Tag: Pirates Yankees odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

[gambcom-standard rankid=”4141″ ]

The New York Yankees (93-67) welcome the Pittsburgh Pirates (75-85) to Yankee Stadium Saturday for the 2nd game of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 1:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Pirates vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Pirates lead 1-0

The Yankees lost to the Pirates 4-2 Friday to commence the final series for both teams.

New York dropped 2 of 3 games to the Baltimore Orioles in the series prior. It is 7-4 over its last 11 games. The Yankees are 43-36 at home this season and 83-77 against the spread (ATS) overall. New York is 1 game ahead of the Cleveland Guardians for the top seed in the American League.

The Pirates have traded off winning and losing over their last 6 games. They dropped 2 of 3 games to both the Milwaukee Brewers and Cincinnati Reds in their last 2 series. Pittsburgh is 36-43 on the road and 83-77 ATS overall.

Pirates at Yankees projected starters

RHP Paul Skenes vs. RHP Luis Gil

Skenes (11-3, 1.99 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 0.96 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 through 131 innings.

• Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 9 K in 2-0 road victory over Reds Sunday
• 2024 away stats: 5-2, 1.37 ERA (59 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 0.83 WHIP, 12.7 K/9 in 10 starts
• Has never faced Yankees

Gil (15-6, 3.27 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 4.7 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 through 146 innings.

• Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 7-4 road victory over Oakland A’s Sunday
• 2024 home stats: 6-3, 3.09 ERA (70 IP, 24 ER), 1.17 WHIP, 11.3 K/9 in 14 starts
• Has never faced Pirates

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Pirates at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 8:50 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Pirates +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Yankees -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Pirates +1.5 (-200) | Yankees -1.5 (+165)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”4132″ ]

Pirates at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Pirates 3, Yankees 2

Moneyline

BET PIRATES (+115).

The Pirates are 14-8 this season with Skenes on the mound and are an impressive 7-3 when he pitches on the road. Considering all 27 innings, they have allowed a total of 4 runs in his last 3 starts. He has been even more impressive on the road.

New York has struggled as of late, dropping 3 of its last 4 games. It has allowed 19 runs in its last 4 games. The Yankees are just 2-4 over their last 6 at home. Expect those defensive struggles to continue, and back PIRATES (+115).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There’s no good value here. The Pirates aren’t worth a play as run-line underdogs and are far too expensive. Similarly, the Yankees may struggle to separate themselves with Skenes on the mound for Pittsburgh.

Avoid this play.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-120).

The Pirates have gone Under in 3 straight games and in 5 of their last 6. They have also gone Under in Skenes’ last 4 starts and tallied just 13 runs over their last 6 games. Their offense has struggled, and they have their ace on the mound.

The Yankees are 5-6-1 O/U in their last 12 and have a solid option to start the game as well. Considering the pitchers and the recent trends, take UNDER 7.5 (-120).

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

[gambcom-standard rankid=”6305″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Fantasy baseball help from BaseballHQ.com:
Subscribe now to dominate the competition.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”4141″ ]

The Pittsburgh Pirates (74-85) and the New York Yankees (93-66) begin a 3-game interleague series Friday at Yankee Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network/ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Pirates vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Yankees won 2-1 in 2023

The Pirates dropped 2 of 3 games against the Milwaukee Brewers Tuesday through Thursday, and Pittsburgh has dropped 4 consecutive series, going 4-9 in the past 13 games since sweeping a 3-game set with the Miami Marlins Sept. 9-11.

The Under has cashed in 4 of the past 5 games for the Bucs, while going 9-3 in the previous 12 outings. In interleague play, Pittsburgh has seen the Under go 7-2 in the past 9 tries.

For the Yankees, they’ve clinched the AL East Division title and enter the weekend just 1 game ahead of the Cleveland Guardians for the top seed in the AL playoffs.

New York won 10-1 on Thursday to clinch the AL East, and it is 10-4 since Sept. 11. The Over is 4-0-1 in the past 5 outings. Against the NL, the Yankees are just 3-5 in the past 8 outings, while the Over has cashed in the past 5 interleague games at home.

Pirates at Yankees projected starters

RHP Jared Jones vs. LHP Carlos Rodon

Jones (6-8, 4.14 ERA) makes his 22nd career start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 117 1/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 6 ER, 6 H (2 HR), 3 BB, 5 K in 7-1 road setback vs. Cincinnati Reds last Saturday
• Career/2024 road splits: 2-5, 5.96 ERA, 48 1/3 IP, 32 ER, 46 H, 10 HR, 13 BB, 52 K, .250 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 1.22 WHIP in 9 starts
• Last 7 games: 2-2, 4.93 ERA, 38 1/3 IP, 21 ER, 34 H, 15 BB, 40 K, 1.28 WHIP
• Has never faced Yankees

Rodon (16-9, 3.98 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 169 2/3 IP.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 10-0 road victory vs. Oakland Athletics last Saturday
• 2024 home splits: 9-2, 3.09 ERA, 75 2/3 IP, 26 ER, 13 HR, 23 BB, 86 K, .202 OBA, 1.06 WHIP in 13 starts
• Last 7 games: 3-2, 3.29 ERA, 38 1/3 IP, 14 ER, 10 BB, 47 K, 1.20 WHIP
• Career vs. Pirates: 3-2, 3.99 ERA, 29 1/3 IP, 13 ER, 3 HR, 4 BB, 33 K, 1.09 WHIP in 5 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Pirates at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 6:17 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Pirates +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Yankees -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-130) | Yankees -1.5 (+110)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”4132″ ]

Pirates at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 6, Pirates 3

Moneyline

The Yankees (-185) are just a little too expensive for a standalone bet, costing you nearly 2 times your potential return. However, as part of a multi-leg parlay, it’s perfectly fine to toss the Bronx Bombers in.

For a singular bet, PASS, and look to the run line instead.

Run line/Against the spread

Back the YANKEES -1.5 (+110) at plus-money laying the run and a half.

While the Pirates +1.5 (-130) are a respectable 23-23 against left-handed starting pitchers, it’s Jones who cannot be trusted. He has been phenomenal in his 1st season in the majors at home, but on the road he has been a disaster. He has a 2-5 record with a 5.96 ERA, and the Bronx Bombers are likely to send him off into the offseason with another L.

Over/Under

OVER 8 (-115) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play.

The Yankees have cashed high on the total at a 4-0-1 clip in the past 5 games, while going Over at a 12-4 rate in the past 16 interleague contest at The Stadium.

For the Bucs, the Over has hit in just 1 of the past 5 outings. The total has gone high in 4 of the past 5 road starts for Jones, however.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

[gambcom-standard rankid=”6305″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Fantasy baseball help from BaseballHQ.com:
Subscribe now to dominate the competition.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]