Tag: Pirates Dodgers odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Pittsburgh Pirates (56-60) and Los Angeles Dodgers (68-49) close out a 3-game series Sunday. First pitch from Dodger Stadium is at 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead 3-2

The Pirates are scuffling. They have dropped 6 straight games and 8 of their last 9. After losing the Friday opener 9-5, they fell 4-1 Saturday, not scoring until the 9th inning.

The Dodgers’ lead in the NL West is down to 2½ games over the San Diego Padres, but they have won 5 of their last 7. They are 5-5 in their last 10 games.

Pirates at Dodgers projected starters

LHP Bailey Falter vs. RHP Tyler Glasnow

Falter (5-7, 3.87 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 through 97 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 2 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 1 K in 6-0 home loss to Padres Tuesday
  • Pirates are 2-7 in his last 9 starts
  • Allowed 5 ER in 4 IP and took loss in 11-7 defeat to Dodgers at home June 6
  • Is 0-1 with 6.43 ERA in 2 career appearances (1 start) vs. Dodgers

Glasnow (9-6, 3.54 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 0.95 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 11.6 K/9 through 127 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 9 K in 5-3 home win over Philadelphia Phillies
  • Career vs. Pirates: 0-1, 1 road start (June 4), 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 9 K in 1-0 defeat

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Pirates at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:08 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pirates +225 (bet $100 to win $225) | Dodgers -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (+105) | Dodgers -1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Pirates at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Pirates 4

Moneyline

The Pirates have lost 6 straight and 8 of 9, and they have allowed 6 or more runs in 7 of those games.

The Dodgers (-275) are 37-22 at home.

But at -275 odds to win, there is no reason to bet the moneyline.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Despite going 1-8 in their last 9 games, 5 of the Pirates’ losses have been by only 1 run.

They are 35-23 ATS on the road, while the Dodgers are 28-30 ATS at home.

This is a rare instance where you get plus odds on the underdog.

BET PIRATES +1.5 (+105).

Over/Under

Ten of the Dodgers’ last 12 games have had 8 or more total runs.

Three of the 5 games between the 2 teams this season have had totals in double digits.

BET OVER 8 (-120).

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Pittsburgh Pirates (56-59) and Los Angeles Dodgers (67-49) play the 2nd contest of a 3-game series Saturday. First pitch from Dodger Stadium is set for 9:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 2-2

The Pirates are on a 5-game skid, slipping 3 games under .500. They’re also 1-7 in the past 8 games, while the Over is 6-2 in the slide. Pittsburgh has cashed at a 9-3 clip in the past 12 outings, too.

The Dodgers picked up the 9-5 win in Friday’s series opener, covering on the run line as favorites (-222) as L.A. took care of the Over (7.5) on its own. The Dodgers are 4-2 in the past 6 games, while the Over is 7-2 in the past 9 outings.

Pirates at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Paul Skenes vs. RHP River Ryan

Skenes (6-1, 1.99 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 0.94 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 11.2 K/9 in 86 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 6-5 home loss vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Sunday
  • 2024 road splits: 3-0, 0.96 ERA (37 1/3 IP, 4 ER), 0.72 WHIP, .152 opponents’ batting average, 8 BB, 54 K in 6 starts
  • Career vs. Dodgers: Win, 5 IP, 3 ER, 6 H (2 HR), 1 BB, 8 K in 1 start, a 10-6 home victory June 5

Ryan (1-0, 1.72 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 5.2 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 15 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H (1 HR), 3 BB, 4 K in 3-2 road win vs. Oakland A’s Sunday
  • 2024 home splits: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 0 ER (1 R), 4 H, 3 BB, 2 K in 1 start, a 3-2 win vs. San Francisco Giants July 22
  • Never faced Pirates before

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Pirates at Dodgers odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:29 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pirates -104 (bet $104 to win $100) | Dodgers -112 (bet $112 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates -1.5 (+155) | Dodgers +1.5 (-188)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -122 | U: +100)

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Pirates at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Pirates 3, Dodgers 2

Moneyline

The PIRATES (-104) are worth a look as a slight underdog behind the All-Star rookie Skenes. This should be a well-pitched game, as Ryan has been solid in his brief time since coming up to the Dodgers (-112), too.

Pittsburgh is a risky play, as it has lost 5 in a row, but the Bucs are 7-4 in the past 11 starts by Skenes.

