Tag: Phillies Reds odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Philadelphia Phillies at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Philadelphia Phillies (15-10) and Cincinnati Reds (14-10) meet at Great American Ball Park for the Thursday finale of a 4-game series. First pitch is set for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Reds lead 4-2

Philadelphia pitching allowed just 14 runs over a 7-game win streak until the 2nd game of this series. The Phillies have yielded more than that over the last 2 days, losing 8-1 Tuesday and 7-4 on Wednesday.

The Reds mustered just 2 hits Monday, but on Tuesday they had 2 HRs among 9 hits in a bounce-back win. In Wednesday’s conquest, Cincinnati registered 3 extra-base hits, 5 stolen bases, and a 3-of-10 mark with runners in scoring position.

This is the final regular-season meeting between the teams.

Phillies at Reds projected starters

RHP Zack Wheeler vs. RHP Nick Martinez

Wheeler (1-3, 2.30 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 0.89 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9 in 31 1/3 IP.

  • Last outing: Win, 7.1 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 9-4 win vs. Chicago White Sox Saturday
  • Career vs. Reds: 1-2, 2.98 ERA (42.1 IP, 14 ER), 36 H, 14 BB, 44 K in 7 starts

Martinez (0-0, 4.76 ERA) is tabbed for his 3rd start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 1.1 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 17 IP across 4 games.

  • Last outing: 3 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 2 K in 7-5 win vs. Los Angeles Angels Saturday (pitched in relief)
  • Career vs. Phillies: 0-0, 0.87 ERA (10 1/3 IP, 1 ER), 4 H, 2 BB, 13 K in 5 games; 1st start vs. Phillies
  • Eighty-nine of 202 career appearances have been as a starter (owns a 3.16 ERA as a reliever and a 4.74 mark as a starter)

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Phillies at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:36 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Phillies -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Reds +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+100) | Reds +1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Phillies at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 5, Reds 4

Moneyline

Wheeler has been quite good, missing bats and inducing manageable contact. He has held current Reds batters to an aggregate .676 OPS. The Philadelphia righty is backed by the more rested bullpen.

Martinez-as-a-starter brings too many question marks. In that role, he’s yielded an .801 OPS over his career. And that’s with the benefit of a .284 batting average on balls in play.

Look for a bounce-back for a Philly squad which is 5-4 on the road. BACK THE PHILLIES (-160).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS: Better leverage can be found on the ML.

Over/Under

Looking at the runs scored, allowed and expected on both ends for both nines, we should expect some upward pressure to overall scoring. But the pitching here, especially on the Philadelphia side, tamps down any enthusiasm for a bet-able lean.

TAB THE OVER 8 (-110) with just a sliver of a sliver of a lean.

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Philadelphia Phillies at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Philadelphia Phillies (15-9) and Cincinnati Reds (13-10) meet at Great American Ballpark for the 3rd game of a 4-game series Wednesday at 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Reds lead 3-2

Philadelphia had a 7-game win streak snapped with an 8-1 setback Tuesday. Before falling flat with a 1-for-9 mark with runners in scoring position Tuesday, the Phillies had posted a Boeing run-scoring average (7.17) while pounding out an .885 OPS over its win streak.

The Reds mustered just 2 hits Monday, but on Tuesday they had 2 home runs among 9 hits in a bounce-back win.

Dating back to last April, Cincinnati has won 5 series meetings, Philadelphia has won 4, and neither side has tallied back-to-back wins.

Phillies at Reds projected starters

RHP Spencer Turnbull vs. LHP Nick Lodolo

Turnbull (2-0, 1.23 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 0.77 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 22 innings.

  • Last outing: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 7-0 victory vs. Chicago White Sox Friday
  • Career vs. Reds: 2-0, 1.69 ERA (16 IP, 3 ER), 9 H, 5 BB, 21 K in 3 starts
  • Owns a 4.33 ERA over 65 career games

Lodolo (2-0, 0.75 ERA) is tabbed for his 3rd start. He has logged a 0.75 WHIP, 0.8 BB/9 and 12.0 K/9 in 12 innings.

