The Pittsburgh Penguins (27-12-5) meet the Arizona Coyotes (25-18-4) in an interconference battle of second-place teams at Gila River Arena Sunday for a 6 p.m. ET puck drop. We analyze the Penguins-Coyotes odds and lines, while providing NHL betting tips around this matchup.
Penguins at Coyotes: Projected starting goalies
Tristan Jarry vs. Adin Hill
Jarry owns a 2.04 goals against average and .934 save percentage through 21 games (19 starts). None of his peripheral splits or analytics are so out of whack as to make him a “playing over his head” fade candidate. Jarry has logged a .918 SV% over his last five starts, and that stretch includes games against the Nashville Predators and Florida Panthers, a couple of teams that score way more than Arizona’s 2.7 goals per game. He’s been solid over recent road turns.
Hill owns a 2.43 GAA and .925 SV% through five games (two starts). The 22-game NHL veteran will be tested in this home start. The Pens have averaged 3.4 GPG this season to rank seventh in the NHL; they’ve averaged 4.1 goals over their last 11 games.
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Penguins at Coyotes: Odds, picks and betting tips
Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access them at USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 11:50 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Pittsburgh 4, Arizona 2
Moneyline (ML)
Pittsburgh has fared well in closing out the final game of their longer road trips. Sunday’s game in Arizona marks the end of a trip that started with games at the Vegas Golden Knights and Colorado Avalanche. Both Pittsburgh and Arizona are coming off one day of rest; the Penguins have fared better than the ‘Yotes in such situations. Arizona is 4-5 with shaky puck-possession indicators over its last nine games. The Coyotes are returning home after a three-game trip in the Southeast (Florida Panthers, Tampa Bay Lightning, Carolina Hurricanes). Arizona went 1-2 over those three games and was shut out against both the Lightning and Hurricanes. The ‘Yotes are 2-4 in their first home game after multi-game road trips.
The puck line (below) is a solid play, but consider backing it up with PITTSBURGH (-133) as insurance.
New to sports betting? A $10 bet on Pittsburgh to win outright would return a profit of $7.50.
Puck Line/Against the Spread (ATS)
The Penguins have a solid 13-7 mark against the PL. Arizona’s record is flimsy compared to goals for and against and then compared to underlying stats results. Add in recent results and peripherals and the contest in net and PITTSBURGH (-1.5, +220) is a play worth leveraging (perhaps alongside a moneyline play as a hedge against a one-goal game).
Over/Under (O/U)
A tip of the cap to the number and the bettors on both sides. The projected total is set at 5.5 (Over: +100, Under: -121). PASS.
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