Run line/Against the spread

The Dodgers +1.5 (-188) are a little on the pricey side, if you can’t back Los Angeles with the rookie Ryan and would like a little insurance instead.

AVOID, and just play L.A. straight up if you like it.

Over/Under

UNDER 7.5 (+100) might be the best play on the board in this battle between rookie pitchers.

You’ll be going against the trend a little, as the Over is 7-2 in the past 9 games for the Dodgers, including Friday’s 9-5 win over the Bucs.

For the Pirates, the total has gone high at a 9-3 clip in the past 12 outings dating back to July 27, so don’t get too carried away.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Pittsburgh Pirates (56-58) open a 6-game road trip on Friday with the 1st game of a 3-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers (66-49) First pitch from Dodger Stadium is at 10:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Pirates lead 2-1

The Pirates have lost 4 straight games and 6 of their last 7. They were swept at home in a 3-game series by the San Diego Padres. They lost the finale on Thursday 7-6.

The Dodgers have lost 2 in a row, losing their last series to the Philadelphia Phillies. They were off on Thursday afetr losing the finale on Wednesday 9-4.

Pirates at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Mitch Keller vs. RHP Jack Flaherty

Keller (10-5, 3.30 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 132 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No decision, 4 IP, 0 R, 1 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 4-2 home win over Arizona Diamondbacks on Saturday
  • Has a 2.17 ERA over last 5 starts, all Pirates wins
  • Is 2-2 with 5.79 ERA in 4 career starts vs. Dodgers

Flaherty (8-5, 2.80 ERA) makes his 20th start and 2nd with the Dodgers. He has a 0.96 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 11.2 K/9 in 112 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 R, 5 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 10-0 road win over Oakland A’s on Saturday
  • Is 3-0 with 1.14 ERA over last 4 starts, including 12 scoreless innings over his last 2 starts
  • Is 9-1 with 2.52 ERA in 16 career games (15 starts) vs. Pirates

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Pirates at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:46 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pirates +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Dodgers -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-135) | Dodgers -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Pirates at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 4, Pirates 3

Moneyline

Both pitchers are playing extremely well. The Pirates have won Keller’s last 5 starts. Flaherty has  1.14 ERA over his last 4 starts and has not allowed a run in his last 2.

The Dodgers’ have the 2nd-most home wins in all of baseball with 35. They are 7-3 in their last 10 home games. They have not lost 3 straight at home since losing 3 straight April 17-20.

Expect the Dodgers to win but don’t bet them on the moneyline at -190.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Five of the Pirates’ last 6 losses have been only by 1 run. They are 35-21 ATS on the road.

The Dodgers are 26-30 ATS at home this season.

BET PIRATES +1.5 (-135).

Over/Under

Both pitchers have been great, as Keller hasn’t allowed more than 2 runs in his last 5 starts and Flaherty has allowed only 3 runs total in his last 4.

This game has the making of a pitchers duel.

BET UNDER 8 (-115).

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (40-46) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (48-38) play the finale of a 4-game series Thursday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is set for 10:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 3-3 after a 6-4 win by Los Angeles on Wednesday

The Pirates fired out to a 4-0 lead through the top of the 4th inning Tuesday, but the Dodgers stormed back with 6 unanswered runs to win for the 2nd time in 3 tries in this series.

The Bucs are still 6-2 in the past 8 tries against NL West despite Wednesday’s loss. However, they’re just 3-12 in the past 15 games following a loss and 3-8 in the previous 11 in Game 4 of a series.

The Dodgers haven’t been great in a Game 4 either, cashing in just 1 of the past 7 tries. However, Los Angeles is an impressive 92-44 in the past 136 tries against right-handed starting pitchers, which is a .676 winning percentage.

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Pirates at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Johan Oviedo vs. LHP Julio Urias

Oviedo (3-9, 4.61 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 93 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 8 ER, 9 H, 3 BB, 1 K in an 11-8 home loss vs. the Milwaukee Brewers Saturday
  • 2023 road splits: 1-4, 4.43 ERA (40 2/3 IP, 20 ER – 4 HR), .271 opponent batting average (OBA) in 8 starts

Urias (5-5, 4.94 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 58 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 2 K in a 6-4 road loss vs. the Kansas City Royals Saturday
  • 2023 home splits: 4-1, 1.99 ERA (31 2/3 IP, 7 ER – 5 HR), .186 OBA in 5 starts

Pirates at Dodgers odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:15 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pirates +188 (bet $100 to win $188) | Dodgers -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (+100) | Dodgers -1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Pirates at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Pirates 2

Moneyline

The Dodgers (-225) will cost you over 2 times your potential return, and that’s just a little too expensive for my liking. For a standalone moneyline wager, my personal limit is -180. Even if you were to include L.A. as part of a multi-team parlay, using the Dodgers sucks the value out of your ticket.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The DODGERS -1.5 (-120) are a much better value on the run line.