  • Last outing: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 7-1 victory vs. Los Angeles Angels Friday
  • Career vs. Phillies: 1-0, 2.22 ERA (24 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 19 H, 8 BB, 31 K in 4 starts

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Phillies at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:05 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Phillies -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Reds -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+155) | Reds +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Phillies at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 5, Phillies 4

Moneyline

The Phils have played a relatively weak slate so far and are a half-a-fade lean heading into this and other games in the near future because they will undoubtably be overvalued by bettors.

What the Reds add to the equation isn’t much. Consider CINCINNATI (-110) as a lean but just a sliver of one at that.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS: better leverage can be found on the ML.

Over/Under

The Under cashed Monday with the Reds offering no help in a 7-0 contest. But the Over bounced back Tuesday and is 6-2 across the last 8 Philly-Cincy games.

Both starters in this matchup have some injury history, and they have suspect early-season numbers.

BACK THE OVER 8.5 (-110).

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Philadelphia Phillies at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Philadelphia Phillies (15-8) and Cincinnati Reds (12-10) meet at Great American Ballpark for the 2nd game of a 4-game series Tuesday at 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 2-2

Philadelphia won Monday’s opener 7-0 and is 7-0 with a plus-31 run differential over its last 7 games.

The Reds mustered just 2 hits Monday. The loss snapped a 3-game win streak.

Phillies at Reds projected starters

LHP Cristopher Sanchez vs. LHP Andrew Abbott

Sanchez (1-2, 2.53 ERA) is tabbed for his 5th start this season. He owns a 1.31 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 in 21 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 10 K in 7-6 win vs. Colorado Rockies Wednesday; the 10 K’s tied a single-game season high
  • Career vs. Reds: 1-0, 4.09 ERA (11 IP, 5 ER), 11 H, 1 BB, 15 K in 2 starts

Abbott (1-2, 2.70 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 in 23 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 5-1 loss at Seattle Mariners Wednesday
  • Career vs. Phillies: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 1 start, a 6-3 road victory in 10 innings April 1

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Phillies at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:47 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Phillies -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Reds +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+135) | Reds +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Phillies at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 6, Reds 5

Moneyline

Abbott has been aided by some generous rates around the margins. For example, his batting average allowed on balls in play is a tiny .227.

Figure the 2 bullpens as being due some regression, and that works against a Cincinnati pen with a surface ERA of 3.79 and for a PHILADELPHIA (-125) group that has filed a BABIP-spoiled 5.78.

BACK THE PHILLIES (-125).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS: better leverage can be found on the ML.

Over/Under

The Under cashed Monday with the Reds offering no help. But the Over is 5-2 across the last 7 Philly-Cincy games.

Both clubs have been at their best against left-handed pitching. Abbott’s BABIP likely has some overrating his run-prevention abilities. The Cincy offense has been riding a bit low due to the team filing a .274 BABIP when leading off innings. That’s a key clutch statistic often overlooked in how it affects scoring.

BACK THE OVER 8.5 (-115).

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Philadelphia Phillies at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Philadelphia Phillies (14-8) and Cincinnati Reds (12-9) meet Monday at 6:40 p.m. ET at Great American Ballpark to start a 4-game series. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Reds lead 2-1

Philadelphia is coming off a lengthy and productive homestand. The Phillies went 8-2,concluding with an 8-2 Sunday win against the Chicago White Sox. Philadelphia is 6-0 with a plus-24 run differential over its last half-dozen games.

The Reds swept the Los Angeles Angels 3-0 over the weekend. Over their last 9 games, a streaky Cincy squad has won 3 in a row, then lost 3 in a row then won 3 straight again.

Phillies at Reds projected starters

LHP Ranger Suarez vs. RHP Hunter Greene

Suarez (3-0, 1.73 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 0.77 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 26 IP.

