The No. 3 seed Purdue Boilermakers (25-6, 14-6 Big Ten) are favored by 10.5 points when they face off the No. 11 seed Penn State Nittany Lions (14-16, 7-13 Big Ten) in the Big Ten Tournament. The teams will look to take another step toward an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket on Friday at Gainbridge Fieldhouse starting at 9:00 PM.
Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
Purdue is 13-15-1 against the spread, while Penn State’s ATS record this season is 17-12-0. The Boilermakers are 16-13-0 and the Nittany Lions are 11-19-0 in terms of hitting the over. The teams score 145.4 points per game, 10.9 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the last 10 games, Purdue has a 2-7-1 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall. Penn State has gone 7-3-0 against the spread and 5-5 overall in its last 10 matches.
Get ready for this Big Ten matchup with everything you need to know before Friday’s college basketball action.
Penn State at Purdue odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list.
- Spread: Purdue -10.5
- Total: 134.5
- Moneyline: Purdue -595, Penn State +427
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Penn State at Purdue odds, spread, & more
Prediction
Purdue 76, Penn State 64
Moneyline
- The Boilermakers are 23-5 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 82.1% of those games).
- Purdue has a 14-1 record (winning 93.3% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline favorite of -595 or shorter.
- Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Boilermakers have an implied win probability of 85.6%.
- The Nittany Lions have entered the game as underdogs 18 times this season and won five, or 27.8%, of those games.
- Penn State has been at least a +427 moneyline underdog two times this season, and lost all of those games.
- The implied probability of a win by the Nittany Lions based on the moneyline is 19.0%.
Against the spread
- The 80.7 points per game the Boilermakers average are 15.8 more points than the Nittany Lions allow (64.9).
- When Purdue scores more than 64.9 points, it is 12-13-1 against the spread and 24-5 overall.
- When Penn State allows fewer than 80.7 points, it is 14-10 against the spread and 11-14 overall.
- The Nittany Lions put up an average of 64.7 points per game, only 4.1 fewer points than the 68.8 the Boilermakers give up.
- Penn State has put together a 3-5 ATS record and a 6-2 overall record in games it scores more than 68.8 points.
- Purdue is 4-2-1 against the spread and 7-0 overall when it allows fewer than 64.7 points.
- The Boilermakers have out-scored their opponents by a total of 371 points this season (11.9 points per game on average), and opponents of the Nittany Lions have out-scored them by only four more points on the year (0.2 per game).
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Over/Under
- The Boilermakers’ average implied point total this season is 6.6 more points than their implied total in Friday’s game (79.6 implied points on average compared to 73 implied points in this game).
- So far this season, Purdue has scored more than 73 points in 21 games.
- The average implied point total on the season for the Nittany Lions (70.1) is 8.1 more points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (62).
- This season, Penn State has put up more than 62 points 16 times.
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