Los Angeles is just 5-5 in the past 10 games overall, but it has covered the run line as a favorite in all 5 of those victories. If you like the Dodgers to win, you should like them to cover, too.

The Pirates are just 1-3 in the past 4 games as underdogs and have lost by 2 or more runs in each of those setbacks.

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Over/Under

UNDER 9 (-105) might be the best play on the board for this game.

While the Over has cashed at a 7-1-1 clip in the past 9 games overall for the Bucs, it will be hard-pressed to cobble much offense together against the southpaw Urias. He has been money at home, posting a 1.99 ERA at Chavez Ravine this season.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Pittsburgh Pirates (40-45) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (47-38) play the 3rd contest of a 4-game series Wednesday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is set for 10:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Pirates lead 3-2 after Tuesday’s 9-7 victory as major underdogs (+235)

The Pirates rebounded from a 5-2 loss in the series opener, posting a 9-7 win behind RHP Luis Ortiz as the Over (9.5) cashed. The total has gone high in 5 of the past 6 games overall for the Pirates.

The Dodgers have dropped 3 of the past 4 games, including Tuesday’s loss to the Bucs, and 2 setbacks on the road against the lowly Kansas City Royals. Like the Pirates, the Over has been a frequent occurrence, cashing in 8 of the past 10 games overall.

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Pirates at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Osvaldo Bido vs. RHP Bobby Miller

Bido (0-1, 4.74 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.47 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 19 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 3 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 0 K in an 8-7 home win vs. the Milwaukee Brewers Friday
  • 2023 road splits: 0-0, 2.79 ERA (9 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 1.66 WHIP, .310 opponent batting average (OBA) in 2 starts

Miller (4-1, 4.23 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 38 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 4 K in a 9-3 road win vs. the Kansas City Royals Friday
  • 2023 home splits: 1-1, 5.82 ERA (21 2/3 IP, 14 ER), 2 HR, 1.43 WHIP, .262 OBA in 4 starts

Pirates at Dodgers odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:40 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pirates +205 (bet $100 to win $205) | Dodgers -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (+106) | Dodgers -1.5 (-128)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Pirates at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Pirates 6, Dodgers 5

Moneyline

The PIRATES (+205) are worth a roll of the dice for a chance to more than double up. For whatever reason, Pittsburgh has had the number of Los Angeles this season, winning 3 of the first 5 matchups.

Miller gets the nod for the Dodgers (-250), but he has been rather erratic after a quick start. Bido and Miller isn’t exactly a pitcher’s duel, and we should see plenty of runs on both sides.

Run line/Against the spread

The PIRATES +1.5 (+106) is a solid play, still at plus-money, if you want a little insurance and just can’t bring yourself to taking Pittsburgh straight up.

The Dodgers -1.5 (-128) are 1-3 in the past 4 games as a favorite, cashing on the run line in the lone win during the span. L.A. is 4-5 on the run line in the past 9 games as a favorite, too. The better play is Pittsburgh.

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Over/Under

OVER 9 (-110) is the lean in a matchup between Bido and Miller. Both of these pitchers have been very giving.

The Over has cashed in 3 straight starts for Miller, and the total has gone high in 6 of the past 7 games overall for Los Angeles.

For Bido, the Over/Under has split in his 4 starts overall, going high in his most-recent start at home against Milwaukee on June 30.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (39-45) and Los Angeles Dodgers (47-37) play the 2nd game of their 4-game series in Los Angeles on Tuesday. First pitch from Dodger Stadium is at 9:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 2-2

The Pirates lost the opener 5-2 on Monday, giving them a 3-game losing streak following a 4-game winning streak. They are 5-15 in their last 20 games.

The Dodgers snapped a 2-game skid with their win on Monday in the series opener. They have won 8 out of their last 12 games.

