Pirates Diamondbacks odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Pittsburgh Pirates at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

The Arizona Diamondbacks (55-50) welcome the Pittsburgh Pirates (52-52) to Chase Field Sunday for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Diamondbacks lead 2-0

The Pirates lost the series opener 4-3 Friday as +148 underdogs. They were again defeated 9-5 Saturday, failing to cash as +161 underdogs.

Pittsburgh is 26-26 on the road this season and 5-3 over its last 8 away games. The Pirates have played well over the last few weeks, winning 8 of their last 12 games.

The Diamondbacks, who are 28-24 at home this season, are riding a 4-game win streak, scoring 4 or more runs in each victory. They are 10-3 over their last 13 games and 55-50 against the spread (ATS) this season.

Pirates at Diamondbacks projected starters

RHP Mitch Keller vs. RHP Yilber Diaz

Keller (10-5, 3.34 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 through 121 1/3 innings.

Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 2-1 home win over St. Louis Cardinals Monday
2024 away splits: 5-3, 4.04 ERA (55 2/3 IP, 25 ER), 1.38 WHIP, 6 HR, 8.1 K/9 in 10 starts
Career vs. Diamondbacks: 1-0, 2.45 ERA (18 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 0.82 WHIP, 7.4 K/9 in 3 starts

Diaz (1-1, 5.40 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 4.2 K/9 through 15 innings.

Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 7 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 0 K in 10-4 road loss to Kansas City Royals Monday
2024 home splits: 1-0, 1.50 ERA (12 IP, 2 ER), 0.92 WHIP, 1 HR, 5.3 K/9 in 2 starts
Never faced Pirates before

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Pirates at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:43 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Pirates -102 (bet $102 to win $100) | Diamondbacks -116 (bet $116 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Pirates -1.5 (+155) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-188)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Pirates at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Pirates 4, Diamondbacks 3

Moneyline

BET PIRATES (-102).

The Pirates have consistently won with Keller on the mound, winning 5 of his last 6 starts and 14 of his 20 on the season. He has allowed 2 ER or fewer in 3 straight starts, and the team has allowed 4 or fewer runs in each of those games. The Pirates haven’t been swept in a 3-game series since late April either.

The Diamondbacks haven’t completed a sweep since early May. They have won 4 of their last 6 games but have allowed 5 or more runs in 3 of their last 5, which could be problematic given the difference in pitching to start this battle.

With those trends in mind, take PIRATES (-102).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There’s not much value here. The Pirates are too risky to take as run-line favorites, while the Diamondbacks are too expensive to play as run-line underdogs, especially considering they’ve won 4 in a row.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-110).

The Diamondbacks have allowed 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 8 games and are 3-5 O/U over that span.

The Pirates have gone Under in 6 of their last 7 games and allowed 2 or fewer 4 times over that span. They are 46-55-3 O/U on the season. Pittsburgh’s offense has struggled as well, scoring just 16 runs over its last 6 games.

Take UNDER 8.5 (-110).

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Fantasy baseball help from BaseballHQ.com:
Subscribe now to dominate the competition.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Pittsburgh Pirates at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

[anyclip pubname=”2129″ widgetname=”0016M00002U0B1kQAF_M8190″]

The Pittsburgh Pirates (40-49) look to avoid being swept by the Arizona Diamondbacks (52-38) Sunday in the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch from Chase Field is at 4:10 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Diamondbacks lead 4-1

The Pirates have lost 3-2 in 10 innings Saturday after dropping the series opener 7-3 on Friday. Pittsburgh has lost 4 straight games and 7 of its last 8 overall and is 9 1/2 games back of the Cincinnati Reds in the NL Central.

The Diamondbacks have bounced back from a 4-game losing streak from last Sunday-Thursday. Arizona maintains a half-game lead in the NL West over the Los Angeles Dodgers despite the recent stumble.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Pirates at Diamondbacks projected starters

RHP Carmen Mlodzinski vs. RHP Zach Davies

Mlodzinski (1-1, 2.61 ERA) makes his 1st career start and 10th appearance. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 3 BB and 8 K through 10 1/3 IP.

