The Minnesota Golden Gophers (12-7, 5-7 Big Ten) host the No. 25 Purdue Boilermakers (13-7, 8-5) at Williams Arena for a 5 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Purdue-Minnesota college basketball odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
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Purdue at Minnesota: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:45 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Purdue +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Minnesota -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Purdue +3.5 (-110) | Minnesota -3.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 138.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Purdue at Minnesota: Three things to know
- Purdue is 3-2 straight up and ATS in its last five games, alternating wins and losses with its last game being a 75-70 victory as an 8-point home favorite over Northwestern Saturday.
- All of Minnesota’s losses this season have come in conference play and six of them were road games. The Golden Gophers snapped a three-game losing skid Monday by waxing Nebraska 79-61 at home. Prior to the losing streak, Minnesota lit up Michigan 75-57 at home Jan. 16.
- The Golden Gophers led at halftime of their first meeting with the Boilermakers this season before getting drubbed 51-27 in the second half of an 81-62 Purdue home win. The Boilermakers have won two in a row over the Golden Gophers but they’re just 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings.
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Purdue at Minnesota: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Purdue 76, Minnesota 68
Money line (ML)
TAKE PURDUE (+145) to “upset” Minnesota on the road. Granted, the Golden Gophers play much better at home than on the road but I like how the Boilermakers match up with them. First, Purdue has the 33rd best rebounding percentage in the nation and Minnesota is 274th.
Second, the Golden Gophers don’t attack in the way needed to exploit the Boilermakers’ weakness of rim protection. Minnesota attempts the 325th-highest rate of shots at the rim while Purdue is 321st in opponent’s field-goal percentage at the rim, according to Hoop-Math.com.
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Against the spread (ATS)
PURDUE +3.5 (-110) is the stronger play and should be either bet heavier than or instead of the money line.
Some might excuse Minnesota’s first loss to Purdue as a game that got away from the Golden Gophers in the second half, but the Boilermakers didn’t have their second-leading scorer and best 3-point shooter in SG Sasha Stefanovic in that game.
Over/Under (O/U)
PASS with a lean on Over 138.5 (-110) because Minnesota shoots better at home and Purdue is going to allow the Gophers to shoot threes. Purdue’s opponents shoot the eighth-highest rate of 3-pointers and while Minnesota is 307th in effective field-goal shooting, it’ll be more comfortable on its home floor.
I’d rather use my Purdue-Minnesota budget in the above markets.
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