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Pirates at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Luis Ortiz vs. RHP Emmet Sheehan

Ortiz (2-3, 4.11 ERA) makes his 10th start and 11th appearance. He has a 1.65 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 5.5 K/9 in 50 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 0 K in 5-4 home win over San Diego Padres on Thursday
  • Making 1st career appearance vs. Dodgers

Sheehan (2-0, 2.65 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 0.82 WHIP, 4 BB and 12 K in 17 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 14-3 road win over Colorado Rockies on Thursday
  • Is 1-0 with 1.50 ERA in 2 starts at Dodger Stadium

Pirates at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:22 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pirates +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | DOdgers -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-105) | Dodgers -1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Pirates at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 7, Pirates 4

Moneyline

The Pirates are 17-24 on the road this season and are 5-15 in their last 20 games overall. They are 1-10 in their last 11 road games. The Dodgers are 25-15 at home and have won 8 of their last 12 overall.

Through 3 MLB starts, the rookie Sheehan has been good. He has allowed only 3 hits in 12 innings at Dodger Stadium so far. But with the line at -225, betting the Dodgers on the moneyline doesn’t make sense as a single bet.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The Dodgers are 44-40 ATS overall this season, while the Pirates are 40-44 ATS. Of the Dodgers’ 47 wins this season, 38 have been by 2 or more runs while 13 of the Pirates’ last 15 losses have been by 2 or more runs.

BET DODGERS -1.5 (-115).

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Over/Under

Three of the 4 games between the 2 teams this season have stayed below 10 total runs. But before Monday’s opener, the Dodgers had 5 straight games and 7 of 8 with 10 or more total runs. They have averaged 8.3 runs per game in their last 5 wins.

Five of the Pirates’ last 12 games have reached at least 10 total runs.

BET OVER 9.5 (+100).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (39-44) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (46-37) begin a 4-game series Monday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is set for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Pirates lead 2-1

The Pirates dropped the final 2 games in Milwaukee to lose the weekend series against the 1st-place Brewers. Pittsburgh has managed a 5-14 record across the past 19 games.

The Dodgers were stunned in Kansas City, falling Saturday and Sunday in dropping 2 of 3 games against the lowly Royals (25-59). Los Angeles is just 3-4 across the past 7 games, and now it might have to do without one of its best pitchers for a bit.

LHP Clayton Kershaw (10-4, 2.55 ERA) — named to his 10th All-Star team after Sunday’s roster release — was expected to start Monday, but he is dealing with left shoulder inflammation. Manager Dave Roberts hasn’t named Monday’s starter as of this publishing — Sunday, he said Kershaw could still make this start against the Pirates, and he was able to throw in the outfield in Kansas City Saturday.

The Dodgers pulled prospect RHP Gavin Stone from his scheduled Triple-A start for Oklahoma City Sunday. This likely means Stone is Monday’s backup plan if Kershaw lands on the injured list, or has to skip a start.

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Pirates at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Mitch Keller vs. TBD

Keller (9-3, 3.34 ERA), who received his 1st All-Star selection Sunday, makes his 18th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 105 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 7-1 home win vs. San Diego Padres Wednesday
  • 2023 road splits: 4-2, 4.02 ERA (52 2/3 IP, 24 ER), 5 HR, 1.25 WHIP, .249 opponent batting average (OBA) in 9 starts
  • 2023 vs. Dodgers: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 10 K in 6-2 home victory April 27

Kershaw would be making his 17th start of the season if he’s ruled good to go. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 95 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 2 K in a 5-0 win at Colorado Rockies Tuesday
  • 2023 home splits: 4-1, 1.70 ERA (37 IP, 7 ER,) 5 HR, 0.81 WHIP, .191 OBA in 6 starts

Stone (0-0, 14.40 ERA) would be making his 4th start in the bigs this season, where the rookie has a 3.00 WHIP, 6.3 BB/9 and 4.5 K/9 in 10 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 2 IP, 7 ER, 10 H, 0 BB, 3 K in an 11-10 road loss vs. the Tampa Bay Rays on May 28
  • 2023 Triple-A: 2-4, 6.71 ERA (53 2/3 IP, 40 ER), 1.64 WHIP, 5.0 BB/9, 10.7 K/9 in 12 starts
  • 2023 MLB home splits: 4 IP, 5 R (4 ER), 8 H, 2 BB, 1 K in a no-decision of 10-4 victory vs. Philadelphia Phillies May 3 in his major league debut and only home start so far

Pirates at Dodgers odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:05 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pirates +138 (bet $100 to win $138) | Dodgers -164 (bet $164 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-152) | Dodgers -1.5 (+126)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Pirates at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Pirates 4, Dodgers 3

Moneyline

The PIRATES (+138) are worth playing due to the uncertainty on the mound for the Dodgers. Plus, Pittsburgh took care of Los Angeles twice already in 3 meetings this season.

