Texas Rangers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Texas Rangers at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Texas Rangers (60-45) and San Diego Padres (51-54) wrap up a 3-game set Sunday at Petco Park. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rangers vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 2-0

The Rangers lost 4-0 as +161 underdogs in the 2nd game of the series Saturday. Texas has lost 6 of its last 8 contests, but still has a 1-game lead over the Houston Astros in the AL West.

San Diego is 7-4 in its last 11 contests and 4th in the NL West, 9 games back of the division-leading Los Angeles Dodgers. The Padres have won the last 10 meetings vs. the Rangers since 2020.

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Rangers at Padres projected starters

LHP Cody Bradford vs. LHP Blake Snell

Bradford (2-1, 4.62 ERA) makes his 6th start and 12th appearance. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 37 innings.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 3 K in relief during 4-3 loss at Astros Tuesday
  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 1 K in 7-2 win at Washington Nationals July 7
  • Road stats: 1-0, 3.00 ERA (15 IP, 5 ER) in 3 games (2 starts)
  • Never faced Padres before

Snell (7-8, 2.61 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 5.1 BB/9 and 11.6 K/9 in 114 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 5 BB, 4 K in 5-1 home win vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Tuesday
  • Home stats: 6-4, 2.82 ERA (54 1/3 IP, 17 ER) in 10 starts
  • Career vs. Rangers: 3-0, 1.56 ERA (17 1/3 IP, 3 ER) in 3 starts (last faced Texas in 2019)

Rangers at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:29 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rangers +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Padres -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers +1.5 (-115) | Padres -1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Rangers at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 4, Rangers 2

Moneyline

San Diego (-200) should beat Texas for the 11th straight time, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the moneyline when the Padres should win by multiple runs.

PASS. Bet the run line and/or the total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

Granted it’s over several seasons, but the Padres have covered the run line in 9 of the last 10 meetings between these teams. Snell has not allowed more than 2 ER in 12 straight starts and gives San Diego the pitching advantage it needs to win by multiple runs.

BET PADRES -1.5 (-105).

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Over/Under

The Under has hit in the last 4 Padres games as San Diego has allowed just 5 runs over that stretch. Snell has been 1 of the best pitchers in MLB over his last 12 starts and should help the Under hit once again Sunday.

BET UNDER 9 (-115).

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Texas Rangers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Texas Rangers at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Texas Rangers (60-44) and San Diego Padres (50-54) meet Saturday for Game 2 of a 3-game series. First pitch from Petco Park is set for 8:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rangers vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 1-0

San Diego won 7-1 as a -163 home favorite in the series opener on Friday. That game was all Padres from the jump. By the end of the 6th inning, they had a 7-0 lead and had already put the game away, thanks to a 4-run 6th inning that gave them an insurmountable lead.

The Rangers are now 5-5 in their last 10 games overall and sit at 26-24 on the road this year. San Diego is 6-4 in its last 10 and 2-2 in its last 4 home games. The Padres are 27-25 at home this season.

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Rangers at Padres projected starters

LHP Martin Perez vs. RHP Yu Darvish

Perez (8-3, 4.91 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.49 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 in 102 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 8-4 home win vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Sunday
  • Road stats: 4-2, 5.98 ERA (52 2/3 IP, 35 ER) in 10 starts
  • Career vs. Padres: 0-0, 2.16 ERA (8 1/3 IP, 2 ER) in 1 start and 1 relief appearance – last faced San Diego in 2018

Darvish (7-7, 4.80 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 101 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 7 ER, 8 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 8-4 home loss vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Monday
  • Home stats: 2-4, 4.73 ERA (51 1/3 IP, 27 ER) in 9 starts
  • Career vs. Rangers: 0-0, 2 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 2 H, 7 BB, 4 K in 1 start, an 8-6 road loss as member of Chicago Cubs March 30, 2019

Rangers at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:03 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rangers +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Padres -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers +1.5 (-130) | Padres -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Rangers at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 7, Rangers 6

Moneyline

PASS. 

I like the Padres to win this one as they have the 9-1 lead in the last 10 head-to-head matchups, but at -185, the line is not worth the juice. Bet the run line and/or O/U instead.

Run line/Against the spread

BET RANGERS +1.5 (-130). 

Neither team is much hotter than the other, but the Rangers do have a big enough pitching advantage to make me confident that they will cover here. The Rangers are 4-1 in Perez’s last 5 starts and 1-0 in his only start vs. San Diego. The Padres are 2-3 in Darvish’s last 5 starts and the 5-time All-Star is 0-1 in his only start vs. Texas. The Rangers also have a better record and are solid on the road.

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Over/Under

LEAN OVER 9.5 (+100). 

The Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between these teams. The Over is also 4-0-1 in Perez’s last 5 starts, 3-2 in Darvish’s last 5 starts, and 1-0 in Darvish’s only start vs. Texas.

The Over is safer for both pitchers, but this is a lean because the Over hasn’t been hot for either team individually as of late.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @payton_shanks on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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