Michigan State vs Purdue Big Ten Tournament odds, tips and betting trends

The Big Ten conference tournament continues Saturday as the No. 3 seed Purdue Boilermakers (26-6, 14-6 Big Ten) face off against the No. 7 seed Michigan State Spartans (22-11, 11-9 Big Ten) at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, beginning at 3:25 PM. Purdue is a …

The Big Ten conference tournament continues Saturday as the No. 3 seed Purdue Boilermakers (26-6, 14-6 Big Ten) face off against the No. 7 seed Michigan State Spartans (22-11, 11-9 Big Ten) at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, beginning at 3:25 PM. Purdue is a 5.5-point favorite to move one step closer to an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Purdue has a 14-16-1 record against the spread this season compared to Michigan State, who is 17-15-0 ATS. The Boilermakers have a 16-15-0 record hitting the over, while games involving the Spartans have a record of 17-15-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The two teams average 152.6 points per game, 9.1 more points than this matchup’s total. In the last 10 games, Purdue has a 2-7-1 record against the spread while going 8-2 overall. Michigan State has gone 4-6-0 against the spread and 5-5 overall in its last 10 matches.

To prepare for this Big Ten matchup, here is everything you need to prepare for Saturday’s college basketball action.

Michigan State at Purdue odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list.

  • Spread: Purdue -5.5
  • Total: 143.5
  • Moneyline: Purdue -243, Michigan State +193

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Michigan State at Purdue odds, spread, & more

Prediction

Purdue 76, Michigan State 64

Moneyline

  • The Boilermakers are 25-5 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 83.3% of those games).
  • When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -243 or shorter, Purdue has a 22-1 record (winning 95.7% of its games).
  • The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Boilermakers a 70.8% chance to win.
  • The Spartans have entered the game as underdogs 11 times this season and won four, or 36.4%, of those games.
  • This season, Michigan State has been at least a +193 underdog on the moneyline three times, losing each of those contests.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 34.1% chance of a victory for the Spartans.

Against the spread

  • The Boilermakers average 80.4 points per game, 12.2 more points than the 68.2 the Spartans allow.
  • When Purdue scores more than 68.2 points, it is 12-10-1 against the spread and 24-1 overall.
  • Michigan State is 15-13 against the spread and 20-7 overall when giving up fewer than 80.4 points.
  • The Spartans’ 72.2 points per game are only 3.7 more points than the 68.5 the Boilermakers allow to opponents.
  • Michigan State is 12-8 against the spread and 16-4 overall when it scores more than 68.5 points.
  • Purdue is 8-10-1 against the spread and 17-4 overall when it allows fewer than 72.2 points.
  • The Boilermakers have out-scored their opponents by a total of 379 points this season (11.9 points per game on average), and the Spartans have put up 129 more points than their opponents on the year (four per game).

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Over/Under

  • The average implied total for the Boilermakers this season is 79.2 points, the same as their implied total in Saturday’s game.
  • This season, Purdue has scored more than 75 points 20 times.
  • The average implied point total on the season for the Spartans (73.6) is 4.6 more points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (69).
  • So far this season, Michigan State has outscored its implied point total for this matchup (69) 22 times.

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