Purdue at Penn State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Purdue at Penn State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 1 Purdue Boilermakers (14-1, 3-1 Big Ten) and Penn State Nittany Lions (11-4, 2-2) meet for a PSU home-away-from-home game at the famed Palestra in Philadelphia. Tip time is slated for 6 p.m. ET (Big Ten Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Purdue vs. Penn State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Purdue rebounded from Monday’s 65-64 loss at Rutgers to earn a hard-fought 71-69 win at No. 23 Ohio State Thursday and cover the 1.5-point spread. The Boilermakers, who snapped an 8-game winless streak (0-7-1) against the spread (ATS), knocked down a season-high 13 triples in the contest. Slow-tempo Purdue does not usually rely on 3s to that extent; it ranks 271st in NCAA-I with a 31.5% mark from beyond the arc.

The Nittany Lions last played on Wednesday when they were a +4 underdog and lost 79-69 at Michigan. Penn State was a -6 on the boards and sent the Wolverines to the free-throw line 25 times. Against the number, PSU has won back-to-back games against Purdue.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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Purdue at Penn State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:42 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Purdue -230 (bet $230 to win $100) | Penn State +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Purdue -5.5 (-105) | Penn State +5.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 135.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Purdue at Penn State picks and predictions

Prediction

Purdue 67, Penn State 66

Moneyline

Penn State is the lean in a vacuum, but we would want +200 or better to think about a partial-unit play. PASS.

Against the spread

Purdue is a slow-tempo program that plays a lot of close games. The Boilermakers are 6-17-3 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight-up win. Purdue is 1-10 ATS when favored by 4.5-points or more.

Penn State is 7-1 ATS after its last 8 straight-up losses. And the underdog is 4-1-1 in the last 6 games in this series.

The Lions cede sizable advantages to their guests in rebounding and free-throw frequency. But Penn State takes care of the basketball and should get its fair share of treys, even in the alternate venue against a Purdue team that has defended the perimeter well.

TAKE PENN STATE +5.5 (-115).

Over/Under

This game figures to have a bottom-3rd pace. There is the chance of some 3-ball spiral, but figure on long possessions winning out.

Consider a partial-unit play on the UNDER 135.5 (-115).

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Purdue at Penn State odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Purdue Boilermakers at Penn State Nittany Lions odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 3 Purdue Boilermakers (12-2, 1-2 Big Ten) and Penn State Nittany Lions (7-5, 2-2) clash in a Saturday Big Ten battle in State College, Pa. The contest at the Bryce Jordan Center is scheduled to start at noon ET. Below, we look at the Purdue vs. Penn State odds and lines and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Purdue is coming off a Monday home loss to Wisconsin. The loss to the Badgers snapped a four-game win streak. In the game – a 74-69 setback – the nation’s fourth-leading offense (85.9 points per game) was held under 70 points for just a second time this season.

The Nittany Lions have been solid defensively and on the boards in winning three of their last four. Before that stretch, Penn State had lost three of four (Nov. 26-Dec. 5). Across its last four games, PSU has held opponents to 65.5 PPG while being a plus-4.0 in rebounding.

Purdue at Penn State odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Purdue -475 (bet $475 to win $100) | Purdue +340 (bet $100 to win $340)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Purdue -9.5 (-107) | Purdue +9.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 138.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Purdue at Penn State odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Penn State 73, Purdue 69

Money line

Penn State has been sneaky-solid lately. This play would be more of a value stealth attack if the Boilermakers hadn’t lost Monday. But the price here will do. BET THE NITTANY LIONS (+340).

Against the spread

The Boilermakers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall. The underdog is 5-2-1 ATS in the last eight PU-PSU meetings.

Purdue is a very strong team, but peg the expectations of late as being overcooked.

The Nittany Lions are led by first-year head coach Micah Shrewsberry, who spent the last three years as an assistant at Purdue. Shrewsberry’s Lions have the home hardwood and the momentum in this one. PSU is an experienced, slow-temp squad. Getting more than 5 or 6 points here is a boon for bettors. TAKE PENN STATE +9.5 (-115).

Over/Under

Peg this game as reaching the 140s. Because Purdue has some advantages in the 1- and 3-point games (free throws and triples) and in second-chance points, the OVER 138.5 (-110) is a decent play here as a hedge if betting PSU. If the Boilers cover, its likely in an Over.

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Purdue at Penn State odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Friday’s Purdue Boilermakers at Penn State Nittany Lions odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Purdue Boilermakers (15-8 overall, 10-6 Big Ten) visit the Penn State Nittany Lions (8-12, 5-11) Friday. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET at Bryce Jordan Center in University Park, Pa.

Below, we analyze the Purdue-Penn State odds and lines, with NCAA college basketball picks and predictions.

Neither is ranked in the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports. Five Big Ten teams are ranked with three – No. 3 Michigan, No. 4 Illinois and No. 5 Ohio State – in the top five.

The Boilermakers are in fifth place in the Big Ten, while the Nittany Lions are 12th.

Purdue at Penn State: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Purdue -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Penn State -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Purdue +1.5 (-120) | Penn State -1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under: 139.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Purdue at Penn State: Three things to know

  1. Purdue enters on a 2-game win streak, coming off a 75-58 victory at Nebraska Saturday. The Boilermakers, who covered the spread as 7.5-point favorites, used a 19-4 run to pull away in the second half. Junior F Trevion Williams leads Purdue with 16.0 points per game and 9.1 rebounds per game.
  2. Penn State also beat Nebraska in its last game, snapping a 4-game skid with an 86-83 home win Tuesday. Junior G Myreon Jones scored a career-high 29 points, but the Nittany Lions failed to cover as 6.5-point favorites. Senior G Jamari Wheeler broke a 70-all tie with a 3-pointer at the 5:59 mark and hit a pair of free throws with 12 seconds left before the Cornhuskers missed a 3 in the final seconds. Jones leads the Lions with 15.6 PPG.
  3. Purdue improved to 10-1 in the last 11 games vs. Penn State with an 80-72 home win as a 3.5-point favorite in mid-January. All five Purdue starters scored in double figures with junior G Sasha Stefanovic’s 15 points leading the way.

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Purdue at Penn State: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Purdue 69, Penn State 66

Money line (ML)

PURDUE (-105) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. If the line moves above -110, play the Boilermakers on the spread instead.

Purdue, which is the more well-rounded team, is 5-1 ATS in its last six road games and 8-3-1 ATS in its last 12 overall.

Penn State is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 at home dating back to last season, including is 4-6 ATS at home this season.

Plus, the road team is 4-1-1 ATS in the last six of this series.

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Against the spread (ATS)

PASS unless the Purdue’s ML moves above -110 as mentioned above.

ATS: Purdue 11-10-2 | Penn State 10-10

Over/Under (O/U)

Back the UNDER 139.5 (-105). Purdue’s defense ranks third in the Big Ten with 66.5 PPG allowed. In the last six games, it has been even better, yielding just 64.5 PPG.

Because this goes against the series’ Over trend, which is 6-0 in the last six games, Joe Public will likely back the Over, causing the line to climb. So, wait to bet the Under until closer to tip-off.

O/U records: Purdue 12-11 | Penn State 9-11

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JOHNNY PARLAY’S RECORD W-L SP ROI
College hoops since Jan. 1 58-45-1 27-25 +9.375
20-21 College hoops 73-62-1 32-35 +2.65
2021 record (all sports) 73-54-1 37-27 +20.675
*SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

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