Rams open as slight favorites over struggling 49ers in Week 6

The 49ers were blown out by the Dolphins on Sunday, while the Rams knocked off Washington.

The Los Angeles Rams and San Francisco 49ers enter their Week 6 meeting in very different ways. The Rams blew out Washington on Sunday, 30-10, while the 49ers were shockingly crushed by the Dolphins on the road, 43-17.

It’s the first NFC West game of the season for the Rams after sweeping the NFC East, and after Week 5’s results, they enter as the road favorites. At BetMGM, the Rams are favored over the 49ers by three points. It’s not a huge spread, but considering the home team is often given a three-point advantage, it’s clear the oddsmakers like the Rams in this matchup.

It’s easy to understand why, too.

The Rams are 4-1 and just held Washington to 108 total yards and 10 points on the road. The 49ers benched their starting quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo after he struggled against a Dolphins defense that isn’t exactly fearsome.

San Francisco has also been dealing with a number of injuries to players such as Garoppolo, Raheem Mostert, Ahkello Witherspoon, and of course Nick Bosa and Solomon Thomas, who are both out for the year with torn ACLs. The Rams, for the most part, are healthy heading into Week 6.

The over/under for Sunday night’s game in Santa Clara is right around where you’d expect it to be, sitting at 49.5 points. The Rams offense is playing well and balanced, and San Francisco’s defense isn’t as daunting as it was in 2019; Ryan Fitzpatrick threw for 350 yards and three touchdowns Sunday.

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Rams open as big road favorites over Washington in Week 5

The Rams are once again big favorites against an NFC East foe.

For the second week in a row, the Los Angeles Rams will be big favorites over an NFC East foe. Only this time, it’ll be on the road as they travel to the East Coast again for a matchup with the Washington Football Team.

At BetMGM, the Rams opened the week as 8.5-point favorites over Washington, with a money line of -417. That’s an implied win probability of 80.66%, suggesting this is a game the Rams should absolutely win. The over/under is set at only 45.5 points, the lowest of any game on Sunday.

However, they can’t afford to play the way they did against the Giants and expect to win big against Washington. The Rams offense mustered only 17 points against New York on Sunday, rushing for a season-low 58 yards.

Daniel Jones threw an interception in the final minute of the game to seal the 17-9 win for the Rams, with Darious Williams making a great play in the clutch. The Rams allowed 136 yards rushing, which was the most by the Giants this season.

The Rams are only 2-2 against the spread this season, covering against the Cowboys and Eagles as underdogs. They didn’t cover the spread in their last two games against the Bills and Giants, however.

Washington is 1-2-1 ATS thus far, covering only in its Week 1 win over the Eagles. Washington pushed against Baltimore on Sunday in its 31-17 loss after being 14-point underdogs.

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Latest Rams-Giants odds: Betting line moving further in L.A’s favor

The Rams are even larger favorites now than they were when the line opened Monday.

After being underdogs in the first three games of the season, the Los Angeles Rams will be anything but that on Sunday against the Giants. Only one game in Week 4 has a more lopsided spread than Rams-Giants, and it involves another NFC East team, too: the Ravens over Washington.

After opening the week as 12.5-point favorites against the Giants, the Rams are favored by even more as of Friday morning. At BetMGM, Los Angeles is a 13.5-point favorite over New York, which is only a half-point less than Baltimore’s line over Washington.

The over/under in Rams-Giants opened at 48.5 points, but that line has dropped by one point to 47.5. The money line has Los Angeles at -834, meaning you’d have to bet $834 on the Rams to win $100.

No other game in Week 4 has a spread larger than seven points, which puts the Rams and Ravens on another level spread-wise. It’s easy to see why both are huge favorites, given the way they’ve each played through three weeks and how their opponents have performed, too.

The Rams have been favored by at least 10 points eight times since Sean McVay became head coach in 2017, and they went on to win seven of those games, covering the spread six times.

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Rams open as huge favorites over Giants in Week 4

The Rams are favorites for the first time this season as they’ll host the Giants on Sunday afternoon.

After being underdogs in each of their first three games, the Los Angeles Rams will be huge favorites in Week 4 against the New York Giants. That comes as no surprise, of course, with the Giants sitting at 0-3 and the Rams looking impressive in the first three weeks of the season – even in their 35-32 loss to the Bills on Sunday.