Last appearance: 1 IP, 0 R, 0 H, 0 BB, 1 K in relief vs. the Dodgers Tuesday
Has not allowed a run in his last 5 2/3 IP spanning 5 appearances

Davies (1-4, 6.52 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.57 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 through 48 1/3 IP.

Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 6 K in an 8-5 home loss to New York Mets Tuesday
Arizona lost his last 5 starts
Has allowed 4 or more runs in 4 of his last 5 outings

Pirates at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:52 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Pirates +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Diamondbacks -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-145) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+120)
Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a Draft Prep or full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 4/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!

Pirates at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Pirates 7, Diamondbacks 4

Moneyline

The Pirates have been swept 4 times this season and 2 of those sweeps have come away from PNC Park. They are 18-28 on the road and 1-7 in their last 8 road contests.

However, the Diamondbacks have only had one home series sweep all season and have lost Davies’ last 5 outings. The righty has an 8.49 ERA across 23 1/3 innings over that stretch.

The Diamondbacks have not won more than 2 games in a row since a 6-game streak from Junes 6-12.

BET PIRATES (+135).

Run line/Against the spread

The Diamondbacks are 52-38 ATS this season overall, the 4th-best mark in baseball. However, Arizona is just 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games.

The Pirates covered the spread in their 1-run loss on Saturday, making them 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games.

Going against a struggling Davies, they should not only be able to cover but win outright.

Betting the run line isn’t a bad play because it gives you some extra breathing room, but 13 of Pittsburgh’s last 15 losses have been by 2 or more runs. The Bucs have only covered the spread in a loss as an underdog twice since May 24, so the likelihood is that if they cover, they will win outright, making the plus-money odds on the moneyline the best play.

PASS.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Over/Under

Four of Davies’ last 5 starts have had totals of 10 runs or more.

Three of the 5 games between these teams this season have had totals of 10 or more.

Five of the Pirates’ last 9 games have had 10 or more total runs.

BET OVER 9.5 (+100).

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Pittsburgh Pirates at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (40-48) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (51-38) play the 2nd game of their 3-game series in Phoenix leading into the All-Star break Saturday. First pitch from Chase Field is at 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Diamondbacks lead 3-1.

The Pirates lost the opener Friday 7-3, giving them a 3-game losing streak. They are 1-4 on their 7-game road trip and have lost 6 of their last 7 games overall.

The Diamondbacks snapped a 4-game skid with the win in the opener Friday. They are 5-8 in their last 13 games. They have a half-game lead over the Los Angeles Dodgers in the NL West. They’ll be using a bullpen game Saturday.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Pirates at Diamondbacks projected starters

RHP Mitch Keller vs. LHP Kyle Nelson

Keller (9-4, 3.52 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 through 110 IP.

Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 5 R (4 ER), 8 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 5-2 road loss to Dodgers Monday
Went 6 innings with a no-decision on May 20 vs. Arizona in a 4-3 loss, allowing 2 runs on 3 hits, striking out 8

Nelson (4-1, 2.76 ERA) makes his 1st start and 39th appearance. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 11.6 K/9 through 32 2/3 IP.

Last appearance: 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 2 K on 13 pitches Wednesday
2-1 with a 2.04 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, 12.2 K/9 in 17 2/3 IP at home this year vs. 2-0, 3.60 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 10.8 K/9 in 15 road IP
The bullpen has a 4.19 ERA and 1.32 WHIP but has blown 15 saves in 38 attempts

Pirates at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:21 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Pirates +108 (bet $100 to win $108) | Diamondbacks -126 (bet $126 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-196) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+162)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -118 | U: -104)

Pirates at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 6, Pirates 4

Moneyline

The Pirates are scuffling a bit as have the Diamondbacks.

Arizona is 25-23 at home and, despite the win Friday, are 1-5 in their last 6 home games.

Of course, the Pirates are 18-27 on the road this season and have dropped 6 of their last 7 road games.

The Pirates have lost 3 of Keller’s last 4 starts.

But the Diamondbacks’ recent wins have been by multiple runs, making the run line a better play for them.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The Diamondbacks are 52-37 ATS this season overall, the fourth-best mark in all of baseball. The Pirates are 41-47 ATS overall.

The Diamondbacks’ last 10 wins and 15 out of their last 16 have been by 2 or more runs. So if you like them to win, they likely cover the spread today, which has nice positive odds.