The Bucs are lucky to have their best starting pitcher positioned for this series opener, and they should steal one against a Dodgers team reeling after dropping 2 of 3 games on the road to the woeful Royals.

Run line/Against the spread

The PIRATES +1.5 (-152) is worth playing if you’re not interested in backing Pittsburgh’s moneyline (+138). The Bucs are 4-1 in the past 5 games as underdogs, but straight up and against the run line.

Pittsburgh is also 6-2 in the past 8 games on the run line as a ‘dog, so even if it can’t win straight up, it should be able to keep it close, especially with Keller on the bump.

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Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (-110) is the best play, regardless of Los Angeles’ pitching situation.

While the Over has cashed in 4 in a row for the Bucs, the total pushed in Keller’s most recent assignment, Wednesday against the Padres. The Under is 2-1-1 in Keller’s past 4 starts, and he has the quality start, while limiting L.A. to just 2 runs in 6 innings back in late April.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (21-27) and Los Angeles Dodgers (33-16) close out a 3-game set at Dodger Stadium Wednesday. First pitch is set for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Pittsburgh leads 4-1.

The Pirates have taken the first 2 games of this series and have now beaten the team with the 2nd-best record in baseball 4 times this season in 5 tries.  Pittsburgh is 4-2 with a 2.38 ERA across its last 6 road games.

The Dodgers have been held to 3 runs in 3 of their last 4 games, but they scored 6.0 runs per game on the strength of an .801 OPS in May.

Pirates at Dodgers projected starters

LHP Jose Quintana vs. RHP Mitch White

Quintana (1-2, 2.15 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 through 46 IP.

  • Threw 6 scoreless innings against the Dodgers May 9.
  • Has allowed 2 ER or fewer in each of his last 7 starts.

White (1-0, 4.60 ERA) has makes his 3rd start and 8th appearance. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 through 15 2/3 IP.

  • Pitched 4 scoreless innings in his last outing Thursday at Arizona.
  • Wednesday will mark his seventh career start in 31 games.
  • Owns a 3.16 ERA in 25 2/3 career innings at Dodger Stadium.

Pirates at Dodgers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 11:11 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pirates +205 (bet $100 to win $205) | Dodgers -260 (bet $260 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL): Pirates +1.5 (+100) | Dodgers -1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Pirates at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 6, Pirates 3

Money line

Fading Quintana and his low 4.5% rate of home runs on fly balls and .265 batting average on balls in play. Would take L.A. money-line action at -235 or better, but I expect the juice to drown out that option.

PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread

The Pirates playing .438 ball may oversell the club’s talent level by a few clicks. The Dodgers’ 4-5 mark in 1-run games is underselling what they are.

Pittsburgh’s bullpen looks to be gettable in this warmed-up, breeze-blowing-out-to-right contest.

Los Angeles has won 14 games by 5 runs or more. Figure the DODGERS -1.5 (-120) as a solid play in the finale of this 3-game set.

Over/Under

Worth a line watch on some fade-Pittsburgh pitching energy. Would take the Over 8.5 at -120 or better. PASS.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (42-78 ) conclude a three-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers (74-46) Wednesday. First pitch from Dodger Stadium is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Pirates vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Pirates RHP JT Brubaker (4-12, 5.13 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 112 1/3 IP.

  • Has a 7.61 ERA across 23 2/3 IP through five starts since the All-Star break, and allowed 2 or more home runs in five of his last seven starts.
  • Owns a 6.05 ERA and 1.36 WHIP over 58 IP across 11 road starts.
  • Allowed 3 ER on 5 H with 6 K over 4 2/3 IP in a home loss to the Dodgers June 8.

While the Dodgers have yet to officially name a starter RHP Mitch White (0-1, 3.86 ERA) is expected to handle the bulk of the innings. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 through 28 IP across two starts and 14 relief appearances.

  • Last pitched Thursday at the Philadephia Phillies and logged 4 IP with 2 ER, 3 H, 3 BB and 4 K in Los Angeles’s 2-1 loss.
  • Recorded a 2.25 ERA across 24 IP through five starts and three relief appearances with Triple-A Oklahoma City.