  • Last outing: Win, 9 IP, 0 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 5-0 win vs. Colorado Rockies Tuesday
  • Career vs. Reds: 1-0, 2.86 ERA (22 IP, 7 ER), 16 H, 7 BB, 19 K in 7 games (3 starts)
  • Owns a 3.32 ERA across 480 career IP
  • Has logged a 3.02 ERA, 1.26 WHIP in road games since 2022

Greene (0-1, 4.35 ERA) is tabbed for his 5th start. He has logged a 1.31 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 13.1 K/9 in 20 2/3 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 4 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 8 K in 3-1 loss at Seattle Mariners Tuesday
  • Career vs. Phillies: 0-0, 3.86 ERA (4 2/3 IP, 2 ER), 5 H, 3 BB, 5 K
  • Has been hurt by a .348 batting average on balls in play
  • Owns a 4.60 ERA over 258 1/3 career IP

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Phillies at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:31 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Phillies -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Reds +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+140) | Reds +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Phillies at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 5, Phillies 4

Moneyline

The Reds took 2 of 3 from the Phillies over an April 1-3 series in Philadelphia and are 5-3 over their last 8 games against the Phils.

Philadelphia’s recent offensive numbers have been inflated due to some robust clutch hitting performances.  How will Suarez bounce back after throwing 112 pitches in a Tuesday shutout over a scuffling Rockies team? He’s backed by a bullpen that has been awful so far (MLB-worst 5.78 ERA).

His mound opposite, Greene, has perhaps deserved a better fate so far. The 24-year-old Reds hurler has done well to limit hard contact, but he’s been hurt by a .348 batting average on balls in play.

The Phillies have had an easy schedule so far. Getting plus money on the home side (FanDuel Sportsbook has Cincinnati at +104) makes for solid value. BACK THE REDS +104.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS: Better leverage can be found on the RL.

Over/Under

The Over is 5-1 across the last 6 Philly-Cincy games.

This contest has just the slightest lean toward a double-digit score. The OVER 8.5 (-110) is worth some partial-unit action. The Reds ML play is the strongest in this match-up.

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Philadelphia Phillies at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Philadelphia Phillies (5-10) battle the Cincinnati Reds (6-8) Sunday. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is set for 1:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 3-3

The Reds have traded off winning and losing over their last 4 games. They throttled the Phillies on Saturday 13-0, but have allowed 4.4 runs per game over their last 5. Cincinnati is a strong 5-3 at home, the 2nd-best home record in the NL Central.

The Phillies, who had high expectations coming into the season, have lost 4 of their last 5 and have been outscored by 17 over that stretch of games. Philadelphia is just 2-7 on the road this season.

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Phillies at Reds projected starters

RHP Aaron Nola vs. RHP Luis Cessa

Nola (0-2, 7.04 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.5 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 through 15 1/3 IP.

  • Has allowed  20 hits and 12 ER through 3 starts after finishing 4th in NL CY Young voting last season
  • Was 6-4 at home last season, but just 5-9 on the road with a 3.00 ERA away from Citizens Bank Park

Cessa (0-1, 7.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 1.8 WHIP, 5.0 BB/9 and 3.0 K/9 through 9 IP.

  • Hasn’t performed well early on, allowing 7 ER in just 9 IP
  • The 30-year-old was 1-2 at home last season in 4 starts with a 6.08 ERA and just 28 Ks in 37 IP

Phillies at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:20 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Reds +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (-115) | Reds +1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Phillies at Reds nickname picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 7, Reds 3

Moneyline

PASS.

The Reds have been as streaky as it comes overlthe past few games, and with the difference in quality of pitchers, they aren’t worth a look at +155. Similarly, the Phillies are too expensive at -190, especially given their poor road record.

Run line/Against the spread

BET PHILLIES -1.5 (-115).

In their 6 meetings this season, the Phillies and Reds have only played one 1-run game. The 29-year-old Nola has had under a 3.50 ERA in 2 of his last 3 seasons and should bounce back here. Nola pitched a 9-inning shutout in his lone battle against Cincinnati last year.

The Reds’ bats should also expect to cool off. Considering the strength of Nola and the lacking play of Cessa, take the PHILLIES -1.5 (-115).

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Over/Under

LEAN OVER 9 (-115).

The Reds have gone Over in 6 of their last 7 games. Both pitchers have struggled this season which could continue in this battle. The Phillies have gone Over in 2 straight and in 5 of their last 7 as well.

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Philadelphia Phillies at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Philadelphia Phillies (4-8) and Cincinnati Reds (4-7) swing into a 4-game set Thursday. First pitch at Great American Ball Park is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Phillies lead 2-1

Philadelphia took 2-of-3 from the Reds April last weekend and went 6-1 against Cincy last season. The Phillies are coming off a 3-3 homestand that saw the club notch an .826 OPS at the plate and a team 3.76 ERA.

