Tag: Pirates Cardinals odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

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The Pittsburgh Pirates (71-81) take on the St. Louis Cardinals (77-75) Thursday in the finale of a 4-game set at Busch Stadium at 7:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Pirates vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cardinals lead 8-4

The Pirates dropped a wild one Wednesday 10-5 as +183 underdogs. They fell behind 4-0 after 3 innings and battled back to grab a 5-4 lead in the top of the 6th before folding in the 7th when the Cardinals scored 6 times. Six Pirates had 2 hits apiece, and rookie CF Billy Cook hit his 1st major league homer.

SS Masyn Winn’s game-tying homer to lead off the bottom of the 7th started the Cardinals’ big inning, while RF Jordan Walker capped the scoring with a bases-clearing 3-run double 7 batters later. Winn, who has 14 homers, quietly is having one of the best seasons as a Cardinals shortstop over the last 20 years. Even though the Cards — who cashed as -201 favorites Wednesday — have won 3 in a row, they’re still 7 games out of a Wild Card spot and running out of runway with 10 games to go.

Pirates at Cardinals projected starters

RHP Luis Ortiz vs. RHP Erick Fedde

Ortiz (6-6, 3.45 ERA) makes his 14th start and 36th appearance. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 through 122 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 4 ER (7 R), 5 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 8-3 home setback vs. Kansas City Royals Friday
• Career vs. Cardinals: 0-2, 14.63 ERA (8 IP, 13 ER), 14 H, 2 HR, 10 BB, 10 K in 4 games (3 starts)
• 2024 vs. Cardinals: 1 relief appearance, 2 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 7-4 home loss July 2
• 3 career starts vs. Cardinals: 0-2, 18.00 ERA (6 IP, 12 ER) 11 H, 2 HR, 10 BB, 6 K

Fedde (8-9, 3.45 ERA) makes his 30th start this season combined between the Cardinals and Chicago White Sox. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 through 164 1/3 innings between the 2 clubs

• Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 4-3 loss in 11 innings at Toronto Blue Jays Friday
• Career vs. Pirates: 1-0, 3.60 ERA (10 IP, 4 ER), 7 H, 4 BB, 10 K in 2 starts — both in 2022 for Washington Nationals

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Pirates at Cardinals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 3:01 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Pirates +120 (bet $100 to win $115) | Cardinals -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-175) | Cardinals -1.5 (+145)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Pirates at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Pirates 5, Cardinals 4

Moneyline

The Cards have dominated this series. However, Fedde is 1-5 with a 4.43 ERA (42 2/3 IP, 21 ER) since being acquired by the Cardinals. Expect the PIRATES (+120) to bounce back.

Run line/Against the spread

Since Fedde has not settled in with his new team, I’m taking ERICK FEDDE UNDER 17.5 OUTS (-110). He has made it through 6 innings only twice in 8 of his starts with the Cardinals.

Over/Under

It’s a warm 88 degrees with a 6-mph wind blowing out to left-center in St. Louis. The bats really came out Wednesday, and I look for Busch to play similarly Thursday on a hot evening.

TAKE OVER 8.5 (-100).

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The Pittsburgh Pirates (71-80) take on the St. Louis Cardinals (76-75) Wednesday in the 3rd game of a 4-game set at Busch Stadium at 7:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Pirates vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cardinals lead 7-4

The Pirates have dropped 4 of 5 after a 3-1 final Tuesday. They have scored just 9 runs in those 5 games and have been dropped 4-0 and 3-1 in the first 2 games in the Lou. OF Bryan De La Cruz gave the Pirates an early lead with his 20th homer of the year, but they couldn’t manufacture anything else.

RHP Lance Lynn was great in what could be his final start at Busch Stadium wearing the birds on the bat. He allowed 1 run and struck out 5 over 6 IP. OF Jordan Walker turned on a fastball left up and put it in the opposing bullpen for his 4th homer of the year.

Pirates at Cardinals projected starters

RHP Jake Woodford vs. RHP Sonny Gray

Woodford (0-6, 8.01 ERA) makes his 7th start (9th appearance). He has a 1.62 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 through 30 1/3 innings between the Chicago White Sox and Pirates.

• Last start: Loss, 3 1/3 IP, 7 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 10-2 home defeat Aug. 24 against Cincinnati Reds
• Has never faced Cardinals
• Career as a starter: 4-11, 5.79 ERA, 1.53 WHIP, 5.6 K/9 in 24 GS

Gray (13-9, 3.75 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9 through 160 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 9 K in 6-1 home victory Thursday against Reds
• June 12 vs. PIT: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 9 K in 4-2 home victory; 3-1, 3.30 ERA, 38 K’s in 30 IP last 5 GS vs. Pirates

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Pirates at Cardinals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 9:25 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Pirates +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Cardinals -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-125) | Cardinals -1.5 (+105)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Pirates at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 5, Pirates 4

Moneyline

We cashed both of our bets here yesterday, including a +150 Cardinals RL. Woodford will be amped to pitch against his former club, but unfortunately for him, he has been throwing batting practice this year. The Cards are priced out of range, but take SONNY GRAY OVER 6.5 STRIKEOUTS (-125). He has 7+ K’s in 3 of 4 GS and whiffed 9 Buccos earlier this year.

Run line/Against the spread

I like Pittsburgh to remain competitive in this one. The Cards used closer Ryan Helsley Tuesday night, and he threw 16 pitches. He might be iffy Wednesday.

Take the PIRATES +1.5 (-125).