At BetMGM, the Rams are 12.5-point favorites over the Giants in Week 4 and have a money line of -625. In other words, a $625 bet on the Rams to win outright would return a profit of $100. The over/under for the game is 48.5 points, as well.

In three games, the Giants have scored only 38 points – second-fewest in the NFL, ahead of only the team they share MetLife Stadium with. They’ve only allowed 79 points, which is eight more than the Rams, but New York’s offense has been horrendous, especially with Saquon Barkley out for the year.

The Rams have been double-digit favorites eight times in the Sean McVay era, and if the 12.5-point margin holds up until game time, it’ll be the fourth-largest spread since 2017 in favor of L.A. The Rams’ only loss when favored by at least 10 points in that span came in 2018 when they fell 30-23 to the Eagles after entering as 13.5-point favorites.

Of the eight games where the Rams were double-digit favorites, they covered the spread six times, which is an impressive rate. We’ll see if they can make it seven of nine on Sunday at SoFi Stadium.

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Updated betting line for Rams at Bills in Week 3

The line has shifted slightly in the Rams’ direction, but only by half a point.

The Rams will face their toughest test yet on Sunday as they once again travel to the East Coast to take on the 2-0 Buffalo Bills. It’s one of two games between 2-0 teams, and based on everything leading up to this matchup, it should be a close one.

The Rams opened the week as 2.5-point underdogs to the Bills, and as of Friday morning, the line shifted slightly for Week 3. According to BetMGM, the Rams are now only two-point underdogs to Buffalo, and there could be another shift depending on each team’s injury situation. Cam Akers, Tre’Davious White, Matt Milano and Zack Moss are all dealing with injuries this week.

Additionally, the over/under of 46.5 is still the same as when the line opened earlier in the week. It’s the seventh-highest total of any game this week, though both defenses boast great talent and rank among the league’s best.

The Rams were underdogs in each of their first two games of the season, too, so this is nothing new for them – though they were typically favorites in the last two years.

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Rams’ Super Bowl odds improve dramatically after 2-0 start

The Rams went from having the 20th-best odds before the season to now being tied for 10th.

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Before the season began, only 10 teams had worse Super Bowl odds than the Los Angeles Rams. It was reasonable to doubt the Rams at least a little after they underwent major changes in the offseason, but giving the Browns and Broncos better Super Bowl odds than L.A. seemed hard to believe.

The Rams have proved a lot of skeptics wrong through two weeks, including the oddsmakers. After opening the year at 50/1 to win the Super Bowl (20th-best), the Rams’ odds now sit at 22/1 – tied for 10th-best with the Bills and Patriots – according to BetMGM.

That means their chances have more than doubled after knocking off the Cowboys and Eagles, whose odds now sit at 18/1 and 40/1, respectively. It’s about a good a start as the Rams could’ve hoped for through two weeks, coming away with two statement wins against the best teams in the NFC East.

Granted, it’s only Week 3, but people are coming around on the idea of L.A. being a legitimate contender in the NFC. The Seahawks (12/1) and Cardinals (20/1) still have better Super Bowl odds than the Rams, but San Francisco has fallen off a cliff due to injuries, and is now just 45/1 to win it all.

The Rams’ 22/1 odds have an implied probability of 4.3% to win the Super Bowl. Unsurprisingly, the Ravens (9/2) and Chiefs (11/2) remain the top picks to win it all this season, followed by the Seahawks, Saints and Buccaneers.

While the AFC has two elite at the top, there are six NFC teams in the top nine of the latest Super Bowl odds.

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Rams flip from 2.5-point underdogs to 1-point favorites vs. Cowboys

The Rams are now favored over the Cowboys.

Ever since the 2020 regular-season schedule was released, the Rams have been underdogs to the Cowboys in Week 1. That is, until now.

Just before kickoff on Sunday night, the line at BetMGM flipped from Rams +2.5 to Rams -1. It’s not a change that happens often, but it is certainly notable. It’s likely because of all the bets coming in on the Rams to cover the spread with 2.5 points, which caused the oddsmakers to shift the line more in the Rams’ favor to balance out the action on both sides.