The Pirates’ last 7 losses have been by at least 2 runs.

BET DIAMONDBACKS -1.5 (+162).

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Over/Under

Three of the 4 meetings between the 2 teams this season have had at least 9 total runs.

Seven of the Pirates’ last 9 games had 9 or more total runs.

Three of the Diamondbacks’ last 4 had more than 8 total runs.

BET OVER 8.5 (-118).

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Pittsburgh Pirates at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (45-66) hope to salvage a split with the Arizona Diamondbacks (50-60) in the finale of their 4-game series Thursday. First pitch from Chase Field is at 3:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 3-3

The Pirates lost the first 2 games of the series 3-0 Monday and 6-4 Tuesday but bounced back with a 6-4 win Wednesday. Pittsburgh is 2-4 in its last 6 games, 5-4 in its last 9 and 5-11 in its last 16.

The Diamondbacks had their 3-game win streak snapped Wednesday but still have won 5 of their last 7 games.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Pirates at Diamondbacks projected starters

RHP JT Brubaker vs. RHP Merrill Kelly

Brubaker (2-10, 4.49 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.52 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 through 108 1/3 IP.

Took the loss in an 8-6 defeat to Arizona June 3 as he allowed 6 runs (5 earned) on 8 hits over 4 innings.
The Pirates have lost his last 5 starts and are 7-14 when he pitches.

Kelly (10-5, 2.86 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 through 132 1/3 IP.

Has allowed 2 or fewer runs in 7 straight starts.
Is 4-0 with a 1.49 ERA since the start of July.

Pirates at Diamondbacks odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:25 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Pirates +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Diamondbacks -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-135) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+110)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Pirates at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 5, Pirates 2

Money line

Kelly has been Arizona’s best pitcher since the start of July and the team plays well at home and especially against teams with a losing record. While the D-Backs themselves are 10 games under .500, they are 34-26 against teams who are .500 or worse and are 31-29 at home.

The Pirates are 21-37 on the road and 27-30 against teams who are .500 or worse.

However, the -190 price tag makes it not worth the action to bet the money line. PASS.

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW22 for 20% OFF full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 8/31/2022. Subscribe today and start winning!

Run line/Against the spread

Ten of the Diamondbacks’ last 11 wins have been by 2 or more runs.

The Pirates do have 5 one-run losses in their last 11 losses and are 31-27 ATS away from home, but Arizona is 34-26 ATS at home, the 4th-best mark in the majors.

Ten of the Pirates’ 14 losses with Brubaker starting have been by 2 or more runs.

Take the DIAMONDBACKS -1.5 (+110).

Over/Under

Kelly’s last 5 starts have all had fewer than 8 total runs. He hasn’t allowed more than 2 himself in his last 7 starts and he goes deep into games, pitching at least 7 innings in his last 5 outings.

Arizona hasn’t scored more than 5 runs in 9 of its last 13 games.

Take UNDER 7.5 (+100).

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Pittsburgh Pirates at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (44-66) have dropped the first 2 games of their 4-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks (50-59) and will look to bounce back Wednesday. First pitch is set for 9:40 p.m. ET at Chase Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Diamondbacks lead 3-2

The Pirates are 1-4 through half of their 10-game road trip and have slipped back into last place in the NL Central.

The Diamondbacks have won 3 games in a row and are now 9-2 at home since the All-Star break.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Pirates at Diamondbacks projected starters

RHP Mitch Keller vs. LHP Madison Bumgarner

Keller (3-8, 4.21 ERA) makes his 20th start and 22nd appearance. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 through 107 IP.

Has allowed a total of 6 ER through 31 IP (1.74 ERA) over his last 5 starts with just 6 walks and only 22 strikeouts.
Has put up a 4.12 ERA on the road this season with 46/21 K/BB through 54 2/3 IP and just 4 HR allowed.

Bumgarner (6-10, 3.96 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 through 116 IP.

He has been much better at home (3.31 ERA and 2.6 K/BB) than on the road (4.88 ERA and 1.7 K/BB).
Is missing bats at the lowest rate of his career and is allowing a lot of hard contact, with his HardHit% ranking in the 13th percentile.

Pirates at Diamondbacks odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:43 am. ET.