Cincinnati totes a 3-game losing streak into this home series. The Reds are 1-6 over their last 7 games.

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Phillies at Reds projected starters

LHP Bailey Falter vs. LHP Nick Lodolo

Falter (0-1, 2.61 ERA) is making his 3rd start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 0.0 BB/9 and 4.4 K/9 through 10 1/3 IP over 2 starts.

  • Owns a 4.22 ERA and 1.20 WHIP across 128 IP in parts of 3 MLB seasons
  • Facing the Reds for a 2nd straight start; allowed 1 ER on 4 H with 0 BB and 2 K over 5 IP Saturday

Lodolo (1-0, 1.50 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 15.8 K/9 through 12 IP in 2 starts.

  • Pitched 7-scoreless innings with 12 K against the Phillies (12 K) in his last start opposite Falter Saturday
  • Current Philly bats own a high-strikeout .516 OPS against him
  • Notched a 2.85 ERA in 12 starts at home last season

Phillies at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:49 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Phillies +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Reds -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-175) | Reds -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Phillies at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 4, Reds 3

Moneyline

Falter had a nice spring training (so did Lodolo) and is one to watch in the early going. Look for the 2022 NL pennant winners to bounce back with a better road trip than the 1-5 voyage with which they started this season. The Phils have had the Reds’ number of late, and Cincinnati heads into this series on the losing skid.

BACK PHILADELPHIA (+115) on a partial-unit play and go for a full unit at +120 or better.

Run line/Against the spread

Philadelphia has already had 4 losses or 2 runs or less. Would consider the Phils +1.5 at -170 or better. PASS otherwise.

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Over/Under

Peg this one as a solid pitching match-up and both bullpens figure as better than the numbers constituting their surface stats. Philadelphia has scored 3 runs or fewer in 4 of its last 5 road games.

TAKE THE UNDER 9 (-110).

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Philadelphia Phillies at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (64-51) and Cincinnati Reds (45-69) clash Tuesday as they continue a 3-game series at Great American Ball Park. First pitch is slated for a 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Philadelphia leads 1-0

The Phillies went into this series having lost 3 of their previous 4 games — and losing all 3 in shutout fashion. Philadelphia won Monday’s series opener 4-3.

The Reds have lost 6 of their last 7 games. Cincinnati owns a .632 OPS over its last 14 games.

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Phillies at Reds projected starters

RHP Kyle Gibson vs. RHP T.J. Zeuch

Gibson (7-5, 4.29 ERA) is tabbed for his 23rd start of the season. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 through 121 2/3 IP.

  • Scuffled in late June and early July, but has logged a 2.89 ERA, 0.88 WHIP over his last 31 1/3 IP.
  • Owns a 4.73 ERA on the road.

Zeuch (0-1, 13.50 ERA) is making his 2nd start. He has a 2.00 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 4 IP.

  • Start No. 1 (Wednesday vs. New York Mets) did not go so well: 6 runs on 6 hits and 2 BB in 4 IP. Threw 91 pitches despite not being all that stretched out in Triple-A.
  • Is a 27-year-old that owns a 5.26 ERA and 1.58 WHIP  in 53 career IP.

Phillies at Reds odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Phillies -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Reds +155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (-115) | Reds +1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

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Phillies at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 5, Reds 4

Money line

The Reds are somewhat buoyed by an out-of-whack 15-14 mark in 1-run games.

The Phillies’  bullpen has been banged up by high batting average on balls in play of late. That relief corps is in better shape heading into Game 2 of this series.

BACK THE PHILLIES (-190).

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Run line/Against the spread

Cincinnati’s offense is just good enough at home (.744 OPS) to make the 2-run cushion dicey. PASS.

Over/Under

It’s an 84-degree day with a 7-mph wind blowing out to right-center. If OF Kyle Schwarber (calf) makes it back into the lineup, it could be a big day for him. The Under has hit in 7 in a row for Philadelphia. The Under is 11-5 in the last 16 meetings between these teams. For now, it’s a small LEAN UNDER 9.5 (-120).

