Tag: Rays Marlins odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

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The Tampa Bay Rays (29-31) visit the Miami Marlins (21-39) on Tuesday. First pitch from loanDepot park is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Rays won 2 of 3 meetings in 2023

The Rays snapped a 2-game losing streak on Sunday after taking down the Baltimore Orioles 4-3 and covering as +110 road underdog. Three Tampa Bay players had at least 1 RBI with CF Jose Siri with 2 RBIs. RHP Shawn Armstrong picked up the win pitching a scoreless inning.

The Marlins have lost back-to-back games after falling 6-0 to the Rangers on Sunday and failing to cover as +112 home underdogs. Losing LHP Trevor Rogers allowed 4 ER in 6 IP.

Rays at Marlins projected starters

RHP Ryan Pepiot vs. LHP Jesus Luzardo

Pepiot (3-2, 3.88 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 0.95 WHIP, 3.111 BB/9 and 9.91 K/9 in 46 1/3 IP.

• Rays are 5-4 in his 9 starts
• Has allowed 3 or fewer ER in each of his last 6 starts
• Has given up 5 HR and 20 ER while striking out 51 and walking 16

Luzardo (2-4, 4.18 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 2.79 BB/9 and 8.71 K/9 in 51 2/3 IP.

• Marlins are 3-6 in his 9 starts
• Has not allowed an earned run in 2 of his last 3 starts
• Has allowed 24 ER and 6 HR while striking out 50 and walking 16

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Rays at Marlins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook, one of the most popular betting apps; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:18 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Rays -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Marlins +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (+145) | Marlins +1.5 (-175)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Rays at Marlins picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 4, Marlins 3

Moneyline

BET RAYS (-120).

Tampa Bay has won 4 of its last 7 games while holding opponents to 3 or fewer runs in 5 of its last 7 games. It faces a Miami team that has gone scoreless in back-to-back games while allowing 13 combined runs in that span. It has lost 4 of its last 6 overall.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There is minimal value on the run line in this game.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-120).

The Rays have hit the Under in 6 of their last 10 games including 4 of their last 6. They have allowed 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 7 games while scoring 4 or fewer in 7 of their last 10.

The Marlins have hit the Under in 8 of their last 10 including back-to-back games. They have been held scoreless in 3 of their last 5 games and have scored 3 or fewer runs in 8 of their last 10.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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The Tampa Bay Rays (80-52) and Miami Marlins (66-65) open up a 2-game set at loanDepot park Tuesday. First pitch is at 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: tied 1-1

The Rays fly south as winners of 8 of 10 games. They are 13-7 over the last 20 games and have pulled within 2 games in the AL East. They still hold a 6-game lead on the top AL Wild Card spot. Tampa is decent on the road at 35-29 and is 25-19 in interleague play.

The Fish are sinking, losers of 7 of 10 and sit 3 games out of an NL Wild Card spot. They lost 2 of 3 to the lowly Washington Nationals over the weekend and had a day off Monday to reset. They are 26-18 in interleague play and 38-29 at home overall.

Rays at Marlins projected starters

RHP Aaron Civale vs. RHP Sandy Alcantara

Civale (6-3, 2.59 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 97 1/3 IP with the Cleveland Guardians and Rays.

• Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 9 K Wednesday against the Colorado Rockies
• In 4 starts since coming to Tampa, he’s 1-1 with a 3.54 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 8.9 K/9
• First career start vs. Miami

Alcantara (6-11, 4.16 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 through 171 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 6 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 3 K Wednesday against San Diego Padres
• Last 5 starts vs. Rays: 2-2, 2.90 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 30 K in 31 IP

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Rays at Marlins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 8:25 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Rays -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Marlins -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (+165) | Marlins +1.5 (-200)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Rays at Marlins picks and predictions

Prediction

Marlins 3, Rays 1

Moneyline

Alcantara has had a down year, but he’s a much better pitcher at home with a 3.61 ERA and 1.07 WHIP as opposed to a 4.61 ERA and 1.29 WHIP on the road. He has also turned it up in the 2nd half with a 3.02 ERA and 1.08 WHIP as opposed to a 4.72 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in the first half. The Marlins just need to be able to score enough to secure the W.

LEAN MARLINS (-115).

Run line/Against the spread

The Marlins are the preferred side here, but not at -200.

PASS.

Over/Under

Tampa is 7-3 O/U over the last 10, and Miami is 3-7. The Over is 5-5 in the last 10 meetings between the clubs. Alcantara has pitched in 4 of 5 Unders, and Civale has contributed to 3 of 5 Unders. Miami has scored just 15 runs in the last 8 games, and I see this one being a pitchers’ duel.

Take the UNDER 7.5 (-110).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Ryan Dodson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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