Money line (ML): Pirates +133 (bet $100 to win $133) | Diamondbacks -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-155) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+125)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

Pirates at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Pirates 5, Diamondbacks 4

Money line

Bumgarner’s surface stats at home are strong but the underlying numbers, including a 4.67 xFIP at Chase Field, don’t support his success. He has allowed 4 ER in each of his last 2 starts with just 2 K across 11 2/3 IP.

Bumgarner is tough to back at this price, and even a subpar Pittsburgh offense should get to him. Take the PIRATES (+133).

Run line/Against the spread

Though Keller’s skills don’t quite support the sub-2.00 ERA he has posted over his last 5 starts, he has been pitching well and has really cut down on the walks. Look for the PIRATES +1.5 (-155) to keep this one close even if they fall short of the outright win.

Over/Under

The total has gone over in 6 of Arizona’s last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter and they have averaged 4.8 runs per game since the All-Star break.

The total has gone over in just 2 of Pittsburgh’s last 8 contests against a lefty but the bats should get going against Bumgarner. Go with OVER 8.5 (+100) or adjust the line and play ALTERNATE TOTAL OVER 7.5 (-140).

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @RuddHQ on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Pittsburgh Pirates at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (44-65) continue their 4-game road series against the Arizona Diamondbacks (49-59) with the 2nd game Tuesday night. First pitch is 9:40 p.m. ET at Chase Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 2-2

The Pirates were shut out 3-0 by Zac Gallen and 2 relievers in Monday’s series opener. They have lost 3 of their last 4 and 10 of their last 14 ganes.

The Diamondbacks are 3-1 in their current homestand. They have won 4 of their last 6 games, but are just 4-6 in their last 10.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Pirates at Diamondbacks projected starters

RHP Mitch Keller vs. LHP Madison Bumgarner

Keller (3-8, 4.21 ERA) makes his 20th start in 22 appearances. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 107 IP.

Has had 5 consecutive quality starts, but Pirates are 1-4 in them
Has 1.74 ERA in last 5 starts

Bumgarner (6-10, 3.96 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 in116 IP.

Had a no-decision in his last start for the first time in 13 outings.
Is 5-3 with 3.31 ERA in 12 home starts this season.

Pirates at Diamondbacks odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:37 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Pirates +133 (bet $100 to win $133) | Diamondbacks -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-155) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+125)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

Pirates at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 4, Pirates 3

Money line

The Diamondbacks are 33-25 against teams that are playing .500 or worse baseball.

Pittsburgh is 20-36 on the road and has lost 9 of its last 11 away from PNC Park.

The Diamondbacks are 4-2 in Bumgarner’s last 6 starts. They are 30-28 at home this season.

Take the DIAMONDBACKS (-165).

Run line/Against the spread

The Diamondbacks are 62-46 ATS, the 4th-best mark in the majors, despite being a below-.500 team straight up.

Arizona is 33-25 ATS at Chase Field and Pittsburgh is 30-26 ATS on the road.

Eight of the Diamondbacks’ last 9 wins have been by at least 2 runs.

However, The Pirates have lost Keller’s last 3 starts by only 1 run and he has been fantastic. He will keep them close. If they lose, it will only be by a run.

Take the PIRATES +1.5 (-155).

Over/Under

Four of Keller’s last 5 starts have had 6 or fewer total runs. They have been held to 3 or fewer runs 10 times in their last 17 games.

Keller is going to continue pitching well, but the Pittsburgh offense will struggle.

Take UNDER 8.5 (-107).

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

[mm-video type=playlist id=01fb7dafw2b08817yr player_id=none image=https://sportsbookwire.usatoday.com/wp-content/plugins/mm-video/images/playlist-icon.png]

Pittsburgh Pirates at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (44-64) open a 4-game road series against the Arizona Diamondbacks (48-59) Monday. First pitch is 9:40 p.m. ET at Chase Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Pirates lead 2-1

The Pirates are coming off an 8-1 win against the Baltimore Orioles Sunday but lost the series 2-1. They have won 4 of their last 6 games but had lost 7 contests in a row before that span.

The Diamondbacks beat the Colorado Rockies 6-4 Sunday to win their series against them 2-1. They are 3-6 in their last 9 games.