Over/Under

It’s slated to be 88 degrees with a 5-mph breeze blowing out to left-center. This matchup has rendered 6 straight Unders, but I feel the trend breaking Wednesday night. Woodford has been awful, and Gray has a tendency for a bad inning.

Take the OVER 8 (-105).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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The Pittsburgh Pirates (71-79) take on the St. Louis Cardinals (75-75) Tuesday in the 2nd game of a 4-game set at Busch Stadium at 7:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Pirates vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cardinals lead 6-4

Monday’s focus was on rookie phenom RHP Paul Skenes, and he was good, cashing an Over 6.5 K’s for us. Cards RHP Andre Pallante told us to hold his beer and struck out 9 Buccos over 7 shutout innings. The Bucs fell 4-0 Monday as they amassed just 4 hits. The Pirates have lost 3 of 4 as the sun is beginning to set on their season.

I mentioned the Cards do this weird thing where they get swept by a bad team and then play up to their competition. They did that against Skenes, handing him the 2nd of his 3 losses of his bright career. They scored 4 runs on 7 hits to snap a 3-game losing streak.

Pirates at Cardinals projected starters

LHP Bailey Falter vs. RHP Lance Lynn

Falter (8-7, 4.20 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 through 128 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Win, 7 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 3-1 home victory Wednesday against Miami Marlins
• June 12 at St. Louis: Loss, 4 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 4-2 setback

Lynn (6-4, 3.96 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 through 111 1/3 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 2-1 home win Wednesday against Cincinnati Reds
• 2 GS vs. Pittsburgh this year: 0-0, 2.89 ERA (3 ER in 9 1/3 IP) 7 K

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Pirates at Cardinals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 2:20 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Pirates +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Cardinals -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-185) | Cardinals -1.5 (+150)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Pirates at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 4, Pirates 2

Moneyline

The Cards looked like the superior team Monday, and they could revert back to their typical mediocrity. So I’m not interested in them at -145.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Instead, I’ll take the risk/reward of the RL here at +150. The Pirates have scored 3 runs or fewer in 4 of 5, and the Cards’ pen is rested. Of the Cards’ 6 wins against them this season, half of them have been by multiple runs.

Take the CARDINALS -1.5 (+150).

Over/Under

It’s slated to be 84 degrees with a 6-mph wind blowing right to left. The Under has smashed in 8 of 10 meetings between the teams this season.

I’ll take the UNDER 8 (-115).

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The Pittsburgh Pirates (71-78) take on the St. Louis Cardinals (74-75) Monday in the opener of a 4-game set at Busch Stadium at 7:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Pirates vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cardinals lead 5-4

The Pirates avoided a 3-game sweep against the Kansas City Royals with a 4-3 win Sunday at basically a -108 pick’-em price. 3B Isiah Kiner-Falefa went 3-for-5 with an RBI as the Bucs improved to 5-2 over their last 7 games.

The Cardinals playoff hopes took a big hit over the weekend as they were swept in 3 at the Toronto Blue Jays. The Cards lost 4-3 in 11 innings Friday, lost 7-2 Saturday and fell 3-2 Sunday — St. Louis was a minor underdog in all 3 games. The recurring theme was what it has been all year — struggling to score runs and drive in runners in scoring position. The Cards have lost 5 of their last 7.

Pirates at Cardinals projected starters

RHP Paul Skenes vs. RHP Andre Pallante

Skenes (10-2, 2.10 ERA) makes his 21st start. The rookie has a 0.99 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 11.3 K/9 through 120 innings.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 9 K in 3-2 home victory Sept. 9
• Road splits: 4-1, 1.49 ERA (48 1/3 IP, 8 ER), 0.87 WHIP, 12.7 K/9 in 8 starts
• Career vs. Cardinals: 0-1, 1.23 ERA (14 2/3 IP, 2 ER), 9 H, 1 HR, 0 BB, 16 K in 2 starts (both this season)

Pallante (6-8, 4.13 ERA) makes his 18th start (27th appearance). He has a 1.40 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 102 1/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 5 BB, 6 K in 3-0 home setback to Cincinnati Reds Tuesday
• Home splits: 4-5, 4.73 ERA (53 1/3 IP, 28 ER), 1.52 WHIP, 7.1 K/9 in 13 games (9 starts)
• Career vs. Pirates: 0-1, 3.33 ERA (27 IP, 10 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 4.3 K/9 in 15 games (2 starts)
• Career starts vs. Pirates: 0-0, 1.38 ERA (13 IP, 2 ER), 0.77 WHIP, 8 K in 2 starts (both this season)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Pirates at Cardinals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 4:19 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Pirates -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Cardinals +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates -1.5 (+120) | Cardinals +1.5 (-145)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Pirates at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Pirates 4, Cardinals 2

Moneyline

The Cardinals have this weird thing of playing up to their competition. But Pallante has looked gassed. He has given up 8 earned runs over 10 innings in his last 2 starts. If he gives up half of that, it’s over against Skenes.

TAKE PIRATES (-145).

Run line/Against the spread

Of Pittsburgh’s 4 wins against St. Louis this year, only 1 of them was by multiple runs. While I’m forecasting a multi-run victory, I’ll be BETTING PAUL SKENES OVER 6.5 K’S (-120). He had 8 K’s in each of his 2 starts vs. the Cardinals.

Over/Under

The books have this one on point. There were 2-1 finals in both of Skenes’ starts against the Cards this year — 1 win and 1 loss. The wild card is Pallante, who looks cooked with awful control.

LEAN UNDER 7 (-105) or stay away.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Ryan Dodson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Fantasy baseball help from BaseballHQ.com:
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