There wasn’t any significant news that came out before the game to cause this big of a change, either, which points to the fact that there was probably an overwhelming amount of action coming in on the Rams getting 2.5 points.

Anyone who likes the Cowboys to win this game is now able to get a more favorable line with them getting one point instead of giving up 2.5.

Rams are third-favorites to win NFC West next season

The 49ers remain the favorites, followed by the Seahawks.

The NFC West briefly belonged to the Los Angeles Rams in 2017 and 2018 after a decade of finishing below the top spot, but they fell off in 2019 and finished third. The San Francisco 49ers claimed the division and ran all the way to the Super Bowl, while the Seahawks were second and claimed a wild-card spot.

The Cardinals only finished 5-10-1, but they boasted a much-improved offense with a porous defense that held the entire team back.

The NFC West is going to be a slugfest again in 2020 with all four teams looking like playoff contenders. They’re all very capable of finishing above .500, which makes this the best division in football.

So what are the Rams’ chances to win the West next season? According to BetMGM, they’re the third-favorites to finish first at +320. The 49ers are unsurprisingly the favorites at +115, while the Seahawks are second at +240. The Cardinals aren’t complete longshots at +800.

Interestingly enough, the 49ers also have the best odds to finish third in the division and the second-best odds to finish last, behind only the Cardinals. That shows the oddsmakers view the 49ers as a boom-or-bust team that could easily regress after reaching the Super Bowl, just as the Rams did last season.

Los Angeles still has a lot of work to do, such as finding a kicker, inside linebacker help, replacing Todd Gurley and bolstering the offensive line. But as of now, their chances to win the division are fair.

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Rams’ over/under win total set lower for 2020 season

The oddsmakers set the Rams’ win total for 2020 at just 8.5 games.

After reaching Super Bowl LIII and losing to the Patriots, expectations were extremely high for the Rams in 2019. That’s not necessarily the case for this team heading into the 2020 campaign, though.

Los Angeles went 9-7 last season, missing the playoffs for the first time under Sean McVay. Their projected win total for 2019 was set at 10.5, tied for second-highest in the NFL behind only the Chiefs. The oddsmakers have lowered their expectations for the Rams in 2020, setting their win total lower for the upcoming season.

At BetMGM, the Rams’ projected win total is only 8.5 games, two wins fewer than last year’s line. The over has a line of -106, meaning you’d have to bet $106 to win $100. The under is set at -115, so you’d have to bet $115 to win $100.

Simply finishing above .500 may not seem like a tall task for a team as talented as the Rams, but given all the losses they’ve suffered and the division they play in, it’s hardly a given.

Los Angeles still has a lot of talent on its roster – led by Aaron Donald, Jalen Ramsey, Jared Goff and Cooper Kupp – but there are also holes that need to be filled after countless free-agent departures.

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2020 NFL MVP odds: No Rams among favorites, Goff and Donald tied

Todd Gurley has worse MVP odds than incoming rookie Joe Burrow.

Lamar Jackson ran away with the NFL MVP award in 2019 after a phenomenal season in which he threw for 3,127 yards and a league-high 36 touchdown passes, and also rushed for 1,206 yards and seven touchdowns. He’s established himself as one of the best players in the league, and certainly the most exciting.

But will he be able to defend his MVP title in 2020? The oddsmakers don’t have him as the favorite, nor do they see the Rams’ best players among the favorites to win it. According to BetMGM, Jared Goff and Aaron Donald have the same MVP odds at 66/1 – tied for 20th-best in the NFL.

Todd Gurley is much further down the list at 150/1, tied with incoming rookies Justin Herbert and Tua Tagovailoa, as well as veterans Ryan Fitzpatrick and Nick Foles. Drew Lock and Gardner Minshew have the same odds as Gurley, too. Presumed No. 1 overall pick Joe Burrow, who’s expected to land with the Bengals, has better odds at 250/2.

Other notables on the list are Kyler Murray and Jimmy Garoppolo at 33/1, as well as Saquon Barkley, Derrick Henry and Christian McCaffrey as the top non-QBs (33/1). Donald has the best odds to win MVP of any defensive player in the NFL.

Teddy Bridgewater is 80/1 to take home MVP honors, despite no certainty that he’ll even be a starter next season.

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