Pirates at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 5:45 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pirates +230 (bet $100 to win $230) | Dodgers -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Pirates +1.5 (+110) | Dodgers -1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Prediction

Los Angeles 5, Pittsburgh 3

Money line (ML)

The Dodgers have won nine of their last 10 games and have a franchise-record 15 straight wins over the Pirates – a streak that dates back to June 2018.

We shouldn’t anticipate a different outcome Wednesday; Los Angeles has the third-best home winning percentage in baseball and Pittsburgh has the fourth-worst road winning percentage.

The issue here is with the -300 pricetag. It’s just not a good wager to risk three times your potential return, so let’s PASS on the money line and look for value elsewhere.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

While Los Angeles’s bats have been quiet through the first two games of this series they still have a sizable advantage at the plate.

The Dodgers are top four in MLB by OPS, wOBA and wRC+ against right-handed pitchers and top five in each of those categories against all pitchers in August. They also get to face Brubaker on the road where his ERA is nearly 2 full runs higher than at home.

While we’re likely to see a heavy dose of relief pitchers from L.A. Wednesday that shouldn’t be a concern. Pittsburgh is one of the worst road-hitting teams in the majors and L.A.’s relievers lead the league in FIP and xFIP, and are second in SIERA this month.

BACK LOS ANGELES -1.5 (-135).

Over/Under (O/U)

We shouldn’t expect Pittsburgh to do much damage Wednesday, and situational trends seem to point to this being a lower-scoring game.

Both teams side slightly to the Under in non-division games, the Dodgers slightly to the Under as home favorites and the Pirates slightly to the Under as road underdogs.

This feels like a very sharp number but I’m going to have a slight “LEAN” to UNDER 8.5 (+100).

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (42-77) and Los Angeles Dodgers (73-46) play the middle game of a three-game set Tuesday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Pirates vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Dodgers lead 4-0

RF Bill McKinney and 2B/1B Max Muncy hit solo home runs as Los Angeles took Monday’s opener 2-1.

The Pirates scored first taking a 1-0 lead in the top of the seventh inning but McKinney tied it in the bottom of the inning and Muncy hit the game-winner in the eighth.

RHP Wil Crowe is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates. Crowe, who made his MLB debut last year (three starts), is 3-7 with a 5.27 ERA (80 1/3 IP, 47 ER), 1.56 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 and 4.5 BB/9 in 17 starts and one relief appearance this season.

  • Last outing: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 4-0 home defeat to St. Louis Cardinals Wednesday
  • Career vs. Dodgers: No appearances

LHP David Price is projected to start for Los Angeles. He is 4-1 with a 3.60 ERA (55 IP, 22 ER), 1.38 WHIP, 7.7 K/9 and 2.5 BB/9 in nine starts and 21 relief appearances.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 4 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 1 K in 8-2 win at Philadelphia Phillies Wednesday
  • 2021 as starter: 0-1, 3.58 ERA (32 2/3 IP, 13 ER), 1.19 WHIP, 7.4 K/9 in nine starts
  • Career vs. Pirates: 1-0, 0.87 ERA (10 1/3 IP, 1 ER), 6 H, 1 BB, 12 K in one start and one relief appearance

Pirates at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pirates +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Dodgers -333 (bet $333 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Pirates +2.5 (-130) | Dodgers -2.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Prediction

Dodgers 5, Pirates 2

Money line (ML)

Los Angeles has dominated Pittsburgh since 2017, going 21-2, including 11 consecutive victories at Dodger Stadium. Monday’s win was the Dodgers’ 14th in a row in the head-to-head series, which is a franchise record.

However, I just cannot suggest backing the -333 price even with the Pirates being 2-13 in August. It’s too risky. PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

I’m not interested in laying 2.5 runs with the Dodgers (+105), but I’ll take a shot with the alternate line of DODGERS -1.5 (-145).

Just be aware that the Pirates are 4-1 ATS in their last five games and 2-2 ATS in their four games vs. the Dodgers this season.

ATS records: Pirates 53-66 | Dodgers 57-62

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 9.5 (-125) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager – based on several trends.

  • The Under is 7-1 in Price’s starts.
  • The Under is 3-1 in the four head-to-head meetings this season.
  • The Under is 28-25-4 at Dodger Stadium, including 7-3-1 in the last 11 games.

O/U records: Pirates 57-56-6 | Dodgers 56-57-6

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JOHNNY’S RECORD W-L SP ROI
SINCE JULY 8 15-9 6-4 +5.032
*–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

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