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Texas Rangers at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Texas Rangers at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Texas Rangers (68-47) and San Francisco Giants (62-53) open a 3-game set Friday at Oracle Park. First pitch is scheduled for 10:15 p.m. ET (Apple TV+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rangers vs. Giants odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting since Giants won the 2021 series 3-1

The Rangers had an 8-game win streak snapped with a 2-0 loss as -229 favorites at the Oakland Athletics Wednesday. Texas has a 2½-game lead over the 2nd-place Houston Astros in the AL West.

The Giants lost 4-1 as +127 underdogs at the Los Angeles Angels Wednesday. San Francisco has lost 4 of its last 5 outings and is 6½ games back of the division-leading Los Angeles Dodgers in the NL West.

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Rangers at Giants projected starters

RHP Jon Gray vs. LHP Scott Alexander

Gray (7-5, 3.72 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 113 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 5 R (3 ER), 6 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 9-8 home victory vs. Miami Marlins Saturday
  • 2023 road stats: 4-2, 3.14 ERA (51 2/3 IP, 18 ER) in 9 starts
  • Career vs. Giants: 2-8, 5.96 ERA (77 IP, 51 ER) in 16 starts — last faced San Francisco in 2021

Alexander (6-2, 4.01 ERA) makes his 6th start and 41st appearance. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 4.8 K/9 in 33 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 0 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 0 K as opener in 7-5 loss at Angels Tuesday
  • 2023 home stats: 4-0, 3.21 ERA (14 IP, 5 ER) in 2 starts and 14 relief appearances
  • Career vs. Rangers: 1-0, 1.17 ERA (7 2/3 IP, 1 ER) in 6 relief appearances — last faced Texas in 2020

Rangers at Giants odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:46 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rangers -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Giants -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers -1.5 (+145) | Giants +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Rangers at Giants picks and predictions

Prediction

Rangers 4, Giants 2

Moneyline

San Francisco is just 16-21 this season vs. AL teams. Texas (-115) should win, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the moneyline when the Rangers should win by multiple runs.

PASS. Bet the run line and/or the total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

Texas should bounce back after having its 8-game win streak snapped last time out. The Rangers are 29-17 on the run line this season after a loss and 9-5 after 1 day of rest.

San Francisco has been playing below expectation lately and its last 3 losses have been by multiple runs.

BET RANGERS -1.5 (+145).

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Over/Under

The Under is 22-15 (59.5%) this season when the Giants play AL teams and 29-21-2 (58%) when San Francisco is coming off a loss.

The Under has hit in 4 straight games for the Rangers and that streak should continue Friday at Oracle Park.

BET UNDER 8.5 (-110).

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Texas Rangers at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Texas Rangers at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Texas Rangers (18-18) stop by Oracle Park Monday to start a quick two-game series with the host San Francisco Giants (20-14). First pitch is set for 9:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rangers vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Rangers beat the Seattle Mariners yesterday 10-2, winning the rubber match, and have won seven of their past 10 games.

San Francisco was boat raced by the San Diego Padres, 11-1, but still won the three-game set and is 5-5 in the previous 10 games.

RHP Kyle Gibson gets the nod for the Rangers. Gibson is 3-0 with a 2.40 ERA (41 1/3 IP, 11 ER), 1.04 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 across 7 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision in 8 IP with 3 ER, 3 H, 2 BB and 8 K in Texas’ 6-3 win over the Minnesota Twins Tuesday.
  • Career vs. Giants: 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA (5 IP, 5 ER), 0 BB and 4 K in 1 start, back in 2014.
    • Vs. Giants on the current roster: 31 at-bats with a .258/.324/.323 slash line, 3/3 K/BB rate, 0 HR and 4 RBIs.

LHP Alex Wood is the projected starter for the Giants. Wood is 3-0 with a 1.96 ERA (23 IP, 5 ER), 0.78 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 over 4 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 8-6, in 5 IP with 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB and 2 K Tuesday vs. the Colorado Rockies.
  • Career vs. the Rangers: 1-0 with a 0.64 ERA (14 IP, 1 ER), 0.86 WHIP and 9.0 K/9 in 2 starts (the last start was in 2018).
    • Vs. Rangers on the current roster: 27 at-bats with a .407/.407/.630 slash line, 7/0 K/BB rate, 1 HR and 3 RBIs.

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Rangers at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Rangers +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Giants -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Rangers +1.5 (-165) | Giants -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under: 7 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Rangers 5, Giants 3

Money line (ML)

When you look a little deeper into both starting pitchers’ performance then you’d see there’s more legitimacy to Gibson’s.

Each has impressive advanced pitching rates, but all four of Wood’s starts have been against two opponents (Colorado and the Miami Marlins), both of which have bottom-10 lineup in wOBA, wRC+ and BB/K rate.

Gibson, however, after getting roughed up his first outing, has six straight quality starts. Furthermore, Texas is 11-4 this year when facing a left-handed starter.

Not only do the Rangers have the better starter situation, but they also have a more reliable bullpen.

Texas’s bullpen ranks fourth in xFIP, fifth in SIERA and sixth in K-BB% whereas Colorado’s reliever rank bottom-10 in all of those metrics.

RANGERS (+125) for 1 unit.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because the Rangers +1.5 (-165) is too expensive, and I don’t feel strongly enough to take the Rangers -1.5 (+225) on the alternate run line.

Also, since the beginning of last season, Texas has the worst run line record in the majors, and San Francisco is a respectable 13-9 RL.

Over/Under (O/U)

I’m banking on another strong outing out of Gibson and already laid out an argument for Texas’ pitching staff as a whole so I’ll just PASS on the total.

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