Pittsburgh Pirates at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (21-19) and Baltimore Orioles (26-13) wrap up a 3-game series in Charm City on Sunday. First pitch from Orioles Park at Camden Yards is slated for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 2-0

Baltimore beat the Pirates 2-0 on Saturday for its 4th straight victory. They have held opponents to 1.5 runs per game during the 4-game win streak.

The Pirates lost their 4th straight game on Saturday and 11th of their last 12.  The shutout continued their run of futility at the plate as they’re averaging just 1.5 runs per game over the last dozen games.

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Pirates at Orioles projected starters

RHP Mitch Keller vs. RHP Kyle Gibson

Keller (4-1, 2.72 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 49 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 9 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 2-0 Pirates home victory vs. Colorado Rockies Monday
  • Only start vs Orioles: Loss, 6 IP, 1 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 1 K in 1-0 road defeat Aug. 5, 2022

Gibson (4-2, 4.40 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 in 47 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 3-0 setback vs. Tampa Bay Rays Monday
  • Owns a 2-0 record with a 2.75 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, and 9.2 K/9 in 3 career starts against the Pirates

Pirates at Orioles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:02 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pirates +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Orioles -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-185) | Orioles -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Pirates at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 3, Pirates 1

Moneyline

PASS.

The Orioles (-145) will complete their home sweep of the Pirates on Sunday afternoon. Despite my confidence in Baltimore, it’s not worth it to risk nearly 1 1/2 units to win back only a unit. Look at the run line instead.

Run line/Against the spread

BET ORIOLES -1.5 (+140).

Ten of Baltimore’s last 11 wins have been by multiple runs. The Orioles are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. teams with winning records. Six of Pittsburgh’s last 7 losses have been by multiple runs. These teams are going in opposite directions, take advantage of that fact.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-105).

Pittsburgh cannot score runs at the moment. They have not been able to produce more than 3 runs in any of the last 12 games. While the Orioles have a potent offense, Keller has been the shining light in the Pirates rotation. He’ll keep Pittsburgh competitive and the Orioles under 5 runs in this game.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (21-18) and Baltimore Orioles (25-13) play the 2nd game of a 3-game set Saturday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 1-0

The Pirates lost 3-6 as +137 underdogs at the Orioles Friday. Pittsburgh has lost 3 straight games and 10 of its last 11.

The Orioles closed as -148 home favorites in Friday’s win. OF Cedric Mullins hit for the cycle as Baltimore won its 3rd straight game.

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Pirates at Orioles projected starters

RHP Roansy Contreras vs. RHP Tyler Wells

Contreras (3-3, 4.74 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.55 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 through 38 innings.

  • Last outing: Loss, 5 IP, 5 ER, 9 H, 3 BB, 4 K in a 10-1 loss vs. Toronto Blue Jays Sunday
  • First career start vs. Orioles

Wells (2-1, 3.15 ERA) makes his 7th start and 8th appearance. He has a 0.78 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 through 40 innings.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 4 K in a 3-2 loss in extra innings at Atlanta Braves Sunday
  • First career start vs. Pirates

Pirates at Orioles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:20 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pirates +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Orioles -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-140) | Orioles -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Pirates at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 6, Pirates 4

Moneyline

PASS.

Baltimore (-175) should hand the Pirates their 4th straight loss, but there is no need to pay the higher price on the moneyline when the Orioles should win by multiple runs. Bet the run line and/or total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

BET ORIOLES -1.5 (+115).

Nine of Baltimore’s last 10 wins have been by multiple runs. The Orioles have been playing well vs. winning teams lately and are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. teams with a winning record. Five of Pittsburgh’s last 6 losses have been by multiple runs and it should struggle to keep this game close with its disadvantage at starting pitcher.

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Over/Under

BET OVER 8.5 (-110).

The Over is 8-3-2 in Pittsburgh’s last 13 games vs. teams with a winning record and 7-3-1 in Baltimore’s last 11 after a win.

These teams tend to play high-scoring games vs. each other, with the Over going 7-2-2 in the last 11 meetings, and Saturday’s matchup should be another offensive showcase with the inconsistent Contreras on the mound for Pittsburgh.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (21-17) will begin a 3-game series against the Baltimore Orioles (24-13) on Friday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Orioles won 2 of 3 vs, Pirates in 2022

The Pirates lost 4-3 to the Colorado Rockies on Wednesday, giving them 2 straight losses. After a hot start to the season, Pittsburgh has lost 9 of its last 10 games, but still leads the NL Central.

The Orioles defeated the Tampa Bay Rays 2-1 on Wednesday. Baltimore has won 2 straight and is 6-4 in its last 10 contests.

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Pirates at Orioles projected starters

RHP Johan Oviedo vs. RHP Kyle Bradish

Oviedo (2-3, 5.59 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.62 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 37 innings.

  • Has given up 4-plus ER in 4 of his 7 starts
  • In his last 3 starts, has allowed a combined 17 ER on 25 H with 7 BB and 8 K in 12 2/3 IP.

Bradish (1-1, 5.95 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.73 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 19 2/3 innings.

