There is only one possible way the Lions don’t win the NFC North title

The NFC North title is all but clinched for the Lions after Week 15, with just one possible set of outcomes that keeps it from happening

The Detroit Lions are poised to win their first-ever NFC North division crown. The outcomes around the division in Week 15 made it almost a certainty.

Well, technically not a mathematical certainty. There is still a pathway to the Lions not capturing the divisional crown. But after Minnesota and Green Bay each lost over the weekend, it feels like quite a longshot that any outcome other than the Lions winning the division will happen.

Detroit’s dominant win over Denver elevated the Lions to 10-4. The Vikings lost to the Bengals earlier on Saturday, dropping them to 7-7. Green Bay was eliminated from the divisional race when Detroit won, but the Packers getting run by the Buccaneers put a capstone on Green Bay’s tomb. The Packers are 6-8. Chicago lost in heartbreaking fashion in Cleveland on Sunday to fall to 5-9.

The Lions and Vikings meet in Week 16 and also in Week 18. For the Vikings to win the division, they need to win all three of their remaining games and also have the Lions lose all three of Detroit’s games. When they’re not facing each other, the Vikings play the Packers in Week 17, and the Lions visit the Cowboys. Detroit is an early road favorite for the Week 16 game in Minnesota.

Minnesota has lost three of its last four games, with the win a 3-0 snoozer over the Raiders in Week 14. The Vikings and Packers are both still very much alive in the NFC wild card race.

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Breaking down the 16 different ways the Lions can clinch a playoff berth in Week 15

Breaking down the 16 different ways the Lions can clinch a playoff berth in Week 15

When the Detroit Lions host the Denver Broncos on Saturday night, the team has an opportunity to clinch Detroit’s first playoff berth since the 2016 season. Technically, the Lions have 16 different opportunities to wrap up a postseason berth over the Week 15 weekend.

All of the 16 scenarios involve Detroit not losing to Denver. There isn’t a clinching scenario off a Lions’ loss. Technically, there are scenarios where the Lions win and improve to 10-4 but don’t quite clinch a postseason berth. Add the unlikely event of ties into the equation and the pathways to the postseason expand quite a bit, too.

From the NFL, here are all the different scenarios for the Lions to clinch a postseason berth in Week 15:

DET win + SEA loss or tie + GB loss or tie OR
DET win + SEA loss or tie + MIN loss or tie OR
DET win + SEA loss or tie + LAR loss or tie OR
DET win + LAR loss or tie + MIN loss or tie + TB loss OR
DET win + LAR loss or tie + ATL loss or tie + GB loss OR
DET win + LAR loss or tie + MIN loss or tie + ATL loss or tie OR
DET win + GB-TB tie + LAR loss or tie OR
DET tie + TB loss + SEA loss + LAR loss OR
DET tie + GB loss + SEA loss + LAR loss OR
DET tie + LAR loss + SEA loss + ATL loss OR
DET tie + GB loss + SEA loss + ATL loss or tie OR
DET tie + MIN loss + SEA loss + LAR loss OR
DET tie + GB loss + LAR loss + ATL loss or tie + NO loss or tie OR
DET tie + GB-TB tie + MIN loss + SEA loss + LAR tie OR
DET tie + GB-TB tie + MIN loss + SEA loss + ATL loss or tie OR
DET tie + GB-TB tie + MIN loss + LAR loss + ATL loss or tie

As for other games that factor in these scenarios…

Minnesota (7-6) visits Cincinnati (7-6) on Saturday afternoon

Green Bay (6-7) visits Tampa Bay (6-7) on Sunday

Los Angeles (6-7) hosts Washington (4-9) on Sunday

Atlanta (6-7) visits Carolina (1-12)

New Orleans (6-7) visits the New York Giants (5-8)