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Pirates at Diamondbacks projected starters

RHP Tyler Beede vs. RHP Zac Gallen

Beede (1-1, 3.66 ERA) makes his 2nd start in his 25th appearance. He has a 1.49 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 5.4 K/9 through 41 2/3 IP for the San Francisco Giants and Pittsburgh Pirates.

Allowed 4 runs on 5 hits in 1 1/3 innings as an opener against the Milwaukee Brewers Wednesday in his last appearance.
Pitched 2 scoreless innings of relief against the Diamondbacks in an 8-6 loss June 3.

Gallen (6-2, 3.31 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 through 111 1/3 IP.

Arizona has won Gallen’s last 3 starts.
Took the loss in a 3-0 game at the Pirates June 5 when he allowed 2 runs on 5 hits over 6 innings.

Pirates at Diamondbacks odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:28 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Pirates +205 (bet $100 to win $205) | Diamondbacks -260 (bet $260 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-103) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (-117)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

Pirates at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 6, Pirates 3

Money line

PASS.

The Diamondbacks are 32-25 against teams that are playing .500 or worse baseball. They have their ace on the mound against a Pirates team that is 26-28 against teams with a .500 record or worse.

Pittsburgh is 20-35 on the road and has lost 8 of its last 10 away from PNC Park.

The Diamondbacks should win, but there is too much juice at -260 to bet them on the money line.

Run line/Against the spread

The Diamondbacks are 61-46 ATS, the 4th-best mark in the majors, despite being a below-.500 team straight up.

Arizona is 32-25 ATS at Chase Field and Pittsburgh is 30-25 ATS on the road.

Eight of the Diamondbacks’ last 9 wins have been by at least 2 runs.

Take the DIAMONDBACKS -1.5 (-117).

Over/Under

Five of the Pirates’ last 7 games have had 9 runs or more.

Five of the Diamondbacks’ last 6 games have had totals of 9 or more.

Take OVER 8.5 (+100).

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

[mm-video type=playlist id=01fb7dafw2b08817yr player_id=none image=https://sportsbookwire.usatoday.com/wp-content/plugins/mm-video/images/playlist-icon.png]

Pittsburgh Pirates at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (36-57) and Arizona Diamondbacks (27-68) play the first game of a three-game set Monday at Chase Field. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Chase De Jong is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates. He is 1-3 with a 5.59 ERA and 1.53 WHIP with 7.7 K/9 and 4.0 BB/9 over 38 2/3 IP across eight starts.

De Jong allowed 5 earned runs on 4 hits and 3 walks in 5 innings in his last start July 11 on the road against the New York Mets. He picked up his only win of the season in the previous start while allowing just 1 run over 5 innings against the Atlanta Braves July 5.

LHP Caleb Smith is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks. He is 2-6 with a 4.54 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 10.2 K/9 and 4.7 BB/9 across 71 1/3 IP in nine starts and 18 relief appearances.

Smith was hammered for 9 runs on 6 hits and 3 walks in just 1 inning of work July 10 during a 22-1 shellacking at the Los Angeles Dodgers. He is 0-2 with an 18.00 ERA in two July starts, and the D-Backs have lost his last seven starts, including five decisions.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Pirates at Diamondbacks odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:10 a.m. ET.

Money line: Pirates +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Diamondbacks -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Pirates +1.5 (-175) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+145)
Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Pirates 8, Diamondbacks 6

Money line (ML)

The PIRATES (+110) are worth playing in the series opener, although backing De Jong takes a leap of faith. While he hasn’t been very good this season he has shown some signs of life in July.

Smith was absolutely trampled last time out, and he makes backing the Diamondbacks even riskier.

FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The PIRATES +1.5 (-175) are a decent play in this series opener, although I would rather just play them straight up for a much better value.

Pittsburgh is a solid 7-4 across its last 11 games overall, too, while cashing the run line (all as underdogs) in five of the last six outings.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 9.5 (-110) is the best play on the board in this one, as both De Jong and Smith have been very giving overall this season.

The Over is 6-1 in the last seven series openers for the Pirates, and 6-2 in their last eight games overall, too. The Over is 6-1 in the last seven meetings between these two teams in the desert.

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Joe Williams on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]