  • Has surrendered 3-plus ER in 3 straight starts.
  • Has registered more than 5 IP just once this season

Pirates at Orioles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:46 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pirates +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Orioles -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-160) | Orioles -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Pirates at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 6, Pirates 3

Moneyline

With how the Pirates have performed recently, I’ll take the ORIOLES (-145) at home in Friday’s interleague bout.

Run line/Against the spread

ORIOLES -1.5 (+135) has great value with the recent struggles of the Pirates. Bradish hasn’t been lights out this season, but Baltimore’s bullpen has been one of the best groups thus far.

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Over/Under

LEAN OVER 8.5 (-115).

Both Oviedo and Bradish have been allowing runs in bunches in recent starts, and both teams have shown this season that they are capable of producing runs quickly. The Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings in Baltimore and 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings overall.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (43-63) and Baltimore Orioles (55-51) tangle Saturday at 5:05 p.m. ET at Camden Yards. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Baltimore leads 1-0 after a 1-0 victory in Friday’s series opener.

The Pirates won 3 straight games heading into this series but are just 4-9 with a .597 OPS since the All-Star break. Pittsburgh is just 1-7 with a .565 OPS over its last 8 road games.

The Orioles have won 4 straight and are a robust 9-5 since the break. Baltimore has dominated in the shadow of the B&O Warehouse: the O’s are 17-6 over their last 23 games in their home yard. Orioles hurlers have been at the forefront of that surge, posting a fine 3.13 ERA.

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Pirates at Orioles projected starters

RHP J.T. Brubaker vs. RHP Austin Voth

Brubaker (2-9, 4.40 ERA) has pitched 104 1/3 innings over 20 starts. He has a 1.49 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9.

  • Has been hurt by a .333 batting average on balls in play.
  • Allowed 7 runs in his last start (4 1/3 IP vs. Philadelphia Phillies Sunday).

Voth (1-1, 5.54 ERA) has appeared in 30 games, making 7 starts. He has posted a 1.59 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 through 50 1/3 IP.

  • Has been saddled with a .365 BABIP.
  • Owns a 1.76 ERA over his last 4 starts.

Pirates at Orioles odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pirates +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Orioles -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-160) | Orioles -1.5 (+130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Pirates at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Pirates 4, Orioles 3

Money line

Figure on a Brubaker bounce-back and on him getting deeper into the contest than Voth. The Pittsburgh pen is in better shape.

BACK THE PIRATES (+130).

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS: Pittsburgh +1.5 is a lean and is worth a look at -155 or better.

Over/Under

On a lean toward the lower expected ERA figures for both starters, these two bottom-10 offenses make for some leverage on the UNDER 8.5 (-108).

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (43-62) face the Baltimore Orioles (51-54) Friday in the 1st game of a 3-game set at Camden Yards. First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting since the 2017 season. Baltimore leads the series 12-8 since 2005.

Pittsburgh is coming off an unlikely 3-game sweep of the Milwaukee Brewers. They lost 7 in a row before that series and were 8-12 in the last 20 games. The Pirates are a young, sneaky team that could cause some contenders trouble down the stretch.

Despite trading a couple of pieces away at the deadline, the O’s are coming off a 3-game sweep of the Texas Rangers. The Orioles outscored the Rangers 21-7 in the series. Baltimore has won 7 of 10 and is 29-20 at home.

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Pirates at Orioles projected starters

RHP Mitch Keller vs. RHP Dean Kremer

Keller (3-7, 4.37 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 101 IP.

  • Last 4 starts: 1-1, 1.80 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 7.6 K/9
  • Not much of a decline on the road: 4.44 ERA, 1.48 WHIP, 8.3 K/9 vs. 4.30 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 7.2 K/9 at home

Kremer (3-3, 3.86 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 51 1/3 IP.

  • Last 3 starts: 0-2, 8.56 ERA, 1.83 WHIP
  • Has a 4.26 ERA and 1.30 WHIP at home vs. 3.46 ERA and 1.50 WHIP on road

Pirates at Orioles odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:17 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Pirates +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Orioles -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-160) | Orioles -1.5 (+130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Pirates at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 6, Pirates 4

Money line

Neither starter figures to last too long, which means this will be a battle of bullpen attrition. The Orioles flaunt the 4th-best bullpen ERA at 3.06, and Pittsburgh’s is 4th-worst at 4.44. We’ll take the ORIOLES (-160) for a HALF UNIT as the ML is right at my limit, and these starters are too unpredictable to take on the First 5.

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Run line/Against the spread

All 7 of Baltimore’s wins in the last 10 games have been by 2 or more runs. It’s just a lean here because we could be playing with fool’s gold. But LEAN ORIOLES -1.5 (+130).

Over/Under

The Over is 3-0-1 in the Pirates’ last 4 games and 4-0-1 in their last 5 against a right-handed starter. The Over is 4-0 in the Orioles’ last 4 against a righty and 8-0 in the last 8 home games against a sub-.500 team. The Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between the teams and 4-1 in the last 5 in Baltimore. That’s enough for me to take the OVER 8.5 (-107).

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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