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Philadelphia Phillies at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (63-51) and Cincinnati Reds (45-68) meet Monday to open a 3-game series at Great American Ball Park. First pitch is slated for a 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: first meeting. The Reds took 4 of 6 from Philadelphia in 2021.

The Phillies have lost 3 of their last 4 games — all in shutout fashion. Philadelphia went 10-1 with an .865 OPS from July 27-Aug. 7 but is just 3-3 with a .574 OPS since.

The Reds snapped a 5-game losing skid with an 8-5 win over the Chicago Cubs Sunday. That losing streak aside, Cincinnati has played better of late, and especially so at home. Cincy is 11-6 over its last 17 games in the Queen City.

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Phillies at Reds projected starters

RHP Noah Syndergaard vs. LHP Mike Minor

Syndergaard (6-8, 3.96 ERA) has registered a 1.28 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 through 91 IP over 17 starts.

  • Owns a 4.50 ERA over his last 40 IP.
  • Threw 96 pitches in his last start. Owns a 6.38 ERA this season in his next-time-out turns after starts of 90-plus.

Minor (1-9, 6.24 ERA) has made 12 starts this season. He has a 1.57 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 through 62 IP.

  • Albeit in an injury-shortened season (his first start was not until June 3 due to a shoulder injury), has thus far logged career-worst figures in ERA and home runs per 9 innings (2.6).
  • Has a 5.8 BB/9 since the All-Star break, and that has fed into a 1.75 WHIP over that 4-game stretch.

Phillies at Reds odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:03 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Phillies -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Reds +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (-115) | Reds +1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Phillies at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 5, Reds 4

Money line

The Reds are somewhat buoyed by an out-of-whack 15-13 mark in 1-run games.

The Phillies’ offense is on its best side against southpaws (.772 OPS vs. lefty pitching, .714 OPS vs. right-handers), and its bullpen which has been banged up by high batting average on balls in play of late is in better shape — especially the back end — heading into this series.

BACK THE PHILLIES (-190).

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Run line/Against the spread

Cincinnati’s offense is just good enough at home (.745 OPS) to make the 2-run cushion dicey. AVOID, or at least wait out a better tag on the Phils -1.5 (-115) side.

Over/Under

There are multiple factors here that point to pitching and batting for both teams being due for better or worse days. It all makes for a muddy picture and brings us to a PASS.

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Philadelphia Phillies at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies (36-39) and Cincinnati Reds (38-38) meet Monday in a rescheduled game from a June 2 rainout. The longtime National League foes have a 6:40 p.m. ET first pitch at Great American Ball Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Spencer Howard is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies. He is 0-2 with a 5.59 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, 12.1 K/9, and 7.0 BB/9 in 19 1/3 IP across four starts and four relief appearances.

Howard is coming off seven days of rest; he hasn’t pitched since making a 53-pitch relief appearance June 20 at the San Francisco Giants.

LHP Wade Miley is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds. He is 6-4 with a 2.85 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 7.4 K/9, and 2.3 BB/9 in 75 2/3 IP over 13 starts.

The veteran lefty has logged a fine 2.67 ERA with a 2.1 BB/9 in 33 2/3 innings at home this season. He’s held current Philadelphia bats to a .694 OPS over his career.

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Phillies at Reds odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:12 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Phillies +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Reds -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Phillies +1.5 (-140) | Reds -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Phillies 6, Reds 4

Money line (ML)

Peg Miley as being too far out over his skis with a surface ERA under 3.00. He’s benefited from a .251 batting average on balls in play and is up against an opponent swinging hot bats of late. The Phils own a robust .746 OPS in June.

The Reds hurler is backed by a scuffling bullpen that owns a 6.26 ERA in June and analytics back the story that number tells.

TAKE PHILADELPHIA (+135).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the run line and take advantage of the underdog payout on the money line.

Over/Under (O/U)

The Under is trending with both teams of late going 3-1 in Philadelphia’s last 4 games and 4-0 in Cincinnati’s last 4. Look for some swing the other way on a hot, humid evening in Cincinnati.

Howard throws a lot of fastballs and the Reds are a very good fastball-hitting club. The righty-lefty match-up on the mound swings both teams to their best platoon sides. The Cincy bullpen is in fade-a-whole-run territory compared to the rest of the league.

BACK THE OVER 9.5 (-115).

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