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The Pittsburgh Pirates (56-58) open a 6-game road trip on Friday with the 1st game of a 3-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers (66-49) First pitch from Dodger Stadium is at 10:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Pirates lead 2-1
The Pirates have lost 4 straight games and 6 of their last 7. They were swept at home in a 3-game series by the San Diego Padres. They lost the finale on Thursday 7-6.
The Dodgers have lost 2 in a row, losing their last series to the Philadelphia Phillies. They were off on Thursday afetr losing the finale on Wednesday 9-4.
Pirates at Dodgers projected starters
RHP Mitch Keller vs. RHP Jack Flaherty
Keller (10-5, 3.30 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 132 1/3 IP.
- Last start: No decision, 4 IP, 0 R, 1 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 4-2 home win over Arizona Diamondbacks on Saturday
- Has a 2.17 ERA over last 5 starts, all Pirates wins
- Is 2-2 with 5.79 ERA in 4 career starts vs. Dodgers
Flaherty (8-5, 2.80 ERA) makes his 20th start and 2nd with the Dodgers. He has a 0.96 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 11.2 K/9 in 112 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 R, 5 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 10-0 road win over Oakland A’s on Saturday
- Is 3-0 with 1.14 ERA over last 4 starts, including 12 scoreless innings over his last 2 starts
- Is 9-1 with 2.52 ERA in 16 career games (15 starts) vs. Pirates
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Pirates at Dodgers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:46 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Pirates +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Dodgers -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-135) | Dodgers -1.5 (+115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Pirates at Dodgers picks and predictions
Prediction
Dodgers 4, Pirates 3
Moneyline
Both pitchers are playing extremely well. The Pirates have won Keller’s last 5 starts. Flaherty has 1.14 ERA over his last 4 starts and has not allowed a run in his last 2.
The Dodgers’ have the 2nd-most home wins in all of baseball with 35. They are 7-3 in their last 10 home games. They have not lost 3 straight at home since losing 3 straight April 17-20.
Expect the Dodgers to win but don’t bet them on the moneyline at -190.
PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
Five of the Pirates’ last 6 losses have been only by 1 run. They are 35-21 ATS on the road.
The Dodgers are 26-30 ATS at home this season.
BET PIRATES +1.5 (-135).
Over/Under
Both pitchers have been great, as Keller hasn’t allowed more than 2 runs in his last 5 starts and Flaherty has allowed only 3 runs total in his last 4.
This game has the making of a pitchers duel.
BET UNDER 8 (-115).
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