Tag: Rays Padres odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

The Tampa Bay Rays (51-23) and San Diego Padres (34-36) wrap up a 3-game set Sunday at Petco Park. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Rays lost 2-0 as +105 underdogs at the Padres Saturday. Tampa Bay has won 3 of 4 and has a 6-game lead in the AL East.

The Padres closed as -114 favorites in Saturday’s win. San Diego avoided its 3rd straight loss and is 4th in the NL West, 8.5 games back of the division-leading Arizona Diamondbacks.

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Rays at Padres projected starters

RHP Yonny Chirinos vs. RHP Joe Musgrove

Chirinos (3-1, 2.35 ERA) makes his 3rd start and 10th appearance. He has a 0.94 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 4.0 K/9 in 38 1/3 innings.

• Last outing: No-decision, 3 2/3 IP, 2 H, 1 BB, 2 K as a reliever in a 2-1 loss at Oakland Athletics Tuesday
• First career start vs. Padres

Musgrove (4-2, 4.37 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 47 1/3 innings.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 5 K in a 6-3 win vs. Cleveland Guardians Tuesday
• Career vs. Rays: 0-0, 4.00 ERA (9 IP, 4 ER), 7 H, 1 HR, 2 BB, 8 K in 1 start and 1 relief appearance

Rays at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:54 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Rays +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Padres -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays +1.5 (-160) | Padres -1.5 (+135)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Rays at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 4, Rays 3

Moneyline

San Diego is 5-0 in its last 5 games after scoring 2 or fewer runs in its previous game. Tampa Bay is 1-4 in its last 4 interleague road games vs. right-handed starters and Musgrove has given up 3 runs or fewer in 4 straight starts.

BET PADRES (-145).

Run line/Against the spread

Two of Tampa Bay’s last 3 losses have been by just 1 run. Rays +1.5 (-160) will probably hit, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the run line when Padres ML is the better play. Bet San Diego ML and/or the total instead.

PASS.

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Over/Under

The Under is 4-0-1 in Tampa Bay’s last 5 interleague games and 7-1-1 in its last 9 on the road.

The Under has gone 19-6-1 in San Diego’s last 26 home games and should hit again Sunday as Musgrove (2.12 ERA in June) continues to string together good starts.

BET UNDER 8.5 (+100).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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The Tampa Bay Rays (51-22) and San Diego Padres (33-36) meet Saturday for game 2 of a 3-game series. First pitch from Petco Park is set for 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rays lead 1-0

Tampa Bay won 6-2 as +106 road underdogs Friday. Most of this game was all Tampa, as it scored all 6 of its runs before the end of the 5th inning, including 4 runs in that inning alone. The Padres tried to make a late-game push to get on the board but the 6-0 lead the Rays had was simply too much to overcome.

The Rays have now won 3 straight after previously dropping back-to-back games vs. Oakland. The Rays sit at a 20-15 road record on the season, with road losses accounting for all but 7 of their losses on the season thus far.

The Padres are now 2-3 in their last 5 overall and have lost back-to-back home games. San Diego sits at 17-20 at home this season, continuing its home struggles with Friday’s loss.

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Rays at Padres projected starters

RHP Zach Eflin vs. LHP Blake Snell

Eflin (8-2, 3.28 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 through 71 1/3 IP.

• Last outing: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 6 K in a 4-3 road loss Monday vs. Oakland Athletics
• Career vs. San Diego: 2-2 with a 3.38 ERA (26 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 24 H, 20 K, and a 1.16 WHIP across 5 starts

Snell (2-6, 3.78 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 4.8 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 through 69 IP.

• Last outing: No-decision, 7 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 12 K in a 5-4 road loss Sunday vs. Colorado Rockies
• First career start vs. Tampa Bay

Rays at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:49 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Rays -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Padres -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (+145) | Padres +1.5 (-175)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 9/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!

Rays at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 5, Padres 2

Moneyline

BET RAYS (-115). 

Tampa Bay has dominated San Diego lately and with the Padres’ home struggles this season, the Rays are an even safer bet. The Rays are the hotter team and are better on the road than the Padres are at home. The Rays are 9-1 in the last 10 meetings overall and 3-1 in the last 4 meetings in San Diego. The Rays also have the SP advantage here.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

This line could truly go either way and I’m not a fan of wagering such a heavy bet on the Padres at +1.5 (-175) considering their home woes and the fact that only 1 of the last 10 meetings has come to a 1-run margin.

If you believe in the Rays at -1.5 (+145) you could place a small wager on that bet, but the moneyline and O/U are both safer.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 8 (-105). 

For San Diego, the Under is 6-0 in its last 6 Saturday games and 6-0-1 in its last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record. For Snell, the Under is 5-0 in his last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

For Tampa Bay, the Under is 4-0-1 in its last 5 interleague road games and 5-4-1 in its last 10 games overall. For Eflin, the Under is 4-0 in his last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record, all per covers.com.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @payton_shanks on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

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