56 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 34 IP across 7 starts.

  • Last start: No-decision in 8-5 win at the Oakland Athletics Friday with 6 IP, 5 ER, 5 H, 2 HR, 3 BB and 5 K.

Rays at Rangers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:23 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Rays -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Rangers +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (+145) | Rangers +1.5 (-180)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Rays at Rangers picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 8, Rangers 2

Money line

BET a half-unit on the RAYS (-120) only because they’ve struggled at the plate over the past two weeks and the Rangers hit better vs. left-handed pitching than Tampa’s lineup vs. righties.

But, the Rays have an edge in the starting and relief pitching matchups. Tampa’s bullpen is better than Texas’s by ERA, WHIP, FIP, WAR, exit velocity and swing-and-miss rates, according to FanGraphs.

Springs grades in the 98th percentile in chase rate, 83rd percentile in whiff rate, and the 85th percentile or better in expected batting average (xBA), wOBA (xwOBA) and slugging percentage (xSLG) slash line, per Statcast.

Gray is in the 38th percentile or worse in xBA-xwOBA-xSLG slash line, 45th percentile in chase rate and 50th percentile in whiff rate.

Tampa’s ML is taking steam and has been bet up from a -115 opener but there’s still value on the RAYS (-120).

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Texas’s lineup has been a lot more productive recently and hits lefties well and the Rangers +1.5 (-180) are 10-5 RL as home underdogs. I’m also not confident enough in Tampa’s ML to sprinkle on the Rays -1.5 (+145).

Over/Under

LEAN to the OVER 7.5 (+100) only because most of the market is betting the Over but the total has ticked down from an 8-run opener, according to Pregame.com. This type of line movement is suspicious.

However, Tampa is 8-3-2 O/U as a road favorite, Texas is 9-5-1 O/U as a home underdog and 5-2 O/U in Gray’s 7 starts and the Over is 3-1-1 O/U in the last 5 Rays-Rangers meetings.

Also, Globe Life Field is a hitter-friendly park (8th in park factor) and the weather forecast is predicting temperatures in the low-90s and hotter weather typically leads to more Overs.

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Tampa Bay Rays at Texas Rangers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Texas Rangers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Rays (28-19) head to Globe Life Field Monday to start a 4-game series with the Texas Rangers (22-24) with the first pitch scheduled for 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays vs. Rangers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Memorial Day game is the first meeting this season. Texas won last year’s season series 4-3.

The Rays split a 4-game series last weekend with the New York Yankees by winning the final 2 games and are 6-4 straight up (SU) in their last 10 games.

Texas had its 4-game winning streak snapped Sunday in a 6-5 loss at the Oakland Athletics. The Rangers are 5-5 SU in the last 10.

Rays at Rangers projected starters

RHP Drew Rasmussen vs. RHP Glenn Otto 

Rasmussen is 5-1 with a 2.68 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 43 2/3 IP over 9 starts.

  • Last start: Won 5-4 Wednesday at home vs. the Miami Marlins with 5 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 1 HR, 2 BB and 7 K.

Otto is 2-2 with a 4.91 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, 4.6 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 29 1/3 IP across 6 starts.

  • Last start: Won 7-2 Wednesday at the Los Angeles Angels with 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 2 BB and 7 K.
  • 2022 home splits: 0-1, 10.80 ERA in 2 starts with 10 ER, 12 H, 3 HR, 6 BB and 9 K in 8.1 IP.

Rays at Rangers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:46 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Rays -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Rangers +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (+120) | Rangers +1.5 (-145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Rays at Rangers picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 7, Rangers 5

Money line

BET the RAYS (-145) because they have a 3-phase edge over the Rangers (+120) in starting and relief pitching and hitting and there’s sharp line movement headed toward Tampa in the betting market.

Rasmussen isn’t a name getting mentioned a lot, but he’s pitched well for Tampa this season and the Rays are 8-1 SU in Rasmussen’s 9 starts.

Tampa’s bullpen ranks ahead of Texas’s in ERA, FIP, K/BB rate, hard-hit rate, outside-the-zone swing rate and swinging-strike rate, according to FanGraphs.

Also, Texas’s lineup ranks in the bottom 10 of the MLB vs. right-handed pitching in wRC+, wOBA and BB/K rate, per FanGraphs.

Lastly, the Rays appear to be the sharper play since the market has steamed them up from a -124 opening favorite up to the current price (per Pregame.com).

BET the RAYS (-145).

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Rays -1.5 (+120) isn’t a big enough payout considering the Rangers +1.5 (-145) are 22-11 as underdogs and 9-5 RL as home underdogs.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8.5 (+100).

Tampa is 7-3-2 O/U as road favorites and 3-0-1 O/U in Rasmussen’s last 4 starts as a favorite, while Texas is 8-5-1 O/U as home underdogs and 4-0 O/U in the last 4 home games vs. teams with a winning record.

Also, the conditions favor a higher-scoring affair. Globe Life Field has the 7th-highest park factor, aka very hitter-friendly, and it should be a hot night in Arlington, Texas, (92°) with 15-plus MPH winds blowing out to right-center field.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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